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Putin Makes Surprise Visit to Syria in the Company of Su-30 Jets to Declare Victory and the End of Op
Russian President Vladimir Putin paid surprise visit to Khmeimim Airbase in Syria’s Latakia province on Monday, December 11. As he prepared to land, he was met by an escort of Su-30SM fighter jets.
During this unannounced visit Putin met with Syrian president Assad and made an important announcement regarding partial withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria following the defeat of ISIS. Putin added that if terrorists reappeared in Syria, Russian troops would be back.
Russia’s Enormous Victory & End of ISIS
Russian Syria op is one of the most successful military ops of all time. As a result of Russian BKC (Russian joint military-space forces) involvement along with Syrian ground troops, ISIS has been squeezed out of all cities in Syria, leaving only some straggling groups in the country, with which Syrian army is still dealing on the ground. Syrian government today controls most of the country’s territory. When Russia got involved in Syria 2 years ago, Assad and Syrian army controlled 14% of the country’s territory, rebels were located as close as 8 kilometers from Assad’s palace, Syrian army was on its last legs with deserters leaving in droves. It was expected that any day Assad would lose power and Syria would be torn to pieces by warring factions and foreign powers.
The task the Russian Army had in Syria seemed insurmountable and extremely complex. Not only it was of a military nature, but it was diplomatic, moderating and peacemaking as well.
During the past 2 years of Syrian involvement, in military operations Russia hasn’t lost a single jet, except the Turkish provocation with the downing of the Russian Su. One single flying regiment took part in operations; overall Russian troops in Syria numbered no more than 4-5 thousand. This relatively small number of troops managed to make 30,000 flights and destroy most of the ISIS top commanders, and most of the Islamic State terrorists’ infrastructure, including arms depots, training camps, factories, oil transports and money laundering rings. Estimated combined ISIS losses are 32,000 troops. Russian instructors re-trained and turned around the demoralized Syrian army in such a way that it began winning. The most important Syrian army operations were developed and executed under the command of Russian higher officers. The result of such operations was the liberation of all major Syrian cities, securing of oil fields and the majority of the country’s territory.
The political, diplomatic and peacemaking results have been equally impressive. Only Russia managed to sit down at one table the seemingly irreconcilable enemies, including Iran, Turkey, Syrian government and opposition/ rebels/ various factions. Political process is taking place and elections are coming, which was unimaginable just recently. Syria today is day and night compared to what it was just two years ago.
All this is especially impressive if you compare it to the staggering fiasco of the US/EU/NATO’s involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as Syria. Incidentally, it has been brought to my attention that following Russia’s astounding victory in Syria, US and France are trying to steal this victory, declaring it theirs and ignoring the reality. This is also nothing new — remember WWI and WWII and the re-writing of history!
For more on Russian Army read Poll: Russians Trust Most Russian Army, Putin and FSB, and distrust…
Of course, this is far from being the end. The new strategy for securing the rest of the country, maintaining peace and squeezing US out of Syria has to be implemented, political changes have to take place. But the active military phase is over.
After the surprise Syria stop-over, where he thanked the troops, met with Assad and declared the end of Syria op, Putin in the same day visited Egypt and Turkey.
This whole 1-day, 3-country Middle East turbo-tour is the continuation of Putin’s restructuring and rebalancing of the Middle East, as discussed in my recent interview A New Tsar Arrived. But the timing is also such that this Middle East tour serves as Putin and Russia’s response to Trump’s decision to consider Jerusalem the capital of Israel and to move the US embassy from Tel-Aviv to Jerusalem.
Why did Trump make such announcement right before Holidays? It has already met with much condemnation around the world and generated a new wave of violence and anti-US hatred. There are calls for the 3rd Intifada (Palestinian resistance war against Israel). This announcement is also likely to create new waves of terror attacks in US, Israel and other countries. Just yesterday we had terror attack attempt at the Bus Terminal in Manhattan, and more are expected during Christmas/New Year. Politicians and lay people alike have dubbed Trump’s decision ‘irresponsible and short-sighted.’
The reason Trump saw fit to make such an announcement is very simple and in line with my original predictions from the Trump ESR16 and ESW1: WILL TRUMP SURVIVE HIS FIRST TERM. Trump is in a ‘straitjacket’ and in a fight for survival, being criticized and threatened by various forces. This is by no means a justification of his actions, but merely a reminder that I predicted this since 2016, before the US election outcome was even known.
Trump is trying to avoid impeachment with all his might. In this survival mode he, in a typical American fashion, doesn’t care how his words or actions will impact the world. He is simply thinking about himself. If he were a private citizen, that might be at least understandable, if not forgivable. But it doesn’t work at all if one calls himself a US president.
The Israeli/ Jewish lobby in the US is one of the most powerful. Therefore, for Trump it is crucial to have it in his corner. It is as crucial as having Pentagon and US army in his corner, or at least neutral so they wouldn’t support his impeachment. To appease Pentagon/US army Trump does constant saber-rattling against N. Korea, threatening to begin a nuclear war. If it’s not N. Korea, it is Iran, Syria, or whatever enemy is next in line.
And to appease the Jewish/Israel lobby Trump recognizes Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. All very logical actions from his standpoint — and the hell with the rest of the world. This yet again demonstrates how unfit the USA, this ‘exceptional nation’ and ‘sole super-power,’ is for the role of the global leader.
This is where Russia the Great Balancer comes in. Putin’s announcement of Russian troops withdrawal from Syria stands in stark contrast to Trump/USA’s bullying position.
By contrast with Trump, Putin announced during meetings with Egypt’s el-Sisi and Turkey’s Erdogan that only the joint negotiations between Israel and Palestine should decide the status of Jerusalem. This measured and reasonable position yet again shows who the true world leader really is; who brings peace to the Middle East, and who provokes wars.
Putin is confirming what I often talk about: Russia is the unifying, balancing and pacifying force in the Middle East and globally. This role of Russia the Great Balancer will continue intensifying during the ongoing EARTH SHIFT.
We talk about this at length in recent URGENT NEW INTERVIEW! A New Tsar Arrived: How Putin is Squeezing US out of NEW Middle East.
I discussed in detail the situation in the Middle East, Syria, Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and more in these Earth Shift Reports: ESR5, ESR7 & ESR13.
Watch ESW6: THE PUTIN ENIGMA
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Another recent interview: The Putin Enigma and The Coming Western Perestroika
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URGENT NEW INTERVIEW! A New Tsar Arrived: How Putin is Squeezing US out of NEW Middle East
As promised, my new interview with TimeMonkRadio‘s THE PLANE TRUTH is here. We recorded it urgently due to major and very important Syria, Middle East, Iran, Turkey and Russia developments!
CLICK TO WATCH THIS INTERVIEW DIRECTLY ON YOUTUBE!
And remember to click on that LIKE button!
Less than a week ago we released my new and very important interview with The Plane Truth: Lada Ray TimeMonkRadio Interview: The Putin Enigma and The Coming Western Perestroika.
You can also click here and listen to it directly on YouTube!
At the same time, as the interview recorded and was being released, all last week I was observing a truly monumental Earth Shift happening in the Middle East, under Putin’s and Russia’s tutelage and with Russia’s invaluable help. And I bet many in the West have missed it entirely.
The news are so huge that we decided to record a full follow-up show on it! This follow-up show is shorter than usual and runs at just over an hour. We jam-packed it with rare internal Russian intel, breaking news and things you are guaranteed to never hear in the West, complete with my geopolitical analysis and predictions. We talk about Putin-Asad secret meeting in Sochi and the announcement of a major shift in Syria ops; The Russia-Turkey-Iran Sochi summit, already dubbed the new ‘Yalta Conference,’ where the map and the future of the Middle East are being decided; Putin’s calls to Trump, Netanyahu, Saudi, Qatar and Egypt leaders; the unheard of in its boldness follow-up conference of the various warring Syrian factions, also held in Sochi; the fact that EU and US were completely bypassed, and much more! Just wait till you hear all the juicy details!
I even managed to pack into this interview the somewhat related news of the Czech and Slovakian (not to be confused with Slovenia — a separate Slavic state located in the northern Balkans) rebellion against EU anti-Russian sanctions and what will come out of it. This piece about some Eastern Europeans, such as Czechia/Slovakia, apparently having learned their lessons resonates with my recent important article: Secret Order to Destroy Slavs and Re-Write their Genetic Code! 3 Ingredients of Color Revolution (New Theory)!
Don’t miss my interviews on the TimeMonkRadioNetwork channel! You’ll also be able to watch them via Lada Ray Interviews playlist on LADA RAY channel.
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LOTS OF IMPORTANT NEWS THAT APPLY TO EVERYONE!
Breaking! Suspicious #Flydubai Boeing-737 Crash in Rostov-on-Don Raises Red Flags
FlyDubai Boeing-737 FZ981 crashed in Rostov-on-Don killing all 62 on board (RT SPECIAL COVERAGE):
Flydubai flight FZ981 has crashed in the southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don (Rostov Oblast) killing all 62 passengers and crew on board. The flight was en route from Dubai and crashed during its second landing approach amid poor weather conditions.
‘Every detail is important’ – interview with head of the search group. Over 800 Russian investigators, experts and search workers are now at the scene. Rostov Airport remains closed, planes have been re-routed.
Out of 62 people onboard, there were 55 passengers: 44 Russian citizens and 11 foreign nationals; and 7 crew members: one Russian citizen, 6 foreign nationals. Most of Russians on board were from Rostov Oblast. None of the people on board survived the crash.
First of all, I want to offer my deepest condolences to the families of all victims.
#Flydubai is a budget airline owned and operated by the United Arab Emirates state. They fly from Dubai to over 60 countries. It appears the pilot was a Greek national and the crew was international.
The plane attempted two landings, crashing on second attempt. According to the very first account of events, visibility was poor due to bad weather, which, based on some initial speculation, allegedly may have caused the plane to crash. However, a large number of questions remains.
The investigation has only just begun and as usual, Russian authorities will be very careful to admit that foul play is involved. If you recall, Russians admitted that Sinai, Egypt catastrophe, with 224 dead, was a terrorist act only after UK announced they were grounding flights to Egypt due to terrorist threat. In fact, the very first accusation floating around the net, was against the pilot and crew. They were accused of lack of professionalism; the Russian aviation in general was immediately accused of poor pilot preparation. Moreover, the company was accused of poor plane maintenance and Russian authorities in sloppiness. All that was rebuffed by everyone from global aviation authorities to Russian authorities and various international testing agencies. It turned out that the Sinai Airbus pilot was one of the most experienced and top-rated in the business, the whole crew was exceptionally experienced and that the plane just passed full maintenance and testing in Ireland.
Clearly, Russians knew it was a terrorist act early on. The reason for the slow admission was so not to play into the hands of terrorists. One of the main goals of the Sinai terrorist act was to put a wedge between Russia and Egypt, whose close relations were on the upswing. Another goal was to take revenge on Russia for destroying ISIS infrastructure in Syria, financed and built by Qatar, Turkey and Saudis. Third, to instill dread in Russians vacationing abroad. The actual organizers of the Sinai attack have been named (in whispers) in Russia: Qatar and Qatar foreign minister in person. I explain how and why in ESR5 and ESR7.
I suspect that in the case of Rostov-on-Don Flydubai catastrophe Russians will be just as careful to publicly announce the results of investigation. We’ll see how it goes and I do not intend to get ahead of the investigation. I am for allowing professionals to handle it at their pace. Besides, very little is really known to date on how it happened and what went wrong.
Barring any real details, for now I’ll be very cautious with any definitive conclusions. But I want to share the red flags this catastrophe has risen for me. I will leave the technical stuff to specialists. Instead, let’s talk about what is my specialty: geopolitics, Ukraine, Middle East, and attempts to stop Earth Shift and Russia’s rebalancing of the world away from the West.
Let’s call this my preliminary investigation. Let’s consider it my pointing out of the suspicious alarm bells and red flags. The investigators, at a minimum, should take them into account.
For now, I hear that they are considering poor visibility and weather conditions, and/or pilot and crew error as possible reasons.
Incidentally, when the plane is this close to the ground, its speed is the slowest, which increases the possibility of survival for victims. Experts are bemused by the fact that there were no survivors.
But that’s not all. Check out this!
First, look at this CCTV footage of the plane’s crash. Notice the strange angle of descent that appears far too steep: something like 50-60 degrees. What pilot, if he is in control of his machine, would ever descent so steeply so close to the ground, risking hitting it, especially if the weather is bad and visibility poor?
Second, look at the timing of this tragedy!
On March 15th Russia just announced partial troops withdrawal from Syria (a connection with the Middle East, where UAE is also located). In connection with that, a follow up vengeance, using sloppy security at UAE airport, comes to mind.
On March 18, just a few hours prior to this catastrophe, Russia was celebrating the 2nd anniversary of reunification with Crimea (see #Sevastopol #Krim #Rossia: 2nd Anniversary of Crimea’s Reunification with Russia).
Now look at the location of the Flydubai Boeing 737 catastrophe: Rostov-on-Don, the capital of Rostov Oblast. To the west, Rostov Oblast borders ‘Ukraine,’ as it is marked on this map:
And now check out what is actually located on the other side of the so-called ‘Ukraine’ border: Donetsk/DNR and Lugansk/LNR. Yes, Rostov oblast borders not Ukraine, but DNR and LNR. It was here, to Rostov Oblast where 2.5 million refugees from Donbass escaped Kiev bombings; many of them still reside there. Russian humanitarian convoys and other help for the republics went and continues going through Rostov Oblast. When EU delegations and humanitarian help arrives to DLNR, it also goes through Rostov Oblast. Here is another interesting little bit: ex-prez of Ukraine Yanukovich escaped from ukro-nazis to Rostov, where he presently resides.
In short, Rostov serves as a hub and a central for help to DNR/LNR. Ukro-nazis and junta followers of various colorings and creeds have been sending all kinds of threats to Rostov Oblast and its people since 2014.
This map I found on the net shows Novocherkassk, located just next to the Rostov Oblast capital Rostov-on-Don. The body of water in the lower left corner is Azov Sea. Notice distance to Donetsk and Lugansk. Also, notice Mariupol (Donetsk Oblast) just next to the border with Rostov Oblast on the Azov Sea shore, which is now in the hands of Kiev junta and ukro-nazi battalions.
In addition to the above, Rostov Oblast on the Azov Sea is very close to Crimea, which is located just to the south-west, between Azov and Black Seas. The mega-bridge to Crimea through the Kerch Strait (Kerchensky Most) is being built just south of Rostov, in the neighboring Krasnodar Krai.
How’s all that for interesting coincidences!
Another interesting coincidence: Ukraine/Poroshenko and Turkey/Erdogan/Davutoglu are becoming very close, pushed together by their desperation and hatred of Russia and Putin. A recent investigation revealed that after Russia eliminated ISIS oil smuggling infrastructure, which made Erdogan’s family billions and allowed him to manipulate the Middle East, he is actively looking for ways to inflict damage on Russia, and is ready to accept any offers from Ukraine. Ukraine already gave plenty of advances to Turkey. I have first-hand, undeniable intel and proof of Erdogan/Poroshenko collusion and I will present it in upcoming ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT. Additionally, there is direct proof of Kiev/Turkey/ISIS/Crimean Tatar Mejlis collusion, attempts and intentions to inflict damage by all means possible on Russia and Crimea. This video proof will be presented in upcoming ESR9: CRIMEAN AGENDA.
Now, to the fact that Flydubai is from UAE, located in the Middle East. It is a very well known fact that Middle East airports and companies have inferior security and hiring practices. Sinai, Egypt catastrophe demonstrated that it was too easy to install a terror device due to lax security and sloppy hiring practices at the airport.
After the Egypt tragedy, Russian airports, companies and aviation crews became super-vigilant and new, most advanced security measures were adopted. I can say absolutely confidently that no bomb or suicide bomber could have penetrated on a RUSSIAN plane.
But a UAE (Middle Eastern) plane, especially if it’s a Boeing, is a different story.
Why Boeing: just look how many catastrophes happen to Boeings lately. One interesting theory I have is that the manufacturer of these planes, Boeing, may have installed malware or backdoor software, which allows to override pilot’s commands at an opportune moment. Another possibility I see is that US controlled GPS satellite feeds may get manipulated or turned off to disorient the plane.
Alternatively, plane’s internal wiring may have been tampered with by UAE airport employees. Or just plain old bomb, as seems to be the case in Sinai tragedy….
You may ask, why they waited for literally the last second to crash the plane? Why not do it en route? Wouldn’t that be more easy and secure? I think the explanation may be on the surface. Rostov Oblast played a big role in accepting Ukraine refugees, humanitarian help, as Yanukovich residence, and in certain cases, as a transfer point to Crimea and DNR by Azov Sea. And what did Russia just celebrate? The 2nd anniversary of reunification with Crimea. Plus, Russia just announced the withdrawal of troops from Syria after the mission has been accomplished.
If this indeed were a terrorist act, the point would have been to punish Russia by making sure the plane actually crashed on Russian soil; moreover, the idea would apparently be to punish specifically the people of Rostov Oblast by crashing it in plain view of all, close to the airport.
The above ‘coincidences’ potentially implicate the following entities: Kiev junta/Ukraine, Turkey, Crimean Tatar Mejlis and their friends at ISIS-Daesh, plus their Western sponsors. For what it’s worth, Ukrainians I used to know were not devious enough to execute these kinds of terror acts. Sure, they may have changed – for this lost generation all bets are off. But my money is still on Turkey, Mejlis and ISIS.
Was it just a tragic error and confluence of unfortunate events, or was it a chilling terrorist message? Let’s hope investigation will answer that soon.
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More:
Press Conference (Rus) with МЧС, Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FichawFBsNs
Flowers brought to Rostov-on-Don terminal: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ps7eceBTDks and to the representative office of Rostov Oblast in Moscow.
What do Russians think – comments on YT:
NEWS & ANNOUNCEMENTS
By popular demand! Stay tuned for next article:
Putin Announces Troops Withdrawal from Syria.
Russia’s Accomplishments & Withdrawal Reasons Revealed!
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Is Erdogan Trying to Recreate Ottoman Empire?
Could we perhaps have your take on the following quote from the last part of Assad’s interview?
President Erdogan belongs intellectually to the Muslim Brotherhood. Consequently, he believes that, if the situation changed in Syria, Egypt, and Iraq, it means the creation of a new sultanate; not an Ottoman sultanate this time, but a sultanate for the Brotherhood extending from the Atlantic to the Mediterranean and ruled by Erdogan.
Lada’s Take
(see more posts in Ask Lada category)
First thing we all have to keep in mind is that Assad and Erdogan are personal enemies. They hate each other for a variety of reasons. They belong to very different branches of Islam. They represent diverging directions of the Middle Eastern tradition and thought. In everything they do they feel they get in each other’s way.
Turkey and Erdogan have behaved very un-neighborly towards Syria, and it’s understandable that Syrian leader has a grudge against Erdogan.
Turkey in fact is presently fighting a war on several fronts. That includes the internal war with the opposition fed by the West. Syria and Assad’s situation is very difficult, but Erdogan cannot be envied either.
All this is part of the huge karmic opening of old wounds and the beginning of the shift in the Middle East. There is no corner of the globe where the Earth Shift will not be felt, in some places more, in some less. It all depends on how much work the people of a specific region or country have done in the past to clean up their house. Some countries have gone in the past through some very hard, and at times, excruciating work to change their situation. Countries like that include China, Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan. Other countries may have kept their house in relative order. Switzerland is one example. Such countries will go through the Earth Shift with relative ease.
However, the countries that failed to address their problems, simply sweeping them under the rug, will have to deal with a lot of turmoil. Such example is Ukraine. Many countries of the Middle East are also good examples.
The problems of the Middle East are magnified by the local rivalries, lack of acceptance of another’s point of view, and religious intolerance.
Therefore, while Assad himself may believe adamantly what he says, anything he says about Erdogan and Turkey has to be taken with a grain of salt.
This is not to say he is wrong.
But Assad, for one, is brewing in this soup of local rivalries, which often makes it hard, if not impossible, to see a bigger picture. And two, Assad remains a very experienced politician. Knowing his big interview with the Russian media would receive a wide international resonance, he obviously tried to stack the cards to his advantage.
Remember we had talked about targeted info dumps? This is one. More about it: Learn to Tell a Hoax from Targeted Info Dump. It’s not a hoax, but it’s a targeted and manipulated in a certain way message meant for specific audience.
Although this interview is given to the Russian media, the message isn’t necessarily meant for Russia, although I’m certain some Russian Middle East specialists are paying attention. But Russia is firmly in Assad’s corner.
It is meant mostly for the EU and some of the Middle Eastern countries, such as Egypt – the largest military power in the Middle East, which often provides the stabilizing element. Egypt powers that be also have a very serious beef with Muslim Brotherhood. The message is also possibly meant for Saudis and Israelis. Iran and Syria are likely on the same page, but it is a reminder for Iran as well. This info dump is meant to scare the recipients into making sure Turkey and Erdogan don’t gain more power. Basically, this is something that will make different powers work together on curbing Turkey’s ambitions.
Assad desperately needs Turkey to weaken. Turkey, together with US, has been training Syrian opposition militants and has been helping any force, including ISIL, that fights the Syrian government. Turkey has been sabotaging the Kurdish attempts to fight ISIL as well. The Kurds, spread around several Middle Eastern countries, want to reunite and demand their own state. They are perceived by Erdogan as a big problem. Therefore, anything Kurds do becomes automatically at odds with what Erdogan wants done.
The entire Middle Eastern scene is extremely convoluted and entangled. It’s simply brimming with controversy and confusion. Sometimes it looks like a war of all against everyone. In the geopolitical arena anyone is regarded with great distrust and suspicion and alliances change on a whim.
Erdogan is put in a very precarious position. Elections are coming. At the same time, Turkey has been housing 2 million Syrian refugees. These are the refugees that Erdogan is now delivering to the border with Greece and sending off to Europe.
Meanwhile, Turkey is trying to quell internal conflict that keeps flaring up. This conflict has its historic roots inside the country, in part because of Erdogan’s stance on Syria and Kurds. The Kurds themselves constantly remind Erdogan they want independence. But the internal conflict has outside sponsors. It flared up and spread after Erdogan and Putin agreed on Turkish Stream. The idea of these well-known outside forces is to create so much instability in Turkey that Turkish Stream would become impossible.
Turkey’s geopolitical position has always been considered super-valuable. But at this time of extreme Earth Shift, it is also a very precarious position, open to all the winds. Erdogan, both because of his policies and because of his geopolitical realities, is finding himself without allies. He gets criticised and attacked from all directions. As I said, he is fighting a war on several fronts.
For several centuries, the Ottoman Empire dominated the Middle East. People still remember that. They certainly don’t want the Turkish-based dominance back. This adds to the suspicion of Turkey. Under such circumstances Erdogan has to look for any sort of affinities and allies wherever he can find them.
There are several powers vying for the dominance in the Middle East: these are Turkey, Iran and Egypt, plus, Saudi Arabia. Saudis are the richest in the Middle East, and they still have the stigma of being USA’s ally, therefore being percieved as being supported by powerful sponsors, whether it’s true any more, or not. Saudis are good at political games, but their army, while very well equipped, isn’t good at fighting. They still have a lot of pull. Israel also has to be factored in, although it’s a different story.
Turkey and Erdogan do dream of dominating the Middle East. Does Erdogan want to increase his influence and re-create the old Ottoman empire in some form? Yes, to a degree, he does. But not necessarily the way Assad portrays it. For one I don’t know if Muslim Brotherhood is that likely to appoint Erdogan their leader, surrendering their power to him. Why would they? They exist as a set structure, with their own chain of command. The most they can do is agree on some sort of alliance.
But more than anything, Turkey wants to be a world player, be accepted on the world stage. Regardless of how Erdogan feels about Muslim Brotherhood, he is a politician first and foremost. In order to be a regional player, Turkey needs to have solid ties with EU, Russia and at least some of the key Middle Eastern countries. Erdogan is trying, but for him it’s one step forward and two backward. Erdogan, by some of his actions, has put himself in a way of confrontation and isolation. This will not create more influence for Turkey, just the opposite.
At the same time, Turkey’s geopolitical location is very important. Turkey is needed as a player, and as a factor. This is the desire of all major powers, including US, EU, Russia and China, because Turkey serves as a counterweight and a balancing factor in the region. But no one will allow Turkey to become a dominant force in the Middle East. Neither Russia, EU or US, nor the aforementioned Middle East players can afford that.
Therefore, it really is inconsequential whether Erdogan is or isn’t an intellectual ally of Muslim Brotherhood. Because of its very special geopolitical position Turkey serves as a bridge between East and West, but doesn’t control much of either.
Such situation suits all super-powers. Turkey is very valuable as a somewhat strong bridge-country, but not too strong. Turkey can do pin pricks to remind of its presence and to demand attention, such as interfering in Syria, sending refugees to the EU, delaying Turkish Stream, or pretending they won’t let US ships into the Black Sea. In the end Turkey always plays ball because that’s the extent of Turkey’s leash.
As a consequence, Turkey’s politics can only work within a certain narrow corridor. Turkish leader who doesn’t stay within this corridor, will not survive. Erdogan has tried to expand this corridor by conducting his own policies. It wasn’t very successful and he has reached the end of his leash.
There is another reason Erdogan is trying to align himself with someone – anyone. The Middle East is changing rapidly. The borders are still being held in place due to the 1945 agreements between USSR, US and UK. However, soon the borders in the Middle East and some other world regions will start crumbling as the new reality emerges.
ISIL, Muslim Brotherhood and dozens, if not hundreds, of other formations that are mushrooming in the Middle East try to grab as much land as they can. The states try to defend their borders, while at the same time attempt to grab what they can as well. Erdogan simply has to stay in the game because in that reality it’s eat or be eaten. He has to play the aggressive game of expansion, or his country will be contracting. He also has to account for contingencies.
This is beyond Erdogan and Turkey’s long-cherished imperial ambitions – it is the reality of survival. This kind of situation exists in some other regions of the world as well.
On different levels – be it social, financial, political or military – this scenario of rapid change and struggle to keep control of the situation is something facing now the majority of countries. Welcome to the Earth Shift!
Therefore, take with a grain of salt what anyone in the Middle East says. Again, this is not to say that Assad isn’t right. He says what he feels is true from his perspective. The entanglements of this region of the world are such that everyone is pulling the blanket onto themselves, touting their own agenda as the only correct one.
But the world leaders such as Putin need to be well above this regional fight; global geopolitical thinking is required. Russia is well-positioned to play a pacifying and balancing role in the Middle East. In fact, it’s the only country that can accomplish this feat.
More breaking stuff:
More news from the Middle East and Syria are coming. Things are shifting fast. The US stance on Assad, Syria and on ISIL is cracking due to Russia’s skillful diplomacy and strides to create anti-ISIL coalition. The international pressure on the US is growing. Some of the biggest pressure is coming from the EU experiencing an unheard of refugee crisis.
Vladimir Putin coming to speak at the UN General Assembly in a week is also a part of the surprise change in the US position. Generally speaking, Putin’s speech at the UNGA has become quite a phenomenon, acquiring a life of its own before it even happened. Putin hasn’t dropped that bomb on New York yet, but the aftermath of the future event is already bearing consequences. I’ll have more on all the developments this week and next. Stay tuned!
This is an interesting related bit, demonstrating just how successfully Russia has made strides in shaping up a coalition on Syria:
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NEWS & ANNOUNCEMENTS:
The projected release of the New Khazarian Khaganate Earth Shift Report is next week.
I am also working on some new, surprise Earth Shift Reports. One of them will be about the volatile and important situation developing around the Black Sea region, where a new geopolitical faultline is forming. I’ll share the hot intel from Odessa, Pridnestrovie, Moldova, Romania and Turkey. Stay tuned.
As usual, go to LadaRay.info for all Earth Shift Report links.
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