Blog Archives

Catalonia Referendum: Lada Ray Multi-Dimensional Q&A (with Crimea, Scotland, Kurdistan parallels)

In WEBINAR 4: LADA RAY PERIOR 8 PREDICTIONS I was asked whether there will be a defining event during this GREAT EARTH SHIFT, and when. I replied that we are in it — inside THE event, that is. Multi-dimensionally, the Earth Shift isn’t an event, or a series of events, as we are led to believe by the sensationalist 3D MSM, and the so-called alternative press. It is a continuing PROCESS, resulting in a major change. Every country and every individual will continue experiencing this process in their own way, but make no mistake: we all experience it. The difference is those who are conscious, awake and understand my Earth Shift and Multi-Dimensional theories, will know that a crucial event is coming because they have been tuned into the process of the change from the start. Those who are ignorant and asleep will perceive the resulting event as a shocking catastrophe they never saw coming.

In the same WEBINAR 4 I predicted that a wave of secession movements, and conversely, unionist movements, will continue and intensify, and borders of a number of countries will change in the next 5 to 20 years. Some international clubs, country blocks and alliances will disappear or will have to go through a complete overhaul, while some new alliances and new geopolitical affinity groups will either appear or be reborn. They will gain momentum and expand.

It was also explained in WEBINAR 4 that violence, terrorism, the rise of the military and disproportioned use of police force are all trademarks of Period 8. They will continue and intensify till this Period runs its course. Much more was explained in previous Webinar 2 and Webinar 3.

For an example of terrorism and senseless violence look at the latest terrorist attack in Las Vegas, the largest ever such attack on US soil.

Catalonia independence referendum

Catalonia Independence Referendum: Lada Ray’s Multi-Dimensional Q&A

(with Crimea, Scotland, Kurdistan referendum parallels)

Why Catalans voted 90%+ in favor of seceding?

The results of the Catalan Independence Referendum are as follows:

Location CataloniaSpain
Date 1 October 2017
Results
Votes  %
 Yes 2,020,144 91.96%
 No 176,565 8.04%
Valid votes 2,196,709 97.10%
Invalid or blank votes 65,715 2.9%
Total votes 2,262,424 100.00%
Registered voters/turnout 5,313,564 42.58%

Per Catalan authorities, the crackdown and violent actions of Spanish police resulted in 700,000+ votes stolen. Guardia Civil was seen in many cases violently yanking ballot boxes full of votes out of the hands of people who tried to protect them. In other cases documented by international observers, the polling stations were simply blocked by Spanish police and people were unable to vote. The turnout would have been greater if such actions didn’t occur and the free vote did take place.

It was anticipated that the referendum result would be in favor of the Catalan independence. However, such high percentage of favorable votes surprised most. Spanish government caused the vote for independence to skyrocket as a protest against their heavy-handed approach. The more pressure Madrid put on Barcelona, the more the undecided Catalans leaned towards independence.

The result of the Catalan referendum compares to the Crimea and Donbass referendum results, where on average 90%-95% voted to secede from Ukraine. Similar results were achieved in 2006 in Pridnestrovie (95% voted to re-unite with Russia, after prior secession from Moldova) and in Gagauzia autonomy (in 2014 over 90% Gagauzs voted to secede from Moldova IF Moldova stopped being a sovereign state and was absorbed by Romania).

The result of the Catalan referendum is binding, which means Catalonia should begin making steps towards secession from Spain. But not so fast. It won’t be so simple…

I have discussed my prediction on what will happen after Catalan referendum, how it will evolve and how the EU and the world would be influenced by this event, in WEBINAR 5: LADA RAY LIVE VIDEO Q&A. 

Why was there so much violence displayed by Spanish police / Guardia Civil? And related question: why was Madrid government so callous and unyielding about the referendum? 

Ruptly video from Barcelona during Catalan Referendum Oct 1, 2017 – violent police actions (graphic!):

As explained in WEBINAR 4: LADA RAY PERIOR 8 PREDICTIONS, the government interference and armed violence is one of the traits of Period 8. Therefore, we have to expect continued, and in some cases (sorry to say), escalating violence in those countries that chose a violent way.

The Great Earth Shift is changing much of what we used to perceive as a given. Some countries and some governments simply can’t cope with the fast change.

The Spanish Rajoy government is a typical neo-liberal globalist entity. When it has perceived that the familiar and comfortable structures around it have begun disintegrating, the thin surface veneer of ‘democracy’ has fallen off and it lashed out in the most ungracious way.

During this Earth Shift we will continue observing how certain globalist entities and certain ‘leaders’ start losing it, unable to cope with the changes, which they, in their warped worldview, didn’t see coming. Others will forget about the pretend ‘democracy’ they supposedly were a part of, and will tighten their grip on power over their population.

The clearest example of being unable to cope with changes and losing it, with subsequent tightened grip on power without any consideration for the rights nor lives of the people, is Ukraine, including Ukraine’s 2014 coup and subsequent ukro-nazi Kiev junta in power, and an all-out war against the people of Donbass.

Why wasn’t there violence during Scottish referendum?

But what about the truly democratic and developed Western European countries, you may ask. What about UK’s amicable behavior during Scottish independence referendum? After all, London hasn’t lashed out at Scotland; no national guard nor violence was observed.

First, let me just say that London’s measured behavior during Scottish referendum was admirable and mature and it stood in stark contrast to the behavior of Kiev, Madrid or Ankara in similar circumstances. However, that said, there is a very good reason for that — make it three reasons!

1. UK, in its many years of experience of manipulating the world into wars, without actually truly participating in them, and many years of colonizing other countries where regimes were installed and quietly manipulated behind the scenes, has developed a very good system of quiet persuasion and geopolitical/economic manipulation. They are a lot more adept at how to do it behind the scenes and without violence.

2. Between us, I seriously believe that London knew the Scottish independence bid would fail, and therefore, they really could afford to play it cool. They knew the vote would be divided. All that was needed to be done was to apply some very subtle pressure here and there.

Catalonia is completely different that way. It was clear that the majority would vote for secession, and Spanish government simply saw no way of persuading Catalans otherwise. As a consequence, they simply lost it.

3. After the Catalan vote, there is renewed talk of a new Scottish independence referendum. Even if it succeeds, UK will continue trying to subtly delay and influence the situation in such a way as to make the secession a very remote prospect, or to make it legitimate on paper only. Just observe what is happening with Brexit — how seemingly slow it is, and who knows if it really is happening or not. Exactly as I predicted in Special Predictions Video ESR 12 THE FUTURE OF THE EU (BREXIT, TTIP/TPP & EU revolts). 

That said, London may lose it too, should Scotland challenge it too openly. So far it’s not happening, and I don’t see it as high probability as Scottish politicians are treading very softly. For the sake of all UK citizens, I hope Ukraine and Catalonia lessons have been learned and violence can be avoided.

I can tell you that the vast majority of Russians, looking across the border and observing Ukraine madness, have determined that they choose the opposite: peace, unity and stability.

Another interesting detail is that Scotland is also quietly negotiating with the EU to be accepted as a member instead of UK, which technically could favor the secession vote. This is yet another reason my prediction from ESR12 THE FUTURE OF THE EU that it will take years for Brexit to take place, if at all, is being confirmed. London will attempt to delay its rift with EU in order to keep Scotland on board.

Why Spanish government refuses to recognize the Catalan referendum

The Spanish government can’t possibly recognize the Catalan vote. It would mean losing the richest and best-to-do part of the country, 20-25% of Spanish economy, 1/3 of all foreign investments and 1/3 of all exports.

Catalans believe they are getting an unfair shake when they get less back from Madrid than they contribute to the country’s economy. Without Barcelona, Spain will simply become a much diminished and significantly poorer state.

Meanwhile, economically speaking, Catalonia may also lose out from independence. EU already warned that independent Catalonia may not be accepted as a separate member of the EU, since Spain — an EU member — would never agree to that. Without this, Catalonia won’t enjoy free trade perks other EU members do, thus increasing the cost of exports.

But not all is measured in terms of money and economy. As I predicted since 2014, in Period 8 and during the Great Earth Shift, economy is secondary to geopolitics and social change.

As discussed in WEBINAR 4, this is the time of secessions, referendums and changing borders. Period 8 and the Earth Shift will see to it: everything not fastened well will be swept away, anything that’s rotting will be demolished, and new, better, stronger and healthier structures will emerge.

A few facts: Catalonia was the first to ban the cruel and inhumane bull fights, while the rest of Spain is lagging. Spain is a monarchy, while Catalans are much more progressive and they want to be a republic. Catalans have a history of standing up against regimes. During the 1930s Spanish Civil War Barcelona was the last hold-out of the Spanish Republic, while the rest of Spain succumbed to Franco.

Why did local police and firemen try to protect the voters? 

When local Catalan police and firemen realized that Spanish Guardia Civil was attacking people and not letting them cast their vote, many of them stood with their people, protecting them from the armed Spanish police. As a result some of the local police and firemen were injured, others were seen on camera conflicted, crying and hiding their faces while Catalans lauded and thanked them.

This is understandable. These civil servants gave an oath to the Madrid government, however their conscience didn’t allow them to stand idle when civilians were being attacked and prevented from casting their democratic vote. For many of them it was a huge emotional drama and a huge inner conflict.

In Catalonia we just saw a demo of a rift between two sides of the armed forces, civil servants and police, which we may observe in other countries as well as the Earth Shift unfolds. Some local civil servants may choose to defend the population from central government’s aggression, therefore fulfilling their true duty, while others will choose to obey undemocratic orders and attack unarmed civilians. This rift is bound to occur in those countries that have chosen a violent way.

Mass celebrations in Barcelona, following referendum:

Striking parallels with Crimea, Donbass and Ukraine

We have seen this unfold in Ukraine since 2014 in the most striking manner. In the case of Ukraine the divisions were very clear from the start. Many of those in the armed forces and police who were against the junta resigned or took the side of the people. Many had been killed as a result. Some defected and joined Donbass self-defence.

Crimea demonstrated an even more decisive and striking division. Out of 20,000 Ukrainian troops stationed on the Crimean peninsula as of March 2014, only 10% or 2,000 chose to move back to Ukraine after Crimean independence referendum, followed by Crimea re-joining Russia. The rest chose to join the Russian Army and Navy and stay in Crimea, demonstrating very clearly where their allegiances really were. That included the supreme commander of the Ukraine Navy and almost all higher officers. Moreover, some of those who initially moved back to Ukraine with their families, want to return to Crimea.

Of course, the Crimean situation is absolutely unique in world history: during the entire referendum and the passage of control over to Russia there was no violence and no fire was exchanged between two armies. All Ukrainian military who wanted to move back to Ukraine were given free passage, and even allowed to take with them their tanks, ships and jets. In truth, Russians simply didn’t want all that junk. 😉

Notably, there were only two shots fired, which killed one person on the Ukraine army side and a Cossack volunteer on the Russian side. The shots were fired by a sniper, who, per color revolution manual, was attempting to create violence and mutual blame between sides. That attempt failed as the peaceful referendum and orderly withdrawal of Ukraine troops continued.

In Barcelona we saw what would have happen in Crimea, if Russian Army and Navy didn’t ensure that the democratic right of citizens to cast their vote was protected. But multiply that by thousands. There are reports that in Catalonia 2 or 3 people died, and over 840 were injured as a result of Guardia Civil crackdown. In Crimea the result would have been incomparably more devastating, if Russia didn’t step in on time. We are talking thousands of deaths — and that’s before Kiev would have begun shelling civilians from heavy artillery. The war against Donbass civilians is proving what Kiev junta is capable of.

The Kurdish referendum is yet another example of the same. There are at least 40 million Kurds in the Middle East. They are divided between 4 countries and are considered the largest ethnicity without a country on the planet.

As expected, during the September 25, 2017 referendum the vast majority of Kurds voted for independence from Iraq. However, practically speaking this is impossible, short of an all-out civil war. At this time, no great powers are interested in a new civil war in Iraq. What is likely to happen is that Kurds in all four countries will use the results of the referendum to bargain for better deals with respective central governments. Syria’s Assad, with the urging by Russia, already announced that he would be willing to grant Syrian Kurds a broad autonomy. Turkish Erdogan is so far unyielding. Iraq government will definitely be negotiating with the Kurds. As a result, Kurds will live in a de-facto separate state, keeping all or most their oil profits, but within Iraq. This will be the case for at least several more years. After that, more changes are coming and the world map will be very different from what we’ve known.

Also, an interesting thing to note about the Kurdish referendum is this: what on the surface seems like a secession movement is in fact a unionist movement! In this case, the four divided parts of the Kurdish population strive to reunite. In that, the Kurdish referendum is completely different from Catalonia or Scottish referendums. At the same time, it bears a striking similarity to the secession-unionist movements of Crimea (the most successful so far), Donbass, Pridnestrovie, S. Ossetia, Abkhazia and Gagauzia. In all cases, these parts of ex-Soviet republics wanted to secede in order to re-unite with Russia.

We have touched upon the nature of secession and unionist movements during Earth Shift Webinar 5: LADA RAY LIVE VIDEO Q&A.

Click to donate and watch full Earth Shift Webinar 5: LADA RAY LIVE Q&A!

RECORDED1 LR Q&A

 

​The full picture can be gained through watching/listening to:

THREE WEBINAR SERIES  (save $56)
(ESW2: INVERTED COLLAPSE; ESW3 THE FUTURE OF MONEY; ESW4 LADA RAY PERIOD 8 PREDICTIONS) 

You can also order separate webinars and listen at your convenience!

LADA RAY PRIVATE CONSULTATION SERVICES: CONSULTATIONS

ALL EARTH SHIFT & MULTI-DIMENSIONAL INFO & REPORTS: LADARAY.COM

 

Related:

Video: Guardia Civil brutality forces Catalan police into emotional standoff to protect civilians

Spain would lose a fifth of economy if Catalonia breaks away

Deafening silence: EU must condemn Spain’s Catalonia crackdown

Catalonian independence vote reignites Scotland’s call for UK split

Ballot box seizures, crying cops & beaten firefighters: Catalonia vote in 10 groundbreaking videos

 

 POLICE VIOLENCE IN CATALONIA | CARGAS POLICIALES VIOLENTAS
Al Jazeera English

Catalonia Referendum: Firefighters sacrifice themselves as human shields to protect people

Advertisements

Analysis and Predictions: Battleground Moldova – November 30, 2014 Elections

Dear readers, as you know, I have started a new and very promising PROJECT EARTH SHIFT and a new series of videos on Lada Ray Channel on YouTube. I just published two first videos and articles: 1. Universal Scale of Consciousness (life-diminishing calibrations) and 2. Universal Scale of Consciousness (life-affirming/ life-creating calibrations). Please make sure you watch my videos and read my articles as they will help you tremendously in understanding how the world in which we live works!

This is a revolutionary and very important work. Please support it!

Subscribe to Lada Ray on YouTube.

Watch latest Project Earth Shift videos. 

Please remember to like and comment on my articles and videos!

********

Now, to the trending topic: Battleground Moldova – November 30, 2014 Elections 

Latest updates from Moldova and Pridnestrovie will be posted here as they come up. Eventually, I may create a separate EARTH SHIFT REPORT about Moldova and Pridnestrovie on LadaRay.info (Remember this site! All future EARTH SHIFT REPORTS will appear there, and all present ones will be transferred to it eventually!). My original article, Battleground Moldova, together with analysis and predictions, appears below updates!

12/8/14 update

Link: Igor Dodon, leader of Socialists – majority election winner – says: the first motion by Socialists in the new parliament will be to annul the harmful EU association agreement. Also, Socialists, Communists and CU Block are disputing election results in court due to the fact that 1/3 of Moldavian voters residing as guest workers in Russia  were denied their constitutional right to vote. Dodon and others predicts social unrest in the country unless re-voting happens.

In the above video at 4:00 local village people talk about how their children who work in Russia send them money. $1.5 bln sent home by Moldavians in Russia allow many in local villages to survive. “For us, Russia is like air.” “We don’t want NATO here. Let them have it in the US. We want to live in Moldova, our country, not in the US.”

At 4:38 – footage of the April, 2009 Kiev-style maidan in capital Kishinev, Moldova, in which then government of Vladimir Voronin (Moldavian version of Yanukovich) was overturned and pro-EU forces came to power. Later, the investigation revealed that violence and pogroms you are seeing on video footage above were executed by 200 militants that arrived from Romania. These 200 thugs turned out to be officers of Romanian special forces. Another 100 thugs arrived to Kishinev from Vinnitsa, central Ukraine, by personal order of then PM Yulia Tymoshenko (Ukraine Orange revolution leader together with CIA asset Viktor Yushenko).

In today’s Ukraine, the agrarian Vinnitsa region in central Ukraine, boasts huge numbers of angry, under-educated and unemployed young men due to the county’s catastrophically ruined economy. Vinnitsa is one of the biggest viper’s nests and sources of violent ukro-nazis for the battalions that ship to Donbass in order to kill innocent civilians. During the bloody burning of people alive on Odessa’s Kulikovo Polie on May 2, 2014, 2,000 ukro-nazi thugs from Vinnitsa descended on the peaceful city of Odessa. They threatened local citizens and usurped the city. At midnight they conducted Hitler-style midnight torch marches, while screaming nazi slogans. Moldova 2009, just like Ukraine 2014, are both typical color revolutions, BOTH masterminded by CIA/US/EU and executed by especially trained international terrorists ready to kill and torture.

Link: Shelin (CU Party leader) talks about falsifications, carousel voting, inability of Moldavians in Russia to vote, 6000 written citizen protests that were thrown out by Kishinev government, etc. Customs Union block disputes election results saying citizens have been duped. Customs Union Block failed to pass the 9% barrier (this is the first time my prediction didn’t come true, due to the denial of voting rights to 1/3 of the voters – read below. Election results are being disputed in court and may not stand. My prediction about CU Block getting into parliament may still materialize if elections are annulled.)

On the other hand, pro-Customs Union Socialists received majority. However, not enough to form a government. Socialists were planning on forming a coalition with the Patria party of Renato Usaty, however, Patria party was banned from elections — illegal move by ruling pro-EU coalition consisting of 3 neo-liberal parties, designed to block Socialists from the possibility of forming a government.

And their scheme succeeded as said 3 pro-EU parties, each of which trailed individually, together received just a few percentage points more than pro-CU forces. They will again form a government, leaving the majority party of Socialists in opposition together with Communists (just like before).

Overall, as I say below in predictions, the situation between pro-EU and pro-CU forces is near equal, creating that uneasy equilibrium I talk about, which will persist. Read more in predictions below for a full picture.

12/1/14 update

#moldovaelections First election results in! Pro-Russia and pro-Customs Union #Moldova socialists with leader #Dodon are in the lead. Communists, who used to be the No. 1 party in Moldova (read more about that below) are second. Three pro-EU neo-liberal parties that form present coalition government are trailing behind!

11/30/14 update

Blatant disregard for citizens’ rights, and next to Ukraine, the most anti-democratic elections in recent history!

Fresh info from Moscow: Moldova opened only one polling station for entire Moscow, where most of the 750,000 Moldavian guest workers in Russia reside. Video link – look what is happening at that polling station! 6 thousand people standing in line in the cold; Moscow authorities had to blockade and divert traffic on Kuznetsky Most – one of the central Moscow streets. 1000 policemen had to be brought in to maintain order – but people behaved very orderly, no scandals or disorderly behavior. Everyone in line is angry at Moldovan government for preventing them from voting. Only 5 polling stations were opened for the entire Russia. Meanwhile, in the EU, where less than 300,000 Moldavian workers reside, 125 polling stations were opened.

According to this, earlier update from Moscow, 15,000 people gathered during the day by the Moldavian embassy on Kuznetsky Most in Moscow, trying to vote. The gathering turned into a real protest with people chanting ‘Rossiya’ (Russia) and demanding the right to vote. According to report, Moldova’s government allocated only 3,000 ballots to this (main) voting station!!! Video link.

*******

Trending: #moldovaelections

Great and timely question by one of my readers about Moldova:

Eric8h: ‘Lada,….great blog! My I ask please what your thoughts are on the upcoming Moldova elections. From afar it looks like the authorities are using all the crooked tricks (with EU backing) to fix the election. Yesterday’s news about the ban reaffirmed that to me. It also seems to me that if enough of the Moldovans in Moscow vote over there……then the pro-Russia side should win. Any thoughts?’
*******
Lada says:
Eric is correct, the Moldovan pro-EU coalition government is using all kinds of ‘crooked tricks’ to hang on to power. He is also correct that if 750,000 voting age Moldavian guest workers residing in Russia (with their families in Moldova, well over 50% of the electorate) were allowed to exercise their democratic right to vote, they would have completely changed the Moldavian political landscape. The pro-Customs Union/pro-Russia forces would be guaranteed to win these elections.  

Moldova is the poorest and one of the smallest countries of Europe. Moldova is also a new geopolitical battleground. The November 30, 2014 Moldovan parliamentary elections promise to be the beginning of a shift. The pro-EU coalition government is doing everything to remain in power, dragging Moldova kicking and screaming into the EU, and into the absorption by Romania. The means used to hang on to power at all cost are openly anti-democratic and illegal. Meanwhile, according to various polls, the majority of Moldavians are pro-Customs Union with Russia.

To many Moldavians this is the issue of livelihood and even life and death, in addition to any cultural preferences, traditions, and the Russian language many speak at home. In this regard, Moldavia is very much like Ukraine. It is literally a suicide for Moldova to cozy up to the EU when almost all of its trade is with Russia and other countries of the Customs Union and when 750,000 of its citizens are guest workers in Russia. These guest workers, who may be deported back to Moldova should it make further overtures towards the EU, add a huge chunk to Moldova’s GDP by sending their earnings home to support their families.

The most prosperous and industrialized part of then Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic, Pridnestrovie (or Transnistria), has seceded in 1992 because the people wanted to keep speaking Russian. Another area of Moldova, the Gagauzia autonomy, recently had a referendum in which over 95% of the population also promised to secede and join Customs Union independently if Moldova keeps moving towards EU and away from Russia. The Russian-speaking north may also secede should the pro-EU momentum not be reversed.

Knowing they are on shaky ground, current pro-EU government uses openly anti-democratic methods to stifle the voice of the people. The party Patria (Motherland) of Renato Usaty has just been banned from participating in the November 30 elections. The new coalition Moldova’s Choice – Customs Union isn’t allowed on TV and kept away from TV debates. In the info vacuum many citizens may not know what voting choices they have.

The most egregious anti-democratic action of the Moldova’s government is the denial of the right to vote to the vast majority of Moldavians living and working in Russia. There are 750,000 Moldavians in Moscow and other cities. The government in Kishinev only agreed to open 5 polling stations with capacity of 4,000 voters each. This happened despite protests, polls and insistence by citizens and the Customs Union block, who demanded 200 polling station to satisfy the need. Obviously the authorities know they will definitely lose if all Moldovans working in Russia, who remain mass supporters of the shaky Moldavian economy and huge contributors to its GDP, are allowed to vote.

According to Renato Usaty, leader of the banned Patria party, Moldova government is sending only 15,000 voting ballots to Russia, which means 735,000 voters are denied the right to vote. In the EU Moldova is opening 95 voting stations (with 300-350,000 Moldavians living there) vs. only 5 voting stations in Russia where 750,000 Moldavians reside. Further, according to Usaty, polls show that 3 pro-EU parties presently forming government coalition only get 35% of support: video link. This effectively means that the ruling coalition will not be able to hang on to power unless the democratic vote is manipulated.

Predictions:

Moldova’s tide is turning. People of Moldova don’t want the violent Ukraine/ Donbass war scenario, but they also start seing that the path towards the EU is a suicide. Only the oligarchs and the ruling political class will benefit – the country at large will lose.

As a result of these elections the new force, which is in favor of the Customs Union with Russia, will enter the parliament to serve as a counterweight to pro-EU coalition. I predict this new political force, including Socialists and those who side with them, such as Customs Union party of Topolnitsky and Gagauz Party of the Regions with Formuzal, will have a surprisingly good showing and will gain between 15% and 20% of votes. For most, it will be especially surprising considering the info blockade and blocking of the voters abroad.

Communist Party, which is communist in name only, is the largest and oldest party in Moldova. Many vote for it specifically because they mistakenly think it’s pro-Russian. Same confusion happened with Yanukovich and Party of the Regions in Ukraine, until they showed their true colors.

Communists, through their head Vladimir Voronin, have recently re-affirmed on public TV their pro-EU position. As I discussed in my earlier article and video (see links below), it appears Voronin has been threatened/ blackmailed by the West to toe the line. It appears the CIA presented Voronin with an undeniable proof of his son’s guilt in crimes committed in the US. Voronin Jr. resides in the USA. His daddy was told to support the EU integration of Moldova if he doesn’t want his son in jail.

It also appears that Voronin’s substantial personal wealth allegedly stored in the EU and/or US-dependent offshores, was also threatened unless the Communist party expresses a pro-EU position. As I said, these are communists in name only.

Voronin used to be the president of Moldova until mid-2000, when he was overturned in a very similar to Ukraine, albeit less violent, color revolution. He was replaced with the present pro-EU, pro-Romania (which in Moldavian terms means they are anti-Moldavian sovereignty) coalition of Western-educated neo-liberals. To this day, about 40% of voters still vote for communists. Each of the three pro-EU parties in power has between 10 and 20 percent of votes, but together they are able to have a slight majority, thus putting the direct majority communists in opposition.

Communists still hold a lot of sway and can influence the vote. From this it is clear how important it was for the West to threaten and compromise Voronin. Voronin proved to be as weak and flimsy a leader as Yanukovich. He put his personal interests above the interests of his country. The result – as expected.

As an afterthought, Voronin hopes to return one day as president of the country. It is very possible that by siding with pro-EU forces he is also positioning himself as a lesser evil. If pro-Russian forces can’t get the majority in the next several years, people may opt to vote for a lesser evil, Voronin – at least this is his thinking. In fact, Voronin isn’t a lesser evil. In order to return to presidency he is ready to sell out his country.

Still, once in the parliament, the Customs Union Block together with other forces, such as Dodon and his Socialists, and certain Communists who’ll vote pro-Customs Union, will be able to serve as a good counterweight to the pro-EU coalition in power. The biggest obstacle the above-described pro-Customs Union forces have is that they are unable to agree on a coalition due to rivalry and mutual disagreements. Seemingly, socialists, communists and the Customs Union Block would make a natural alliance. But as it stands now, they blame each other for mistakes and inconsistencies, sometimes rightly. Taking advantage of these rivalries, pro-EU parties are able to push their agenda through almost without a hitch. Truly, united we stand, divided we fall. Food for thought for the pro-Customs Union forces of Moldova!

Incidentally, banning Patria with Renato Usaty from running seems to be directed against Dodon and pro-Customs Union socialists, who were planning on forming a parliamentary coalition together with Usaty.

All the above notwithstanding, there is a possibility of a loose coalition between anti-EU forces once election results become clear. After the elections it will be extremely important for the Customs Union Block to continue expanding their momentum and influence – this, in fact, is paramount for the success of the Pro-EAU movement in later elections.

My advice: It would have been much better if Voronin stepped down as the leader of communists, since he is a compromised figure, thus stifling the development of his party and diluting voter trust. However, his lust for power won’t allow him to do the right thing, and no one in his party is likely to challenge his authority.

Prediction: for the next couple of years, the compromised Voronin and communists will serve as a dead weight and a brake on the promising development of the pro-Customs Union/ pro-EAU forces in Moldova. Unless and until there is an internal revolution (literally) within the Communist party (which is unlikely so far), the best strategy for other pro-EAU forces is to take away as many votes from the communists as possible. Those who traditionally vote communist (and that’s about 40% of voters in the country!) need to be convinced that the future is with the Customs Union Block and with Socialists instead. These forces should also leave their differences behind and unite.

Incidentally, the analysis and conclusions presented in this article is something you won’t hear in Moldova, nor from Western MSM, nor from Russian analysts. This article constitutes my original analysis and predictions based on my own info and observations.

The above dynamics will establish an uneasy equilibrium in the country for a period. This equilibrium will last until more people start leaning and voting anti-EU. At that point the struggle between opposing forces will intensify and the game will change, likely becoming more violent. However, considering Moldavians are terrified of the violent Ukrainian scenario next door, there is a good probability the overt violence may be prevented. So far it’s been peaceful, at least physically. The political and social fights will continue being intense, dirty and gloves off.

Moldova will be in an undecided state for a couple of years, until the scale is tipped irreversibly towards Eurasian Union. Incidentally, these two neighbors – Moldova and Ukraine – will look at each other and compare each other’s notes in regards to their decision to join the Customs Union, or rather Eurasian Union. The decision to join EAU will happen for both anywhere between 2016 and 2018, as I said in PREDICTIONS. For Moldova it will be around 2017 or 2018.

Joining EAU is unavoidable. But it will only happen when USA is weakened sufficiently so it cannot dictate any more.

Incidentally, joining EAU is the only way for the breakaway People’s Republic of Pridnestrovie (Transnistria) and Moldova to again become friends.

Some borders (including with Romania) may be revised as a result of all these processes. This will start happening towards the end of this decade and into the next. However, this may not be that big of an issue. It is likely that Romania, along with some other Eastern/Central European countries, in the next decade may become a member of Eurasian Union as well – at least an associate member.

Read/watch my related articles and videos: 

Moldova Explosion Coming 2: Coalition “Moldova’s Choice-Customs Union”

FREE Earth Shift Report 2: Ukraine, Russia and Falsified History (there is some about Moldova here as well)

ORIGINAL – very comprehensive and interesting post and video! LadaRayLive: Explosion Coming! Moldova/Transnistria – Eurasian Union vs EU

Support Lada’s work

Moldova Explosion Coming 2: Coalition “Moldova’s Choice-Customs Union”

TransnistrianRegionMap

Background

Moldova is a small country in the south-western part of the post-Soviet space, just west of Odessa, populated with simple and friendly people. I grew up in Odessa, while my relatives lived in Bendery (now the de-facto independent Pridnestrovie) and Kishinev (the capital of Moldova), therefore I am intimately familiar with those parts.

Moldova is considered the poorest country of Europe. Out of 3.6 mln population 1 million works abroad; 700,000 or more of these, in Russia.

In 1991-93 the wealthiest and most industrialized part of then Moldova (aka, Moldavia), Pridnestrovie: full name Pridnestrovskaya Moldavskaya Respublica, or PMR (Western name: Transnistria), seceded after Kishinev Moldovan government announced they wanted to become a part of Romania.

Notice, Pridnestrovie kept ‘Moldavia’ as part of the break-away republic’s full name, therefore declaring that they are not against Moldova, as many Moldovan nationalists make them out to be in order create hatred and division in society. In fact, the tiny Pridnestrovie with 500,000 population, has THREE official state languages: Russian, Ukrainian and Moldavian. Just like Crimean autonomy, with 2 million people, which has recently adopted 3 state languages as well: Russian, Ukrainian and Tatar. Compare that to Ukraine and Moldova with only Ukrainian and Moldovan as state languages respectively, despite the fact that 50-70% of the population (or more, in Ukraine’s case) speak Russian and despite popular protest. No comment needed…

Back in 1993, after a short but brutal war, Russian peacekeeping contingent was stationed in Pridnestrovie based on the official UN mandate, and only that stopped the civil war.

Should the Donbass people today be so lucky, the Russian peacekeeping contingent would have stopped today’s war in Donbass as well. But ever since 1993, the UN fell completely under the US thumb, so this is not an option at this time for the long-suffering E.Ukraine (Novorossia). However, just a heads up – my intel says that this may eventually change!

During Soviet times, Moldova, or Moldavskaya Sovetskaya Sotsialisticheskaya Respublica, was in mint condition due to constant infusions of resources by the Russian Federation – the same thing that happened in Ukraine and other Soviet republics. Brezhnev had a soft spot for Moldova as he worked there at one point. Originally Brezhnev was from Ukraine, and he heavily invested in Ukraine as well. The same story goes for ALL 14 republics, including in large part Georgia, Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania, who took Russian resources gladly for many years, but who are now so keen on complaining about how ‘Russians oppressed them.’

Soon, I will have a new free EARTH SHIFT Report 2: The Roots of Anti-Russian Hatred in Ukraine, which will go into more detail about how it worked.

I also have a soft spot for both Moldova and Pridnestrovie, having spent many summers there as a child. I think these are lovely parts, although many others in Russia looked down on Moldavia, thinking it agricultural, simple and unimportant. Me – since I was about 5, I was convinced it was highly underrated. And incidentally, the mentality in Russia is changing, too. What can I say, I am always ahead of my time ;), which is more often a curse rather than a blessing…

In those days all Russians, Ukrainians, Moldavians, Turks, Gagauzs, Bolgarians, Greeks and everyone else, lived in peace not only in Moldavia and Ukraine, but everywhere else in Eurasia. One day, peace will reign again. Read the rest of this entry

%d bloggers like this: