A very admirable sentiment from #POTUS Donald Trump that peace needs to be made between Russia /Donbass and Ukraine. I couldn’t agree more. Looks like Trump is on his way to make good on his campaign intention, and according to my predictions here and also here.
USA wants to slowly and secretly distance itself from Ukraine, while attempting to save face. What a bummer for Obama and his handlers, after all their efforts to the contrary!
This alone was enough to cause a major Internet storm. But it gets better!
Notice one crucial difference between two photos, the difference that made the Kiev junta very upset?
Is it that Trump thought it was too much trouble to get up for Ukraine FM Klimkin? Is Klimkin bending, as if receiving orders from the big boss?
Feel the difference…
WHY TRUMP MET WITH LAVROV
Foreign Ministries of Russia and US are preparing the first meeting between Trump and Putin, which most likely will take place during the upcoming G20 in Germany. Several countries competed to host the first Trump – Putin meeting, including Finland, Germany and Austria. Obama admin purposely left much baggage behind in Russia-US relations so to complicate as much as possible the first steps of Trump admin. That baggage first needs to be sorted out, before the meeting can take place.
This is one of the reasons Angela Merkel flew to Sochi to see Putin on May 2, after she saw Trump: to sort through the past, get a firm confirmation that the historic meeting will indeed take place and see if she could get more indication on its terms.
Merkel also came to bring to Putin that proverbial olive branch. After all, she will stand for re-election later this year. In her mind it’s time to mend relations with Russia, but not because she means it. No – in order to ensure that the new US and EU bogeyman, ‘the Russian hackers,’ won’t ‘interfere’ in German elections.
Following Tillerson Moscow visit, Lavrov was in DC also to begin shaping up the terms and tone of the US-Russia relations for the upcoming Trump years. This, of course, includes Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, and Ukraine.
Lately, US has been excluded from various global decisions and forums, such as the Minsk forum on Ukraine or the Astana forum on Syria and Middle East. The latest is the exclusion of the US from the big China summit.
Russia has offered US some face-saving good deals on participation in Syria, albeit a very controlled participation. US is also concerned that Russian influence in Afghanistan and Iraq is increasing, while USA’s is waning. That has also factored into negotiations. As I predicted all along, per the Kissinger Plan, in exchange, US will need to slowly withdraw from Ukraine, Moldova and some other Eurasian areas (learn all about it in Lada Ray Webinar below!).
Recommended Webinar, ESR and articles to gain a full picture and to familiarize yourself with Lada Ray predictions:
WHY TRUMP MET WITH UKRAINE’S KLIMKIN
The entire Kiev junta, including Poroshenko, MSM, high level officials and politicians rooted for Hillary and mocked Trump during his campaign. Poroshenko personally initiated a scandal as a result of which Trump had to fire his campaign manager last August. After Trump won, Poroshenko and entire Kiev establishment promptly flip-flopped and began kissing Trump’s behind. I am NOT exaggerating – if anything, I am toning it down!
The latest intel: Washington lobbyists were paid $400,000 to make sure Klimkin is allowed in Trump’s presence. The audience lasted 6 minutes. During it, Trump merely uttered that ‘Minsk agreements have to be fulfilled and Ukraine has to make up with neighbors.’ That was the end of the meeting.
P.S. Latest: the $400,000 lobbyist fee was put up for Ukraine by… Canada.
So, why did Trump agree to receive Klimkin? It’s 2-fold:
1. To appease Russia-hating MSM, hawks in Congress and all over US, who’d immediately jump on it: why is he talking to Lavrov, but not to Ukraine FM?
2. To deliver the message, understood by those who need to understand it: US is preparing to disengage from Ukraine. And if Kiev doesn’t want to be left entirely in the cold, it needs to toe the line and fulfil the unfulfillable Minsk agreements.
In fact, a proof of the slow unraveling of the disastrous US – Ukraine entanglement is already here: US Congress voted to slash American financing of Ukraine, including military financing, by 70%. As a special provision, the document stipulates that whatever financing will still be provided, it cannot be used to finance the regiment Azov and other ukro-nazi ragiments and battalions. The slow squeezing of the hard-core Ukraine Nazis and radicals has begun.
This is only the beginning – more to come between 2017 and 2018!
Don’t miss! A very interesting discussion continues in COMMENTS!
To read comprehensive analysis on Ukraine and Novorossia GO TO ALL EARTH SHIFT REPORTS.
- Treason! Poroshenko son spotted proudly sporting ‘Russia’ T-shirt
- Proof Ukraine turned into Terrorist Fascist State: Kiev #ImmortalRegiment parade attacked
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#VictoryDay special 2. A huge crowd gathered to hear the Russian songs of victory and peace in the center of Berlin. This rare event happened on May 7, 2017. Performance by The Turetsky Choir and the Soprano of Turetsky. Many beautiful songs, including Katyusha and others. Awesome voices.
The 2017 event has recreated to a minute detail the legendary Red Army Choir Berlin performances of 1945, 1948 and 1960s. Notice people sitting on steps and on top of structures – just like in 1940s.
Legendary Red Army Choir performances in Berlin, 1945, 1948 and 1960s
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HAPPY VICTORY DAY – MAY 9!
Stay tuned for more Victory Day goodies on May 9 2017
FIND ALL ARCHIVED VICTORY DAY POSTS: WWII & Great Victory
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Lada here. Thanks and big thumbs up to all those brave pioneers who boldly entered the unchartered territory of the first Live Lada Ray Webinar experience on Sunday, February 4, 2017! 😉 We appreciate your support!
Almost 90 people signed up for the live event. I thought it was a terrific first live webinar, with lots of interesting intel, predictions and more, revealed! In Part 2 we had a very extensive Q&A that went well beyond the topic of the webinar (below you can read the highlights and a list of live questions Lada answered in Part 2).
To improve our future webinar experience and to get rid of those pesky little glitches that a few of you may have experienced (yes, we’ve already emailed you, and we’ll continue looking into that), we will be sending out the feedback questionnaire in a couple of days. Please consider filling it out for us: it’ll help tremendously with future events.
We are also getting a lot of people who were unable to attend the live event, but who have been purchasing the webinar after. A heartfelt WELCOME to all of you! The webinar is now live on LadaRay.com. It is available for purchase on the WEBINARS page.
LIVE LADA RAY WEBINAR 1
Lada Ray Exclusive Trendcast & Predictions for the next 3-4 years. USA, Russia, EU, Ukraine, Syria, Middle East, more. The secret Kissinger plan, how it confirms the ongoing Earth Shift, and how Lada sees the outcome. Extensive live Q&A, with Lada’s answers going well beyond these topics!
Impartial, non-partisan truth and spot-on predictions.
Donald Trump is very important for the Earth Shift and next several years of geopolitical development!
All live participants and all those who purchased the webinar on Sunday (after the event) have been emailed the direct link (URL) to the NEW webinar page around 1 pm EST on Monday! If you don’t see our email, please make sure you check your SPAM folder!
Everyone else: once you’ve paid, you’ll be directed straight to the NEW webinar page!
The Webinar is now live in all formats: MP4 video, MP3, plus written outline!
Excellent News: the recording quality is superb and much louder! You’ll be very pleased with how MP4 came out, complete with lots of great images! We’ve also edited it for additional clarity. Live Webinar lasted 3 hours and 10 minutes. After editing, the total recorded webinar time is just under 3 hours.
You get: MP4 video + MP3 audio, plus bonus: Lada Ray’s written 4 thousand word webinar outline!
Total webinar time: PART 1: 1 hr 26 min & PART 2: 1 hr 32 min
The format is much like that of Earth Shift Reports! As always, please be sure to BOOKMARK THE WEBINAR ACCESS PAGE or SAVE URL, in order to have continued access later! Instructions & customer service email included on webinar page! Also (as you always did with Earth Shift Reports), please disable your pop-up blocker!
EXTENSIVE WEBINAR OUTLINE IS INCLUDED WITH YOUR PURCHASE!
Here are a few outline highlights, including the Part 2 Q&A!
(The outline helps those who like to read, or who want to quickly reference various points. This is not a substitute for the webinar – we have discussed much more than covered in the outline!)
First 10 days in office. Why did Trump make so many decisive moves and pronouncements so early in the term? The risk of assassination or impeachment. Trump’s support base.
Examples of how Trump is put in a ‘straight jacket.’ What Trump can and cannot do.
New State Dept Secretary Rex Tillerson as an example.
Trump’s importance for the Earth Shift and his example for the upcoming EU shift.
Prediction on whether Germany’s Angela Merkel will be re-elected for the fourth term. Also, French elections prediction. NOTE, THESE ARE PRELIMINARY PREDICTIONS – I’LL HAVE UPDATES LATER IN THE YEAR!
Ukraine and Eurasia – can US and Russia work together, and what to expect from Trump. Big changes re. Ukraine coming – when?
Syria, war on terror, ISIS and Middle East – new cooperation between Russia and US possible?
Russia-China-US triangle and the Kissinger plan. The New Silk Road and China’s conundrum. How will Russia behave? Historic parallels: Kissinger’s role during Nixon administration.
Lada Ray predictions: Will anti-Russian sanctions be taken off? Do Russians want sanctions off? What can Trump offer Russia? Russian strategy and responses?
Much more in PART 1!
Many great questions arrived before, during and after live webinar from our LIVE participants. We answered as many as possible during the webinar. We have decided that we’ll answer additional questions we were unable to cover, in the future videos. We’ll post these videos FREE on Lada Ray YouTube, for everyone’s benefit; best and most interesting questions will be chosen. Expect first videos appearing towards the end of this week! Links to be posted on FT, and on your private Trump Webinar page – check back in a week or so!
Here are some of the Q&A highlights:
1. Real reason Melania Trump doesn’t want to move to the White House
2. Will Trump survive his first term? Lada Ray predictions, Trump timeline and how it may have changed due to some early actions by Trump.
3. Quantum Calibrations for: Donald Trump, Rex Tillerson, VP Mike Pence, USA as a whole, Russia as a whole, US-Russia relations.
Other questions Lada answered include:
1. Underpopulated Russia and overpopulated China: the risks. Chinese nukes near Russian borders. Russia-China cooperation and joint development of the Far East and Siberia.
2. The shift in Russia-Japan relations and Japan-US relations. Will Trump remove the US military base from Okinawa?
3. Was the Japanese earthquake and tsunami that led to Fukushima a natural disaster, or was it deliberately orchestrated by the globalists? How was it done? What Lada sees.
4. Where it’s best to live in Russia. Emigration from the US to Crimea and Stavropol. Best cities to live in Russia.
5. Israel-Palestine conflict – who’s to blame? How will Trump approach relations with Israel? Shift in US-Israel and Russia-Israel relations.
6. US, Russia, Iran, Israel, Syria, the Middle East – what to expect? How the US is losing its grip on the Middle East.
7. Will Trump authorize the disclosure about aliens? Will Trump authorize the 9/11 truth disclosure? (Here we go into the 3D reality, plus what are Trump’s real role and real goals.)
8. What can Lightworkers do to assist this time of the Great Earth Shift?
9. Will there be a relief for the Mother Earth soon? Will Trump presidency be good or bad for the environment; what can we expect going forward? (In this answer we go into the human consciousness, fossil fuel and alternative energy, as well as ‘free energy.’ We discuss how the levels of human consciousness and how our way of life correspond with the level on which our consciousness vibrates.)
10. Were there alien bases in Antarctica? Was a secret base built there by the German Nazis during WWII? What really happened in Antarctica and WHEN? Forbidden history of Russia.
11. Is Melania like Jackie Kennedy? Melania Trump quantum calibrations, compared to Jackie Kennedy’s quantum calibrations. Lada’s opinion of both.
P.S. Almost forgot: in Q&A we also discussed Reinventing Collapse by D. Orlov and how I see the future of the US unfolding; where Orlov was right and where the US collapse will be entirely different from how he describes is. My terms explained: What is “The Mirror Collapse” and what do I mean when I say that “the US approaches collapse from the opposite direction than the USSR did.”
There were other interesting questions answered.
Much more info and predictions will be revealed in the upcoming webinars and in my book The Putin Enigma.
COPYRIGHT LADA RAY Feb 4-6, 2017. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Nancy, you answered your own question. Nothing to add really.
But let’s broaden our perspective. The reasons for this move are as follows:
1. This is a general knee jerk reaction to the fact that they know they are losing and they have to show their teeth. There is no Russian aggression. If anything, just the opposite. But this is a cornered beast’s reaction to something they can’t control any more. This is the spoiled global bully’s reaction who always managed to terrorize others without recourse and suddenly it gets told that this won’t happen any more.
2. Erdogan’s threat to boot out US/NATO from Incirlik Base is relevant to this knee jerk reaction.
3. In addition, this is the continuation of the same anti-Trump time bomb installation, in order to make relations with Russia as difficult to normalize as possible.
4. This is also done to reassure NATO that it won’t be abandoned by the US – something NATO fears greatly. NATO is in panic: they may lose many of their fat gigs and much of their self-importance if Trump pulls financing.
5. Finally, this is done to reassure Merkel, Poland, Baltics, Romania and Brussels – in short, all the E. Europe and generally EU puppet states, who were installed by US/West in the 1990s to keep the Iron Curtain alive and well. These are the governments and politicians who sold out to the shadow forces and who now fear being abandoned by Trump. They have so many skeletons on their closets that now they are afraid to be left without US tanks.
7. IMPORTANT! However, it’s not Russia they are afraid of. Russia continues underscoring with all her behavior that there will be no Russian intervention either in Ukraine or any other place in E. Europe, despite the pleas of many people in Ukraine and beyond.
What these sold-out E. Europe/EU politicians are afraid of is the wrath of their own people. This will happen the moment US tanks and US advisors leave.
Therefore, the fear of the ‘potential’ Russian aggression is just a cover to dupe their electorate and to distract the people from internal problems. In reality, all these politicians, military, intelligence and MSM are afraid of their own people and of the ‘potential’ and ‘probable’ crimes tribunal.
8. ALSO IMPORTANT!
I have to underscore again that Angela Merkel is very important in this new development. She will stand for re-election in 2017, while her ratings have plunged lately, as I predicted they would, back in 2014. This is due to her disastrous domestic and international policies, most importantly: 1. due to her immigrant policies; 2. her support of the Kiev junta and illegal coup against Yanukovich; 3. her support of anti-Russian sanctions.
Merkel bet all her money on Obama and on being a US puppet, as well as the puppet of the global banking cartel. Her job has been to keep EU under control of these forces.
She also bet her entire career on the NWO and neo-liberal agenda. And this is what will bury her career. She feels threatened due to alternative parties gaining on her. Both left and right hate her; same is true for people in her own party.
She needs US tanks to keep her safe and to stop any possible uprising.
9. In general, all these NWO/US puppet EU politicians now feel under threat. Trump announced he would be against globalism, and that he would curb the US financing of NATO. Trump is also gearing to undo much of Obama’s ‘legacy.’
NATO and Obama have to show that they are still relevant. In fact, all this is a death throes hysterics.
Notice also this: masks are entirely off!
Remember all this talk about ‘AAMDS in Europe’ – one of the cornerstones of Bush-Obama policies for EU and NATO? Russians for years have been saying that the AAMDS installed in Romania and agreed to be installed in Poland, was directed against Russia. NATO/US have been adamantly insisting it was directed against potential Iran aggression against EU. In reality no one ever believed that.
Now, having been cornered, having lost their former control over global, Middle Eastern and European events, they don’t pretend any more. Fake Iran threat doesn’t cut it any more. They need a much bigger enemy. To distract their own populations from their real problems and to redirect their anger and fears towards fake external threats, they need now to point the finger at Russia. Russia had been used as a scapegoat to scare the populations in the West into submission and maligned this way since forever. I’ve seen it all my life; generations before me have witnessed the same.
Meanwhile, the only thing the populations of Europe, and of the US as well, have to fear are their own sold-out governments and media.
Unfortunately, we are dealing with some very aggressive beasts here, who won’t give up without trying to drag everyone into the abyss with them. They won’t succeed long-term, but short-term they’ll try to do whatever damage they can.
P.S. Incidentally, much of the same is happening now in Ukraine. Kiev junta is behaving both violently and bizarrely, indicating the worsening death throes.
Amid all this ugliness, there is a big and beautiful silver lining. It seems darkest before the dawn, but don’t let that fool you. Both in the US/EU and in E. Europe/Ukraine/Moldova big changes are afoot.
I know last year I promised a major Ukraine, Moldova and Pridnestrovie update. I want to share with you all some hugely positive breakthrough news from the latter two and also a lot of news from the former. The Earth Shift is underway, and Ukraine/Moldova are shifting right on schedule, per my 2014-15 predictions!
Please stay tuned for important updates. I’ll probably do them as YT videos.
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Business & Economy December 20, 20:13
Russian Railways is working on the concept of a cargo train, which will be capable to carry from 300 to 600 tonnes of cargos at a speed up to 300 km per hour.
Cargo transit shipments from Europe to China by Russian high-speed railway will take two days instead of 60 days by sea, President of Russian Railways Oleg Belozerov said speaking at a meeting of the United Russia faction.
“We plan to reach China via Kazakhstan and to carry special high profit cargos to Europe via Russia, because a ship sails now 60 days, which is a long time. It sails round India and only than arrives to Europe. With a high speed (railway) transport we will be able to deliver goods in two days, and to earn extra money for our country,” he said.
Russian Railways’ main task for 2017 is the launch of the project and the start of the construction of the Moscow-Kazan high speed railway.
The Moscow-Kazan High Speed Railway’s total length will stand at around 770 kilometers. Trains may go at a speed of 350-400 kilometers per hour, and the time en route between the two cities could be 3-3.5 hours against the current 14 hours. According to Belozerov the railroad may be commissioned before 2022-2023.
The total cost of the Moscow-Kazan high-speed railway line is estimated at 1.068 trillion rubles ($16.8 bln). The Moscow-Kazan section may later be extended to China, connecting the two countries across Kazakhstan. According to the Russian Railways, the length of Moscow-Beijing railroad will be 7769 km, travel time – 32.8 hours (four times faster compared to current 130.4 hours). The average annual passenger traffic is estimated at 195 mln people.
China intends to provide 400 bln rubles ($6.5 bln) for the project of Moscow-Kazan high speed railway as a credit for 20 years and more than 100 bln rubles ($1.6 bln) as a contribution to the charter capital of the special project company.
The German Initiative Consortium (includes Siemens, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Bahn and other companies) is ready to allocate 2.7 bln euros to finance the construction of the high-speed railway line and to attract up to 800 mln euros for the project.
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Libya 2.0? West demands Syria no-fly zone. Retaliation? Russian Kalibr Missiles strike US Intel Center
West demands Syria no-fly zone, but only for Russians & Syrians
Yes, we have heard and seen this before. Remember what that fake no-fly zone did to Libya? Remember Qaddafi?
They tried to unseat Syria’s Bashar Al Assad in all ways possible: from accusations of chemical weapons, threats to bomb, arming ISIL and other terrorist groups, to insistence that ‘Assad must go.’ Nothing worked. Now they want once again to try to pull the same number they once did in Libya. Is anyone dumb enough to fall for it yet again?
A typical MO of a dying empire: they are so decadent, so stuck in the their imaginary ‘America is exceptional’ little world that they are unable to assess the reality on the ground. They don’t understand that the ship has sailed.
Listen to what Germany’s PM Frank-Walter Steinmeier and US Secretary of State John Kerry say at the UN: ‘We need no-fly zone.’ Yes, echoes a US general, we agree to a no-fly zone: Russian and Syrian airforces must be grounded, but only them; our jets must continue flying.
Incidentally, listen carefully to how Kerry phrases his statement. He insists on temporarily grounding of all aircraft over Syria. Of course, we all know what happened in Libya after ‘all’ aircraft was supposedly grounded: US and allies came in and began bombing Qaddafi’s forces, followed by the ISIL takeover of the country with subsequent horrid death by Qaddafi himself.
Therefore, certainly no one will fall for this again. However, in the run up to my new ESR11: THE IMPORTANCE OF 2016 RUSSIAN ELECTIONS (to be released tomorrow 9/24), I want to emphasize one point! Among other crucial things, in ESR11 I discuss the Syria developments and US/West bombing of the Syrian army. In this regard I provide my take on the shifting situation within the US elites. In the FREE Part 1 of the report you’ll see me talk about a rift within US elites, as well as attempts by Kerry to play his own game. Check it out!
BREAKING NEWS! Retaliation for Syrian army’s bombing? Did Russia strike joint US/Israel/West/Turkey Intelligence Center in Aleppo?
Text in Russian:
Согласно сообщению информационного агентства Fars News, “российские военные корабли выпустили три ракеты “Калибр” по иностранному офицерскому координационному оперативному центру в районе Дар Эзза (Dar Ezza), убив 30 израильских и западных офицеров”. Военные США вместе с союзниками создали полевой “Оперативный центр” (Field Operations Room) в районе Алеппо, укомплектованный личным составом разведывательных служб. В нем действовали сотрудники разведок США, Британии, Израиля, Турции, Саудовской Аравии и Катара. Профессор экономики Оттавского университета, основатель и директор Центра изучения глобализации (Канада) Мишель Хосудовский пояснил, что Российская сторона нанесла удар по разведывательному объекту США непосредственно после воздушных ударов ВВС США по вооруженным силам Сирии в районе Дейр-эз-Зор в поддержку террористов ИГИЛ. Оперативный центр находился в западной части провинции Алеппо в районе горы Саман, где имеется много древних пещер. Регион расположен в глубине горной цепи. Центр в регионе Алеппо использовался для координирования действий на земле с разведывательными действиями беспилотников и для нанесения ударов с воздуха. Согласно сообщению агентства Fars, личный состав разведывательных служб участвовал также в планировании и осуществлении нападения ВВС США на сирийских вооруженных сил (Syrian SAA forces), которое было проведено непосредственно после заключения женевского соглашения о перемирии.
My English summary translation:
According to Fars News agency, Russian military ships launched three Kalibr cruise missiles; the strike hit the Dar Ezza joint intelligence coordination center for the US coalition, killing 30 Israeli and Western officers. The center, aka, Field Operations Room near Aleppo is staffed with officers from US, Turkey, UK, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Qatar. Canadian researcher Michel Chossudovsky says that the center was hit after US coalition forces bombed the Syrian army. The intelligence center in question provided intelligence and played a leading role in making the bombing happen.
Incidentally, in tomorrow’s ESR11, I will explain why the US attack on Syrian army was no accident and why it happened right before Russian Elections of September 18!
STAY TUNED FOR TOMORROW’S NEW RELEASE!
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 11
RELEASE: SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2016!
Go to all EARTH SHIFT REPORTS
P.S. Russian FM Lavrov is now speaking at the UN. This is his live speech:
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel flip-flops to finally admit: terrorists are smuggled into Europe amid refugee flow.
I had warned about it since 2014-15, and so did others who understood the situation properly. But Merkel stubbornly refused to acknowledge the well-known fact: uncontrolled flow of migrants and refugees to Europe encourages the infiltration and growth of terrorist sleeper cells. She has begun singing a different tune now.
Below is an RT report, summarizing well Merkel’s attitude and its consequences. I disagree with one point: Peter Oliver’s conclusion that Merkel is always hard to read and no one knows what she’ll do next.
On the contrary, Merkel is very easy to read. She was toeing the neoliberal/neocon globalist agenda for as long as she could, which included the unabated flow of migrants into Europe. She did that until German people started seriously rebelling and her rating dropped precipitously. Presently in Germany there are revolts and rallies demanding her impeachment, which was unthinkable a year ago.
This is why Merkel has to flip-flop to appease her electorate and to try to forestall a mutiny in her country and her political class, which is already brewing. She is hanging by a thread and all she can do is to try and calm down the Germans in order to buy time, while attempting to maneuver out of the worst case scenario for her departure. For that she has enough smarts and cunning. Can she fool her people long enough to allow herself a more or less dignified departure? She is so slippery, and Germans have become so subdued that it’s possible. In fact her policies, especially as it concerns the Middle East and Turkey have been utter disaster. Before that, she supported the Kiev Maidan and regime change. When it became clear that ukro-nazis and civil war in Donbass were an embarrassment to the EU, generating mutiny in her own party and on the street, only then she began to take steps to support the peace process and reigning in on Poroshenko. These are just two examples of her latest fiascos.
‘No one knows what she might do next’? That’s because she has no backbone and no convictions of her own. As they say, she just sways in whatever direction the wind blows, or wherever necessary for her own survival and benefit.
I predicted this since 2014. Recall how many times I said that Merkel was the convenient and familiar ‘Frau next door,’ suitable for Germany during quiet and fat times. She is, however, completely unsuitable for Germany or EU amid today’s challenges and turmoil. She is also completely unsuitable as one of the world leaders and the leader of the EU. Let’s just say: she is not the EARTH SHIFT material and should be out.
This is my solid recommendation for Germany: just about anyone would be better than Merkel.
Can she be unseated and is it possible for Germans to elect someone who will steer the country well? That is a big question and I foresee a problem there.
Let’s face it, Merkel isn’t alone. None of the ‘leaders’ presently in power in the EU and the West in general are good enough, or suitable enough. This is why a major change of the guard and a change of power is necessary; it is coming to all Western countries soon.
Incidentally, I discuss what Merkel really is in:
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Vladimir Putin has completed his 2-day state visit to Greece, where he met with Greek PM Alexis Tsipras and Greek president. At the airport Putin was lavishly greeted, complete with red carpet, honorary guard and 3 jets flying overhead in his honor.
Putin arriving to Greece:
Greece, much like Italy, Cyprus, Hungary and France, as well as Germany, is trying to find a way to bypass sanctions and to increase trade with Russia. If you ask me, the easiest way to ‘bypass’ sanctions is to simply end them. But Brussels and Berlin play games, and this is what gets the rest of Europe in trouble.
One area for both Italy and Greece that may shine is Russian tourism, especially after Russian tourism left Turkey and Egypt. Another area could be investments. As I mentioned before, Italians are active at investing in Crimea, and so are Germans. Russian companies would be glad to invest in EU, should the opportunities present themselves. Russian energy is always of great interest for Greece, Italy and most of Europe. However, the political games being played make it difficult for businesses to make deals based on reason and necessity.
In view of the EU sanctions, Russia works with certain separate countries, such as Greece and Italy.
The clear three reasons Italy and Greece are at the forefront of friendly relations with Russia are:
- Their economy is more dependent on trade with Russia and, therefore, they have much more to lose from bad relations with Russia;
- Club Med countries suffer more than Germanic countries from EU’s economic downturn and their need for additional markets is much stronger than for some Western European counties;
- Greece and Italy are traditionally some of the most friendly to Russia countries in the EU.
Greek PM Tsipras talked about the pressing need to remove sanctions and proposed to serve as an intermediary between Russia and EU.
During the visit, Putin mentioned that it was time to translate the great relations between Greece and Russia into mutual economic benefit.
Putin – Tsipras meetup video: Russia and Greece sign various documents re. improving trade relations, energy, tourism and other cooperation agreements.
Notice the important symbolism and body language on the above video image!
Putin and Tsipras are clearly leaning towards each other. This always denotes mutual trust and affinity. In fact, Tsipras is leaning towards Putin more.
Now, let’s look at Putin’s arms. They are open, which means he has nothing to hide. But Tsipras arms are folded, which means he is guarded or isn’t as open as he’d like to be. The reason for this regrettable (as Tsipras is, no doubt, considering – just look at his pensive face) guardedness is revealed by the flag situation to the right of the image. Greek flag is there next to the EU flag, sort of juxtaposing itself to the Russian flag on the other side.
Here is the hidden message conveyed:
‘We, Greece are talking to Russia, but haven’t forgotten that we are a member of the EU, whether we like it or not.’
In fact, as revealed by the combination of Tsipras’ body language, the fact of Putin being met as a very special guest upon arrival to Greece, and the added symbolism of the flags, there is a dissonance being present.
Tsipras hidden message is: we would love to have tighter and more intimate relations with Russia; in fact, that would be our preference, but we are confined by our membership in EU, which imposes severe limitations on who and to what degree we can be friends with.
During his visit to Greece, Vladimir Putin also visited the Sacred Mount Athos (RUS: Гора Афон), the so-called Republic of the Monks, housing 20 Orthodox monasteries, including a 1000-year-old Russian monastery. During service, the monks put Putin in the emperor’s place. Since you can’t sit during an Orthodox service, on visits to Mount Athos Byzantium Emperors of old would stand in a specially constructed, gilded honorary portico.
Putin in Byzantium emperor’s portico. Photo says: ‘Greece treats Putin like king during visit’:
Brief video – Putin on Mount Athos:
This is a longer, 25 min video of Putin’s visit to Mount Athos:
The monks recall a story of this good omen: during Putin’s first visit to Mount Athos in 2005, a donkey appeared on the road, and it ran in the center of the road in front of, and then next to, Putin’s car all the way down hill. On Putin’s way back, the donkey waited for him and again ran in front of his car, this time all the way uphill. The monks interpreted that as a fortunate sign from the Holy Mother, the patroness of Mount Athos.
In conclusion: Dmitry Medvedev has dropped a sanctions bombshell
Dmitry Medvedev has announced that Russia intends to extend her anti-EU/US food and agricultural embargo (aka, return sanctions) till the end of 2017. This is what Russian domestic agricultural producers ask us to do, said Medvedev.
Recall that I predicted this outcome from the beginning of the 2014 events. I said that EU’s anti-Russian sanctions are a blessing in disguise and that Russia will use them to strengthen domestic agricultural producers, as well manufacturers, who will be able to occupy the shelves with their products, previously entirely filled by imports.
I also said that the longer EU continues with sanctions, the more European products will find themselves squeezed out of the Russian market.
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In the midst of Ukraine’s horrors and struggles (and not only Ukraine’s), I just wanted to post something positive…
In Russia May 1 (May Day) was traditionally celebrated as both the holiday of spring and nature and as the day of the international solidarity of workers. Many came for holiday parades and then spent the day on the town with their families, amid street entertainment and vendors, who tried to outdo themselves for the cheerful crowds. Others chose to go to dachas (traditional Russian country homes with garden plots), beaches, or nature to officially kick off the warm season. In nature the guitar-accompanied songs were sung and something yummy was usually made in a fire pit. This is how I remember this day.
May 1 today is an official state holiday in about 55 countries and is celebrated in over 140 countries.
This is to the issue of remembering and accepting your past and honoring you traditions that we discussed in SPRING 2016 UKRAINE REPORT: War Against Memory:
The colorful May 1 parade on Red Square and on central streets of all cities and towns was a time-honored USSR tradition. After 1991 it was discontinued for 20 years – thank Yeltsin for that.
Three years ago it was again re-started, following the overwhelming vote by the people. Yesterday, May 1, 2016, 100,000 people marched on Red Square alone – this was the unified march of the Trade Unions, organized together with the ruling United Russia party. Plus, Russian Communist Party had its own mass parade. Other parties had their own rallies, as well.
A short clip with highlights of the colorful Red Square May 1 Parade, plus, highlights from Vladivostok, Kazan’, St Petersburg, and other Russian cities:
This is a clip about May 1 celebration in Simferopol, capital of Crimea:
This is Pervomay (May 1) in Sevastopol, Crimea:
International May Day celebrations (and clashes in some countries):
SPRING 2016 UKRAINE REPORT! Nuclear Disaster, Elenovka Tragedy, War Against Memory, What Russia Wants
May Holidays and the dangerous spring 2016
This is a cold and dangerous spring of 2016. At least in Ukraine it is. So much is going on that I’ve decided to publish this new UKRAINE report in two parts.
Part 1 addresses a number of crucial new events and important threats facing Ukraine. These are:
1 The shocking Elenovka tragedy – a clear proof of Kiev breaking Minsk-2 peace agreement.
2 Polish and Ukrainian war against Russian monuments and their own history.
3. Chernobyl-2 in the making: persistent dire warnings of possible new nuclear disaster in Ukraine!
Also in this report:
4. The whole truth about Hitler and Nazi Germany.
5. What does Russia really want in Ukraine?
6. How Putin and Lavrov, through peaceful means and reason, outplayed Merkel and Hollande and why Poroshenko won’t be able to attack DNR and LNR.
7. A concise Lada Ray guide to Ukraine’s parts (See additional maps and complete explanation in ESR6: NEW KHAZARIAN KHAGANATE.)
8. Why the pristine Kherson Oblast I once knew is being turned into a disaster zone, being invaded by ISIS militants and the ‘right sector.’ More in the future Earth Shift Report: CRIMEAN AGENDA.
9. Worrying news from Odessa! City’s bracing for possible civil war on May 2 and May 9. The world’s eyes are on Odessa! Part 2 of this report, SPRING 2016 ODESSA REPORT, will put in perspective the dangerous events expected there.
10. Plus, a pre-announcement: upcoming surprise Earth Shift Report re. big changes in EU!
We are approaching May Holidays (RUS: Maiskie prazdniki)
What is that? Maiskie prazdniki is the cumulative name for two holidays: May Day on May 1, which is celebrated as both the day of spring and nature and as the international day of worker solidarity, and May 9, or Victory Day, marking the end of WWII and the Russian victory. Both are very widely celebrated in the entire Russian World / post-Soviet space.
During this period the provocations and clashes in Ukraine are widely expected. Also expected are provocations in other post-Soviet and Eastern Europe countries.
Poland’s war against monuments to Soviet soldiers, those who died liberating Poland from fascism
Polish government is descending more and more into fascism. It has announced the dismantling of something like 500 monuments to Russian soldiers, who liberated Poland during WWII. Hundreds of thousands of Russian and other Soviet soldiers who gave their lives for Poland, had been buried on Polish land. In the past several years vandals desecrated many Russian burial sites and Polish authorities dismantled many Russian monuments. In fact, those local mayors who resist dismantling monuments experience threats from the government and Polish nationalists.
It has to be noted that some simple Poles have been writing to the Russian Foreign Ministry with apologies for the actions of the Polish vandals destroying the Russian soldiers’ graves all over the country and the Polish government destroying monuments. Some try to restore and protect them. I’ll refrain from posting the graphic images here, but you can find them online, or search for videos on YT.
In this post I wasn’t planning on invoking the obvious word: karma. But there will be consequences for such actions. I’m not talking about any ‘Russian vengeance’ here. Not at all. I am talking about divine justice.
Incidentally, I warned about Poland’s descent into madness, isolation and hatred since 2014. Back then, a Polish woman indignantly wrote to me that I had no idea what I was talking about, that Poland would never, blah, blah… And, oh, look: just a couple of years later – as predicted!
Their biggest fear is the United Eurasia: the plan to keep Europe and Russia separate
The campaign of dismantling Russian monuments and other anti-Russian hysteria in Poland is accompanied with the usual BS about ‘Russian occupation.’
This convenient mantra was slapped together by the Transatlantic handlers for their current Eastern Europe vassals back in the 1960s-1980s. At that time it was used to tear as many countries as possible away from the USSR. Today it serves the purpose of artificially keeping the people of Eastern Europe and Russia apart. By stoking a fire wall of animosity between Russia and EU’s Eastern Europe members, the puppet masters are able to keep the Iron Curtain between Western Europe and Russia alive and well.
This is all a part of the same global game of weakening and isolating Russia from the rest of Europe. The creators of this lie are the same as the creators of anti-Russian sanctions and the ‘subversion’ of Ukraine. They will do anything to keep Russia and Europe apart. The thing they fear most is the re-unification of Eurasia into one continuous cooperative and mutually beneficial space – as it historically was and as it’s supposed to be.
In ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT I talk at length about Stratfor Baltic-Black Sea Plan and how Poland is being used to erect a new Iron Curtain between EU and Russia.
Please read ESR8 for a full picture, tying together the worrying events in Poland, Odessa, Pridnestrovie, Moldova, the Balkans and Caucasus. Nothing that happens in those convoluted for the Westerners parts, happens by accident!
The whole truth about Hitler and Nazi Germany
The destruction of Ukraine on all levels continues. A big part of it is the destruction of human memory, re-writing of the genetic code and own history. As Ukraine descends into fascist madness, it is simultaneously ‘decommunizing.’
Hmm… we’ve seen this before in one nice European country, called Germany. The outcome of the German Nazis’ all-consuming thirst for denial and destruction of others is well-known: it caused the near destruction of Germany itself.
It’s amazing to me how short and selective human memory is! I hear everywhere – even heard it a couple of times from my own readers – that Hitler was a good guy and that it was UK and US that made him take the slippery road to destruction. Frankly, I have very little patience with people like that, so I’ll just say it this once.
One: these are the kind of people who think they are independent thinkers because they read this in some obscure book and because they think it’s unconventional to think this way. In reality, they simply regurgitate someone’s hidden agenda.
Two: Yes, it is true that Hitler and Germany were manipulated into starting World War II. Simultaneously, they were pumped up with credits and technology by UK and US. The ultimate goal of this scheme was to unleash Hitler on Russia/USSR in order to destroy the only country that always stood, and continues standing, in the way of Anglo-American globalist expansion and the complete takeover of the world. Along the way, they wanted to destroy another rival – Germany itself.
However, the whole point of being a national leader is to be smart enough to see the pitfalls and traps prepared for you and your country. I am leaving aside Hitler’s hideous national-fascist Nazi ideology, which is partially explainable by Germany’s defeat in WWI. But only just. Again, who was forcing Germany to BEGIN WWI? Yes, they were manipulated by the same forces. But where was the wisdom and common sense?
There, obviously, was none. Incidentally, a German philosopher said: ‘Every country deserves its government.’ Germans ELECTED Hitler and watched indifferently as he prosecuted those who had a different opinion inside the country. The people of Germany also watched and participated(!) as Hitler invaded and looted country after country. Incidentally, the same was true for Japan, which invaded and brutally killed millions of Chinese, Mongols and other Asians.
IF national leadership and the people of Germany allowed themselves to succumb to outside manipulation, if they knowingly benefited from the tragedy and suffering of millions of others, if they CHOSE to purposefully and willingly participate in inflicting terrible destruction on the peaceful people all over the globe – they are responsible and there is nothing that can change that! Hitler and all those who were a part of the German/Japanese/Romanian aggression against other countries are war criminals and their crimes can never be forgotten, unless humans want a repeat of 1914, 1939 and 1941.
Some may say there was no choice. There always is a choice! Some Germans went to concentration camps or were killed because they spoke up. Others became anti-fascists and resistance partisans, or surrendered to Russian troops because they refused to participate in the massacre of Russians, Soviets and Europeans.
Three: I just have one simple number for you – 27 million lives. This is what Hitler’s and Romanian aggression (in Odessa and Moldavia) cost Russia and the entire USSR. Primary losses were in Belarus, Russia and Ukraine. Two members of my family died and more were wounded during the Great War of 1941-1945.
36 million Chinese were massacred by the Japanese aggressors during WWII period.
Incidentally, I have absolutely no problem with German people. Two of my best friends in school were Germans; I love Germany and German culture. Same goes for American, Polish, Japanese, or any other people anywhere on the globe.
It’s not about anyone’s culture or nationality – it’s about world view and civilizational choice. It’s also about one’s conscience.
That said, on this site we have zero tolerance for anyone who promotes Hitler or Nazis/fascists of any sort. Permanent ban will be implemented against anyone who posts such comments. See BLOG RULES on top bar.
What Russia really wants in Ukraine
Ukraine won’t be able to repeat the German fate, no matter how much Kiev ukro-nazis try, because Russia won’t let that happen. If Russia weren’t doing everything to keep Ukraine from descending into ultimate madness and complete self-destruction, if Russia played by the same devious rules as the West, by now we would see the entire territory of Ukraine in the midst of civil war. The loss of life, coupled with the destruction of most infrastructure, would be much more widespread.
As it stands, Ukraine is doing an excellent job of imploding all by itself, even when others try hard to cushion the fall.
I wrote in ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT that the West has no idea how many means of secret influence, intel gathering and sabotage Russia does possess in Odessa. The same exact thing is true for all of Ukraine. The reason Russia isn’t using these means is one and only: Russia is trying to preserve the lives, infrastructure and psyche of Ukrainians.
Russia is doing everything humanly possible to gently neutralize the US plan: turning one part of the Russian people against another part of the Russian people.
The West is using Ukraine as a puppet and a disposable tool to manipulate and weaken Russia.
Meanwhile, Russia’s goal is to keep Ukraine as intact as possible in the midst of self-inflicted destructive psychosis, activated and supported by foreign entities. Feel the crucial difference!
As I predicted back in 2014: Russia continues carefully and patiently remolding the situation in Ukraine, which eventually will lead to Ukraine’s turnaround. To do that, Russia is absolutely correctly treating Ukraine with kid gloves, even when it doesn’t deserve them.
Russia is Ukraine’s only hope for survival. Russia treats Ukraine and Ukrainians with kindness and forgiveness of a mother or father, who, despite the cruelty and bad behavior of a prodigal child, knows that one day that child will learn its lesson and return home. No one else needs or wants Ukraine, with all its problems.
Despite all difficulties, this, only correct, strategy is starting to bear fruit. Look at how different some European countries’ position is today, compared to 2014! Remember my 2014 predictions? More and more people in Ukraine and West will be awakening to the understanding of what’s going on; slowly, gradually, Ukraine will be turning back towards Russia and away from the West.
But the task ahead is truly monumental. After 25+ years of Soros/US/ukro-nazi brainwashing, coupled with oligarchic infestation and socio-economic disaster, some younger Ukrainians had forgotten who they were, succumbing to anti-Russian propaganda. It will be very hard, but possible, to rehabilitate this lost generation.
As it is, Ukraine had lost its way 25 years ago and it must go through this cleansing process. When health has been neglected for so long, the cleansing never looks pretty. There is no way of going forward without getting rid of old problems first.
But on the surface, it seems the opposite to my hopeful forecast is taking place. Today’s situation in Ukraine resembles the expression ‘it’s darkest before the dawn.’
Chernobyl 2: New nuclear disaster in the making!
On the 30th anniversary of the Chernobyl tragedy, the loud expert warnings sound that the remaining functioning Ukrainian nuclear stations are a disaster waiting to happen. They have begun replacing the compatible Russian nuclear fuel with American Westinghouse fuel, which proved to be incompatible. This fuel was previously rejected by other Russian-built nuclear stations, for example, in Slovakia and in Ukraine itself.
Kiev’s severing ties with Russia means that stations are not being properly maintained and Russian-made parts are not replaced on time. All four stations are getting old, approaching a point of no return. Using the incompatible Westinghouse parts may lead to a catastrophe.
The biggest worry is the reckless exploitation schedule. Due to power shortages after Ukraine refused to maintain the unified power grid with Russia, operators are forced to constantly speed up reactors to maximum capacity during peak hours. Such experiments led to Chernobyl catastrophe 30 years ago.
The Elenovka tragedy
Two days ago Kiev executed a targeted bombing against peaceful civilians. Six people were killed, including a pregnant woman, and scores wounded, in Elenovka village. These people were sitting in their cars near border control post between DNR and Ukraine, waiting in line to cross to the other side. Some of them were retirees forced to drive to Ukrainian side to get their pensions, others – on their way to visit families or tend to their fields stuck on the other side.
Because Kiev continues shutting down border crossings, more and more have to use the same crossing, resulting in long lines. People sometimes have to spend the night in their cars, waiting for their turn to cross. Just before the shelling, locals reported hearing a Ukrainian drone, and shortly after, the Minsk-agreement banned heavy Ukrainian artillery began shelling cars with sleeping people inside.
Link to video with the aftermath of the Elenovka tragedy. Warning! It’s very graphic!
In my recent post Poroshenko Prepares New War in Donbass? Why US, EU and OSCE are Blind and Deaf? I said:
“If Kiev can’t attack directly, what can Ukraine do? Instead, they are attempting to provoke DNR and LNR. To accomplish that they continuously shell peaceful citizens and villages near frontline. The idea is to anger the republics so much that they lose their cool and begin retaliating, thus breaking Minsk 2 agreement. After that Kiev, US and EU get to blame DNR/LNR and, of course, Russia in violating cease-fire. If that should happen, Kiev and US will immediately demand new sanctions against Russia and attempt to vilify Russia and Putin yet again.
This is why DNR/LNR can’t respond to obvious provocations. The especial cruelty of the situation is in the fact that innocent people and animals suffer under shellings, with no recourse.”
This new provocation falls in line with Kiev tactics of trying to provoke DNR/LNR into retaliating. Poroshenko is desperate. He is being pressured by EU, and now even by US due the election year, to start fulfilling Minsk agreement’s demands. He can’t do that because his own Rada will tear him apart. His only choice is to re-start armed conflict in Donbass to delay Minsk-2 fulfillment. This is why provocations, targeting peaceful civilians, will continue.
My prediction is that the Elenovka tragedy won’t go as planned by Kiev. The plan to provoke DNR into retaliating is needed to distract Ukraine’s public from internal problems, to re-ignite animosity against Russia, to delay the implementation of Minsk 2, to blame the republics for breaking the truce, and to instigate renewed sanctions against Russia in the wake of EU gearing up for their removal. However, all this will backfire.
Instead, the brutal killing of innocents will serve as yet another clear international proof of Kiev breaking the Minsk agreements. This event will put yet another nail in the coffin of the Kiev junta and its support by the West (many more nails still required, but it’s a start). If not, then EU, US, Canada, IMF and NATO will publicly demonstrate to all that they condone the slaughter of innocent civilians. Before some crucial referendums and elections, and in view of recent EU and US criticisms, this won’t look good.
The revolt in the EU has already begun: French parliament votes to lift anti-Russian sanctions imposed by EU. Recently, the people of the Netherlands have voted ‘NO’ in a referendum on Ukraine’s EU association. These are the first harbingers of spring, more to come soon!
Ukraine’s war on monuments – war on its history and genetic memory
Scores and scores of Lenin monuments have been destroyed all over Ukraine. Let’s recall that ‘Ukraine’ as a state-like entity was first created by Lenin as part of the USSR. Before that, there was no country called Ukraine, not even an autonomy.
The destruction of Lenin and other monuments all over Ukraine is accompanied with the wholesale looting and re-sale of parts of these monuments. The video below shows how many such monuments were destroyed and how the enterprising ukro-nazis posted ads all over the internet to sell parts of ‘Illich.’ A whole bust of Lenin, painted in blue-yellow Ukrainian colors, slightly dented: $35,000. Another internet ad about a sale of parts of what used to be a Lenin monument: ‘own a piece of history: made out of rare material, the same used to build the Red Square Mausoleum, price depends on body part.’ Disgusted yet? I am.
If Ukraine’s president, parliament, oligarchs and army can sell the entire country, why can’t these small ‘wheelers-and-dealers’ sell pieces of their history and heritage?
Video (The map of destroyed monuments reads: ’25 monuments to Lenin were destroyed, 5 – attempted to be destroyed.’ By now, I’d say there are many more):
This is the newest one, which happened yesterday: in Kiev, Ukraine, Ukrainian fascists from ‘the right sector and ‘azov’ tried to destroy Soviet monument to Chekisti – RUS: чекисты. The monument is to the first Extraordinary Commission’s servicemen circa Russian Civil War and first years of the USSR (1918-1925). The abbreviation ‘чк’ (pronounced as ‘chekah’) was used to designate the counter-intelligence investigative unit, establish by Lenin in 1918. Later it would be called NKVD and after that, KGB.
Again, let’s remember that without Lenin the entity we today call Ukraine would NOT exist. The territory was slapped together of a number of different areas of South Russia (Yuzhnaya Rossia, aka, Novorossia) and Malorossia (below see my guide to the parts of Ukraine).
VIDEO: ukro-nazis attempting to destroy the granite monument, with hardly a dent.
While not everyone agrees with the methods used by the Chekisti, it is still a part of Russian, Soviet, and therefore Ukrainian, history. Its role was often viewed as controversial, but also necessary, for as long as the country was in the deathly fight for its very survival.
The right thing to do is to accept what happened as part of the country’s history. Only by making peace with the past can one move forward. If you deny your past, your history, you deny yourself. In this regard, Russians are wisely accepting all facets of their past, good and bad. This is why Russia today is where it is, and Ukraine is where it is.
The Chekisti monument was built to last. As you see from this short clip, despite many days of efforts to destroy it, the monument was hardly dented. As one person commented: ‘The Chekisti are just looking down with disdain on these morons.’
The destruction of monuments in Poland and Ukraine are manifestations of the same darkness-induced craze that we are observing in Syria, where ISIS destroys priceless, UNESCO World Heritage sites, such as ancient Palmyra.
Normal people build. The urge to destroy what others have built is a manifestation of an overwhelming darkness experienced by the confused, undereducated and zombified minds, with violent tendencies.
Ukraine is a large country. A small minority of these thugs keeps in fear the majority. But I have to emphasize yet again that none of this would have been possible if these dregs of society were not supported and encouraged by the West! The West, especially and specifically the US, Canada, UK, Germany, Brussels, as well as their stooges in Poland and Lithuania, actively supported and nudged these crazies.
During Kiev maidan, Victoria Nuland and US ambassador Payet personally blackmailed Ukraine president Yanukovich and PM Azarov, threatening them with forced removal from power and personal harm, if the government tried to resist maidan violence and restore order. Similar pressure was put by the EU governments and politicians.
Under any normal circumstances and in any normal society such people would have been in jail, which would deter others. Instead, they were touted as heroes. The all-permissiveness always breads more violence.
The biggest criminals are those from the West who came to Ukraine with the expressed goal to generate violence, hatred and death.
Due to severe imbalance, which the world has experienced in the past 25 years since the collapse of the USSR, the weakened Russia was unable to fulfill her global balancing and stabilizing role. Large numbers of the world’s young people have succumbed to propaganda. This propaganda could be Western, emphasizing Russophobia. But it could be extremist Islamist just as well. It could also be fascist propaganda, stressing the resurgence of the popularity of Hitler and Nazi ideology of hatred and destruction. All these may have a different wrapper and flavor, but their essence is always the same: aggression, hatred, destruction and harm to others, while enriching yourself.
Putin for president and Azarov for PM of Ukraine
Since 2014, most Ukrainians lived in shock and fear. Some were zombified and confused. But the change is coming, the awakening is happening, slowly but surely.
In BLACK SEA GAMBIT I said that if a referendum to join Russia took place in Odessa today, 90% would have voted ‘YES.’ Very similar numbers would be true for the entire South and East. Even Kiev and sane parts of western Ukraine may surprise us.
Kiev just swapped the inept PM Yatsenyuk, who presided over the 2014-2015 destruction of Ukraine’s economy, for the equally inept PM Groysman, who is Poroshenko’s puppet. A poll conducted in Kiev showed that only 29% approved of Groysman as PM, while 58% wanted back Nikolay Azarov, who was PM under Yanukovich. Some now say that ‘Azarov was the best thing that happened to Ukraine in 25 years.’
An earlier poll conducted in Ukraine showed that 82% of Ukrainians wanted Putin as their president.
Renaming of streets, factories and cities – another maniacal epidemics sweeping Ukraine
As part of ‘decommunization,’ streets, factories and major enterprises are being renamed. The citizens are resisting it as much as they can. There are instances when the new name sounds suspiciously similar to the old one. Example: under pressure, a factory in Donetsk oblast (the part located on Ukraine side), was renamed from the ‘Illich Kombinat’ to… the ‘Illich Kombinat.’ Illich is Lenin’s patronymic and he was often called by this alternative name. ‘We renamed it after a worker of this factory, whose patronymic was also Illich,’ explained the locals.
They made an attempt to rename Odessa and call it ‘Kotsyubiyivsk’ (try not to break your tongue). Of course, if they succeeded, that alone would have caused Odessa to secede.
Wholesale destruction of Russian monuments
Under the guise of decommunization, ukro-nazis are destroying monuments to Russian scientists, writers, artists and also generals, who liberated Ukraine during WWII. In 2014, under the cover of the night, they removed the Odessa monument to General Chernyakhovsky, who commanded the army liberating Odessa. I bet Chernyakhovsky’s bust has already been sold to the highest bidder. Just like the ancient monuments of Syria, Ukrainian monuments, or their pieces, end up on the black market, often being sold to Western ‘collectors.’
Odessa, monument to Pushkin on Primorsky Boulevard
This greedy and senseless destruction of everything in sight is happening all over Ukraine. Recently, the famous monument to the 19th century writer Pushkin was under threat in Odessa. Ukro-nazis are continuously threatening to destroy the gorgeous monument to Katherine the Great, founder of Odessa. Obviously, aristocrat Pushkin and the Empress of Russia were ‘damn communists’ and had to be purged. Both monuments are a part of the UNESCO World Heritage site and were saved due to the widespread international indignation.
LADA’S GUIDE TO UKRAINE
End of 19th century English map of South Russia and Malorossia (Little Russia)
Ukraine was slapped together out of several parts, of which the majority was, and continues being, completely Russian-speaking, despite all the brainwashing. This was done by Lenin in 1922 for several reasons: geopolitical, internal political, psychological and ideological. I explain in detail what those reasons were in ESR2: UKRAINE and ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS.
While we all were a part of one big Soviet Union, no one was bothered by it that much. People were prepared to tolerate being a part of Ukraine even after the breakup, as long as they were able to easily commute to Russia for better jobs, sell their stuff to Russia, and be a part of the Russian culture through TV, books and concerts. But now they are unable to do any of that: Russian TV, journalists, artists, writers, cultural icons and political figures have been banned in Ukraine.
I believe I’ve mentioned this in Black Sea Gambit: Kiev is so afraid of the truth that they have banned me and my blog, FuturisTrendcast! Ukrainians can’t read my blog directly, but of course, there are many methods to bypass the ban in a roundabout way.
As soon as these bans began happening, this is when everyone suddenly began remembering that in fact they were never supposed to be a part of Ukraine, that Kiev usurped power and that they really wanted to go back to their roots.
Parts of Russia that became parts of Ukraine in 1922 and later:
Donbass (spelled out as the Donets Basin – RUS: Donetskiy Bassein) – presently Donetsk/DNR and Lugansk/LNR.
South Russia, basically consisting of the historic Tavria and Bessarabia. The Black Sea coast, including Odessa, Nikolaev and Kherson. Pridnestrovie (breakaway Transnistria) and pars of Moldova are included. The famous Tavrian steppes stretch along Black Sea from Odessa to Kherson and into Crimea.
Crimea (aka, Tavrida) – now a part of Russia again.
True Russian territories, including the ancient Chernigov, Kharkov/ Slobozhanshina (the area which was part of the lands gifted by Empress to the South Russian Cossacks), Dnepropetrovsk and more – what is often referred to as ‘Eastern Ukraine.’ Dnepropetrovsk, located next to Zaporozhie, is also a part of the traditionally Cossack territory.
Original Zaporozhie Cossacks territories – presently the industrial city of Zaporozhie and Zaporozhie Oblast. I talk at length and explain everything about the amazing, colorful culture of the South Russian Cossacks in ESR6: NEW KHAZARIAN KHAGANATE.
Everything I listed above is historically referred to as Novorossia (New Russia), although of course Russians (Russo-Arian Slavs) lived on these lands for millennia.
Present capital Kiev and poor, agricultural center and north of today’s Ukraine 1000+ years ago were called Kievan Rus, and 300-100 years ago – Malorossia.
Today’s Western Ukraine is correctly called Galitskaya Rus and Podkarpatskaya Rus. These are the lands of the Galician and Carpathian Rusins (RUS: Rusini; incorrect English: Ruthenians). During medieval times there was a pretty large Galitskaya Rus state there, which was invaded at different times by Poland, Lithuania and Austria-Hungary, who eventually destroyed it.
How Putin/Lavrov Outplayed Merkel, Hollande, Obama
& Why Poroshenko Cannot Restart Donbass War
In the midst of today’s gruesome Ukrainian landscape, there is something that has, perhaps, a more positive tone.
Donetsk warns of imminent Kiev attack on DNR and LNR
Donbass braces itself for the new offensive by Kiev. Eduard Basurin from DNR ministry of defence and the head of DNR, Alexander Zakharchenko, continue to warn that Kiev is amassing troops and hardware in order to attack both republics.
However, as I said previously, I simply do not see how they may be able to pull it off (read my analysis in Poroshenko Prepares New War in Donbass? Why US, EU and OSCE are Blind and Deaf?
Additional analysis and predictions
The thing is that Poroshenko has to make certain noises to appease the radicals and ukro-nazis. But as far as real actions go, he really is tied up pretty tight. Besides, as we have determined previously, Ukraine is being slowly but surely ‘flushed down’ by the US and EU (as I predicted since 2014).
The Dutch referendum on Ukraine’s EU association sent a clear message. So did Biden’s advice to Kiev Rada to begin federalization process ASAP. So did yesterday’s French parliament’s vote to lift anti-Russian sanctions (French parliament votes to lift anti-Russian sanctions imposed by EU). And this is just the beginning!
But there is more:
The more information comes out about the atrocities and lies of the Kiev junta, the more EU citizens question the position of their governments. Europeans question more and more the propaganda that told them that Russia was bad, Kiev maidan was good and that EU did the right thing backing Kiev together with USA. The longer anti-Russian sanctions last, the more EU farmers, shippers and industrialists get impatient. Meanwhile some notice that while EU trade with Russia shrunk dangerously, US trade with Russia INCREASED! And that’s in the midst of sanctions! Slowly, US companies are taking over EU business with Russia.
More and more Europeans are realizing they were simply duped and the revolt is brewing.
Merkel, Hollande and other former advocates of anti-Russian sanctions now have no choice but to support Minsk-2 peace agreement at all cost, since the lifting of anti-Russian sanctions has been tied to its fulfillment. In a way, EU as a whole has cornered itself by imposing sanctions on Russia and tying them to Minsk-2 fulfillment.
Neither DNR/LNR nor Kiev are really planning to fulfill Minsk 2 in full. It is actually impossible to do so while this Kiev junta is in power. Poroshenko and his government can PRETEND to implement only certain points. The entire Minsk-2 in principle cannot be implemented until after the ukro-nazi Kiev junta is gone.
This signifies that:
1. What I said from the beginning of 2014: EU elites are inept and don’t understand at all what they are doing, which European citizens are finally beginning to grasp.
2. Merkel, Hollande and others will have to support Donbass truce at all cost. They are being watched by opposition and electorate. The alternative means they and/or their parties will lose the next election for sure. Recall my 2012 prediction about Hollande betraying the hopes of his electorate! As to Merkel, the recent 11% drop in her ratings will continue accelerating. All in all, her political career is finished. It’ll take time, but she’s on her way down.
3. EU supporting Poroshenko’s new offensive on DNR/LNR will give additional ammunition to eurosceptics and accelerate the breakup of the EU.
4. As I predicted in 2014, Putin and Lavrov were absolutely right not to antagonize Europe, continuing to patiently work with them throughout Ukraine crisis and despite their openly provocative, anti-Russian attitudes. This patience and lack of antagonism looks a little toothless to some. I had said that it was the only correct approach.
We’ve already been through this in 2008 with Georgia and several times during 2000s, when Ukraine shut off Russian gas to EU. They yell and scream, and stomp their feet. Then they calm down and recognize that Russia isn’t a monster and that, may be, just may be, they jumped the gun.
I know, I know. Putin, Lavrov, and Russia in general, are the only adults in the room and their patience is truly angelic. While Obama and US destabilize everything they get their hands on, Russian foreign policy is the only thing that keeps the world from plunging into a new global war.
VERY IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENTS!
Odessa’s cold spring 2016: city and oblast are bracing for blood and violence on May 2 and May 9!
This spring is especially hard for Odessa. After Crimea and DNR/LNR, Odessa is the biggest symbol of resistance against the Kiev junta. May 2, 2016 is the 2nd anniversary of the terrible tragedy, when 48, or likely more, people were burned alive on Kulikovo Polie. Kiev and ukro-nazis, together with Saakashvili, are determined to make a bloodbath out of the May 2 and May 9 in Odessa. Thousands and thousands of trained ukro-nazis from ‘azov’ battalion and western Ukraine have descended on Odessa. Provocations are expected everywhere. Tensions are the highest since 2014. Basically, people are gearing up for civil war and fear the repeat of May 2 massacre.
What is happening can be big and is also a harbinger of important changes in Ukraine and around the Russian World.
On Monday, May 2,
I’ll publish part 2 of the UKRAINE report: The ODESSA Report!
Read it in conjunction with my timely ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT,
dedicated primarily to Odessa & Black Sea events and conspiracies!
Kherson Oblast is dying — and Crimean Agenda ESR
As I remember it growing up, Kherson once was a quiet sleepy hollow, complete with untouched, contemplative nature, robust agriculture and down to earth people.
Kherson is dying: it is experiencing a disastrous invasion of ukro-nazis and Islamists from ISIS, Turkey and Crimean Tatar Mejlis, which is recognized as a terrorist organization in Russia. The damage to the environment is terrible and the damage to the population is catastrophic.
Their ultimate goal is to squeeze out the native, Slavic population and replace it with Muslim transplants. It may sound crazy and bizarre, but it’s not so incredible if you look at the map and notice that Kherson Oblast borders Crimea to the south – the only land connection to the Crimean Peninsula.
Having lost Crimea, US, Turkey and Kiev have concocted a plan to destabilize it through Kherson. All this is a part of the bigger agenda to destabilize Russia by creating zones of instability all around Black and Caspian Seas. To those who plan all this, people’s lives don’t matter.
All this is the topic of the upcoming new Earth Shift Report
It’s an explosive and eye-opening Earth Shift Report, crucial for understanding the Russian and global geopolitical situation. However, due to urgent May events surrounding Odessa, Russia and EU, I’ll be postponing it till further notice. Since Crimean – Kherson situation is still in development, CRIMEAN AGENDA will come a little later. Please stay tuned!
The present focus is on hot EU developments!
New, surprise Earth Shift Report coming your way!
I received a lot of questions from readers regarding TTIP, Brexit, the possibility of the breakup of the EU, the Dutch, German and French revolts, etc. Therefore, I am preparing a surprise Earth Shift Report in which I’ll address all that, and more!
Formal announcement coming! Stay tuned!
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Vladimir Putin held Q&A for over 500 international journalists during a forum in St. Petersburg. The Russian President has surprised the audience by allowing his German language skills to shine. He stepped in as translator for the former West German Defense Secretary and ex-MP Willy Wimmer.
German ex-MP Willy Wimmer: Information war is an American term. Americans always want to fight. They’d fight sunshine itself.
- #Panamapapers Leak and MSM as Weapon of Mass Disinformation: Info War vs. #Putin, #Russia, #BRICS Escalates
- Earth Shifter: Chapts 1-5
- #Wikileaks: ‘#PanamaPapers funded by US/Soros against #Putin and Russia’
Stratfor/ George Friedman’s Baltic-Black Sea-Caspian Plan aimed at destroying Russia:
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT
Russia’s response and how Russia began showcasing its most secret new 4D weapons designs:
ALL EARTH SHIFT REPORTS
This is a new developing trend to keep in mind for all my readers!
I first predicted this trend in 2012, in my article about EU and French Elections.
March 9, 2016 BREAKING NEWS!
Slovenia, Serbia, Croatia, Macedonia shut borders, closing Balkan route for migrants.
Recently, the so-called Visegrad Group of four E. European countries (Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary) resolved to invest in a fence, closing off Macedonia border to the uncontrolled migrant inflow. After that Austria invited the above countries, plus the Balkans states, to a conference, during which joint measures of Central/East European countries were agreed upon. This conference took place over the objections of Merkel and Germany. Austria purposefully excluded Germany and Greece, the two other countries in the region most impacted. This was a serious sign of how far the fracturing of the EU had gone.
Today’s breaking news, the coordinated action of four Balkans countries to shut down borders to migrant and refugee inflow, is the result of the Austrian deal.
This, incidentally, leaves Greece in the cold, to cope alone with hundreds of thousands of refugees that are already there and that are still trying to get in.
What is happening is the result of the EU actions of allowing the uncontrolled flow of refugees through Europe. Having seen that EU doesn’t bother acting on behalf of its citizens, certain countries had no choice but to take initiative into their own hands. Again, this is a confirmation of how ineffectual the EU construct is in a crisis.
As predicted on April 28, 2012
Quote from my 2012 Predictions Update: French Elections and Eurozone:
“Some change to the emigration policy from the poor countries is coming, which is a big problem in many European countries, as well as in Russia. The European countries will attempt to coordinate their emigration policies and certain border controls will be introduced very soon. But the emigration mess will take a very long time to sort out.”
Also read related (Dec. 7, 2015): Per My 2012 Prediction! French Elections and the Rise of Marine le Pen and National Front
Another related prediction from 2014! My readers may recall what I said about Ukraine back then: Ukraine will never be admitted to the EU, visa free travel to the EU for Ukrainians will remain just a dream.
Third related prediction of which I talked in my Turkey-bound Earth Shift Reports and articles from 2015: Turkey will NOT be admitted in the EU, visa-free regime between EU and Turkey will never happen.
All these are being confirmed.
DEVELOPING GLOBAL TREND!
END TO LIBERAL OPEN DOORS POLICY and STRICTER BORDER CONTROLS are coming! This especially impacts two places with formerly extremely open and liberal border crossing policies: these are EU/Europe and Russia. This is the full list of the border tightening on the planet:
EU, and Europe as a whole, including UK – happening now and will intensify.
What is especially remarkable about this specific border restriction in the EU is the fact that it’s not the securing of the outer borders of the EU in general we are talking about. It’s the case of the necessity-based alliances between neighbors, when everyone ‘saves themselves’ the way they can. EU has proven to be an ineffectual construct and its reputation is declining, especially among countries most effected by the refugee crisis.
I was recently asked when to expect Brexit and will any other countries try to exit the EU soon. I will do a full prediction on that later this year. But I’ll say now that this border tightening is the first step in the direction of the reformatting of the EU.
Russia and all of post-Soviet space, including Central Asia – happening now and will intensify.
This applies to the outer borders of most of the post-Soviet space, due to the threat of ISIS terrorist infiltration. After the USSR collapse, Russia stopped investing in border patrols of most of the newly independent former republics. Some of these republics neglected proper border service. Russia still has agreements to help out with some of the former republics, such as Armenia, Belarus and Tajikistan. Agreements with most ex-republics will intensify, including Belarus, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, as the threat of Islamist and ukro-nazi extremism infiltration continues being on the rise.
At the same time, Russia will also have no choice but to additionally secure her own borders with former republics, which were, until recently, extremely open. Russian borders will also be secured when it comes to the Middle East and Asia. This already happened with Turkey, with which Russia had visa-free regime till 2015. Border tightening is happening with Ukraine as well.
Stricter border controls will be introduced due to the Islamist and ukro-nazi extremism risk.
Additionally impacted: USA, Canada, Australia – happening, or starting to happen, now; will intensify.
Soon, and certainly before the end of this decade, stricter border controls may be introduced in various countries of Asia and S. America.
The main reasons for the border tightening trend:
- risk of Islamist and fascist/ukro-nazi extremism
- attempt to stop uncontrolled infiltration of sleeper terrorist cells
- attempt to curb uncontrolled migration from poor countries, as the open borders are used against EU and Russia by third parties
- this will also be used increasingly as an excuse to control own population in the West, especially in the US; privacy concerns will grow
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TRENDS & PREDICTIONS on LadaRay.info,
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BREAKING NEWS! Germany’s government has approved the use of a “trojan horse” software bug to monitor the computers and smartphones. The spyware may masquerade as an innocent free software or screen saver, but once downloaded, it will infect your device. German government tries to reassure the public by saying they won’t look at sensitive files and that this is only done to monitor police suspects.
This is a very disturbing development. The New Year’s celebrations in Cologne, Germany had been marred by the reports of wide-spread harassment by aggressive groups of Middle Eastern men, many of whom apparently were the newly arrived refugees. Hundreds of German women reported being harassed and sexually assaulted during the NYE celebrations.
Another unsavory development is that German Chancellor Angela Merkel personally leaned on German MSM to hush it up; moreover, Merkel struck a deal with German MSM and American-based social media platforms, such as Google and Yahoo. According to the deal, US-based social media giants and local MSM alike agreed to mass remove comments critical towards refugees.
At the same time, it has become known that Swedish media for at least two years has been covering up harassment of Swedish women and girls by the Middle Eastern migrants. Here is the link to the video: Swedish police ‘migrant sex attacks coverup’ exposed.
But this isn’t all! In fact these weren’t random and spontaneous occurrences based on some uncontrollable lust by young men far from home, lost in a foreign culture and without access to a normal dating scene. Nope. These were pre-planned and knowingly executed events. There is a disgusting time-tested Arabic ‘tradition’ called ‘Taharrush ja-mie’. This Arabic expression describes a group harassment committed by young men during mass gatherings. This tradition is alive and well in those countries where a woman is still considered an object owned by a man, to be dealt with as he pleases. To be fair, something like this (perhaps not to the same degree) is still alive and well in Caucasus too, particularly in Georgia and Azerbaijan since these countries follow the Middle Eastern way of life in many ways.
Now, it is spreading to Europe. And we all know why and how this has happened: as a consequence of the refugee crisis.
I have discussed in detail by whom, how and why the refugee crisis was organized in my No. 1 bestselling EARTH SHIFT REPORT 7: TURKISH CONUNDRUM. The investigation conducted by German journalists is very enlightening!
VIDEO: ‘Taharrush Gamea’ – Arab ‘Rape Game’ Spreads Around Europe from Middle East:
Here are some predictions, to build up on what I’ve pointed out in response to Emil’s question regarding the future of Sweden:
I said that Sweden would experience a continued rise in riots and protests against the status quo, especially by young men.
This, however, applies to all EU countries, especially to Germany. The anti-emigrant protests and riots will continue expanding. Most of those protesting will be young European males, although some women as well. In addition, the far-right will continue rising for at least the next several years and its message will continue being more and more attractive. If this message isn’t heard by the elites, then there will be rioting.
As a response to the refugee crisis, border controls in the EU will continue increasing as each country will strive to put up some sort of barriers. Surveillance will continue increasing on all levels of society. EU will be slowly experiencing a roll back of freedoms Europeans are used to. I first predicted the roll back of EU freedom of movement and border controls introduction in 2012. Read more in: Per My 2012 Prediction! French Elections and the Rise of Marine Le Pen and National Front.
EU elites, including personally Angela Merkel, had made huge mistakes in their handling of the refugee crisis. I discuss in ESR 7: TURKISH CONUNDRUM how Merkel chose the erroneous strategy of Erdogan’s appeasement. Various ulterior motives and neoliberal political correctness of the EU elites have created a self-fulfilling prophecy. Correcting these grave mistakes will be very hard, while the population of the EU will suffer from their consequences.
I love Europe, which I consider my home and where I’ve spent quite a few years. It’s hard to watch how that nice, safe and charming Europe I’ve known is slowly disappearing.
For those who have missed it, read Emil’s and mine related discussion regarding Sweden’s present and future in the comment section of the latest: False Flag Technology: Paris False Flag.
Marine le Pen’s National Front wins the first round of regional elections with a national total of about 30%. It’s ahead of Sarkozy’s Republican Party and the trailing ruling Socialist Party of Francois Hollande. National Front gained sharply in the past 3 years and is expected to win again in the second round of these elections. The result has stunned the two traditional parties.
Even if National Front doesn’t win (and barring some huge and almost impossible surprise, such as Sarkozy and Hollande uniting against le Pen, it will win round 2!), Marin le Pen’s star is clearly rising very quickly and definitively, while Hollande’s is plunging, as I predicted in 2012. Back then I also predicted the turnaround of the French policy – and it’s coming. When French policy changes dramatically, it will sweep the change into the rest of the EU. Of course, fully this will happen later, but it’s a good start!
If you think that French regional elections don’t decide that much, it’s true. Regional elections are not very significant per se, but they are considered an important litmus test and dress rehearsal in the run up to the French National Elections of 2017.
Marine Le Pen, Member of the European Parliament:
Videos with more details
Marine le Pen’s National Front:
I want to note that what passes for ‘far right’ in France, in fact is a tough, but sensible and reasonable conservatism. What’s important is that it’s outside of either neocon or neoliberal ideology presently dominating the West.
Marine le Pen wisely took steps to soften the image of her party by dismissing her party’s tough far right ideologist, who, interestingly enough, happens to be her father and the founder of the National Front. This attracted scores of new voters. Le Pen is a consistent proponent of good relations with Russia, who’s also for France’s sovereign and independent policy. She is a huge critic of the EU in general and Angela Merkel’s policies in particular; USA and NATO skeptic.
In 2012 I had predicted the rise of Marine le Pen and her party.
Here is a quote from my French Presidential Elections 2012 article in which I predicted that Sarkozy would lose and Francois Hollande would win elections.
Excerpts from April 28, 2012 article:
In a very funny twist, I am predicting that in the second round socialist Hollande (left) will take some of Marine Le Pen’s (far right) votes, along with the fourth place finisher votes (far left).
Seemingly, it doesn’t make any sense. But: the vote for Hollande is a vote against Sarkozy. This is a protest vote, pure and simple. Because, as I said in my January 2012 prediction: “[Sarkozy is] deeply disliked in his country and [that’s why he] will lose.” The French simply don’t want another five years with him.
In addition to Sarkozy’s ineffectual domestic policies and his foreign policy that is both too America-centered and too bellicose for the liking of the French electorate, there is also another reason. As mentioned before, the crisis in the EU continues to deepen and that spells disaster for the incumbent Euro leaders. So far, 9 governments have been ousted due to the European crisis, including Greek, Italian and Dutch. There are more to come. For Sarkozy, this spells the perfect storm.
On May 6, Nicolas Sarkozy will lose the election (which, based on his reaction after the first round has been a surprise only to him, but no one else). The next President of France, breaking with the long-standing French tradition of allowing a president 2 terms in the office, will be… Francois Hollande.
Most importantly, with the new man at the helm, the direction of French politics will undergo a certain change. There will be SOME change in the French attitude towards the EU and Eurozone. However, I wouldn’t expect TOO MUCH of a change at this time. Real change will come later.
Some change to the emigration policy from the poor countries, which is a big problem in many European countries, as well as in Russia. The European countries will attempt to coordinate their emigration policies and certain border controls will be introduced very soon. But the emigration mess will take a very long time to sort out.
Perhaps most notably, with the new president France will change some of its foreign policy. For one, France will stop playing, forgive the expression, “The French poodle” to the US foreign policy, the role it’s been playing during Sarkozy’s neocon tenure. France will re-acquire its more independent stance on foreign affairs, which it used to enjoy under various other presidents since Charles De Gaulle. And hopefully, France’s policy will acquire a more peaceful flavor, as support for invasions and bombings of other countries wanes.
However, if Francois Hollande fails to fulfill these deep-seated hopes of his electorate, the French people will likely vote him out of the office five years from now.
In that case, Marine Le Pen, the rising star of the French politics, emphasizing pride in France, its roots and culture; who is anti-emigration and anti-war, is likely to win the following elections in 2017.”
In 2012 I also predicted Barack Obama’s win, as well as Vladimir Putin’s win with the exact percentage of votes.
Read the original articles on Lada Ray Blog:
New predictions as of 11/24/15, incl. preliminary prediction for US Presidential Election 2016:
- Explosive Consequences of Turkey Downing Russian Su-24 Jet in Syria – Complete Analysis and Predictions!
PERFECT STORM (German version) Eine perfekte Gelegenheit? Wird die NATO im Gefolge der Pariser Anschläge den Bündnisfall erklären?
For our German-speaking readers, here is a German version of Lada Ray’s recent article: Perfect Storm? Will NATO mobilize in Wake of Paris Attacks? (Go to this link for Paris maps, video, sites/timeline of the attacks).
Many thanks to our long-time supporter Ralph Netzker for the translation!
Eine perfekte Gelegenheit? Wird die NATO im Gefolge der Pariser Anschläge den Bündnisfall erklären?
14. November 2015 – von Lada Ray
Zuerst einmal: Mein herzlichstes Beileid an die Familien. Mögen die Opfer in Frieden ruhen.
Unglücklicherweise sind die Pariser Ereignisse eine direkte und vorhersagbare Konsequenz der Aktionen und Einmischungen der NATO, der USA und des Westens im Irak, in Afghanistan, Libyen, Syrien und überall sonst im Mittleren Osten. ISIL (alias Daesh oder IS) besteht zu weiten Teilen aus ehemaligen Offizieren von Saddam Hussein, welche Sunniten sind und von den USA entlassen wurden, nachdem diese den Irak erobert hatten. Der Rest setzt sich aus der bewaffneten Opposition zusammen, die übrig blieb, nachdem Libyen von der NATO (einschließlich Frankreich) zerstört worden war, außerdem Teilen von Al-Qaida und anderen islamistischen Rebellen, die von den USA, den Saudis und Katar finanziert werden.
Außerdem hatte ich bis jetzt noch keine Gelegenheit, den Familien der 224 Opfer des russischen Kogalymavia Airbus 320 aus dem Sinai, Ägypten mein Beileid auszusprechen. Ich habe ernst zu nehmende Informationen darüber, wer von diesem Anschlag profitierte. Ein Artikel wird erscheinen, wenn ich einen Moment erübrigen kann.
Die Anschläge in Paris und die russisch-ägyptische Flugzeugkatastrophe stehen in direkter Beziehung zu Assads und Russlands erfolgreicher anti-IS Operation.
Frankreich hat den Ausnahmezustand erklärt, und den Flughafen Orly und die Grenzen geschlossen. Dies könnte eine Kehrtwende in der EU-Politik der offenen Grenzen und der Politik gegenüber den Flüchtlingen signalisieren, welche gerade Europa fluten.
Die Anschläge in Paris, die bereits dem IS und den Flüchtlingen angelastet wurden, könnten eine robuste Antwort der französischen Regierung auslösen. Die Schließung der Grenzen anderer EU-Staaten ist ebenfalls möglich.
Besonders besorgniserregend wäre es, wenn die Anschläge als ein Angriff auf ein NATO- Mitglied eingestuft würden, was das Signal für eine Mobilisierung der NATO werden könnte. Wir alle wissen, wie viel Kritik die NATO in den letzten Jahren auf sich gezogen hat, wobei manche nach der Auflösung einer Organisation rufen, die nicht mehr gebraucht wird. Dies ist eine perfekte Gelegenheit für die NATO. Eine solche Situation könnte ihre Nützlichkeit untermauern und eine Rechtfertigung für ihr Fortbestehen liefern.
In Anbetracht all dessen könnten die Anschläge in Paris eine Operation unter falscher Flagge gewesen sein, dazu bestimmt, die Erklärung des NATO-Bündnisfalles zu provozieren.
Solche Vorfälle sollen häufig mehrere Fliegen mit einer Klappe schlagen. Es könnte sich auch um eine Warnung an Hollande gehandelt haben, sich der NATO-Linie unterzuordnen. Zur Zeit der Anschläge sah Hollande im Stadium ein Fußballspiel in unmittelbarer Nähe zu den Explosionen. Mir fällt auf, dass es ein Spiel zwischen Frankreich und Deutschland war. Das bedeutet praktisch, dass die Warnung bei der Stange zu bleiben, auch für Deutschland gilt.
Eine ähnliche Warnung hatte zuvor stattgefunden, als ein Germanwings-Flugzeug in Frankreich abstürzte. Dies geschah unmittelbar nachdem Hollande und Merkel es gewagt hatten, sich der Vorgehensweise der USA in der Ukraine-Krise entgegenzustellen, indem sie mit Russland zusammenarbeiteten um zu versuchen, den Krieg im Donbass zu stoppen. Es ist ebenfalls zu erwähnen, dass das über dem Sinai gesprengte russische Flugzeug von dem französischen Hersteller Airbus stammte.
Dies bedeutet praktisch: Nach Russlands erfolgreichem Bombeneinsatz in Syrien war bewiesen, wie wirkungslos (oder korrupt) die Bombardierungen des Westens und der USA waren. Dank der russischen Luftunterstützung marschiert die syrische Armee nunmehr gleichzeitig in vier Richtungen und hat die Kontrolle über die Hälfte des Territoriums wieder- gewonnen, das seither vom IS gehalten wurde. Solch ein wundersamer Umschwung war vor nur wenigen Wochen, bevor die Russen nach Syrien gingen, absolut unvorstellbar.
Wenn dies so weiter geht, ist Syrien in ein paar Monaten IS-frei. Ich schrieb im Earth Shift Report 5: SYRIA GAME CHANGER, dass russische Kampfflugzeuge die US- und NATO- Maschinen aus dem syrischen Luftraum verdrängen würden, da diese es nicht riskieren wollen, direkt mit den Russen zusammen zu stoßen – und es geschah genau wie vorhergesagt.
Alles was die Russen brauchen, ist, dass die USA und der Westen aus dem Weg gehen, um sie ihren Job machen zu lassen. Dies begann anscheinend damit, dass Obama und Kerry ihre Rhetorik änderten, Verhandlungen zuließen und Informationen austauschten. Ich fürchte allerdings, dass man das eine Lavrov ins Gesicht sagt, und etwas völlig anderes hinter verschlossenen Türen. Ich habe nie erwartet, dass USA, NATO und Pentagon einfach die Blamage, in Syrien an die Wand gespielt und auf Eis gelegt zu werden, akzeptieren würden. Sie würden alles in ihrer Macht stehende tun, um Russlands Job so schwierig wie möglich zu machen.
Diese Möglichkeit könnte sich aus den Pariser Anschlägen ergeben. Wenn die NATO-Länder mobil machen, könnten NATO-Flugzeuge in den selben Luftraum drängen wie die russischen Flugzeuge und damit gefährliche und explosive Situationen herbeiführen. Um Zusammen-stöße zu vermeiden, könnten sie auf Flugverbotszonen bestehen (erinnert sich noch jemand an die libysche Flugverbotszone, die zur Zerstörung des Landes führte?). Die NATO- Luftwaffe ist – verglichen mit der russischen – in einer Kampfsituation völlig wirkungslos. Allerdings befürchte ich, dass sie sehr wirksam darin ist, die Russen daran zu hindern, ihren Job zu machen.
Und sollte irgendein Land, wie etwa Frankreich oder Deutschland, beabsichtigen, eine eigenständige Politik zu führen, dann wird man ihm eine Mahnung zukommen lassen…
Meine größte Befürchtung besteht darin, dass sie in der Lage sein könnten, Russland in Syrien die Hände zu binden, wie sie es in der Ukraine gemacht haben, und damit einen dauerhaften Konflikt zu schaffen und Russland daran zu hindern ihn zu lösen. Das würde russische Ressourcen binden, und das ist zweifellos eines der Ziele.
Abgesehen davon wollen die USA immer noch Assad absetzen und sie sind verärgert darüber, dass sich Syriens ‚moderate‘ Opposition in Moskau trifft, und über friedliche Wahlen, eine neue Verfassung und eine Übereinkunft mit Assad diskutiert. Die syrische Opposition begann, Informationen über IS-Standorte mit Russland zu teilen, und sich Assads Streit-kräften anzuschließen, um die Islamisten zu bekämpfen. Mit anderen Worten: Moskau erreichte in zwei Monaten, was die USA und der Westen im Verlaufe von Jahren nicht erreichen konnten (oder vielmehr wollten).
Es gibt noch eine weitere Überlegung, weshalb die USA und ihre NATO-Vasallen verzweifelt eine Rückkehr auf den Kriegsschauplatz versuchen müssen. Die USA sind dabei, ihren Zugriff auf den Mittleren Osten zu verlieren, und dies einschließlich des Iraks, wo sie immer noch Truppen stehen haben. Die irakische Regierung, die sie selbst eingesetzt haben, hat in Baghdad ein gemeinsames russisch-iranisch-irakisches anti-IS-Zentrum eingerichtet. Irgendwie haben das die USA zuerst nicht bemerkt. Aber als der irakische Präsident und das Parlament versuchten, die Russen um Hilfe bei der Bombardierung des IS auf irakischem Territorium zu bitten, reagierten die USA hysterisch. Meine Vorhersage war, dass die USA dies nicht zulassen würden (nachzulesen in ESR5: Syria Game Changer). Die Iraker sind frustriert darüber, dass die USA nicht einmal versuchen, den IS zu bekämpfen. Die USA müssen sie in ihre Schranken weisen, und die Mobilisierung der NATO könnte indirekt diesem Ziel dienen.
Der größtmögliche Unfall: Sollten die Führer der USA und der NATO sich als komplett verrückt erweisen (und soweit ich sehe, ist das nicht auszuschließen), so könnte dies in eine ausweglose Situation – den neuen Weltkrieg – führen.
Ich dachte, ich sollte diese Warnung aussprechen. In Wahrheit glaube ich, dass Putin und Lavrov in der Lage sein werden, diese Situation zu entschärfen, und eine gemeinsame Lösung für alle herbei zu führen. Unglücklicherweise sind diese beiden die einzigen Er-wachsenen im Raum – während die westlichen ‚Führer‘ der Aufgabe nicht gewachsen sind. Wie dem auch sei: Hoffentlich ist der Selbsterhaltungstrieb der Europäer stark genug, um sie auf der Seite der Vernunft zu halten.
Auf einer anderen Ebene finden persönliche Angriffe auf den russischen Verteidigungs-minister Sergey Shoygu und den Sportminister Vitaliy Mutko und den gesamten russischen Sport statt. All diese gleichzeitigen Angriffe dienen einerseits dazu, Verwirrung und Instabilität zu schaffen und die Russen zu beschäftigen, andererseits dazu, von den wirklichen Problemen des Westens, des Mittleren Ostens und der Ukraine abzulenken. Ich werde darüber in einem folgenden Artikel sprechen.
Read full analysis in:
READ ALL EARTH SHIFT REPORTS:
Read new! ESR6: UKRAINE – NEW KHAZARIAN KHAGANATE?
ESR1 Reloaded: IS PUTIN PART OF NWO?
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My readers who follow me regularly know that I’ve dedicated a big part of 2014 to trying to talk some sense into the EU politicians and Europeans in general. I wrote countless articles explaining how harmful it was for the EU to continue as a US slave, and how necessary it was for the EU to make a turnaround towards cooperation with Russia. By 2015, I became so disgusted with European ‘leaders’ that I stopped talking about that.
However, to the surprise of some of my readers, I continued being long-term mildly optimistic about the EU turnaround, saying that it would have to happen sooner or later because there really was no other way for the future to play out.
Sooner or later EU would have to deal with Ukraine’s bills they couldn’t carry on paying (it is happening now); with the influx of armed ukro-nazi thugs on EU territory (may happen soon as Ukraine continues to disintegrate); the aftermath of sanctions forced on EU and Russia by the US and corrupt European politicians could become unbearable (farmers all over EU are protesting as we speak).
I also said from the very start of 2014 that just like with the Georgia/S. Ossetia crisis of 2008, the 2014 Ukraine would also blow over. They would yell and scream for a couple of years, and then start forgetting about it, turning to business as usual. They’d eventually tire of anti-Russian statements, remembering that, after all, EU and Russia did share one continent and trade between the two was too significant to jeopardize.
It turned out that the shock of Syrian refugees became the event that broke the camel’s back. Oh yes, the US prostitutes such as Merkel and the bought-and-paid-for EU MSM still puff their cheeks in the direction of Russia. But many of EU’s elites, as much as ordinary citizens, approve of Russia’s actions in Syria. The approval of Putin’s actions is through the roof, the fact being diligently hushed up.
Bought-and-paid-for or not, EU politicians have to start responding. And the turn begins.
The desperate need for a turnaround in European politics was crystal clear to me and my smart readers from the start of the 2014 Kiev maidan and coup. But EU politicians are awfully slow. Almost two years later, EU governments and individuals are finally timidly starting to see Poroshenko and the ukro-nazi junta for what they are. Poroshenko was again called on the carpet, this time in Paris, and admonished personally by Hollande, Merkel and Putin for non-compliance with Minsk agreements. Again, the meeting lasted for four or five hours, while Poroshenko was left humiliated waiting for his turn as Putin talked in private with Hollande and Merkel.
But on the global stage Ukraine events have now been relegated to the second tier of importance . The Syrian refugee crisis takes the cake. EU has never expected such massive inflow of refugees. More so, EU’s top bras have never expected such fight between countries regarding refugee passage and quotas. EU is strained to the core and is showing cracks, while the economic crisis makes countries question their participation in the EU. Crisis shows that the only unifying factor in the EU was ‘having good times and prospering together.’ The good times are gone, and so is unity.
This reminds me of Napoleon, who was the first to voice the idea that Europe should be ruled from one center, thus being considered the father of the EU. His multinational army only held together while it was advancing and winning. The moment hardship set in and the mighty Napoleon began losing to the Russians, his army disintegrated like a soap bubble.
The pro-Russian moods in the EU are growing, despite all the resistance by the US and anti-Russian/pro-US lobby. Pro-US moods are waning, and rapidly, although it is still far from reaching the level of real change. We can be assured that US itself and USA’s Trojan Horses in the EU will continue putting enormous pressure on Europe to toe the line.
For how this works see companion post: Bulgaria Returning to Native Shores: ‘Thank you Russia – 1878 and 1945’
EU may have not liked so much the latest pronouncements from the insane asylum formerly called Ukraine. During his UN speech drunk Poroshenko announced that “Russia is attempting to destabilize ISIS,” which I think embarrassed every remaining sane Ukrainian on the face of the Earth. Later Poroshenko proposed that Ukraine should gather data on families of Russian pilots in Syria in order to pass them on to ISIS so they would terrorize these families. Anton Gerashchenko, former advisor to Poroshenko and present Ukraine’s interior ministry advisor, announced that Ukraine should send troops to help ISIS take revenge on Russia.
I think even the sold-out EU politicians would experience nausea listening to such lunatics, who now scare to death many of their former supporters and maidan instigators from Poland, Brussels, UK and Germany.
However, for the anti-muslim-immigration countries such as Hungary, Poland, Czechia, Slovenia, Croatia, Slovakia and Bulgaria, nothing has worked as well as the cold shower of the mass Middle Eastern migration. Rhetoric towards Russia changed overnight once they realized Russia could quickly accomplish what US and their own NATO were unable and unwilling to do for years: get rid of ISIS and stabilize Syria.
Again, like 70 years ago (WWII), 130 years ago (Ottoman Empire), and 200 years ago (Napoleon), Russia has to rescue these countries or territories, which in good times seem to forget everything that Russia has done for them, betraying their savior on a whim, once someone dangles a bigger and shinier carrot. In some cases, such as the traditionally pro-Russian Bulgaria and Slovakia, we are talking about US-bred russophobic elites installed as puppet governments, and equally puppet MSM. In cases of Hungary and Czechia we actually have relatively pro-Russian heads of state, who are surrounded by the same US-grown russophobic elites.
Out of all the above countries I want to single out POLAND, who for the longest time worked the hardest to damage Russia and whose not very intelligent policies turned it into the biggest US Manchurian Candidate and Trojan Horse in Europe.
It’s hard to turn around the EU. But the process of the EU turning away from the US and towards Russia and China is unavoidable and historically predetermined, unless EU wants to go down together with the mothership. They don’t seem to desire such outcome…
It will be a treacherous and lengthy process, as I’ve predicted in 2014. But this epic turnaround, when completed, will finally re-unite Eurasia, which still remains one continent with one single unified space, the need for cooperation and common goals, despite what some may want you believe.
So, the turn of this huge, misshapen ship has begun, despite the resistance. It is being signaled by the European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker, who has said in a surprise speech in Germany: “Europe must treat Russia with more decency, improve the relationship, and not let EU policies be dictated by Washington.”
Video: EU turn: ‘European policies must not be dictated by Washington’ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DsB0039hUik
And another one, with additional analysis: ‘EU seeks for any possibility to stop Syrian-migrant crisis’ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lfrNMt8tt_w
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Video version of this article is now available!
(LadaRayLive 16 episode)
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For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
As we know, Greece is in technical default on its 1.5 bln euro payment to the IMF/EU creditors. Experts tell us that this could snowball, with Greece going into default on all its debt, which is over $350 bln. If Greece defaults on its entire debt obligation, it will send huge shocks through the world financial system and will seriously undermine Eurozone and Germany.
This is why Greece’s negotiation position isn’t that hopeless. They have aces up their sleeve. EU can’t afford Greece’s total default, neither can it really afford Grexit. US cannot afford Greek default either, because it can signal the beginning of the end of the whole dollar-based empire.
The national referendum announced by the ruling Syriza party on the future of Greece is to take place on July 5th. Greek PM Tsipras urges people to vote ‘no’ to creditor demands, in order to improve his negotiating position.
My prediction: The Greek referendum will deliver the majority NO vote to austerity and creditor demands.
The fact that creditors didn’t give an extension to Greece so people could vote, instead squeezing the country on June 30th, is very telling. I wonder, what happened to the supposed ‘democracy’ the West is so proud of? How democratic is it to sabotage the Greek national referendum – a true voice of the people?
First, it’s clear double standards: Greece, a member of the EU, is treated as an unloved, unwanted child by the EU and IMF. IMF, of course, represents the interests of the US and EU, where US rules supreme.
At the same time, IMF’s Christine Lagarde tells us that Ukraine, not a member of the EU, will continue receiving IMF loan tranches, even if it defaults on sovereign debt it owes Russia. This is in direct violation of the IMF laws.
So, the West is now in violation of both self-professed cornerstones of its society: democracy and law.
Do you know how empires die? That’s how – they implode on themselves, confused and in denial. We are observing a slow disintegration of the Western (US-EU) empire. This is the time when only the blind and the unscrupulous don’t see that the king is naked.
Second, and most importantly, the difference in position on Ukraine and Greece by the IMF and EU is clearly geopolitical in nature and has absolutely nothing to do with economy. The common denominator in both is the country’s relationship with Russia.
The present Kiev junta in Ukraine is supported because it’s at loggerheads with Russia, yelling and screaming on every corner that Russia attacked them. No one believes that, but this narrative is diligently parroted by the Western MSM, nevertheless.
This has to be expected, if whistleblower journalists from countries such as Ukraine and Germany come out with revelations that they are given the text of what to say in their reports – a text written at the US embassy – and told not to deviate from it. A well-known Kiev journalist Oles’ Buzina was recently killed after the publicly revealed that his publication was forced to print false information based on the US embassy in Kiev script. German whistleblower journalists who have revealed that the entire journalism profession in Germany is sold-out to the US, doing only USA’s bidding, are forced to go into hiding because of threats.
Greece is shunned and squeezed because it dares to have good relations with Russia, speak up against anti-Russian sanctions and participate in Turkish Stream project.
I talked about the geopolitics and economics of Turkish Stream in my previous episode: Macedonia Coup Attempt – War Against Russia & China (LadaRayLive 12).
GREEK DEFAULT AND GREXIT PREDICTIONS
You know my prediction about Greece: it will exit the EU by 2017. In my original prediction, which you can find in Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey-Greek Election-EU Breakup (LadaRayLive 6) and my FT articles, I said that the reason it will take some time is because the relationship with the EU is so complex that it will take some time to untangle.
We already see that the energy is moving in the direction of Grexit. But it won’t happen yet. Greece and EU will be delaying it for now. The most important mark for Grexit will be the completion of Turkish Stream. Grexit will happen close to that date – this is the date to watch!
Of course, due to the importance of Turkish Stream for so many reasons, it will be sabotaged by the US, EU and Germany. It will be a difficult going, as I said in the previous episode. But it will be done.
From this perspective, it’s more beneficial for Greece and all other parties involved, including Russia, if Greece agrees to certain conditions by creditors and stays low for now. Direct confrontation with the EU will only make them sabotage Turkish Stream more forcefully.
For now, Greek debt will have to be a compromise, where EU will give some and Greece will, too. There is indication that that’s what Greek PM Tsipras is doing.
To conclude: will eventual Grexit cause a domino effect all over the EU? Yes, it would. However, it won’t be fast. I see it as a slow and gradual process, taking years and lots of negotiations.
For the next few years, the make-or-break moments of reckoning to watch are: completion of Nord Stream-2, Turkish Stream, discontinuing of gas transit to EU via Ukraine, and a change of power in Ukraine, accompanied with gradual weakening of the US. The timeline for all this is 2016-2019, with most events taking place between 2017-2019. US weakening will continue after 2019.
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(LadaRayLive 16 episode)
P.S. I’ll be taking a few days off this weekend to meditate and relax (I’ll be checking in for emails and comments). Have a great weekend, all! See you next week!
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On video’s image: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2015 (SPIEF 2015) in St. Petersburg, Russia, June 19, 2015
For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
A Latvian politician and member of Europarliament has told me that he recalls how several years ago any session of the EU-Russia Europarliament Commission would be packed because of the overwhelming interest in doing business with Russia. Everyone understood: that’s where the opportunity was. At the same time, sessions of the US-EU Commission would barely have a few people attending. Those days several years ago now seem to the EU like another lifetime. Events in Ukraine and anti-Russian sanctions changed perceptions and put a visible wedge between Russia and EU – a setback used by the US to continue pushing EU to accept the increase in its military presence, its LNG shale gas and its secret Transatlantic Trade Agreement.
I know what US apologists both sides of the Atlantic will say: it’s the EU people who demand our increased military presence, shale gas and Transatlantic Trade Agreement. I suppose the EU people also demand that NSA wiretap their presidents and business elites, along with every citizen. I suppose the EU people also demand to be robbed blind.
Seemingly, US can celebrate a victory. Seemingly, they have achieved their goals. However, per my 2014 predictions, this victory will be short-lived, followed by a huge reversal.
The top event of last week was the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, yet what happened there went almost unnoticed in the manipulated Western media, busy covering up the new French NSA spying scandal with a fresh dollop of Russia-bashing. According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, the moment the news that NSA spied on three French presidents broke up, French papers filled with anti-Russian propaganda, blaming Russia for not observing the Minsk peace agreements. Similar thing happened in Germany, where the public is still reeling from last year’s massive NSA spying scandal. Obviously, the news filled with bad Russia and bad Putin, their convenient boogeyman, are meant to distract from the real news.
It should now be clear beyond the shadow of a doubt who controls ALL of the world’s media, except some news outlets in Russia, China and a few other countries. The fact that French and German media immediately jumped to protect their real Transatlantic employer once the scandal against such employer broke out – speaks volumes. The prime directive of the Western MSM is to divert the sheeple’s attention and pull the wool over their eyes every time their puppeteer is in trouble.
What happened in St. Pete was sensational, and therefore, it should have been the stuff of front pages. Instead, it was shyly relegated to the back pages, or avoided altogether.
But at the same time as US and Brussels continued selling their naive populace the stale story of Russia’s isolation – and Russian aggression – a virtual fight over who would become a bigger and better partner for Russian gas transit was taking place in St. Petersburg.
See recent posts:
In light of what’s happening in Greece, what’s especially interesting is this: Greek PM Tsipras neglected his scheduled meeting with EU leaders, in which he was supposed to negotiate his country’s crucial pre-default debt restructuring. Instead, he chose to come to St. Pete, where he signed a $2 bln joint venture for building the Greek leg of Turkish Stream to southeastern Europe.
Nord Stream-2: Analysis and Prediction
Less noticed and very under-the-wraps was another mega-deal: potentially even bigger than Turkish Stream. During the St. Petersburg Forum Germany and Russia agreed to build Nord Stream-2, to deliver gas across the bottom of the Baltic Sea directly to Germany, for further distribution throughout the EU. Nord Stream-1 consisted of two branches and cost 8.5 bln euro. Nord Stream-2 will add two more branches, for a total of four, and will cost 9.9 bln euro.
Nord Stream – Rusian gas goes directly to Germany via Baltic Sea
The new pipeline will go on top of the existing Nord Stream. This means that, due to the same footprint, Nord Stream-2 won’t need to go through a very grueling and lengthy approval process with Euro Commission and deal with objections by all countries bordering the Baltic Sea. With German discipline and profit motivation, expect Nord Stream-2 to be built in record time.
Therefore, while Germany is making all kinds of public anti-Russian noises, it’s quietly making serious strides to fortify and expand business with Russia. However, make no mistake! Russian gas transit to the EU is as much in the realm of politics and geopolitics, as in the realm of business. I will illustrate that below.
Nord Stream-2 capacity will rival the current Ukraine pipeline capacity. Russia already announced that the aging Ukraine pipeline will be eventually phased out due to the political instability and inflexible position of the Ukraine government. In short, Russia won’t be held hostage to the whims of Kiev. Nord Stream-2 agreement means Germany is making a decisive move to take away gas transit business from Ukraine.
This led some to speculate that Germany facilitated the 2014 coup in Kiev on purpose: to create an impossible situation for the Russian gas transit through Ukraine, thus making Russian gas transit business its own. I won’t categorically agree or disagree with this opinion, and here is why. There is some logic to it. Germany and other strong EU economies were always worried about the insecure Ukraine gas route. Taking steps to ensure one’s country’s energy security are natural and expected. Still, at least in part, Germany is not initiating but rather responding to various threats, acting to secure gas supply route and quantities for itself and its close allies in northern and central Europe. Germany, of all countries, is able to use its considerable European pull to secure a fast construction of the new pipeline – and it’s doing it.
Is Germany making big anti-Russian noises to appease and fool the US, while behind the scenes making deals with Russia? Here is what I see: I do think Germany is continuing clumsy attempts to sit on two chairs, playing both Russia and US, in the hopes of wiggling its way out of unfavorable agreements with the US, while keeping the door to Russian business semi-open with one foot. It’s some fancy acrobatics, to be sure, and it does look desperate. Germany and German allies – in other words, the strongest northern and central EU economies – see the writing on the wall and they don’t want to be caught in the upcoming Ukraine/US fallout. They are also rushing to secure Russian gas agreements while they still can.
Turkish Stream Prediction
It’ll be somewhat harder for Turkey, Greece and Italy to push the Turkish Stream construction through. Their pull isn’t as hefty as Germany’s and the pressure on them will be significant both from the US and EU.
But my confident prediction is this: unlike the botched South Stream project, which relied on the weak key transiter, Bulgaria, the Turkish Stream project will be accomplished successfully. The reason is that Turkey is much stronger than Bulgaria as a key transiter. Greece (key transiter 2) will be fine as well, as long as it remains steadfast. This will be a tall order, but Greeks are fighters and they can do it.
The Myth of the United EU and NATO: Geopolitical and Economic Rivalries Explosion
What many are missing is that Germany and Greece are acting here as direct rivals. Germany wants to keep all of Russian gas under its control, in order to then distribute it to all of the EU, thus keeping its control over Eurozone. Meantime, for Greece their participation in the Turkish Stream and association with Russia is a terrific negotiation ploy and additional leverage in their fight for independence against the EU, IMF and German dictate. To top it off, Russian partnership is a lifesaver for the fledgling Greek economy.
As such, Germany sees Greek revolt as a challenge to their EU power and hegemony. From this it’s easily understood that Germany and Brussels would try to undermine and sabotage Greece and other countries who are participating in Turkish Stream.
US will also try to sabotage it for both geopolitical reasons and for their own economic reasons. US wants to sell its shale gas to the EU. Its dream is to push Russia out as the primary gas supplier to the EU, taking Russia’s place and, therefore, binding the EU to itself not just militarily and economically, but also energy-wise.
Consequently, the fight between Greece and EU/Germany we are presently observing is much more than a fight for Greece’s debt restructuring. It’s also beyond the projected Grexit. It’s about distribution of Russian gas and future control of European energy security.
When Bulgaria’s puppet government foolishly refused to allow South Stream through its territory, loosing potential billions in future profits, Turkish Stream was born. It will go through the bottom of the Black Sea, using Russian waters, a small stretch of international waters and Turkish waters. Then, it will go through the northwestern-most part of Turkish territory, with branch-outs to supply large parts of Turkey with Russian gas. Why is it important that it only goes through the northwestern part of Turkey? This is the quietest and most prosperous part of Turkey. The east and south are restive and volatile, with Kurdish and Syria-related unrest.
But Turkey isn’t a member of the EU. Turkish Stream will get to the border with Greece at which point Greece will take over the pipeline for further distribution to other EU countries.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Erdogan sign the Turkish Stream deal
As we see, Greece/Turkey and Germany are now in direct competition for the exceedingly lucrative Russian gas venture. Therefore, the fight between them is also the fight for future control and profits.
Putin’s Gambit: the all-around win for Russia
We spoke on many prior occasions about how Putin works. Sometimes, it appears he doesn’t respond directly to various threats and adversarial actions by the US, Kiev junta and EU, instead, he takes his time and acts asymmetrically, when he is ready. And every time Russia acts, it’s an unexpected and pretty crushing move. This is why they call Putin the Grand Chess Master.
Nord Stream-2 partner is the No. 1 German energy giant E.On, as well as Shell (Dutch-British) and other German companies, such as OMV and Wintershall. It is understood that such companies wouldn’t commit to Nord Stream-2 without securing a serious backing of the German government. It is also a given that Nord Stream-2 will be pushed through by Germany in record time. In fact, it will be built faster than Turkish Stream.
This puts fire under Turkey. The thing is that after the Turkish Stream deal was signed by Erdogan, he imagined himself in the driver seat. He began looking for more preferences, playing on the Crimean Tartar controversy and delaying the approval for the engineering survey of the pipeline route. Immediately after the Nord Stream-2 deal was signed, the Italian engineering survey vessel, which was sitting in the Bulgarian port of Burgas waiting for Turkey’s permission to enter the Black Sea for six months, was finally allowed to start work. Erdogan also changed his tack on a number of other issues.
Recall what I once said before: Erdogan and Turkey are attempting to play their own game in the Middle East and southeastern Europe, not always successfully and not always nicely. However, on balance Turkey is still a strong and convenient ally for the Turkish Stream and various other projects, for a variety of reasons – from geopolitical, to psychological and economic. For one, Erdogan is pissed at the US, EU and NATO, and two, he wants gasification of his country, whose archaic coal-based system is in desperate need of replacement with clean modern energy.
Therefore, Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream are in direct competition. This is excellent, as it will finally balance the situation with Russian gas supply to the EU, which has become precariously imbalanced after Ukraine, and sometimes Belarus, began playing blackmail games. The result was that Ukraine endangered EU’s energy security and Russia’s energy livelihood. And that’s just not done.
There is an ‘opinion’ of ‘the couch potato experts’ that Russia won’t have enough gas to fill both pipelines.
However, having reserve capacity on hand is actually the point! Two pipelines will be filled with gas as needed, reserve capacity used as necessary. The constant competition between the two will not allow either party to attempt what Ukraine has done for years: blackmail Russia either economically or geopolitically, while keeping EU gas customers hostage.
The realisation of the plan of the competing pipelines will put an end to the American Dream of cutting Russian gas from Europe. Will US try to stop the construction? Undoubtedly. My prediction: because of well-chosen allies, and unlike with South Stream, they will fail.
The deadline for the complete turn off of the Ukraine gas transit system is 2019. Until then, EU and Germany will have to continue paying for Ukrainian gas in order to ensure Ukraine doesn’t turn off the vent.
Alexander Medvedev, Gasprom Deputy Chairman said: “After the current gas transit agreement with Ukraine expires, there will be no new contract, nor extension of the existing contract, under any circumstances. Due to the economic, political, investment and technological risks, there will be no more Ukraine gas transit, not even if sun and moon switch places in the sky.”
China: Deeper reason for the stampede to secure Russian gas
In addition to the Turkish Stream and Nord Stream rivalry, for the EU and Germany there is another, more important consideration.
Germany must act now, before Russian gas gets redirected to China and Asia via the Power of Siberia pipeline. Let’s recall my 2014 predictions: once it happens, it will be too late and EU will begin experiencing gas shortages. Shortages can be avoided if Europe acts now to secure multi-year gas commitments.
Therefore, Russia is building a fully balanced and diversified Eurasian gas supply system, and Chinese counterweight plays a big part in it.
Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream will eventually take all gas transit business away from Ukraine. It means that regardless of how the power in Ukraine changes in the following 2-3 years (and it will), Ukraine will only be able to buy gas for itself – at market prices. It won’t be able to profit from the exclusive gas transiter status.
Poor, naive Ukrainians; while they were yelling and screaming on Kiev maidan that Russia was bad, shrewd Europeans nodded politely and did what they had to do to provide for their energy security. This eventually will render Ukraine unnecessary for either US or EU, and, as I predicted, it will simply be abandoned. Too bad the cost will be so great for the people… I wonder, will Ukrainians ever learn?
This effectively means that US will lose interest in Ukraine and drop it like a hot potato. Recall my timeline for the mega-changes in Ukraine: 2016-18.
US LNG Shale Gas
But what about the US and its LNG shale gas, you ask? Judging by the St. Petersburg deals, Europeans aren’t holding their breath for it.
Let’s be clear: US shale gas is yet another bubble. This, awfully harmful to the environment bubble, will burst, just like so many before it.
Where is China?
What went completely unnoticed in the media was the presence of China at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. Too bad, because this is actually the country everyone should have been watching in the first place. Chinese press wrote after the event that China and Russia fortified their future-oriented, long-term strategic partnership. Russia is the key partner in China’s New Silk Road project, which will unite in one economic space China, Russia/Eurasian Union, most of Asia and EU.
For more listen to my interview: Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road ~ The Plane Truth
I spoke many times about the need to reunify all of Eurasia. This is one continent. The artificial division on Europe and Asia has to come to an end. Through trade and energy, this is what Russia and China are working on.
While Germany, Turkey and Greece trip all over themselves to be first to sign gas transit agreements with Russia, China is continuing its patient long-term expansion. Unlike the expansions of the US and EU, it targets to cooperatively unite, not divide. Patience is one thing Chinese have lots of. Pragmatic wisdom and vision is another.
Europeans could learn a lot from both Russians and Chinese.
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