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Urgent ​ESR14: Prez Karimov’s Death and Uzbekistan Crossroads

This surprise ESR14 is based on the breaking news of Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov’s sudden death and its consequences!

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URGENT EARTH SHIFT REPORT 14
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PREZ KARIMOV’S DEATH & UZBEKISTAN CROSSROADS

(SILK ROAD-ISLAMISM-MAIDAN-EURASIAN UNION)

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Written report with Lada Ray’s SPECTACULAR UZBEKISTAN PICTURE GUIDE! 

 

ESR14

Report Stats: Lada Ray’s hot intel, secrets & subterfuge, analytics and predictions about late Uzbek president Islam Karimov; about Putin, Russia and Eurasian Union; Uzbekistan (its economy, people, history, maps, problems, bazaars, monuments and Silk Road); plus US and Islamist hand in Central Asia! For desert: Lada Ray’s SPECTACULAR UZBEKISTAN PICTURE GUIDE!

 

Summary

On September 2, 2016 the government of Uzbekistan officially announced that Islam Karimov, continuous Uzbek president of 25 years, who had been in this post since 1991, suddenly passed on after a massive stroke. There were rumors that he, in fact, had died earlier but the real date was concealed.

The significance of what happened is three-fold.

1. Uzbekistan is a pivotal crossroads of Eurasia. In medieval times, its famous cities of Samarkand and Bukhara served as key connector points on the ancient Silk Road to Russia and Europe.

Today, this former Soviet Republic has a different significance. Still the richest and most influential state in Central Asia (except Kazakhstan), it serves as a key connector between republics which are in line for ascension into Eurasian Union. Therefore, it is a lucrative strategic location to stage a color revolution in order to prevent the re-unification of Eurasia.

2. It is a tough test for the legacy left by Karimov and for the sturdiness of structures he was able to build after this Soviet republic literally fell in his lap during the breakup of the USSR.

Will his power and state security structures be able to deal with the aftermath of his death? There will definitely be attempts to create Islamic State (IS) and/or nationalistic Maidan in Uzbekistan. Some called Karimov ‘a dictator.’ Others consider him a Western sell-out. Whatever one may think of him, it is undeniable that he managed to preserve the republic he received 25 years ago intact, and didn’t allow it to descend into the chaos of Muslim fundamentalism.

Uzbekistan has been primed for the Kiev-style Maidan since 1991, where many failed color revolution attempts took place. This activity in the past 2 years has intensified dramatically, coinciding with Ukraine 2014 coup and subsequent moves by Russia and Putin to expand Eurasian Union. I’d warned of the upcoming attempts at color revolutions in Central Asia and Caucasus in ESR9: ATTACK ON KAZAKHSTAN – WHO DESTABILIZES EURASIAN UNION.

Like its neighbors, Uzbekistan began its progress towards EAEU, while distancing itself from the former ally USA. And that’s when Karimov suddenly passed on.

3. Was his death natural, or was it a foul play? At 78, Islam Karimov was the oldest of the post-Soviet space leaders. What has happened exposes a massive weak link in the power structures of Russia and post-Soviet / Eurasian states.

This glaring weakness has been known for years; however, to this date a fool-proof solution hasn’t been found yet. I am talking about the fact that unlike in the West (say USA), where the country’s leader is mostly, or entirely, a figurehead, with real puppet masters hiding in the safety of the behind-the-scenes obscurity, there is no shadow government in Russia and former republics. The real, and usually very strong leader is on top, for all to see. Consequently, such leader becomes a lightning rod for attacks.

FULL LIST OF TOPICS

Intro: Uzbek President Islam Karimov’s death, its significance and consequences
Did Uzbekistan exist as an independent state at any time in history?
Why Lenin formed 15 Soviet Republics
Uzbekistan’s color revolutions (2005 Andijan massacre)
1991-2016 Relations with US and Russia
Issues of security and stability during Karimov’s reign

Why post-Soviet space leaders suddenly wanted to improve relations with Russia
From Silk Road to New Eurasia: Uzbekistan as crucial geopolitical crossroads

Structure of Uzbekistan’s economy: Uzbek cotton
Central Asian food and colorful bazaars (with pics)

Who is really Islam Karimov? Psychological portrait of a leader (plus of his republic and of the post-Soviet space)
1991 Soviet referendum and Karimov’s role
Karimov and Putin
Karimov’s rift with the US and sanctions
Did Karimov die of natural causes?
Islam Karimov funeral and Russian PM Dmitry Medvedev signals

Lada Ray Predictions
Uncertainty and fears of color revolution and Islamist takeover – what to expect?
How Karimov’s death may effect the situation in Uzbekistan and Central Asia
Who will be next Uzbek president?
How Karimov’s death may effect the situation with Eurasian Union and relations with Russia?
Is the New Silk Road Project viable? Will Uzbek events affect it?

The problem with nationalism and Islamism
How Russians were expelled from Uzbekistan in 1990s
Why Russian language lost its 2nd state language status and what to expect in the future
Why today Uzbeks want to be brothers with Russia again
Is the reversal back towards USSR possible? Where to now?
Why is it so hard to build a nationalistic state in many former Soviet republics
Tamerlane: the problem with the absence of national heroes (parallels with Ukraine and Bandera)

Karimov’s daughter Gulnara, her business and presidential ambitions
Fifth Column and Probability of Uzbek Maidan
Probability of Islamic State

How Russia left Central Asia and how China moved in
The games of Central Asian elites – can they be trusted?

PREDICTIONS: My views on the issue of Chinese ‘takeover’ of Central Asia, Russia’s role, Silk Road & Eurasian Union

For desert: Lada Ray’s SPECTACULAR UZBEKISTAN PICTURE GUIDE!

COPYRIGHT September 5, 2016 LADA RAY, AUTHOR.  ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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HEADS UP!

If you recall, I have reserved ESR10 and ESR11 for some very special reports!

As promised, EARTH SHIFT REPORT 10: THE CRIMEA FACTOR is coming soon!

ESR10 THE CRIMEA FACTOR

 

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Are We About to Witness Another US Failure in the Middle East? ISIS Theatens to Blow Up Syria’s Strategic Dam

Are we about to witness yet another US failure in the Middle East?

ISIS holes up at Tabqa Dam to avoid airstrikes and to blackmail US if they attempt to take Raqqa!

Part of ISIS – Daesh has holed up at Tabqa, Syria’s strategically most important dam, where they use high value hostages to shield themselves from bombings. The dam, if breached, will flood and devastate large parts of eastern Syria, creating massive humanitarian disaster for this long-suffering country.

Remember my prediction in ESR5: SYRIA GAME CHANGER? US would do everything to avoid colliding with Russia in Syria. This prediction is now playing out.

Russia primarily covers Syria’s long Mediterranean coast, up to the Turkish border. It is along the coast where the capital Damascus, Assad government, most of the population and Russian base are located. Slowly but surely, the territory controlled by Assad is expanding, thanks to Russian air support and efforts of Syrian army.

Important Syria update for the readers of Earth Shift Reports! 

The newest stats from Russian analysts are:

Assad army numbers: 200-250 thousand troops, including various local self-defence and international volunteer units.

All armed opposition, including ISIS, Al Nusra, Al Qaeda, Muslim Brotherhood, etc., numbers 150,000. This number also includes what US insists is ‘moderate armed opposition.’ However, by all accounts, real bandits and militants change coloring depending on who pays more at any given moment, or to save their lives: today they are Al Nusra, and tomorrow – ‘moderate opposition.’ In reality, political opposition in Syria doesn’t have serious military muscle, while the majority of those who have aren’t moderate.

There is a small quantity of ‘moderate’ bands that decided to cooperate and are now sending intel to Russians and Syrian army as to the locations of ISIS/Al Nusra and others. Such turncoats, per Russian military, are one of the best sources of ground intel for their operations.

The above numbers don’t take into account the significant factor of the Kurds. The Kurds in all this have been a neutral force, concentrating on defending their own land, but not interfering in the general Assad vs. opposition fight. However, the Kurds have reached the autonomy agreement with Assad and now are gearing towards siding with him – as I predicted in SYRIA GAME CHANGER! This is a very hopeful development. However, Turkey/Erdogan are trying to sabotage it by insisting on excluding the Kurds from the Assad – opposition negotiations process.

For an in-depth look into all the above, read ESRs: SYRIA GAME CHANGER and TURKISH CONUNDRUM – links to both at the bottom of this article!

USA in Syria

When US realized they had to get in before the victory over ISIS was claimed without their participation, they concentrated on plans to capture Raqqa, the so-called capital of ISIS, located inland, in the eastern part of Syria, where Russian aviation and Syrian army haven’t reached yet.

It has to be noted that, according to Syrian government sources, Syrian army is now only 40 km away from Raqqa and is planning to take it soon. However, it is common knowledge that Syrian army is tired and is moving slower than Russians would like them to. At least they are moving, taking over town after town, under the Russian Airforce’s cover.

In the situation when Russians said they definitely would NOT put any troops on the ground, US announced that it would increase support for local resistance in order to capture Raqqa. The resistance they are talking about are non-ISIS militants and Syrian opposition. Per reports, they also began helping the Kurds, who really are the only well-organized force in the area, able to resist ISIS.

Most interestingly, US announced they would be sending American ground troops as well.

There is talk of 100,000 coalition troops, consisting of 10,000 American; the rest is supposedly from SA, Qatar and other USA’s Middle Eastern allies, although there is much doubt as to how they will fill the quota (I described the whole spread and doubts surrounding this issue in SYRIA GAME CHANGER). The whole thing resembles more of a PR noise than the real thing. This reminds me of how an animal or a bird, when threatened, puffs up fur or feathers to seem bigger.

The latest announcement from the US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter: US is sending one of its divisions with substantial Iraq experience. It appears the division he’s referring to had previously sustained heavy losses in Iraq. Is that what Carter means by experience?

So, the ‘Nobel Peace Prize Laureate’ Barack Obama is sending American troops to yet another country, but only after Russian Airforce and Syrian army did most of the work.

The irony isn’t lost on anyone. The whole thing reminds me – a painful similarity noted by many analysts – of 1944, when USA hastily opened the second front, but only after it became clear that Russians could easily roll through all of Europe, claiming single-handed WWII victory.

In this case, US is too late to the strategically important Mediterranean coast, where 70-80% of the population resides, where Assad government is located and where the ports and bases are. The coast is covered by S-400 and Russian Airforce.

On the other hand, Raqqa, located deep inside the country, controls Syrian oil fields. While Russian bombings destroyed a large number of ISIS oil fields, pipelines, oil depots and oil convoys to Turkey, there are some oil fields that still remain around Raqqa. US, together with Qatar and Saudis, will try to prevent the area from reverting to Assad government; they want to attempt establishing their control over these fields.

Additional reason for targeting Raqqa is to save face – after all, Raqqa is the supposed ‘capital’ of ISIL, even if it’s just in their warped imagination. This, again reminds me of WWII and 1945: couldn’t take Berlin back then – let’s at least take Raqqa, before Russians and Syrian army get there.

With this cowboy logic US may cause yet another disaster in the Middle East — as if Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, the creation of Al Qaeda and the very ISIS itself weren’t enough! The list can be expanded well beyond the Middle East – look at the disaster US interference created in Ukraine within just two short years! Everyone knows what US had done to Vietnam in the ’60s.

The list can be expanded far beyond these vivid examples, and I’m sure you all know dozens of other US-created disasters. The trail of direct and collateral damage follows USA wherever they show up.

ISIS has holed up at the dam not just to avoid bombings. This is a very smart, if morbid, blackmail. They threaten to blow up the dam and kill hostages, if Raqqa is taken. The result will be further devastation of Syria.

Let’s see if US has enough wisdom and military know-how to avoid yet another regional disaster of their making!

Judging by their past failures, don’t hold your breath… Unless they give up and ask Russians for help, but don’t hold your breath for that either as this again will mean losing face.

However, this situation does give Russia some negotiations advantage, and not only in Syria; in Ukraine and Caucasus as well.

Read about Syria, US, Russia, Turkey, Qatar, Saudis, Israel — all the games & players: 

EARTH SHIFT REPORT 5: SYRIA GAME CHANGER

and

EARTH SHIFT REPORT 7: The Battle for Eurasia! TURKISH CONUNDRUM

The upcoming ESRs:

BLACK SEA GAMBIT & CRIMEAN AGENDA

will expand further on the convoluted and volatile situation in the interconnected regions of the Black Sea/ Balkans/ Eastern Europe/ Caucasus and the Middle East.

Stay tuned for the ESR release announcements!

Video with Tabqa Dam and Raqqa stats and geography:

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Earth Shift Report 5.​ ​SYRIA GAME CHANGER: What do Russia, US, Iran and Israel really want?

Newly published!

Earth Shift Report 5​

SYRIA GAME CHANGER

What do Russia, US, Iran & Israel really want?

ESR5 Syria Game Changer 2

Click on link to donate any amount and read!

SUMMARY:

Putin and Russia’s diplomacy efforts
Russian air strikes of ISIL/Al Qaeda positions
The real reason for the surprise Russian cruise missile strike from Caspian Sea

Russia in Syria: analysis and overview
Turkey’s role in Syria
The international nature of ​ISIL, Al Qaeda and other extremist organizations 

Risks to Russia and the entire region

The issue of Kurds
New Israel – Russia agreement – Why Israel likes Russian presence in Syria
How US, France, Turkey, Israel and NATO are being squeezed out of Syria
​Syrian army and other forces resisting ISIL, Muslim Brotherhood and other rebel groups on the ground
What territory does Assad control?
ISIL (aka, ISIS or Daesh) financing: its sources revealed
Russian Tartus Naval Base and the new Russian military doctrine
Iran Gambit (what Iran, US, Russia, Israel and Syria want)
​Israel’s role in Syria. Russia and Israel relations – You may be surprised!
PREDICTIONS: The future of the Middle East, multi-polar world and Russia’s role
Bonus: two interviews + 2 videos – Syria intel by Yakov Kedmi, ex-head of Israeli Nativ security services

More:

Lada Ray.info    

All Earth Shift Reports

Predictions

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Boston Marathon Bombing: GOLD TRAIN Deja Vu?

Remember how a few months ago a meteor exploded above Chelyabinsk in the Ural Mountains, Russia? It happened shortly after the release of my visionary fantasy/thriller THE EARTH SHIFTER, and much like it was described in the book. Many readers had dubbed the book prophetic. Read more about THE EARTH SHIFTER.

Check out the post and eyewitness videos: The Earth Shifter Plot Playing out in Real Time: Massive Meteor Rocks Russia

I feel a similar sense of Deja Vu with the recent Boston Marathon bombing.

GT COVER ebookThe mystery/thriller GOLD TRAIN is based on famous historical events of 1918, but it is set in today’s Moscow, St. Petersburg and New York. The protagonist, international journalist Jade Snow, who’s used to dodging stray bullets in Iraq, rushes into marriage and has a child before she is ready, and as a result, she has to say a premature good bye to a promising career. While Jade stays home with the baby, her husband jet sets around the world (hint: his career is fine). But Jade’s ever present longing for freedom and world adventures generates a subconscious rebellion, so when she finally gets a chance to go to Russia in order to investigate tantalizing mystery of the missing treasure of the Russian Empire, she lands herself in the middle of a deadly conspiracy that threatens to change the balance of power not only in Russia, but also in the world, and in the process, she meets a mysterious stranger, who may well change her life forever.

The conspirators are the Russian monarchists, backed in secret by spy organizations like CIA and MI6. And while preparing to destabilize Russia through civil war, they employ Chechen terrorists to do their dirty work, including attempts of deadly bombings at the Russian Metro, high-speed train, and other places (incidentally, it is mentioned in the book that Chechens, wanted for terrorist activities in Russia, are often given political asylum in the USA, UK and Sweden). While looking for the killer of her Russian friend and hunting for the treasure, Jade along with the FSB operative Alexei, must prevent terrorist attacks by the Chechen militants.

Check out Gold Train on:  Amazon US    UK          More about Gold Train & books by Lada Ray

***Incidentally, Gold Train and The Earth Shifter are presently on huge sale on Amazon! Ebooks only $.99, new release paperbacks $12.49 and $14.99! Check them out!

Boston bombing: First, my deepest condolences to all the victims of this tragedy, and to their families.

It turns out that the two suspects in the Boston Marathon bombing are the Tsarnaev brothers, aged 19 and 26, residents of Cambridge, MA, and immigrants from North Caucasus. Ethnically Chechen, their family resided in the Autonomous Republic of Dagestan, neighboring Chechnya. In fairness, I need to point out that some suspect a false flag operation in the hunt for the Tsarnaev brothers. However, I am not prone to conspiracy theories. Conspiracies happen all the time, yes – as you would see if you read my books. But conspiracies I write about are based on proven real world events. In this case, I have no proof of false flag, although voices in its favor persist. Either way, so far there isn’t enough information to make such a conclusion – yet.

After the collapse of the USSR in 1991 the always stormy and confrontational North Caucasus, populated by many warring tribes, where a child would receive a knife as a birthday present at 2, reverted to its nature. With no jobs for the young and no government controls, fundamentalist Islam, terrorism and Al Queda influence spread like fire. In the past 5-7 years, Chechnya has actually stabilized as the Russian government poured billions into this little autonomous republic in order to rebuild the industry and generate jobs in this beautiful, but unstable and depressive region. After the peace was finally restored and the population turned away from terrorism, the remnants of the “rebels” had crossed the porous borders into the nearby autonomous republics, notably, Dagestan, where they would hide out in the mountains.

The FBI has now admitted that the brothers may have had links to Russia’s most wanted man, Chechen terrorist Doku Umarov, who has blood of many civilians on his hands, including the deadly Beslan School bombing. Many of his cronies received asylum in the UK, US, etc., after their terrorist acts in Russia. It is a well-known fact that Doku Umarov’s fighters received training in Al Queda camps in the Middle East and parts so Europe. However, over the years, Russian requests for extradition of said terrorists had been routinely denied by the USA, UK, Sweden and Poland, despite irrefutable evidence of their terrorist activities. Take a close look at Mr. Suleimanov, the leader of the Chechen terrorists in GOLD TRAIN – look familiar?

According to correspondent/author Pepe Escobar, “Chechnya’s new jihadis want an emirate, as envisioned by Doku Umarov; a Chechnya-istan modeled on the Talibanistan of the late 1990s. Umarov always insists on global jihad – from Afghanistan and Iraq to Somalia and Palestine – against “everyone who wages war against Islam and Muslims.” Just as I have met a lot of Chechens fighting alongside the Taliban – and then captured in Afghanistan before 9/11 – there are quite a few Chechens in Syria as part of a global jihadi brigade fighting the Bashar Assad government in Aleppo. Chechens did hit soft targets in the past; it could be two Dagestani female suicide bombers blowing up the Moscow Metro in 2010, killing at least 40 people and injuring 100, or the gory outcome of the Beslan school tragedy in 2004, when no less than 334 hostages died, most of them children.” Escobar, The Boston Blowback

A member of the SWAT team motions to a resident to come out of the house as they conduct a house to house search for Dzhokar Tsarnaev, the one remaining suspect in the Boston Marathon bombing, in Watertown, Massachusetts April 19, 2013.(Reuters / Brian Snyder)

Image: A member of the SWAT team motions to a resident to come out of the house as they conduct a house to house search for Dzhokar Tsarnaev, the one remaining suspect in the Boston Marathon bombing, in Watertown, Massachusetts April 19, 2013. (Reuters / Brian Snyder)

The incredible irony of the situation is that the Boston bombing suspects, brothers Tsarnaev, upon arrival to the USA, claimed and quickly received POLITICAL ASYLUM together with their relatives. They arrived to the USA in 2003, claiming to be refugees from Chechnya, although at the time their family lived in the neighboring Dagestan. They were still children and grew up in the USA, attending American schools, the younger of the two becoming a naturalized citizen, and winning a scholarship to MIT (according to reports).  Another unbelievable irony is that several years prior, Russian authorities had contacted the USA, warning of possible older brother’s links to Al Queda and Doku Umarov, and demanding investigation. At the time, FBI scuffed at Russia’s warnings, as the US and UK insisted on calling the Chechen terrorists “freedom fighters.”

I guess, now that it has happened in the USA, the “Chechen freedom fighters” will be finally re-branded terrorists. Isn’t that amazing! Kinda makes you wonder when will the childish, ignorant and backwards political rivalries with Russia and other countries designated as “enemies” by the USA finally stop, and when will justice and reason finally prevail?

In fairness, I have to mention two things:

1. Most ethnic Chechens and Dagestanis are peaceful and law-abiding citizens of Russia, who want to live their lives and build a good future for their kids. Incidentally, most of the wrestlers on the Russian Olympic team, responsible for many of the Russian medals at the last Olympics in London, come from North Caucasus. Alas, as always, a few rotten apples spoil the harvest.

2. Also, the suspects’ parents still reside in the Autonomous Republic of Dagestan, Russia, and they deny their children’s involvement in the bombing, claiming it was a set up by the FBI. The story is getting more and more bizarre by the moment. Included are some investigative and eye-witness videos. Have a listen!

Must watch! RT goes to Caucasus for Tsarnaev brothers local background

Change of wind: Chechen freedom fighters are now terrorists? Report

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