This is a new developing trend to keep in mind for all my readers!
I first predicted this trend in 2012, in my article about EU and French Elections.
March 9, 2016 BREAKING NEWS!
Slovenia, Serbia, Croatia, Macedonia shut borders, closing Balkan route for migrants.
Recently, the so-called Visegrad Group of four E. European countries (Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary) resolved to invest in a fence, closing off Macedonia border to the uncontrolled migrant inflow. After that Austria invited the above countries, plus the Balkans states, to a conference, during which joint measures of Central/East European countries were agreed upon. This conference took place over the objections of Merkel and Germany. Austria purposefully excluded Germany and Greece, the two other countries in the region most impacted. This was a serious sign of how far the fracturing of the EU had gone.
Today’s breaking news, the coordinated action of four Balkans countries to shut down borders to migrant and refugee inflow, is the result of the Austrian deal.
This, incidentally, leaves Greece in the cold, to cope alone with hundreds of thousands of refugees that are already there and that are still trying to get in.
What is happening is the result of the EU actions of allowing the uncontrolled flow of refugees through Europe. Having seen that EU doesn’t bother acting on behalf of its citizens, certain countries had no choice but to take initiative into their own hands. Again, this is a confirmation of how ineffectual the EU construct is in a crisis.
As predicted on April 28, 2012
Quote from my 2012 Predictions Update: French Elections and Eurozone:
“Some change to the emigration policy from the poor countries is coming, which is a big problem in many European countries, as well as in Russia. The European countries will attempt to coordinate their emigration policies and certain border controls will be introduced very soon. But the emigration mess will take a very long time to sort out.”
Also read related (Dec. 7, 2015): Per My 2012 Prediction! French Elections and the Rise of Marine le Pen and National Front
Another related prediction from 2014! My readers may recall what I said about Ukraine back then: Ukraine will never be admitted to the EU, visa free travel to the EU for Ukrainians will remain just a dream.
Third related prediction of which I talked in my Turkey-bound Earth Shift Reports and articles from 2015: Turkey will NOT be admitted in the EU, visa-free regime between EU and Turkey will never happen.
All these are being confirmed.
DEVELOPING GLOBAL TREND!
END TO LIBERAL OPEN DOORS POLICY and STRICTER BORDER CONTROLS are coming! This especially impacts two places with formerly extremely open and liberal border crossing policies: these are EU/Europe and Russia. This is the full list of the border tightening on the planet:
EU, and Europe as a whole, including UK – happening now and will intensify.
What is especially remarkable about this specific border restriction in the EU is the fact that it’s not the securing of the outer borders of the EU in general we are talking about. It’s the case of the necessity-based alliances between neighbors, when everyone ‘saves themselves’ the way they can. EU has proven to be an ineffectual construct and its reputation is declining, especially among countries most effected by the refugee crisis.
I was recently asked when to expect Brexit and will any other countries try to exit the EU soon. I will do a full prediction on that later this year. But I’ll say now that this border tightening is the first step in the direction of the reformatting of the EU.
Russia and all of post-Soviet space, including Central Asia – happening now and will intensify.
This applies to the outer borders of most of the post-Soviet space, due to the threat of ISIS terrorist infiltration. After the USSR collapse, Russia stopped investing in border patrols of most of the newly independent former republics. Some of these republics neglected proper border service. Russia still has agreements to help out with some of the former republics, such as Armenia, Belarus and Tajikistan. Agreements with most ex-republics will intensify, including Belarus, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, as the threat of Islamist and ukro-nazi extremism infiltration continues being on the rise.
At the same time, Russia will also have no choice but to additionally secure her own borders with former republics, which were, until recently, extremely open. Russian borders will also be secured when it comes to the Middle East and Asia. This already happened with Turkey, with which Russia had visa-free regime till 2015. Border tightening is happening with Ukraine as well.
Stricter border controls will be introduced due to the Islamist and ukro-nazi extremism risk.
Additionally impacted: USA, Canada, Australia – happening, or starting to happen, now; will intensify.
Soon, and certainly before the end of this decade, stricter border controls may be introduced in various countries of Asia and S. America.
The main reasons for the border tightening trend:
- risk of Islamist and fascist/ukro-nazi extremism
- attempt to stop uncontrolled infiltration of sleeper terrorist cells
- attempt to curb uncontrolled migration from poor countries, as the open borders are used against EU and Russia by third parties
- this will also be used increasingly as an excuse to control own population in the West, especially in the US; privacy concerns will grow
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ASK LADA 5:
Was the 1917 Russian Revolution an Early Color Revolution?
Russian Analyst Nikolay Starikov on Armenia Maidan and Greece
My view on Russian politician/analyst Evgeny Fedorov
(All posts in this series appear under CATEGORY: Ask Lada)
In reply to my article: Color Revolutions: Who and Why Takes Advantage of Border Disputes and Historic Resentments?
Ask Lada 5
That’s why I said the color revolution manual hasn’t been changed since the beginning of the 20th century.
However, the real color revolution was the February 1917 coup/revolution that unseated Nikolay II and ended the Russian monarchy. Without those Russian oligarchs, counts, officers and Tsar’s relatives who came out wearing red bands in February, plotting to unseat Nikolay II, the later Bolshevik Revolution wouldn’t have happened. Without the direct British agent Kerensky (proven fact Kerensky himself brags about in his memoirs) and his Temporary Government – Rus.: Vremennoe Previtelstvo – of oligarchs that destroyed what was left of the country’s infrastructure and morale in the short several months between March and October, the Bolshevik Revolution wouldn’t have happened either.
The 1917 Russian Empire situation looked a lot like Ukraine’s today, in other words, total madness – albeit on an incomparably larger scale. The Bolshevik Revolution of November 7, 1917 capitalized on the ensuing mayhem and went much beyond the color revolution goals, in fact breaking out of the mold, and building an alternative social system to rival and balance out the West.
But yes, February and November 1917 were in fact 2 parts of one mega-coup.
This is where Nikolay Starikov, whom I mentioned on several occasions, shines: explaining color revolutions. The geopolitics of the 20th century – through now is his period. Perhaps also 18-19th centuries as well. (He loses me when he goes deeper in history, into areas he doesn’t understand.)
Just posted: great latest video by Starikov where he gives his perspective on Greece and Armenia electric maidan. He echoes and compliments very well from his angle what I have been saying all along on these issues.
Have a listen. Sorry everyone, only have it in Russian, but I hope you can turn on English subtitles on YT.
Generally, Starikov is one of my top recommended Russian geopolitical analysts. Just keep in mind what I said earlier about him in regards to different historic times, plus the fact that he takes an exclusively patriotically-Russian angle on things (don’t blame him), while I prefer to think of the good of the entire Planet Earth.
In this video Starikov also talks about a direct connection between Gorbachev’s ‘treason,’ as he calls it, and the EU formation. I did mention in the above-linked article that I think this view of Gorbachev is overly simplistic.
Starikov makes a compelling case that Gorbachev’s actions, resulting in the break-up of the USSR, set in motion a chain of events culminating in the mushrooming of the EU as we know it today, on the bones of the Soviet Union.
Since we are on the topic of Russian geopolitical analysts: one of my readers, Kostya, also asked my opinion about Evgeny Fedorov and his ‘prediction’ that there is a secret negotiation to replace Putin. My readers do know my rule that I don’t discuss other people’s work or personas, unless I can say something positive, as in the case of Starikov above. I’ll make a quick exception here, since I often get questions about Fedorov’s sensationalistic predictions that never come true.
Here is what I replied to this reader’s question:
I generally don’t listen to Fedorov, as I mentioned on prior occasions. My view of Fedorov is that he is a fear monger and sensationalist. But perhaps he plays the role of the boy who cried wolf, which can be useful, I suppose, to wake up those who are normally asleep. Sadly, some need a dose of his scares he likes throwing around, to keep them alert.
I demonstrated in 2014 how his ‘prediction of the upcoming maidan in St Petersburg’ didn’t materialize, while mine that it wouldn’t happen – did. ‘Nough said.
But some don’t want the truth, preferring sensationalism and tall tales.
That said, as you know, I agree with Fedorov in principle regarding the NWO and UK/US globalist hegemony agenda gone too far.
Added to clarify some questions: I also appreciate Fedorov’s long-standing resistance against and vocal position on the US globalist agenda issues. In a way, he is a hero and a great awakener. But I disagree with his methods and information delivery. As I said, some people may require this type of presentation, which is sad.
Link to the above-referenced post: Prediction: Is Kiev-Style Maidan Possible in St. Petersburg? As we all know, no maidan ever happened in St Pete, in line with what I had said back then.
Ask Lada 3
All posts in this series will appear under CATEGORY: Ask Lada
In response to my latest article Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions,
This morning after the referendum confirms your prediction Lada. I also felt that it would be a NO vote. Disappointed to see that Janos Varoufakis has resigned but perhaps this is a ploy to ameliorate the ire of the EU dictators and banksters and buoy up Tspris’s bargaining position. I am sure Janos will be working on behind the scenes! Thank you Brave Greeks! You have the EU Elites packing it and running everywhere to have meetings to see what they do next. What a joke..not even a game plan! They are so sure of themselves that they cannot see any other possibility but their agenda which is disintegrating before their very eyes and they are still hardline and remorseless. Such pride and arrogance comes before a huge fall…they have just tripped and are about to hit the ground face down.
Greferendum Domino Effect? Revolution Coming? The Future of Europe and Eurasia?
Yes, unfortunately, the resignation of Varoufakis is political maneuvering. I like the guy a lot, he has gumption. But he is too ‘radical’ – read: clear-minded and mission-driven – for EU, which they perceive as lack of compromise. He scares them.
Essentially, EU negotiators demanded that he leaves, citing the impossibility of talking with him. Varoufakis is a very influential and charismatic presence in Greece, and Alexis Tsipras’ strongest ally. After his resignation the immediate EU speculation is that Tsipras won’t survive in power that much longer. I heard a German analyst today predicting that Tsipras government won’t survive for two weeks. Well, EU bureaucrats and banksters are itching to unseat the new Greek government. I wrote at length why that is in:
- Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions
- Putin’s Gambit: Germany To Replace Ukraine as Russian Gas Transiter
However, I don’t believe these people are that easy to unseat. It’s certainly a wishful thinking of some. Greferendum showed what people really think.
That said, Greece can’t avoid talking to the EU because they are running out of cash and banks are on the verge of collapse. Since so far Greece is fully integrated into the EU system, it can’t be helped. None of the measures EU proposes will work, but Greece will have no choice but to prolong the agony, until 1-2 years from now the tight rope will finally snap and Greece will have to leave the EU. As I said in the above-linked articles, Grexit will be linked to the completion of Turkish Stream and other cooperative agreements with Russia.
This is to answer a doubtful comment to the same post by another reader:
Could Grexit happen sooner than 2017? I actually said it would be ‘by 2017,’ which means it could happen in 2016, although doubtful. Sure, there could be accelerating events, which will make the situation fluctuate, but they are not likely to influence the final outcome – and that’s mildly put.
My prediction remains the same (as usual, I don’t deviate from my predictions and they as a rule always come true, including dates and numbers). Sure, I am still only human, but I think my track record speaks for itself.
Unfortunately, some prefer to argue with me about my predictions. It happened in 2012 and 2014. Every time, I simply suggest people wait till the event or outcome predicted takes place.
So far, I don’t recall ever being wrong and those who argue with me being right. The thing is: I don’t look at what MSM says or politicians do – I capture the prevailing quantum (cosmic) energy leading to the event and determine its likelihood on quantum plane, not on 3D plane. But this it a topic for another discussion, which we may have eventually.
Many readers understand what I am talking about when I tell them things like that. However, those few who don’t want to hear about cosmic energy and quantum stuff, preferring only things they can touch and see with their own eyes, I have a solution for you. Simply look at my tangible, for all to see, predictions track record. You can go to PREDICTIONS for that, although the list is incomplete (a more complete and organized version may appear one day, time allowing, on LadaRay.info). Then you can decide who and what you should listen to and believe.
Back to Greece:
EU demands someone they can talk to – a compromise figure. The newly appointed finance minister is just that. He went to school in London, so he knows their mentality. He is also considered a quiet technocrat, as opposed to the flamboyant, politically outspoken charmer, Varoufakis, who rides his motorcycle around Athens and wears a t-shirt to EU meetings. That said, the new finance minister is also a long-time member of Syriza, so don’t expect him to deviate from the party line. He is just a compromise to satisfy EU elites, utterly scandalized by Varoufakis’ unorthodox behavior.
In previous articles/videos, which you can find in the above-referenced links, I explained that Greece will find itself under a long-term attack from US and EU due to its anti-EU revolt, its support for Russia and Turkish Stream. This is just the beginning, so hold on to your seatbelts! Greece has no choice but to maneuver its way between the Scylla and Charybdis of these difficult times, the same way as we all have no choice but to go through the developing Earth Shift.
It’s working out exactly as predicted in Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions and previous vids/articles. For now, Greece will have to compromise with EU and vice versa. This posturing will continue for a year or two, until Grexit and EU exodus by other countries… unless EU changes, which I don’t foresee as they are too tightly integrated into the US-EU political-financial-military matrix.
An illustration of how this matrix works:
Last week, Finland denied visas to Russian Duma Speaker Sergey Naryshkin and a number of the Russian Duma deputies, basically the top elected politicians in the country. They were scheduled to attend a session of the OSCE in Helsinki. The reason given for the visa denial is that these people are under sanctions due to ‘Russia’s annexation of Crimea.’ The scandal is huge and growing, with many in Russia demanding return sanctions against Finland. Finland, which prides itself in its democracy – again, when it’s convenient – acted illegally. The thing is that Naryshkin and others cannot be banned from attending international forums in any country in their official capacity as Duma speaker and deputies. The ban only applies to their private trips. By banning entire Russian delegation, EU effectively shuts the mouth of those who have a dissenting opinion, so, god forbid, Europeans wouldn’t hear it.
But there is much more to the story. Finland was a part of the Russian Empire for centuries. Finns themselves seceded from Sweden, which they felt mistreated them. They asked for protection by and admission into the Russian Empire. It was accepted and became an autonomous province of the Russian Empire until 1917 revolution. Lenin gave legal independence to Finland as a thank you for giving him asylum when he was hiding from Russian authorities. Just imagine how de-facto independent of the Russian authorities the Finns were if they could hide Lenin on their territory while he was preparing a revolution to overthrow the tsar’s regime, and no one could touch him! There is a deeper story behind that, which I’ll tell some other time.
You decide how to classify Finland after all this, if – apparently, as a sign of gratitude – it first sided with Hitler, when many Finns became fascists and joined the Nazi party. Later, Finland became one of the US/EU forposts from whose territory the clandestine undermining of the USSR and Russia was conducted. Meanwhile, Finland pretended to be a good trading partner for Russia, capitalizing on the lucrative Russian market, while essentially serving as one of the mainstays of Russophobia in the West. Finland often served as an intermediary for other Western countries in Russian trade, due to its favorable geographic position. This lasted until Russia’s return sanctions last year hit Finnish imports to Russia.
Now, under US and EU pressure, Finland denies visas to Russian people’s representatives under the pretext of the Crimean vote for independence and further reunification with Russia. Just consider the double-faced hypocrisy of this step in light of Finland’s own history!
Why did I tell this story? To serve as an illustration of some points and predictions I will make below.
National referendum as the only truly democratic voice of the people:
It all started with Crimea, and before Crimea, with Pridnestrovie. The breakway Pridnestrovie (former part of the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic within the USSR) referendum of 2006 result: 98% voted for full independence from Moldova (Moldavia) and re-integration with Russia. Moldova has never been an independent state since it acquired ‘independence’ from the USSR. Instead, it promptly fell under the Romanian dictate.
Since the beginning, the most developed part of Moldova, Pridnestrovie said no, and seceded. It had more than one referendum, the two latest of which were in 2006 (98% for reunification with Russia) and 2014 snap referendum with the same result – but the paperwork from that referendum was taken away by Moldova officials from the First Deputy PM of Russia Rogozin while he was flying through the capital of Moldova Kishinev (Chisinau)! His plane was detained, too, and he had to take a commercial flight back to Moscow. Yes, it’s that out of control!
The Gagauzia autonomy within Moldova also had a referendum in February 2014, in which 97% voted against EU, for Customs Union and closer ties with Russia. See my video about Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia, explaining much more:
|Pridnestrovie vs Moldova: Eurasian Union vs EU (LadaRayLive 2)
by Lada Ray
(More articles about Moldova, Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia available on this site – to find them, type keywords in ‘Search.’)
Because of the land-locked status of Pridnestrovie, which is now in a very difficult blockade from Ukraine and Moldova sides, with close participation by Romania, Russia was unable to honor the results of that referendum – for now! Soon, I am planning a piece about Pridnestrovie and Odessa, and the important for all of us processes that take place there.
In today’s world, a national referendum is the only fully legal and truly democratic voice of the people on important issues. Meanwhile, the West – US and EU – stubbornly and blindly ignore results of national referendums in places like Pridnestrovie, Crimea and Donbass, demonstrating their utter contempt for the same principles of law and democracy they had been touting as the only principles by which to live. Of course, this was their position when it was convenient for them. The moment the shoe is on another foot – out the window all these principles go.
Hypocrisy? Double standards? Are they simply stupid and don’t understand? Oh no, it’s so much worse! There are pathologically sociopathic liars and criminals in power in the EU and US, who feel their long-standing feeding grounds threatened by the awakening power of the people.
Despite crazy resistance of these dark forces, the referendum movement has no signs of abating. In fact it continues gaining momentum! Greferendum and potential Grexit is already sending shocks through the entire EU system.
Meanwhile in Austria: several days ago, Austrian citizens submitted a petition to exit the EU, with 260,000 signatures. This petition forced the EU exit debate in the Austrian parliament, sending new shockwaves through the already shaken system. Spain, Italy, Portugal and some other countries are watching what’s happening in Greece carefully. There may be attempts to exit by Spain, Italy, Portugal, France, Hungary, and possibly others, such as Cyprus ( – not yet). Leftist (Podemos), anti-EU government may come to power in Spain this autumn. A resurgence of popularity of leftist, anti-EU, pro-sovereignty forces is happening in Europe, including Germany itself (Die Linke), where leftist tradition has always been strong, but always suppressed by US/German/EU elites.
Incidentally, these leftist movements are traditionally pro-Russian and anti-American, which opens a completely new, deeper can of worms.
Revolution vs. Evolution. Predictions for the future of Europe and Eurasia
There are only two ways of reforming something that doesn’t work any more. Route number 1: peacefully, through wisdom, course correction and mutual understanding. But for that, you need both sides cooperating. Route number 2: if one side is refusing the see the other side’s point of view – the next step is revolution.
The classic definition of a revolution coined by Vladimir Lenin is: “Revolution is when elites won’t and the masses can’t.” In other words, when elites won’t see the opposing point of view and won’t change, while the people can’t continue living like this.
And that’s the way EU is going. I know some of my readers feel sorry about my predictions that EU will have to split up, at least parts of the EU. They shouldn’t. The EU has become a rotten to the core, subservient to the darkest elements the Anglo-American and globalist bankster elites, destructive force.
If the Union of European states is to be reborn, it has to be a mutually respectful, cooperative union, unlike today’s system, based more on predatory profit, hatred and superiority complex. But even that won’t work long-term.
You all know my position on this, and this is my prediction:
In order to be viable, it has to be a Union of all of Eurasia, not Europe. Eurasia is one continent. (Very long ago, during Vedic times, all of it was called Assia – but that is a fascinating story for a different post, or rather a book!)
Enough warring with each other! It’s time for the people of Eurasia to make peace and cooperate. This is the plan of Russia and China, realised through the New Silk Road and Russian energy deals.
At first, it has to be a free trade zone of what is now some parts of the EU, Russia (with Eurasian Union), China, and probably India and a few other Asian countries. The Middle East (parts of it are a part of Eurasian continent) and other relevant areas will have to join later.
Sure, European states should have their own union of some sort, but not exclusively, and they certainly should not punish and bully their members, like they did with Hungary, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Italy, France and Greece, for joining projects outside their union.
Ironically, it is Germany that is now showing the way by joining projects outside of the EU successfully, such as Nord Stream. But Germany, in the usual divide and conquer manner, doesn’t want others to benefit from similar lucrative projects, actively blocking other countries. Germany’s hand was in part in Ukraine coup – to tear Ukraine from Russia; it’s now trying to prevent Greece’s Turkish Stream participation. Austria and Hungary, which signed up for both South Stream and Turkish Stream, are also unhappy with Germany’s selfish attitude towards Russian gas projects. This possessively imperial behavior generates a growing clash between haves and have-nots in the EU, and soon this clash between Germany and everyone else will be impossible to hide.
Any exclusive union between European states (basically only Western Europe and parts of Central Europe) alone will be stillborn. Why? Because what is today incorrectly considered ‘Europe’ is just a small part of the continent of Europe, and Europe as a continent in reality is a small part of Eurasia. Any limitations will create artificial barriers and stifle mutually beneficial development of all of Eurasia and the entire Planet Earth.
Therefore, there will always be conflict, with some wanting to look east and others west. Western/Central/Eastern Europe will always be torn between siding with US on one hand and with Russia on another.
EU has to abandon its arrogance towards anyone who isn’t as prosperous as they are at this particular point in human development. Just mere 5-10 centuries ago, this wasn’t the case at all. At that time, EU was a poor, warring hell hole, while the Golden Age was taking place in Russia, Middle East, India and China. Europeans have to remember that the reason they are this prosperous is because for the past several centuries they colonized and robbed blind the populations of Eastern Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America, and lately, the population of Russia and Ukraine.
Things always change in our 3D world. They will change again; in fact, the change – EARTH SHIFT – is happening now.
The present day refugee flood into the EU from Africa, Asia, but especially Middle East, is payback for previous misdeeds. Regardless of all the indignation of Europeans, it’s the universal law of karma at work. This law never fails. As the refrain for my novelette CATHARSIS (Legend of the Lemurians) goes, “Karma can be a beautiful maiden …or a bitch.”
Europeans, as well as Americans, need to humble down very significantly in order to achieve an evolutionary leap to the new era of cooperative and multi-polar world. If they, or their elites elected by the European and American people, refuse to do so, there will be revolution – and it will be devastating.
There is still time to make a more or less peaceful transition, but time is running out.
Video version of this article is now available!
(LadaRayLive 16 episode)
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For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
As we know, Greece is in technical default on its 1.5 bln euro payment to the IMF/EU creditors. Experts tell us that this could snowball, with Greece going into default on all its debt, which is over $350 bln. If Greece defaults on its entire debt obligation, it will send huge shocks through the world financial system and will seriously undermine Eurozone and Germany.
This is why Greece’s negotiation position isn’t that hopeless. They have aces up their sleeve. EU can’t afford Greece’s total default, neither can it really afford Grexit. US cannot afford Greek default either, because it can signal the beginning of the end of the whole dollar-based empire.
The national referendum announced by the ruling Syriza party on the future of Greece is to take place on July 5th. Greek PM Tsipras urges people to vote ‘no’ to creditor demands, in order to improve his negotiating position.
My prediction: The Greek referendum will deliver the majority NO vote to austerity and creditor demands.
The fact that creditors didn’t give an extension to Greece so people could vote, instead squeezing the country on June 30th, is very telling. I wonder, what happened to the supposed ‘democracy’ the West is so proud of? How democratic is it to sabotage the Greek national referendum – a true voice of the people?
First, it’s clear double standards: Greece, a member of the EU, is treated as an unloved, unwanted child by the EU and IMF. IMF, of course, represents the interests of the US and EU, where US rules supreme.
At the same time, IMF’s Christine Lagarde tells us that Ukraine, not a member of the EU, will continue receiving IMF loan tranches, even if it defaults on sovereign debt it owes Russia. This is in direct violation of the IMF laws.
So, the West is now in violation of both self-professed cornerstones of its society: democracy and law.
Do you know how empires die? That’s how – they implode on themselves, confused and in denial. We are observing a slow disintegration of the Western (US-EU) empire. This is the time when only the blind and the unscrupulous don’t see that the king is naked.
Second, and most importantly, the difference in position on Ukraine and Greece by the IMF and EU is clearly geopolitical in nature and has absolutely nothing to do with economy. The common denominator in both is the country’s relationship with Russia.
The present Kiev junta in Ukraine is supported because it’s at loggerheads with Russia, yelling and screaming on every corner that Russia attacked them. No one believes that, but this narrative is diligently parroted by the Western MSM, nevertheless.
This has to be expected, if whistleblower journalists from countries such as Ukraine and Germany come out with revelations that they are given the text of what to say in their reports – a text written at the US embassy – and told not to deviate from it. A well-known Kiev journalist Oles’ Buzina was recently killed after the publicly revealed that his publication was forced to print false information based on the US embassy in Kiev script. German whistleblower journalists who have revealed that the entire journalism profession in Germany is sold-out to the US, doing only USA’s bidding, are forced to go into hiding because of threats.
Greece is shunned and squeezed because it dares to have good relations with Russia, speak up against anti-Russian sanctions and participate in Turkish Stream project.
I talked about the geopolitics and economics of Turkish Stream in my previous episode: Macedonia Coup Attempt – War Against Russia & China (LadaRayLive 12).
GREEK DEFAULT AND GREXIT PREDICTIONS
You know my prediction about Greece: it will exit the EU by 2017. In my original prediction, which you can find in Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey-Greek Election-EU Breakup (LadaRayLive 6) and my FT articles, I said that the reason it will take some time is because the relationship with the EU is so complex that it will take some time to untangle.
We already see that the energy is moving in the direction of Grexit. But it won’t happen yet. Greece and EU will be delaying it for now. The most important mark for Grexit will be the completion of Turkish Stream. Grexit will happen close to that date – this is the date to watch!
Of course, due to the importance of Turkish Stream for so many reasons, it will be sabotaged by the US, EU and Germany. It will be a difficult going, as I said in the previous episode. But it will be done.
From this perspective, it’s more beneficial for Greece and all other parties involved, including Russia, if Greece agrees to certain conditions by creditors and stays low for now. Direct confrontation with the EU will only make them sabotage Turkish Stream more forcefully.
For now, Greek debt will have to be a compromise, where EU will give some and Greece will, too. There is indication that that’s what Greek PM Tsipras is doing.
To conclude: will eventual Grexit cause a domino effect all over the EU? Yes, it would. However, it won’t be fast. I see it as a slow and gradual process, taking years and lots of negotiations.
For the next few years, the make-or-break moments of reckoning to watch are: completion of Nord Stream-2, Turkish Stream, discontinuing of gas transit to EU via Ukraine, and a change of power in Ukraine, accompanied with gradual weakening of the US. The timeline for all this is 2016-2019, with most events taking place between 2017-2019. US weakening will continue after 2019.
Watch video version of this article:
(LadaRayLive 16 episode)
P.S. I’ll be taking a few days off this weekend to meditate and relax (I’ll be checking in for emails and comments). Have a great weekend, all! See you next week!
Read ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS
Find all EARTH SHIFT REPORTS
Read THE EARTH SHIFTER
Read GOLD TRAIN
#TurkishStream #Grexit #GreekReferendum #GreekDefault #austerity #doublestandard #geopolitics #Russia #Ukraine #Eurasia #Eurozone #dollarcollapse #USempirecollapse #LadaRayPredictions #EarthShift
Video version of this article is now available!
(LadaRayLive 15 episode)
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On video’s image: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2015 (SPIEF 2015) in St. Petersburg, Russia, June 19, 2015
For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
A Latvian politician and member of Europarliament has told me that he recalls how several years ago any session of the EU-Russia Europarliament Commission would be packed because of the overwhelming interest in doing business with Russia. Everyone understood: that’s where the opportunity was. At the same time, sessions of the US-EU Commission would barely have a few people attending. Those days several years ago now seem to the EU like another lifetime. Events in Ukraine and anti-Russian sanctions changed perceptions and put a visible wedge between Russia and EU – a setback used by the US to continue pushing EU to accept the increase in its military presence, its LNG shale gas and its secret Transatlantic Trade Agreement.
I know what US apologists both sides of the Atlantic will say: it’s the EU people who demand our increased military presence, shale gas and Transatlantic Trade Agreement. I suppose the EU people also demand that NSA wiretap their presidents and business elites, along with every citizen. I suppose the EU people also demand to be robbed blind.
Seemingly, US can celebrate a victory. Seemingly, they have achieved their goals. However, per my 2014 predictions, this victory will be short-lived, followed by a huge reversal.
The top event of last week was the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, yet what happened there went almost unnoticed in the manipulated Western media, busy covering up the new French NSA spying scandal with a fresh dollop of Russia-bashing. According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, the moment the news that NSA spied on three French presidents broke up, French papers filled with anti-Russian propaganda, blaming Russia for not observing the Minsk peace agreements. Similar thing happened in Germany, where the public is still reeling from last year’s massive NSA spying scandal. Obviously, the news filled with bad Russia and bad Putin, their convenient boogeyman, are meant to distract from the real news.
It should now be clear beyond the shadow of a doubt who controls ALL of the world’s media, except some news outlets in Russia, China and a few other countries. The fact that French and German media immediately jumped to protect their real Transatlantic employer once the scandal against such employer broke out – speaks volumes. The prime directive of the Western MSM is to divert the sheeple’s attention and pull the wool over their eyes every time their puppeteer is in trouble.
What happened in St. Pete was sensational, and therefore, it should have been the stuff of front pages. Instead, it was shyly relegated to the back pages, or avoided altogether.
But at the same time as US and Brussels continued selling their naive populace the stale story of Russia’s isolation – and Russian aggression – a virtual fight over who would become a bigger and better partner for Russian gas transit was taking place in St. Petersburg.
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In light of what’s happening in Greece, what’s especially interesting is this: Greek PM Tsipras neglected his scheduled meeting with EU leaders, in which he was supposed to negotiate his country’s crucial pre-default debt restructuring. Instead, he chose to come to St. Pete, where he signed a $2 bln joint venture for building the Greek leg of Turkish Stream to southeastern Europe.
Nord Stream-2: Analysis and Prediction
Less noticed and very under-the-wraps was another mega-deal: potentially even bigger than Turkish Stream. During the St. Petersburg Forum Germany and Russia agreed to build Nord Stream-2, to deliver gas across the bottom of the Baltic Sea directly to Germany, for further distribution throughout the EU. Nord Stream-1 consisted of two branches and cost 8.5 bln euro. Nord Stream-2 will add two more branches, for a total of four, and will cost 9.9 bln euro.
Nord Stream – Rusian gas goes directly to Germany via Baltic Sea
The new pipeline will go on top of the existing Nord Stream. This means that, due to the same footprint, Nord Stream-2 won’t need to go through a very grueling and lengthy approval process with Euro Commission and deal with objections by all countries bordering the Baltic Sea. With German discipline and profit motivation, expect Nord Stream-2 to be built in record time.
Therefore, while Germany is making all kinds of public anti-Russian noises, it’s quietly making serious strides to fortify and expand business with Russia. However, make no mistake! Russian gas transit to the EU is as much in the realm of politics and geopolitics, as in the realm of business. I will illustrate that below.
Nord Stream-2 capacity will rival the current Ukraine pipeline capacity. Russia already announced that the aging Ukraine pipeline will be eventually phased out due to the political instability and inflexible position of the Ukraine government. In short, Russia won’t be held hostage to the whims of Kiev. Nord Stream-2 agreement means Germany is making a decisive move to take away gas transit business from Ukraine.
This led some to speculate that Germany facilitated the 2014 coup in Kiev on purpose: to create an impossible situation for the Russian gas transit through Ukraine, thus making Russian gas transit business its own. I won’t categorically agree or disagree with this opinion, and here is why. There is some logic to it. Germany and other strong EU economies were always worried about the insecure Ukraine gas route. Taking steps to ensure one’s country’s energy security are natural and expected. Still, at least in part, Germany is not initiating but rather responding to various threats, acting to secure gas supply route and quantities for itself and its close allies in northern and central Europe. Germany, of all countries, is able to use its considerable European pull to secure a fast construction of the new pipeline – and it’s doing it.
Is Germany making big anti-Russian noises to appease and fool the US, while behind the scenes making deals with Russia? Here is what I see: I do think Germany is continuing clumsy attempts to sit on two chairs, playing both Russia and US, in the hopes of wiggling its way out of unfavorable agreements with the US, while keeping the door to Russian business semi-open with one foot. It’s some fancy acrobatics, to be sure, and it does look desperate. Germany and German allies – in other words, the strongest northern and central EU economies – see the writing on the wall and they don’t want to be caught in the upcoming Ukraine/US fallout. They are also rushing to secure Russian gas agreements while they still can.
Turkish Stream Prediction
It’ll be somewhat harder for Turkey, Greece and Italy to push the Turkish Stream construction through. Their pull isn’t as hefty as Germany’s and the pressure on them will be significant both from the US and EU.
But my confident prediction is this: unlike the botched South Stream project, which relied on the weak key transiter, Bulgaria, the Turkish Stream project will be accomplished successfully. The reason is that Turkey is much stronger than Bulgaria as a key transiter. Greece (key transiter 2) will be fine as well, as long as it remains steadfast. This will be a tall order, but Greeks are fighters and they can do it.
The Myth of the United EU and NATO: Geopolitical and Economic Rivalries Explosion
What many are missing is that Germany and Greece are acting here as direct rivals. Germany wants to keep all of Russian gas under its control, in order to then distribute it to all of the EU, thus keeping its control over Eurozone. Meantime, for Greece their participation in the Turkish Stream and association with Russia is a terrific negotiation ploy and additional leverage in their fight for independence against the EU, IMF and German dictate. To top it off, Russian partnership is a lifesaver for the fledgling Greek economy.
As such, Germany sees Greek revolt as a challenge to their EU power and hegemony. From this it’s easily understood that Germany and Brussels would try to undermine and sabotage Greece and other countries who are participating in Turkish Stream.
US will also try to sabotage it for both geopolitical reasons and for their own economic reasons. US wants to sell its shale gas to the EU. Its dream is to push Russia out as the primary gas supplier to the EU, taking Russia’s place and, therefore, binding the EU to itself not just militarily and economically, but also energy-wise.
Consequently, the fight between Greece and EU/Germany we are presently observing is much more than a fight for Greece’s debt restructuring. It’s also beyond the projected Grexit. It’s about distribution of Russian gas and future control of European energy security.
When Bulgaria’s puppet government foolishly refused to allow South Stream through its territory, loosing potential billions in future profits, Turkish Stream was born. It will go through the bottom of the Black Sea, using Russian waters, a small stretch of international waters and Turkish waters. Then, it will go through the northwestern-most part of Turkish territory, with branch-outs to supply large parts of Turkey with Russian gas. Why is it important that it only goes through the northwestern part of Turkey? This is the quietest and most prosperous part of Turkey. The east and south are restive and volatile, with Kurdish and Syria-related unrest.
But Turkey isn’t a member of the EU. Turkish Stream will get to the border with Greece at which point Greece will take over the pipeline for further distribution to other EU countries.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Erdogan sign the Turkish Stream deal
As we see, Greece/Turkey and Germany are now in direct competition for the exceedingly lucrative Russian gas venture. Therefore, the fight between them is also the fight for future control and profits.
Putin’s Gambit: the all-around win for Russia
We spoke on many prior occasions about how Putin works. Sometimes, it appears he doesn’t respond directly to various threats and adversarial actions by the US, Kiev junta and EU, instead, he takes his time and acts asymmetrically, when he is ready. And every time Russia acts, it’s an unexpected and pretty crushing move. This is why they call Putin the Grand Chess Master.
Nord Stream-2 partner is the No. 1 German energy giant E.On, as well as Shell (Dutch-British) and other German companies, such as OMV and Wintershall. It is understood that such companies wouldn’t commit to Nord Stream-2 without securing a serious backing of the German government. It is also a given that Nord Stream-2 will be pushed through by Germany in record time. In fact, it will be built faster than Turkish Stream.
This puts fire under Turkey. The thing is that after the Turkish Stream deal was signed by Erdogan, he imagined himself in the driver seat. He began looking for more preferences, playing on the Crimean Tartar controversy and delaying the approval for the engineering survey of the pipeline route. Immediately after the Nord Stream-2 deal was signed, the Italian engineering survey vessel, which was sitting in the Bulgarian port of Burgas waiting for Turkey’s permission to enter the Black Sea for six months, was finally allowed to start work. Erdogan also changed his tack on a number of other issues.
Recall what I once said before: Erdogan and Turkey are attempting to play their own game in the Middle East and southeastern Europe, not always successfully and not always nicely. However, on balance Turkey is still a strong and convenient ally for the Turkish Stream and various other projects, for a variety of reasons – from geopolitical, to psychological and economic. For one, Erdogan is pissed at the US, EU and NATO, and two, he wants gasification of his country, whose archaic coal-based system is in desperate need of replacement with clean modern energy.
Therefore, Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream are in direct competition. This is excellent, as it will finally balance the situation with Russian gas supply to the EU, which has become precariously imbalanced after Ukraine, and sometimes Belarus, began playing blackmail games. The result was that Ukraine endangered EU’s energy security and Russia’s energy livelihood. And that’s just not done.
There is an ‘opinion’ of ‘the couch potato experts’ that Russia won’t have enough gas to fill both pipelines.
However, having reserve capacity on hand is actually the point! Two pipelines will be filled with gas as needed, reserve capacity used as necessary. The constant competition between the two will not allow either party to attempt what Ukraine has done for years: blackmail Russia either economically or geopolitically, while keeping EU gas customers hostage.
The realisation of the plan of the competing pipelines will put an end to the American Dream of cutting Russian gas from Europe. Will US try to stop the construction? Undoubtedly. My prediction: because of well-chosen allies, and unlike with South Stream, they will fail.
The deadline for the complete turn off of the Ukraine gas transit system is 2019. Until then, EU and Germany will have to continue paying for Ukrainian gas in order to ensure Ukraine doesn’t turn off the vent.
Alexander Medvedev, Gasprom Deputy Chairman said: “After the current gas transit agreement with Ukraine expires, there will be no new contract, nor extension of the existing contract, under any circumstances. Due to the economic, political, investment and technological risks, there will be no more Ukraine gas transit, not even if sun and moon switch places in the sky.”
China: Deeper reason for the stampede to secure Russian gas
In addition to the Turkish Stream and Nord Stream rivalry, for the EU and Germany there is another, more important consideration.
Germany must act now, before Russian gas gets redirected to China and Asia via the Power of Siberia pipeline. Let’s recall my 2014 predictions: once it happens, it will be too late and EU will begin experiencing gas shortages. Shortages can be avoided if Europe acts now to secure multi-year gas commitments.
Therefore, Russia is building a fully balanced and diversified Eurasian gas supply system, and Chinese counterweight plays a big part in it.
Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream will eventually take all gas transit business away from Ukraine. It means that regardless of how the power in Ukraine changes in the following 2-3 years (and it will), Ukraine will only be able to buy gas for itself – at market prices. It won’t be able to profit from the exclusive gas transiter status.
Poor, naive Ukrainians; while they were yelling and screaming on Kiev maidan that Russia was bad, shrewd Europeans nodded politely and did what they had to do to provide for their energy security. This eventually will render Ukraine unnecessary for either US or EU, and, as I predicted, it will simply be abandoned. Too bad the cost will be so great for the people… I wonder, will Ukrainians ever learn?
This effectively means that US will lose interest in Ukraine and drop it like a hot potato. Recall my timeline for the mega-changes in Ukraine: 2016-18.
US LNG Shale Gas
But what about the US and its LNG shale gas, you ask? Judging by the St. Petersburg deals, Europeans aren’t holding their breath for it.
Let’s be clear: US shale gas is yet another bubble. This, awfully harmful to the environment bubble, will burst, just like so many before it.
Where is China?
What went completely unnoticed in the media was the presence of China at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. Too bad, because this is actually the country everyone should have been watching in the first place. Chinese press wrote after the event that China and Russia fortified their future-oriented, long-term strategic partnership. Russia is the key partner in China’s New Silk Road project, which will unite in one economic space China, Russia/Eurasian Union, most of Asia and EU.
For more listen to my interview: Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road ~ The Plane Truth
I spoke many times about the need to reunify all of Eurasia. This is one continent. The artificial division on Europe and Asia has to come to an end. Through trade and energy, this is what Russia and China are working on.
While Germany, Turkey and Greece trip all over themselves to be first to sign gas transit agreements with Russia, China is continuing its patient long-term expansion. Unlike the expansions of the US and EU, it targets to cooperatively unite, not divide. Patience is one thing Chinese have lots of. Pragmatic wisdom and vision is another.
Europeans could learn a lot from both Russians and Chinese.
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New LadaRayLive Episode! LRL6. Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey – Greek Election – EU Breakup
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In the short couple of days after #Syriza won the Greek elections, #Greece has already challenged the EU more than once. Will there be #Grexit? Who is next to rebel (Spain already is)? Will this lead to the EU breakup, and when?
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