I coined the term ‘Super-Bully of the World’ several years ago. Now the masks are finally off and the king is fully naked. The US openly threatens its ‘ally’ Germany with a trade war if Germany doesn’t stop the Nord Stream-2 project. The threats began before Merkel’s trip to Sochi where she met with Putin, and they are escalating after her return.
RT videos give you more details:
We had discussed in previous years how crucially important Nord Stream-2 is for all of Europe, and first and foremost, for Germany. And of course it’s very important for Russia. Essentially, now both EU and Russia are held hostage by Ukraine gas pipeline. Nord Stream-2 will completely change this status quo, taking most leverage away from the US for the control of Ukraine and EU.
US wants to continue holding EU and Russia hostage to the whims of the Kiev junta, whom they control. They also want to push their own expensive and dirty fracking gas onto Europe — and never mind that fracking pollutes the American lands!
Most of all, US desperately needs to prevent Germany-Russia alliance from forming, which will eventually be fortified by the mighty China joining it. This ultimate fear of Russia and Germany (and by extension the whole Europe) working together is in large part why the US/globalists orchestrated the Ukraine Maidan and ukro-nazi takeover 2014. This was also in large part the true reason behind WWI and WWII.
I, for my part, hope Germany and EU have enough balls not to cave in to the US pressure this time, like they did so many times before, while hurting their own interests. I think this is the one time when it won’t happen. Make no mistake, the US will continue its threats and 4D hybrid war will continue. I know the EU/Merkel/Germany will try to sit on two chairs at once, as so many countries try to do during EARTH SHIFT. We have discussed how it works in PUTIN’S DOCTRINE & EURASIAN UNION SUPER-BLOCK.
But the EARTH SHIFT is still progressing in the right direction, even if it feels a little slow. I will be very happy to see when Eurasia is again re-united in one single cooperative space and Putin’s vision of Eurasian Union from Vladivostok to Lisbon becomes a reality!
Read my complete new article on Patreon: NEW SERIES! PUTIN’S DOCTRINE & EURASIAN UNION SUPER-BLOCK FROM VLADIVOSTOK TO LISBON!
This article is part of the new Eurasian Union Series on Patreon. We are discussing how, despite all the challenges EAU is growing and a number of countries are joining it as either observers or free trade zone partners. The list includes Vietnam, Moldova, Serbia, Israel, Egypt, India and more. We have also discussed Russia, the ‘Empire in Reverse’ and the ‘Inverted Collapse.’ The following posts in the series will address the important and baffling events in the post-Soviet space, Armenia Maidan and Moldova’s Trump.
Notice the very fancy footwork by Merkel in many answers. Trying to sit on 2 chairs at once comes to mind. I actually understand her – her position is shaky and she needs to please opposing points of view at the same time.
What Merkel says in the beginning is a very telling example. Also notice how illusive her answer is to the question about the crackdown on freedom of speech in Ukraine and the arrest of Russian journalist there (the head of RIA Novosti-Ukraine), plus deportation of two other Russian journalists.
Acts of International Sabotage: Another Major Fire in Russia as Country Grieves for Kemerovo Victims!
One fire may be (although it wasn’t) an accident; two major and SIMILAR fires within 2-3 days – never an accident!
Today’s major fire inside a car dealership full of people in St. Petersburg. As far as I know, there were no victims and, thankfully, everyone got out on time. Video:
If you want to ask my opinion, and you know I am seldom, if ever, wrong: these are coordinated acts of international sabotage against Russia and Putin. I have predicted this more than once and I said that not only the elections were targeted, but also World Cup.
I firmly believe that the Skripal poisoning false flag, Russian diplomats coordinated mass-expulsion, blaming Russia for the ISIS/terrorists’ chemical weapons false flag in Syria and escalation in E. Ghouta, plus the Kemerovo fire and this new incident — all these things are tightly interconnected in one orchestrated mega-sabotage and vilification drive against Russia.
The culprits are well-known and I won’t go into details here, although I have a very good idea what entities and from what countries are behind each case.
The goal is many-fold:
1. Punish Russians for voting for Putin in such unprecedented numbers;
2. Spoil the World Cup celebrations – for the same reason, to punish Russians for supporting Putin;
3. Making Putin’s and any elites’ who support him lives hell;
4. Make Russians everywhere – inside and outside of Russia – feel depressed, to basically snuff the light out of all of us;
5. Make Russia and Russians too preoccupied with the situation inside the country, rendering The Great Balancer paralyzed and unable to fulfill its important global role;
6. Scare off anyone/any country who might try to revolt against US/UK hegemony;
7. Scare off anyone who may want to try to have any semblance of good relations and normal business with Russia;
8. Continuation of the theme I’ve talked about since 2014, and before that, in my book The Earth Shifter in 2012 – make Russia into a pariah;
9. The ultimate goal is to weaken Russia so much from within and without so that Russia the Great Balancer would be destroyed.
Russian authorities have indicated that they rule out a terrorist act in Kemerovo. This is treated as an incident due to negligence by owners and authorities. I agree with that, but not entirely. There is more!
This is how sabotage is done: you find a weak link and strike there. Sabotage is effective when there are pre-requisites in the form of negligence. First, a sleeper cell on the ground finds the right sabotage venue, such as the Kemerovo mall, where security measures are not observed properly and where the very nature of the place makes it a challenge to escape in case of emergency. Then a few people are bribed, and they really don’t need to know why they are being asked to do something for a few hundred bucks. And then the fire is set during rush hour, when the mall is filled to capacity.
Otherwise, how can one explain these strange facts from the Kemerovo tragedy: the lights suddenly went out during the fire, making it hard to see where to go in the darkened and smoky environment; emergency exits were locked; some uneducated maintenance guy, as it became known, has turned off the alarm when the fire started; the doors of one of the three movie theaters were locked from the outside. To top it off, the fire consumed the entire building in such a short time that this in itself if very suspicious. The timing and everything else together look more than suspicious.
Now look at this chain of events! On the heels of the Kemerovo tragedy, a major Russia-wide investigation is starting into how various high-public-traffic businesses observe fire safety rules. If the saboteurs in question have identified another place with lax safety procedures, say a certain dealership in St. Petersburg, which can also be set on fire on cue, they now have to rush and perhaps do it ahead of schedule. Why? Because inspectors will certainly show up at said dealership soon, and they will make the owners fix all the problems. Then it’ll be too late. And so they do it on the day of the national mourning for Kemerovo victims.
And all this is happening to the accompaniment of the heartless mass expulsion of Russian diplomats:
- Insensitive West Mass-Expels Russian Diplomats as Russia Grieves over Kemerovo Tragedy
- The West Stuck in 3D Matrix, 4D World War & Why We Desperately Need the 5D EARTH SHIFT
- URGENT PREDICTIONS! US and EU Mass-Expelling Russian Diplomats, Building New Iron Curtain!
And it is also happening in the midst of the UNSC battle, where US/UK and their vassals are trying to pin E. Ghouta and whatever else they can on Russia, the only country with a fully legitimate, authorized presence in Syria. It is the US and other Western countries who are in Syria illegitimately; it is US who nurtured and protected ISIS and other terrorists — yet it is Russia who is to blame for their actions.
Another interesting thing that is re-surfacing. I am hearing renewed rumors that US/UK are trying YET AGAIN to turn Russia off SWIFT, the international system of electronic transactions. This was attempted in 2014, as part of anti-Russian sanctions, but SWIFT refused. The pressure and blackmail of SWIFT continues to be enormous. So is the pressure and blackmail of all international companies and governments trying to do business and have normal relations with Russia.
And one more thing: it is USA’s mega-goals to stop Nord Stream-2. They will continue this unprecedented intimidation campaign until they succeed – at least they think they can succeed. They will use the dirtiest methods in existence to try to accomplish this goal. There is no limit to how ugly they can get!
This is how ugly it looks when the old hegemon such as the aggressive and imbalanced USA + UK are going down. This multi-tentacled Kraken monster wants to drag everyone with it into the abyss — and don’t tell me I haven’t warned you previously!
As I explained to you in my Multidimensional Geopolitics Webinars (see ESW2), this mega-monster will never go away quietly, unlike the NICE and naive Soviet Union did, to its own detriment. It will try to suck the life out of everything and everyone, to save itself at the expense of everyone else.
I had predicted and warned this would happen since 2014, and multiple times thereafter! You thought it would have been a nightmare? Well, my dears, you are in it!
They won’t attack Russia directly, as I also predicted repeatedly. They will do that through proxies and underhanded sabotage, they’ll continue escalating this 4D hybrid war, which in fact is the new World War. It’s not a Cold War anymore. It is much worse.
Russia the Great Balancer will continue trying to keep the world spinning, practically alone — as I also predicted many times. Putin and his team are here to prevent the ultimate catastrophe – also as I predicted. They’ll do their job.
But why is it always at Russia’s and Russians’ expense? Why do we, the Russian people, always have to pay such a disproportionate price for saving the ungrateful and ignorant humans? Personally, I am sick and tired of that!
Meanwhile, here is your moment of truth! Watch: Crimea Has Spoken: 92% of the Votes Went to Putin, International Observers Saw it All Themselves
But that’s not what the Dark State of the Anglo-American persuasion wants to hear!
No comment – The US evil Dark State at work: US State Dept briefing, making black seem white and vice versa; shifting the blame from the culprit to the innocent. Turns out it’s not the US but ‘Russia who has long arms & lots of tentacles, it’s a beast from the deep sea’ – says State Dept’s yet another brainless fake blond:
And this is what the UK evil Dark State is doing and how they are twisting their EU counterparts’ arms into submission for a ‘unified front’ against Russia:
Theresa May’s lies are very easily dispelled by anyone who has half a brain. Turns out, the so-called “Novichok” isn’t even a Russian name, although it is made sound Russian – to easily put the blame on Russia, of course. Moreover, anyone could buy the formula of this particular chemical formulation for $28 online, from a book published in the USA. Moreover, the actual place this agent was registered was the USA in late 1990s, after which it was mysteriously de-registered.
Moreover, UK, at it’s infamous super-secret Porton Down lab, located just next to the supposed Skripal poisoning site, has both this substance and its antidote. Read my full article. Meanwhile, Russia has neither, as Russia gave up all chemical weapons and destroyed them years ago.
Can you imagine how desperate they are? How scared of Russia the Great Balancer? Can you imagine to what lows they can still stoop? The answer: to any lows imaginable and unimaginable. And don’t think they won’t!
In short, I am majorly disgusted, and I am sick and tired of all this negativity and all this one-way street.
PREDICTION – and a warning!
Disgusted or not, I’ll still give you my closing prediction! Expect Putin and Russia to respond to these crazy attacks unexpectedly and in a very unusual way. Just expelling some Western diplomats in response won’t do the trick. There will be more, and they won’t see it coming.
Unfortunately, this won’t stop the crazies sitting in Washington and London. I am afraid they went unchallenged for so long they forgot in their dumb arrogance that they are not invinsible. In the past such things ended in hot World Wars, with devastating results. Should these idiots get us yet again in the situation of no return, the next hot world war will be the last one!
Remember my Prophecy from THE EARTH SHIFTER novel, published in 2012? Remember what happens in the book to New York City, and as a consequence to most of the planet, as a future probability? If they go too far, this won’t be just probability.
P.S. Added: just posted this prediction, and here’s instant confirmation:
I’ll be working on a new series of posts incorporating my predictions that came true, plus the new juicy developments and future guidance for my Patreon subscribers.
I am also working on Werbinar 2 of my new EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR SERIES: FORBIDDEN HISTORY & FORGOTTEN ORIGINS.
Also working on my future books, case studies and many other cool projects. My time is best spent on projects that make me feel good and that advance my ideas!
BTW, I am also transferring my Spiritual Spa to Patreon, where I’ll be posting the beautiful spiritual music I recommend to elevate consciousness and heal our energy body. Come visit me and my Patreon community, where Spiritual Spa will be free to all on Sundays! While at it, you are welcome to explore all my FREE PUBLIC posts!
SEE NEW Earth Shift Report 21: PUTIN 2018 & RUSSIAN ELECTION for much more – and more coming in April!
All new EARTH SHIFT REPORTS!
Russia on the Offensive! Gazprom Terminates Gas Contracts with Ukraine and Patriarch Kirill Reminds Bulgaria Who Liberated It
Russia on the Offensive! Gazprom Terminates Gas Contracts with Ukraine and Patriarch Kirill Reminds Bulgaria who Liberated It
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This has been in the wind for a week. I’ve been following this since day one. It is all the talk in Ukraine, blaming, as usual, everyone but themselves.
It started at the end of last year, when the Stockholm arbitrage took a normal for the West double-standard position and let Ukraine off leniently after Ukraine’s non-payment of debts to Gazprom for years. The arbitrage cited the ‘worsening of economic conditions in Ukraine’ as the reason for its biased decision, effectively telling Russia to pick up billions of euros worth bill for Ukraine.
Last week Stockholm issued a new decision this time on Ukraine gas transit to the EU, and according to the new, politically motivated decision on Russian gas transit through Ukraine, Gazprom now owes Ukraine $2.5 bln.
This is happening with the background of Ukraine recently passing the second law (first was passed in 2015) declaring Russia an aggressor, with a chorus of Western countries supporting Ukraine, or being conspicuously silent.
As part of the Stockholm decision, Ukraine is still obligated to buy a minimum amount of gas from Russia, in exchange for pre-payment. If you remember, since the Kiev junta supported by the West took over Ukraine in 2014, it denied buying gas from Russia, saying that the only gas purchased by Ukraine was from the EU. This was done for ideological reasons and in line with the plan for Ukraine to be artificially torn from Russia, in order to create anti-Russia on Russian borders.
In reality it was reverse transit gas from Russia purchased by Ukraine from Slovakia at inflated prices.
Suddenly, after the Stockholm arbitrage decision mandating Ukraine to continue purchasing minimum amounts of Russian gas, Ukraine flip-flopped and announced that it was ok to buy gas from the ‘aggressor.’ This announcement fueled the present anti-Poroshenko, anti-government protests by Kiev radicals.
Ukraine Naftogas is the state conglomerate responsible for: 1. purchase and distribution of gas to Ukraine’s domestic consumers, including homes, offices and industry; 2. managing domestic and international gas pipes, reservoirs, pumping stations and other gas infrastructure; 3. lucrative gas transit through Ukraine to the EU.
Let me remind everyone that thanks to the USSR investments into Ukraine, it is practically 100% covered by gas infrastructure, including cooking/heating and industrial energy usage throughout.
Past winters have been warm, but as many of you know, a few weeks ago a serious arctic cold front descended on the entire northern hemisphere, including US, Canada, Russia, EU, and of course, Ukraine. In this environment Ukraine suddenly needed much more gas. They were looking at a deficit of 10+ mln cubic tones. And they suddenly remembered Russian gas and sent their pre-payment for March.
A big shock followed when following Stockholm arbitrage’s new decision, last week Gazprom returned Ukraine’s check and announced that it won’t be pumping gas to Ukraine. A veritable storm of indignation by Ukraine and Poroshenko/ukro-nazis followed, who said that Russia had no right to withhold gas to Ukraine. Let’s recall: just recently they were saying they would never buy gas from the Russian ‘aggressor.’
They didn’t know what was to follow yet…
Gazprom followed up by initiating through the court the proceedings to terminate the contract with Ukraine, which, Gazprom has maintained for years, Ukraine forfeited a long time ago. The contract in question includes the supply of gas to Ukraine, but even more significantly, the lucrative contract between Naftogas and Gazprom for the gas transit to Europe.
Gazprom maintains that not only Naftogas has forfeited the contract, but Stockholm arbitrage also took a biased decision and exceeded its jurisdiction. The citing by the Stockholm arbitrage of the ‘worsening economic situation in Ukraine’ as the reason for unfair decision, said the head of Gazprom Alexei Miller, means that the arbitrage wants Gazprom to carry Ukraine’s financial load. We are a business and this is contrary to the interests of our stockholders, noted Miller.
Russia has finally learned to play by their rules, as we see: hit them where it hurts, their wallet, fake capitalism (only when it suits them) and fake democracy with clear double standards.
Miller’s announcement that Russia is terminating gas supply and gas transit contract with Ukraine: Gazprom terminates gas contracts with Ukraine’s Naftogaz.
Good and long overdue move, if I may say so myself, and as always with Putin the Grand Master — completely unexpected. Note that it is happening right before Russian elections. Not that Putin needs those extra points, but he will increase his already fantastic lead!
Europeans are very worried about what will happen to their gas supply, if Ukraine is taken offline. The big problem expected: Ukraine will again begin stealing European gas being pumped through its territory.
It is well-known that Russia intends to terminate gas transit contract with Ukraine as of January 1, 2019, when it expires. But this new move adds fuel to the fire, pun intended.
Just a couple of days ago Putin received the new Federal Chancellor of Austria, who chose to make his first trip outside the EU to Russia. The new Chancellor Sebastian Kurz is only 31 (yet another confirmation of my predictions: recall I told you all about the Period 8 favoring the young men in ESW4: Period 8 Predictions). During the visit Kurz has confirmed that Austria wants better and closer ties with Russia, is against sanctions and also that Austria wants to have a more secure gas supply from Russia, bypassing Ukraine. The extension of Nord Stream 2 is vitally important for Austria. In fact, gas contract and cooperation were the linchpin of Kurz agenda in Moscow. Video (eng subs).
The latest move by Gazprom reinforces the desire of Germany, Hungary and Austria to finish Nord Stream 2 in record time.
Meanwhile, Russian Patriarch Kirill is visiting Bulgaria, and this visit has been highly publicized and eagerly awaited by those Bulgarians, who still remember the truth. During his visit, the Patriarch made a point to emphasize Slavic and Orthodox unity, and he reminded that it wasn’t the EU who resurrected Bulgaria in its hour of need. During his meeting with Bulgarian president he reminded Bulgarians WHO saved them, at a great cost to Russian lives:
Russians, not Poles or Finns, Spilled Their Blood for Bulgaria – Patriarch Kirill Reminds in Sophia – Video, eng subs:
Meanwhile this Saturday in the snowed-in Kiev, Ukraine…
NEWS & UPDATES!
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Denny Hunt, the host of WhyIsThisTrue, and I have recorded a new interview. In the interview we discuss why some people in the West feel a mysterious connection to Russia when they seemingly have no Russian heritage. What is behind this attraction — past lives? Or is it the fact that people are awakening to the fact that Russia – The Great Balancer is the only force on the planet which can provide stability and balance? We also discuss: the forbidden history of Russia and how the history of the world was falsified; The New Chronology by Fomenko and Nosovsky, and how and why 1000 years were added to the so-called ‘medieval times.’
This interview should come up in a few days (I’ll let you know and provide the links)!
The historic building of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Moscow
DIPLOMATIC WAR: RUSSIA TO EXPEL 755 US DIPLOMATS AND STAFF
Putin has announced that the staff of the American embassy in Moscow, as well as consulates in St. Petersburg, Yekaterinburg and Vladivostok are to be reduced by 755 people. This will bring the US diplomatic and support staff in Russia to 455 people, down from 1100, which will be on par with the number of Russian diplomatic and support staff in the US. Both US diplomatic and technical staff has to leave the country by September 1.
Moscow also announced that US diplomatic missions in Russia are losing the use of storage facilities in Chertanovo area of Moscow, as well as the embassy dacha resort in Serebryany Bor near Moscow.
US embassy Chertanovo warehouses access to which has been revoked as of August 1:
Side note about color revolution in Russia, pro-West ‘opposition’ and Navalny
I should mention that Trump recently announced that the US ambassador and much of the staff in Russia would be replaced soon. It’s not clear yet what form it would take, but there is a possibility of more future Russian sanctions against new US staff, most, if not all of whom tend to be engaged in creating a color revolution and regime change in Russia. As the 2018 Presidential Election in Russia nears, the US embassy spies have tripled their efforts to destabilize Russia.
A notorious recent example was how in the middle of a local election US diplomats were caught on camera meeting with opposition leader Alexey Navalny. Similar documented meetings, including passing on of suitcases full of cash took place in the past. Some of that had been caught on camera and shown on national Russian TV.
Navalny is well-known for his unsanctioned, openly manipulative and provocative rallies in Moscow, the latest of which was a provocation during a Russian State holiday, subjecting unsuspecting holiday-goers with families and small children to danger in the center of Moscow. Navalny was also exposed for recruiting young teenagers to do his bidding, who were promised a good payday for coming out to protest (sounds familiar — Kiev Maidan anyone?). Per Russian sources, Alexey Navalny had previously been exposed in various journalistic investigations as a CIA asset on US payroll.
The true popular support of Navalny and other anti-Putin, pro-West ‘opposition’ leaders is anywhere between 1 and 2 percent, as previous elections showed. However, using the support and training US and their vassal Poland provide, they make a lot of noise on social media and in streets, attempting to reproduce the Kiev Maidan 2014 scenario. Are they really this stupid and don’t get it that Ukraine scenario is impossible in Russia, that the population will simply come out and bury them, should they try anything like that? In part, yes, they are that stupid. After all, it did work for them to dismantle the Soviet Union. They run on the old CIA playbook inertia, failing to grasp that today’s Russia, and Putin as Russia’s leader, are a completely different story.
But in part, they don’t care if they achieve their ultimate goal or not. Plan B involves simply destabilizing Russia, weakening Putin and miring Russia in internal problems, so that Russia and Putin cannot participate effectively in their role as The Great Balancer of the Planet Earth. If they can somehow make Putin so weak and compromised that he would not run for presidency next year, that would be their ultimate wet dream (obviously, NOT gonna happen).
In conclusion of this side note, I recommend you check out my essential FT article exposing Michael McFaul: “I never orchestrated color revolution in Russia” My Twitter exchange with US ex-ambassador McFaul. This wolf in sheep’s clothing, universally hated in Russia, is now engaged through his Twitter account in very skillfully igniting discord between Russia and US, and Russia and Ukraine. As I said in above-linked article, when they choose to use their talents for evil, all of us suffer.
As usual, Putin waited till last second with his ‘US diplomatic staff reduction’ move and gave as much benefit of the doubt to Trump administration as possible. And as usual, Putin’s move is surgically designed and carefully thought through.
If you recall, just as he was leaving the White House in December, Obama expelled 35 Russian diplomats, giving them and their families, including school children, hardly 48 hours to leave the country. Check out my December 2016 article: I Hate Being Right! Obama/US expel 35 Russian diplomats. Lada Ray analysis and calibrations. This was done in a notoriously cruel and inhumane fashion, so that families would be unable to settle their financial, housing and school affairs. In fact, they hardly had any time to pack.
Obama also took away two Russian diplomatic resorts, where the children of diplomats could go to summer camp and where families went for R&R. One such resort was not far from Washington DC. In 1977, The Soviet government officially purchased the compound for $1.2 mln.
Usually, such diplomatic compounds would be swapped between countries, based on mutual agreement. For instance, there was an agreement between the USSR, inherited by Russia, and USA about mutual exchange of properties in each country, to be used for diplomats and their families as private resorts or other needs. If the US allotted a piece of such real estate to Russia (USSR) in the US, a comparable piece of real estate had to be allotted to the USA in Russia.
The problem is that the resort near Washington DC wasn’t even a part of the exchange deal. It was purchased for $1.2 mln fair and square, and was fully owned by Russia. Therefore, taking away that particular resort amounts to an illegal expropriation of private property by the US government, using threats and force. This never happened even at the height of the Cold War. And you still think the USSR was bad?
I described why this was done by the USA right before the New Year – Christmas holidays, in the above referenced article: I Hate Being Right! Obama/US expel 35 Russian diplomats.
The first words ‘I hate being right’ refer to the fact that I predicted things like this would happen in my bestselling Earth Shift Report 16: US ELECTIONS & WHAT WILL HAPPEN AFTER (release Oct. 20-21, 2016).
In the report I predicted that Trump would be put in a straitjacket so he would not be able to fulfil his campaign promises. I also said that there would be no need to assassinate him, that a whole big and all-encompassing campaign would be designed around him and his people, in order to sabotage anything he tried to change, until he would be forced to cave in and make deals in order to simply survive.
The frantic activity to sabotage Russia-US relations in late December by Obama, when usually a lame duck president would be playing golf, accounts for the fact that the outgoing administration had to create as many obstacles to improving Russia-US relations as possible. As we remember, ‘improving Russia-US relations’ was one of the key promises of the Trump campaign, which no doubt helped him win presidency.
In EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR 1: WILL TRUMP SURVIVE HIS FIRST TERM (release Feb. 4, 2017) I re-affirmed what I said in Earth Shift Report 16. I also expanded on it and brought up new details and intel. Just a week into Trump being in office it was already abundantly clear that he would quickly cave in and try to make deals with those who did everything to sabotage him — in order to survive. In the webinar we talked about the probability of impeachment, and when it was likely happen.
On photo – Moscow, Russia. Foreground: the monument to the Revolutionary Guards; Background: US embassy building
4D WAR BETWEEN THE OLD AND NEW: TRUMP’S STRAITJACKET & NEW ANTI-RUSSIAN SANCTIONS
In my writings and talks, I also explained why Russia did not retaliate as soon as the Russian diplomats were expelled and Russian property was expropriated by the USA. Putin and Russia understood what was happening. They were graciously giving the Trump administration time to settle in and act accordingly. One of the promises Trump made early on was that once in office, he would immediately take steps to return Russian properties and diplomats. It never happened. Russians still waited, because during phone calls, Trump explained to ‘dear Vladimir’ that he was in a tight spot: recall the phrase I coined while predicting this outcome: ‘Trump’s straitjacket.’
July 7-8 G20 in Hamburg came, along with the much-anticipated meeting between Putin/Lavrov and Trump/ Tillerson. Discussed were Syria, Ukraine and N. Korea, as well as anti-Russian sanctions and China. The promise by Trump administration to return Russian diplomats and properties was raised more than once during negotiations, according to Russian FM Lavrov. After the meeting, Lavrov stated, with a very disappointed expression on his face, that no progress on that front was achieved and that the work would continue.
Let’s recall that the only progress that was achieved during G20 Trump-Putin meeting, as far as Russia-US cooperation goes, was on Syria. This corresponds with my EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR 1: WILL TRUMP SURVIVE HIS FIRST TERM prediction, where I said that I am reasonably skeptical (I tried to break the bad news slowly and mildly) about Trump being able to turn around relations with Russia due to his tight straitjacket, and that the only cooperation between Russia and US I can see is in Syria — and only tactical, only in small ways, nothing substantial or truly groundbreaking.
Trump’s straitjacket turned out very tight; it was constructed solidly and much faster than many of my readers thought possible. That is because they didn’t waste any time: Plan B was already in motion even before US election, when it was becoming clear that Trump could win, while Hillary was not fit for office. And what did you think, they’d wait, naively hoping their candidate would win? These forces, lurking in the dark, work on contingencies months and even years ahead, depending on the situation.
Speaking of planning… I am sure Russia was preparing the US diplomats expulsion months ahead as well, but was giving Trump/Tillerson the benefit of the doubt till last second. In the true fashion of the Great Balancer and Harmonizer, Russia wanted to see whether it was possible to resolve the issue without rocking the boat and without wrecking the US-Russia relationship even further.
However, instead of any sort of return gesture of good will, typically for the aggressively imbalanced West, Russia received new sanctions. These new sanctions, passed by the Congress by a landslide (only 3 were against), target Russia’s very economic livelihood: the Energy Sector. They also target one of the key Russian infrastructure projects to the EU: Nord Stream 2. In fact, the document published by Congress, which details sanctions against three main US enemies, Russia, Iran and N. Korea, dedicates two-thirds of its pages to Russia. It states point-blank that the goal of the US is to sabotage Nord Stream 2 at all cost.
Trump didn’t sign the new sanctions into law yet, but there is no chance of his vetoing them as the Congress adopted them practically anonymously and presidential veto can be easily overcome. This is that ‘Trump’s straitjacket’ — in action. This is that by-partisan war against Trump in full swing, of which I warned in Earth Shift Report 16 and EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR 1.
Therefore, dear readers, you can forget about Trump if you still had any illusions.
By the way, look at what happened with the repeal of Obamacare, and look at the number McCain has pulled on the Senate floor. As I advised you all in 2015-16: forget old divisions on democrats vs. republicans, left vs. right wing. This is all so 20th century!
The new No. 1 telltale litmus test of who is who is how they feel and act regarding Russia. No. 2: how they feel about US hegemony and bases all over the world. Once you have done these two tests, you can know for sure if such and such politician deserves your vote.
In this regard, I would like to ask you all, my dear American readers. Who has voted in a Congress full of rabid Russophobes? The Congress represents in a nutshell the American people. Is that what Americans really are?
VP Mike Pence has indicated that Trump will be signing the new anti-Russian sanctions because ‘of Russia’s destabilizing role in Ukraine.’ In other words, Trump completely caved in to survive his first term, as predicted. But it’s very doubtful he will, also as predicted. I’ll monitor this situation. But my general advice: forget Trump, he is finished — CONSIDER THIS MY NEW PREDICTION.
Speaking of which, the rumor is Tillerson can’t wait to leave his post as Secretary of State. It’s visible to the naked eye that he is experiencing threats and huge pressure, and cannot control his own employees. Don’t blame him, ultimately, he values his life too. But he will (most likely) stay till the end of this year. I am not too concerned about the likes of Tillerson. These types always morph and adapt to whatever comes their way, they easily betray their principles and promises, if it suits them. Tillerson, just like Trump, may have had some relatively good ideas about making up with Russia, etc., but he, along with Trump, can easily forget those ideas, and make deals with the devil in order to come out of this situation with a personal gain, or at least with as little loss as possible.
However, the point is Trump is losing allies and shedding people left and right. Very soon he’ll be left all alone and will cave in completely.
4D WARS INTENSIFY: US-RUSSIA GAS WAR, EUROPE & NORD STREAM 2
The new anti-Russian sanctions target Western and Central Europe and those EU companies that are participating in Nord Stream 2. The enthusiasm for Nord Stream 2 in Europe has been huge. Something to the tune of $5.5 euros was pledged by EU investors immediately, before the construction began. At this point the Nord Stream pledge should be bigger than that.
Germany is the biggest investor. In addition to pledged billions, it has vested interest and direct participation in the construction. Germany supplies the gas pipes for the project, those same pipes that are targeted by new sanctions.
Italy, Austria, Hungary, Finland and others also pledged billions and participation. Germany is the hardest hit, but all these countries are in shock. After all, they are so used to doing what US tells them to do. Now they find themselves in an unnatural territory. There is much hurt feeling that ‘the US has betrayed its biggest ally EU.’ It took them this long to figure it out? I was warning EU about it since 2014. There is also noise in the EU about possible return anti-US sanctions, but do the brainwashed and sold-out EU elites have the courage and will to act?
Ultimately, it all depends on whether Germany will take the lead in the rebellion against the US, as only Germany pulls enough wight. I can tell you that Merkel won’t — she is too far gone. And this is why I have predicted since 2016 that Merkel would lose her election in the autumn of 2017!
The only hope is that the newly elected chancellor will be less sold-out and a little more courageous. However, the prognosis is not very good, despite the fact that German and European companies will suffer huge losses and for some the inability to benefit from Nord Stream 2 will be a kiss of death. When I say ‘for some,’ I mean not just companies, but whole countries. Austria and Hungary are very worried because for them Nord Stream 2 and Turkish Stream are the only possibility to ensure a secure gas supply for years to come.
Speaking of US lap dogs and French poodles! The moment US Congress passed anti-Russian sanctions, France withdrew its 2 bln euro investment in Nord Stream 2.
Remember the first round of anti-Russian sanctions in 2014 and how France was forced by US to forfeit its delivery of the Navy carrier it had built for Russia? A billion+ project was literally thrown away. Russia got its money back through court, and although some sort of reduced deal was made to sell the ship to a third party, France lost both money and business reputation as a result. After that, India pulled out of lucrative deals with France.
This time, France decided not to wait and withdrew its Nord Stream 2 investment even before Trump signed the new anti-Russian sanctions.
The reason many European countries are worried is Russia’s 2016 announcement that Ukraine transit will be discontinued permanently as soon as the present transit contract expires on January 1, 2019. After that, Russia plans to let the Soviet-built pipe running through Ukraine to rot out unused. This would take the blackmail leverage away from Kiev: it won’t be able to blackmail either Moscow or EU, using its gas transiter status.
However, this announcement by Russia does a lot more. It also ensures that after January 1, 2019 USA loses all leverage over Russia and EU from the side of Ukraine. As I pointed out before, the fascist Kiev junta, and by extension, the occupied by them Ukraine, is used as a ram against Russia. But it’s also used as a blackmail tool against Europe/EU, and especially Germany. But not only Germany; many countries are feeling the pinch, including Austria, Finland, Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia, to name a few.
USA cannot afford this poison anti-Russian thorn it has created to be rendered useless. This is why Nord Stream 2 has to be sabotaged at all cost.
Many experts have said that the reason US wants to sabotage Nord Stream 2 is because USA wants to squeeze Russia out European market in order to sell their own fracking LNG gas to Europe. That’s just silly. Europeans aren’t that stupid and they know how to count their money. US fracking gas will be 3-4 times more expensive than Russia gas. It’s only Poland and the Baltics that could consider such ripoff to be a good deal. Russia doesn’t care about either Poland or Baltics, but Russia does care about lucrative business with the EU, and would like to keep EU markets, if at all possible.
The true reason for the new US sanctions is geopolitical, not economic. Even ‘Washington dreamers’ aren’t stupid enough to think EU will buy their gas at such prices and before infrastructure is even built. I spoke about this when Ukraine coup and anti-Russian sanctions began in 2014, and we are back to this yet again. What US is after is three things:
- Sabotage and keep down Russia – The Great Balancer as much as possible, preventing Russia’s normal live and steady development, if it’s not possible to annihilate Russia altogether.
- Sabotage and weaken Europe / EU as much as possible, as USA’s main technological competitor. But it goes further than that: a weaker Europe is a more subservient and less sovereign Europe. US is desperately clinging to the old 20th century model, under which weakened by WWII Europe was completely under US and did what the big boss said. US wants to keep that status quo, which is slowly slipping away, due to the Great Earth Shift.
- Keep Ukraine on life support, also completely subservient to the US, as a poison thorn in Russia’s side. This thorn can be activated at any moment to cause pain for Russia, but if need be, it can also be turned against the EU. US is desperate to keep Ukraine as that very important poison thorn. If Russian gas transit through Ukraine stops, then the role of Ukraine as anti-Russia on Russian borders strongly diminishes, until US has to abandon ‘the project Ukraine’ altogether. Trump has talked about slowly disengaging from Ukraine, but his surroundings and Congress won’t let him. The likes of McCain and Pence, and just about everyone else, will make him toe the line. The goal here is not to support Ukraine — they could care less about the people of Ukraine suffering and dying. The only use for Ukraine, from those dark entities’ perspective, is to use it as a poison pill, or as a ram against Russia and Europe. This is why they will support Ukraine till the last possibility.
Therefore, the main goal of the new anti-Russian sanctions is to slow down as much as possible the Nord Stream 2 construction, with the ultimate goal of weakening both Russia and EU.
In conclusion, please recall my 2014 prediction, which may come true, after all. As soon as the EU adopted first anti-Russian sanctions, I predicted that if Russia feels restricted by the West in any way, off to the East Russia goes. I said that Russia would quickly switch her focus to Asia and China. That’s exactly what happened: Russia and China became tighter than ever; various Asian and Middle Eastern countries beg for an increased Russian presence. (Read: Great Balancer Theory in Action! Iraq Requests Russia’s Military/Political Presence to Rebalance Region and World).
In the same set of 2014 predictions, I also said that as a result of sanctions EU may in several years time lose Russia as gas supplier and begin experiencing gas shortages. Today, July 31, 2017 Russia is preparing Plan B, in case EU caves in to US sanctions. Russian Plan B implies switching to alternative markets and alternative ways of gas delivery, which can cause serious gas shortages in certain EU countries, starting with Germany.
Let’s see if Germany and Europe in general have enough common sense and any sense of self-preservation left to act before it’s too late.
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 18: LE PEN – MACRON FACE-OFF (lots on Trump here)
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Some important follow-ups to my latest: Heil Poroshenko! Ukraine junta bans Russian SM, prepares to ban Russian Orthodox Church.
First, an update and some rare good news from Ukraine! Under the pressure from the international community and from Ukraine’s own citizens, for now the Ukraine Rada did not pass the proposed Russian Orthodox Church ban. It has been widely warned that such ban would generate an all-out religious war in Ukraine.
The pressure on Ukraine not to adopt such shameful and anti-democratic law has been very tough. Even the Pope got involved, strongly advising against it. However, it’s early to rejoice. They will continue coming after the Russian churches and after everything Russian for as long at this junta is in power. We have seen this dance and song before, say, in the renaming of the streets and cities in Ukraine. Or take the visa regime with Russia – it has been proven that they’ll endanger their own economy by doing it, yet the Bloody Pastor Turchinov and others are back at it full force. They will keep aggressively coming at it, until the public and/or lawmakers cave in.
The aggressive ukro-nazi element has been allowed to proliferate and grow like cancer in Ukraine for 25 years. We are seeing the sorry results of Ukraine’s 25 year ‘independence’ from Russia and common sense.
The only way to reign in this genocidal fascist dictatorship in Ukraine is for Russia and for us, the sane people of the world, to keep constant pressure on their foreign sponsors, who in turn will have no choice but to pressure the Kiev junta and Poroshenko to keep the Nazi element in check. To remind everyone, the main sponsors and supporters of the Kiev junta and ukro-nazis are: USA, Canada, Germany, Poland, Lithuania, Romania, and Brussels/EU as a whole.
*** On another note, Russia has filed a complaint against Ukraine with WTO. If WTO does not fine Ukraine for the continuing border, business and trade violations, Russia may institute a visa regime and new economic sanctions against Ukraine. Russia for years has been awfully lenient towards Ukraine. But if Kiev junta continues aggressive anti-Russian stance, emboldened by the support of the West, Russia may respond in like.
Why people leave a country; How the Chi and Life force work; The People-Bridges
I know exactly how your wife feels and I know lots of people who thank the universe every day they moved out of Ukraine, and also those who are trying to get their elderly relatives out of there.
I fully understand why people want to leave. But therein lies the crux of the problem. As the higher calibrated, more educated, more active and higher IQ people continue their exodus (many of us had left years ago), they also withdraw their life force. When not enough smart and positive people are available to moderate the energy of such a place, it first stagnates, and then falls to the dark side. As a result, such country falls more and more into (forgive me) the imbecility we are observing in Ukraine today.
To understand how it works refer to my article Mass Migration: What Happens if a Country Gains or Loses its Life Force? (US, EU, Russia, China, Ukraine, Syria).
The above notwithstanding, those of us who have left Ukraine, Russia, or any other country in order to live in the West are playing a very important and indispensable role of being the People-Bridges. We bridge different cultures, foster mutual understanding and benevolence, and we seed the Western collective consciousness with alternative information.
Can Israel take over Ukraine?
Nope. Russia won’t let that happen. I already answered this question and made a full prediction on that in ESR6 Ukraine: New Kazarian Khaganate and American Zionism. In the same ESR6 I answer various questions about Israel and Zionism. In it I don’t proliferate the popular half-truths nor simplified view of the issue, and I don’t do blame game or fear mongering. I reveal some historic truths, addressing the most convoluted forbidden history moments and controversial issues. A must read for those who are serious about understanding the truth.
That said, I for one would welcome any infusion into Ukraine of higher Chi from anyone. Russians are working with everyone, including Israel, to influence the Kiev junta from without. Israel, as always, is playing a double game, and it’s all very complicated. But Putin and his team are exceptional chess players. And again, every little bit of the restraining higher Chi influence from abroad helps.
Will it get worse in Ukraine before it gets better?
This, unfortunately, is the reality we are seeing. My original prediction has been that between 2016 and 2018 Ukraine will begin turning back towards Russia, but only after its economy is fully destroyed. We are now seeing the brutal process of a wholesale economic and social destruction.
And the changing timeline…
However, there has been a slight shift in the timeline reality due to Kiev junta holding on to power for dear life and due to the US/EU establishment and shadow forces continuing its support.
Due to this slight shift, there can be some delay in Ukraine’s shift towards Russia, albeit a slight one. Moreover, there can be gradual shift of various parts of Ukraine. However, I still DO NOT see the part by part shift outcome. I see most or all of Ukraine shifting at once.
If Ukraine still stagnates under Kiev junta till the end of 2018, there will be a significant change as of the end of 2018 – beginning of 2019, when Russia cancels the gas transit deal with Ukraine and after Nord Stream 2 has been built.
But as a result of the shifted timeline, Russia will not want to drag the dead body of Ukraine (sorry, however cruel it may sound) on her shoulders. Russia will be looking for cooperative solutions with other countries.
Neither would Russia ever invade Ukraine – per my original 2014 prediction. Or let’s just say, Russia would only send troops to Ukraine based on the UN, or similar, mandate. And even then – don’t think so. This prediction for the next 2-3 years only. After that a lot will change in the world.
I’ve written about the shifting timelines and the Mandela Effect in EARTH SHIFT REPORT 18: LADA RAY FRENCH ELECTION PREDICTIONS: LE PEN – MACRON FACE-OFF & WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE EU.
And now we’ve come full circle. The change in Ukraine has to come from within. This has to be accompanied by Russian support and US/EU withdrawal. So far, this is not happening fast enough. But the situation may change very quickly in the next year or so. Stay tuned!
It has been clearly shown that the people are awakening, as we’ve seen during the Immortal Regiment march of May 9, 2017. In Kiev alone 60,000 people came out and all over Ukraine, anywhere between 600, 000 and a million.
Article by Nemo: the-ukrainian-question-political-prophecy-of-1930-coming-true/
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On May 2 Putin had a phone conversation with Donald Trump, during which the two agreed to meet soon, probably during the approaching German G20 Summit. On May 3, 2017 Putin has met with Turkish president Erdogan. Clearly these two events are tied with Merkel’s visit. Trump and Putin meeting in Germany means the host needs to check in with both. In addition to the EU and German needs, Merkel seems to have assumed the temporary role of a liaison between Russia and US. Meanwhile Erdogan’s visit has a clear Russian gas pipeline / Turkish Stream underpinning, which is also tied to Syria. Erdogan’s message is (as I long predicted): Turkey’s direction is to distance itself from the US and EU and get closer to Russia.
On May 2, German Chancellor Angela Merkel has visited Sochi to meet with Vladimir Putin. The date was agreed upon two months prior, after Merkel’s persistent requests. Curiously, Putin found no day in his busy schedule other than May 2…
Merkel came to Moscow with several goals:
1. To compare notes on Ukraine and Minsk-2 negotiations, which – predictably – came to a standstill due to Kiev junta’s violations.
2. To make sure the construction of the crucial Nord Stream 2 was on track and to check with Putin how it could be pushed through before it’s too late.
Incidentally, Nord Stream 2 is a competing project with Turkish Stream. Both Germany and Turkey are in a competition who will get to build the pipe faster and who will get to transport more Russian gas.
3. To try scoring some political points before German elections, by showing German MSM present at the Putin-Merkel presser how tough she is on ‘bad’ Russia.
THE CURIOUS CHOICE OF THE DATE
It’s safe to say that Putin deliberately chose May 2. What’s so special about this particular date? Two things:
1. On May 2, 1945 Soviet troops took over Berlin, installing that famous Red Victory Banner over the defeated Reichstag, and officially ending WWII. It would take a few more days to draft the capitulation agreement, which would be signed on May 8 German time and on May 9 Russian time.
2. On May 2, 2014 ukro-nazi fascists, supported by Germany, US and EU, burned dozens (by some accounts, hundreds) of people alive on Odessa’s Kulikovo Polie. The only crime of these peaceful protesters was that they disagreed with the ukro-nazi Kiev regime and wanted to speak their native Russian language.
(Putin chose the joint Sochi presser to remind Merkel and German MSM present, that Odessa massacre went entirely unnoticed by the ‘democratic free world,’ no investigation took place and culprits walked free: PUTIN about Odessa Video – notice Merkel looking down.)
For the most part, negotiations were conducted behind closed doors. But the public part is very telling indeed.
As to Minsk-2, there was a surprising unity between Putin and Merkel, to a huge disappointment of Kiev. Minsk-2 has to be observed. There won’t be re-negotiation of the original terms, and contrary to Kiev’s continued hopes, there won’t be a new agreement.
Nord Stream 2 is another sticky point. Kiev junta, as well as its ‘friends’ – most notably Poland and the Baltics – keep hoping that Nord Stream 2 won’t be built. The construction of the second branch of the Russian gas pipeline to Germany will render obsolete the old Soviet pipeline through Ukraine.
The Ukraine pipeline is presently used for the transit of a significant amount of Russian gas to Europe, although the amount of transit diminishes every year as more gas gets rerouted. To this day, Russian gas transit is the biggest foreign revenue source for Ukraine.
Gazprom has long announced that after the current gas transit agreement expires in 2019, Russia won’t renew it. This effectively means the following:
- Russia plans to discontinue using Ukraine as the lead gas transiter to Europe – and nothing can change that. The only destinations to which Russian gas will still be delivered through Ukraine after 2018 will be Moldova and Pridnestrovie.
- As of the end of 2018 Ukraine will lose its leverage over both Russia and EU. In turn, US will lose leverage over Russia and EU by the means of Ukraine. And of course, USA’s and EU’s leverage over Russia and Ukraine will greatly diminish as well. This inevitably will change the geopolitical landscape. As I predicted all along, as it loses its importance as a pressure point against Russia, the US and EU will have no choice but to withdraw from Ukraine.
- Consequently, if Europe wants to receive Russian gas after 2018, it has to hassle.
Hence the German effort to ensure Nord Stream 2 is on track. German parliament has recently approved Nord Stream 2 speedy construction. The new 6.6 bln euros in loans have been allocated to the project.
During Sochi visit Merkel confirmed that Germany is fully on board regarding Nord Stream 2 by hinting that EU regulations would slow down the construction and that they should not apply to this pipeline.
Based on the above, you’d think that Putin and Merkel were the best of pals. Putin confirmed that Germany was Russia’s leading trade partner No. 2, after China. Putin also said that the trade volume between Russia and Germany grew by 43% since last year.
Merkel piped in by saying that there are differences, but dialogue is the only way to understand each other’s position.
Where did all the talk about punishing and isolating Russia go? Where are those anti-Russian sanctions? As I predicted since 2014, ‘They’ll huff and puff for a couple of years, and then everything will get back to normal – just like it happened after 2008 Georgia – S.Ossetia war.’ I also said that the appearance of the sanctions will stay, while in reality business and trade will go on, bypassing them.
Predictions on track: 2 years after 2014, Russian trade with Germany is suddenly up by 43%. Let’s also recall that Saakashvili of Georgia was out of his presidency 2 years after he attacked S.Ossetia, and that Abkhazia and S.Ossetia would never return to Georgia. Ukraine is following closely in Georgia’s tracks.
VIDEO: Putin – Merkel joint presser, Sochi, May 2, 2017 (ENG translation)
The political part of the meeting had an entirely different tone. Merkel dragged (excuse me, brought) with her to Sochi an entire entourage of ‘journalists’ representing German MSM. The questions they asked during joint presser can only be characterised as aggressive in their ignorance and dumbness – just confirming a sorry state of the Western MSM. Listen to the questions and Putin and Merkel answers on video above.
Question from a German journalist, ‘Why did Russia interfere in US elections and is Merkel afraid of Russian interference in German election?’
Putin’s exceedingly patient and diplomatic reply: Russia never interfered in other countries’ internal affairs. The opposite is true for the West: it constantly interferes in Russian affairs. Further, Putin explained that allegations of Russian interference in the US elections have never been confirmed; it was just a rumor spread for USA’s internal political reasons; therefore, the German journalist’s assumption of Russia’s interference in German elections is based on a rumor.
Another German MSM representative called the Donbass people ‘separatists,’ to which Putin replied that the civil war and Donbass catastrophe are consequences of an illegal coup and illegal power garb in Kiev. It was Kiev that attacked the people of Donbass, forcing them to defend themselves. Putin also expressed his hope that German MSM would not twist his words and that it will have anough common dicency to publish his answer.
Merkel replied that Germany considers the Kiev authorities to be ‘legal and democratically elected.’
Merkel has made more embarrassing remarks. She implored Putin to ‘look into the reported violations of the rights of minorities,’ namely, gays in Chechnya and Jehovah’s Witnesses.
Then she decided to lecture Putin on human rights. Per Frau Merkel, Russian authorities were not as gentle and nice to protesters as they should’ve been.
Putin did the absolutely correct thing by diplomatically reminding Merkel that the Russian law enforcement are gentlemen of the highest caliber compared to their Western counterparts. PUTIN: “In Europe they have no qualms about indiscriminate use of tear gas, water cannons and batons to disperse demonstrators.”
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P.S. There is one more important reason May 2 was chosen for Merkel’s visit. On May 2 people in Odessa and all over the world commemorated the 3rd anniversary of the Odessa tragedy. Per reports, ahead of May 2 Poroshenko was in a frantic state, admonishing his law enforcement to make absolutely sure no ukro-nazis attack citizens attending the commemorative events. Such attacks are a regular occurrence in today’s Ukraine.
Let me reveal to you what went on behind the scenes: Poroshenko and Kiev were warned by Germany to make sure nothing happens that could look bad for Merkel during her Russian visit. Any violence against peacefully mourning citizens would confirm that Kiev junta is a terrorist regime. If any provocation took place in Odessa, Putin would have a terrific opportunity to rub Merkel’s nose in it.
Therefore, by choosing May 2, Putin allowed the people of Odessa to mourn and commemorate their friends and family in peace.
ODESSA REMEMBERED – May 2, 2014 3rd anniversary:
Read my posts:
Explosive Consequences of Putin-Erdogan St.Petersburg Meeting and Earth Shifting Changes it Foretells!
Addendum to ESR13: ERDOGAN’S WAR
EXPLOSIVE CONSEQUENCES OF THE 8/9/16 PUTIN-ERDOGAN MEETING IN ST. PETERSBURG
& THE EARTH SHIFTING CHANGES IT FORETELLS!
Putin and Erdogan met in St. Petersburg on August 9, 2016. The meeting followed the failed Turkish coup and an equally failed double attack by Ukraine on Crimea, which occurred between 5 and 7 of August. Erdogan made sure he emphasized that Russia was the first country he visited after surviving the coup. This is diplomatic speak to underline the special importance of said country.
Just prior to the meeting, Erdogan threatened to boot out US military from Turkish NATO bases and instead, let the Russians use them. A turnaround especially stunning, considering Turkey’s long-standing NATO membership and the 2015 story with Turkey shooting down the Russian Su24 and killing the Russian pilot.
Throughout ESR13, you have read all about these developments, complete with my secret intel, theories and revelations. When I released ESR13 on August 8 just before the Putin-Erdogan meeting, I also explained the staggeringly important role this meeting and Turkey-Russia negotiations would play in the ongoing Earth Shift (also see TRENDS & PREDICTIONS). Changes of great magnitude are afoot, and Erdogan-Putin meeting is one of the harbingers.
In this addendum I will tell you what really happened during the Erdogan-Putin meeting.
Erdogan repeatedly called Putin ‘esteemed Vladimir’ or ‘esteemed Russian President Putin,’ which is a very Middle Eastern way of offering an olive branch and underscoring how important the counterpart is to you. Putin, as far as I could tell, echoed that just once with ‘esteemed President Erdogan.’ No first name basis here.
In the report I predicted that Russia would be cautious with Turkey after the Su24 incident. The signal on the Turkish side was very clear: ‘we very much want to make up and be in good graces again.’ On the Russian side: ‘sure, we are all for it, and here are our immediate signs of good will, but other than that, we’ll see how you behave going forward, shall we?’
Before departing to Russia for the meeting, Erdogan made an announcement that much time was lost and that Turkey was eager to get back on track with two extremely important projects: Turkish Stream and Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant.
The Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant (Turkish: Akkuyu Nükleer Enerji Santrali) is a nuclear power plant under construction at Akkuyu, in Büyükeceli, Mersin Province, Turkey. It will be the country’s first nuclear power plant. In May 2010, Russia and Turkey signed an agreement that a subsidiary of Rosatom — Akkuyu NGS Elektrik Uretim Corp. (APC: Akkuyu Project Company) — would build, own, and operate a power plant at Akkuyu comprising four 1,200 MW VVER units. Engineering and survey work started at the site in 2011. The construction of the first unit was to begin in 2016, with the four units put into service in 2022–25. In 2013, Russian nuclear construction company Atomstroyexport (ASE) and Turkish construction company Ozdogu signed the site preparation contract. The official launch ceremony took place in April 2015.
In ESR13 we discussed the mis-adventures of South Stream and Turkish Stream, along with reasons why it was so important for the US and Germany to sabotage them.
Akkuyu is a somewhat different story. Russians gave Turkey an amazing deal as part of the pre-2015 push to get Turkey on the Russian side and away from US influence. Part of the deal was that Russia would finance and build the power plant, with profits for its exploitation deferred for a number of years. The deal was an absolute windfall for Turkey, which would greatly reduce, or eliminate all-together the long-standing energy shortage basically for free. Then Turkish treacherous actions took place, including ISIS/Daesh help and the shooting down of Su24. Throughout the meeting, Erdogan kept referring to it as ‘the unfortunate event.’
Erdogan and other Turkish officials/businesspeople arriving to Russia all confirmed how eager they were to restart both Akkuyu, whose construction was supposed to begin in 2016, and Turkish Stream. Too much time has been lost, Erdogan kept repeating like a mantra.
In other words, they acted exactly as I predicted. Meanwhile, Russia also acted as I predicted: willingly, but cautiously.
Russians agreed to restart the Akkuyu project. A large part of the negotiations was behind the closed doors, to avoid various sabotage attempts from the same parties that organized Su24 downing and the Turkish coup. I am sure many details of various deals will never be announced before the deals actually materialize into reality. However, the general intel I have received is that Russians have renegotiated the earlier deals in a more beneficial way, since Turkey came back in a greatly weakened position.
Turkey is equally eager to get back on track with Turkish Stream. “We lost a lot of time” was repeated over and over in a somewhat contrite (amazing for a Muslim country) manner. Turkey underscored how much they wanted to get back to the lucrative international project Russians practically gifted to them in 2015.
However, that’s when a bucket of cold water was dumped on Turkey. Putin has re-affirmed that Russia remained committed to Turkish Stream, but only if and when Turkey obtains written legal guarantees from the EU that Europe wants Russian gas arriving via Turkish Stream and that EU cooperation is forthcoming.
Russia has also confirmed that they will restart Turkish Stream where it concerns Turkish internal gas supply only. In other words, for now the project is scaled down to the bilateral Russia-Turkey pipeline. Turkey, as I pointed out in previous ESRs, is suffering from energy shortages and high consumer energy prices. This includes electric power, as well as fuel for heating and cooking – many still use wood-burning and very polluting old-fashioned stoves, even in big centers such as Istanbul and Ankara. Therefore, it’s a necessary project, but not of the scale and scope that was initially intended. However, the same surveys and foundation used for Turkish pipe can be used later to expand it to continue to Europe, when the landscape changes. And it will change.
Additionally, it’s actually good to advertize officially the scaled down version of the project – this may, at least in part, discourage future attacks by the US. It’s a hybrid war and rule number 1 is: don’t advertize your moves to the enemy.
As I explained in ESR13 above, the sabotage of South Stream, and later of Turkish Stream, were necessary to delay the breakup of the predatory US Empire. South Stream – Turkish Stream would give a lot more sovereignty to Southern and Central Europe, leading to the weakening of the EU with subsequent breakup, and in turn, weakening US positions.
And another breaking news! As Turkey was proclaiming how eager they were to restart Turkish Stream, Bulgaria suddenly announced that they have again changed their minds and were now ready to host South Stream (read the entire story of Bulgaria’s flip-flop and South Stream sabotage in ESR13 and in ESR7: The battle for Eurasia! TURKISH CONUNDRUM). In other words, suddenly there is eager competition between countries to host Russian pipelines. Add to that Germany and Nord Stream 2. The healthy competition is very good, and it will push one of these projects through that much faster. I already told you in ESR13 which project it will be…
Here are two important questions for you to consider, which, once answered, will reveal the true meaning of this big geopolitical game. They’ll explain why ukro-nazi coup in Ukraine had to be executed, why Su24 had to be shot down and why Turkey, EU and Russia had to be kept as enemies:
1. Why is suddenly Bulgaria so brave and wants back into the Russian gas game, after having chickened out the moment Uncle Sam said ‘No’?
2. What will happen to Ukraine after all these projects go through and its old Soviet pipeline becomes obsolete?
1. Make no mistake: Bulgaria really wanted to host the very lucrative South Stream and its refusal to do so is due only to its absolute lack of any sovereignty. Bulgaria is suddenly so brave because this is election time in the US. At this time, US is distracted with the elections and the sell-out Bulgarian government thinks they could sneak in South Stream unnoticed. But just think how puppet and spineless it really is if a simple visit by John McCain had previously put a stop to South Stream. I think South Stream is still preferred, and I can see that Russians may be thinking along the same lines. But its continuation may only be possible when this puppet government is replaced with a very different, sovereignty-minded type of government. Due to the nature of Bulgaria as an extremely apathetic and inertia-ridden state, this will take a while.
2. After pipelines bypassing Ukraine are built, Ukraine will stop having as much value to the US and they’ll drop it as a hot potato, which in turn will cause the bandit regime of ukro-nazi Kiev junta and its pro-US oligarchic clan to implode. This will free up the genuine forces of liberation and Ukraine will make a swift turnaround towards its historic, political and economic ties with Russia. The problem with the territory we presently refer to as Ukraine is that it is an intrinsic part of the Russian World that was successfully infected with a virus of hatred towards everything Russian. Ukraine was targeted specifically because Russians never concealed how important Ukraine was to Russia. The US/West’s logic: If Ukraine is that important, then it is necessary to tear it away. This was why the 2014 Kiev coup was necessary from USA’s standpoint.
One of the major difficulties of dealing with Ukraine’s situation for Russia right now is the fact that the all-Russian/Soviet infrastructure was built as one system, spanning all ex-republics. Therefore, Russian gas pipeline to the EU ran through Ukraine, delivering at its height up to 70% of Russian gas to Europe. Now it’s down to 25% or so. This was a major pressure point against Russia throughout 2000s. You may remember the sudden gas stoppages as a result of Ukraine’s sabotage and stealing of European gas. The manipulation of Russia by the US and various anti-Russian interests through the Ukraine pipe reached staggering proportions, culminating in the 2014 coup.
Therefore, getting the pipe away from Ukraine is a blessing for all: Russia, EU and Ukraine, as well. Ukraine, or what’s left of it, will finally be left alone and allowed to rebuild itself (probably as several separate states and territories associated with Russia).
Therefore, one way or another, more pipelines bypassing Ukraine will be built no matter what. The only question is which countries will end up benefiting from the pipeline going through their territory. This will be determined by how quick on their feet and cooperative these countries are, plus, how smart and sovereign they are. As I said, I know which pipeline will be built first – and it’s all in the report!
In addition to all the above, Turkey continued asking for Russia to remove bans on tourism, air traffic, Turkish agricultural produce imports and Turkish construction companies working in Russia. Turkey made a killing in these areas and Russian money really supported Turkish economy, until Russia put the bans in place following the downing of the Su24.
Russians promised that they would be removing bans little by little. Read: depending on how you behave, we’ll see what we can do. For the time being the tourism ban has been removed and charter flights to Turkey may be resumed soon. However, the terrorist warning for Turkey is still in place and only the most brave dare to go there. Russians aren’t in a hurry to let construction and produce imports back in: they’ll give more time for domestic companies to strengthen and take bigger share of the market.
Unthinkable just recently: Turkey-Russia cooperation in Syria!
After the meeting with ‘esteemed Vladimir’ Erdogan announced that Turkey is inviting Russia to fight jointly against ISIS/Daesh in Syria. This is yet another move by Turkey to spite US and NATO, following earlier threats to boot US troops out of Turkish bases, and after a clash with Germany.
This is a staggering, unthinkable just recently announcement! After all, Turkey just recently helped ISIS/Al-Nusra/Muslim Brotherhood terrorists and Syria/Assad has been Erdogan/Turkey’s mortal enemy. Read all about that in ESR7: TURKISH CONUNDRUM.
We may soon hear announcements about certain Russia-Turkey joint missions. In my view, Russia will continue being cautious with involving Turkish militarily, until they are sure they can trust them. However, getting Turkey on Russia’s side in Syria and Black Sea vicinity – and on these new, more favorable to Russia conditions – is a huge, huge, HUGE win.
It’s also a HUGE humiliation and loss of face for the US. It has already, and it will continue leading to the weakening of the US and NATO.
We should expect Turkey cooperating with Russia in shutting down its border to Syrian terrorist supplies, oil, money and weapon smuggling. We can also expect better cooperation in securing Black Sea, such as not allowing certain US military ships through and cooperating in allowing faster passage for Russian ships through the straits. All these are still stop-gap measures. As I explained in the report, the issue of Black Sea and Straits has to be resolved in principle: all outsider military ships (read: US military ships, since no other outside country does that) have to be banned from entering. Only the military ships of countries bordering Black Sea should be allowed in Black Sea.
The extreme value of Black Sea, and therefore, the frantic activity around it, is due to one factor only: it is the soft and vulnerable underbelly of Russia. Therefore, surrounding Russia with unfriendly regimes has been US/UK strategy for hundreds of years. I explained how it all works in ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT.
The value and relative vulnerability of Crimea is derived directly from the same. The recent attack by Ukraine on Crimea is correlated with the rest of the events we’ve talked about. I am preparing a new Earth Shift Report, which will address the recent attacks on Crimea, why they happened and why now, who benefits, how it will impact Ukraine’s future, how US elections may be impacted, and whether Russia will sever diplomatic ties with Ukraine. We’ll also discuss the future of Crimea. Expect the new ESR: THE CRIMEA FACTOR in August 2016.
Keeping up with pretenses, the US State Dept announced that they were not bothered by Turkish cooperation with Russia at all, and that ‘US strategy in Syria didn’t change.’ However, that is not because US feels just fine about Turkish move. If it were up to them, Erdogan would be dead right this moment and pro-US Turkish generals would be in power. It’s simply because they are out of options. This is a serious defeat for the US Empire.
That said, US won’t leave Turkey alone. It will attempt more coups, terror acts, etc. Same goes for Russia. And remember, Russian elections are coming. Moreover, US elections have a direct bearing on all these events as well. How? Stay tuned for new Earth Shift Reports, in which all this will be revealed!
Why Putin chose to meet with Erdogan not in Moscow but in St. Petersburg
Perhaps very subtly, this is also a message. St. Petersburg was once founded by Peter the Great as then landlocked Russian Empire’s first serious international port in the Baltic Sea, designed for the new Western-prevalence era of 17th -20th centuries (in prior millennium, the ancient Rus peoples, with their multiple centers of influence, of course, had various ports on different continents). Peter called the St. Pete port: ‘a window to Europe.’
The new strategy of the US/West has been to shut and bolt down this window to Western Europe, creating a New Iron Curtain from Baltic to Black Sea via a cordon of unfriendly to Russia regimes. It was a partial success, with Romania, 3 ex-Soviet Baltic mini-states and Poland joining the cordon. A snag happened in the middle of the Baltic-Black Sea Iron Curtain, when Czechia, Slovakia and Hungary wisely decided to stay neutral to kind-of-friendly to Russia. It also turned out that converting Belarus into anti-Russia didn’t work no matter what. But Ukraine became the clincher. After 2004 color revolution, only a partial success was achieved. In 2014 the success was complete with a total Ukraine subversion. Turkey and Bulgaria were also supposed to be part of the Iron Curtain. Bulgaria turned reluctantly, only with a partial success, while Turkey refused to be easy.
The grand total of this entire scheme is that the Iron Curtain isn’t working as well as the Transatlantic masters want it to work. Moreover, it is so shaky it may just topple any moment at one’s slight touch. The most important factor in the unreliability of this flimsy Iron Curtain is that Russia/Putin refused to play by West’s rules and began creating their own rules, thus changing the reality around them and beginning to fulfill Russia’s true destiny as the Great Global Balancer and Stabilizer.
Therefore, we see a signal, which, it appears, few have understood: Turkish president Erdogan, who was supposed to be responsible for locking down the Black Sea end of the Iron Curtain, meets Putin in his native city of St. Petersburg, the place where Russia’s biggest Baltic Sea ports are, often called ‘Russia’s window to Europe.’ In the more modern terms: Nord Stream 2 is to be laid through the bottom of Baltic Sea; Turkish Stream – through Black Sea.
Consequently, the recipient is known and the message is: ‘The New Iron Curtain has failed.’
P.S. Why following Erdogan’s visit Putin met with Armenian president
On August 10, one day after the breakthrough meeting with Erdogan, Vladimir Putin received president of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan. As I also said in the above report, on August 8, one day before Erdogan, Putin met in Azerbaijan with Iranian and Azeri presidents.
As usual, nothing happens by accident in the global chess game. Armenia and Turkey are mortal enemies. So are Iran and Turkey. Azerbaijan and Armenia, unfortunately, are also enemies, with continuing armed conflicts. All these mutual animosities are used by outside forces to manipulate various countries against each other and to destabilize the region. By contrast, Russia’s goal as the Global Balancer, is to stabilize and harmonize the region and the whole planet.
By meeting with Armenian leader right after all others, the relative closeness of the EAEU member Armenia to Russia is underscored. A signal is sent that Russia’s deals with Turkey or Azerbaijan do not mean Russia has forgotten her ally Armenia. At the same time, by meeting neck to neck with leaders of all these rival countries, Putin sends a signal of cooperation and unification to all of them.
‘It’s much better to cooperate and get along’ is Russia’s message. Enough with the archaic ‘divide and conquer,’ used by the US Empire. A better way, based on cooperation and mutually beneficial, peaceful relations, is shown by Russia. The world is tired of wars and people aren’t blind. They can see that Russia is the only country that can unite – as opposed to divide – various countries.
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As we know, Greece is in technical default on its 1.5 bln euro payment to the IMF/EU creditors. Experts tell us that this could snowball, with Greece going into default on all its debt, which is over $350 bln. If Greece defaults on its entire debt obligation, it will send huge shocks through the world financial system and will seriously undermine Eurozone and Germany.
This is why Greece’s negotiation position isn’t that hopeless. They have aces up their sleeve. EU can’t afford Greece’s total default, neither can it really afford Grexit. US cannot afford Greek default either, because it can signal the beginning of the end of the whole dollar-based empire.
The national referendum announced by the ruling Syriza party on the future of Greece is to take place on July 5th. Greek PM Tsipras urges people to vote ‘no’ to creditor demands, in order to improve his negotiating position.
My prediction: The Greek referendum will deliver the majority NO vote to austerity and creditor demands.
The fact that creditors didn’t give an extension to Greece so people could vote, instead squeezing the country on June 30th, is very telling. I wonder, what happened to the supposed ‘democracy’ the West is so proud of? How democratic is it to sabotage the Greek national referendum – a true voice of the people?
First, it’s clear double standards: Greece, a member of the EU, is treated as an unloved, unwanted child by the EU and IMF. IMF, of course, represents the interests of the US and EU, where US rules supreme.
At the same time, IMF’s Christine Lagarde tells us that Ukraine, not a member of the EU, will continue receiving IMF loan tranches, even if it defaults on sovereign debt it owes Russia. This is in direct violation of the IMF laws.
So, the West is now in violation of both self-professed cornerstones of its society: democracy and law.
Do you know how empires die? That’s how – they implode on themselves, confused and in denial. We are observing a slow disintegration of the Western (US-EU) empire. This is the time when only the blind and the unscrupulous don’t see that the king is naked.
Second, and most importantly, the difference in position on Ukraine and Greece by the IMF and EU is clearly geopolitical in nature and has absolutely nothing to do with economy. The common denominator in both is the country’s relationship with Russia.
The present Kiev junta in Ukraine is supported because it’s at loggerheads with Russia, yelling and screaming on every corner that Russia attacked them. No one believes that, but this narrative is diligently parroted by the Western MSM, nevertheless.
This has to be expected, if whistleblower journalists from countries such as Ukraine and Germany come out with revelations that they are given the text of what to say in their reports – a text written at the US embassy – and told not to deviate from it. A well-known Kiev journalist Oles’ Buzina was recently killed after the publicly revealed that his publication was forced to print false information based on the US embassy in Kiev script. German whistleblower journalists who have revealed that the entire journalism profession in Germany is sold-out to the US, doing only USA’s bidding, are forced to go into hiding because of threats.
Greece is shunned and squeezed because it dares to have good relations with Russia, speak up against anti-Russian sanctions and participate in Turkish Stream project.
I talked about the geopolitics and economics of Turkish Stream in my previous episode: Macedonia Coup Attempt – War Against Russia & China (LadaRayLive 12).
GREEK DEFAULT AND GREXIT PREDICTIONS
You know my prediction about Greece: it will exit the EU by 2017. In my original prediction, which you can find in Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey-Greek Election-EU Breakup (LadaRayLive 6) and my FT articles, I said that the reason it will take some time is because the relationship with the EU is so complex that it will take some time to untangle.
We already see that the energy is moving in the direction of Grexit. But it won’t happen yet. Greece and EU will be delaying it for now. The most important mark for Grexit will be the completion of Turkish Stream. Grexit will happen close to that date – this is the date to watch!
Of course, due to the importance of Turkish Stream for so many reasons, it will be sabotaged by the US, EU and Germany. It will be a difficult going, as I said in the previous episode. But it will be done.
From this perspective, it’s more beneficial for Greece and all other parties involved, including Russia, if Greece agrees to certain conditions by creditors and stays low for now. Direct confrontation with the EU will only make them sabotage Turkish Stream more forcefully.
For now, Greek debt will have to be a compromise, where EU will give some and Greece will, too. There is indication that that’s what Greek PM Tsipras is doing.
To conclude: will eventual Grexit cause a domino effect all over the EU? Yes, it would. However, it won’t be fast. I see it as a slow and gradual process, taking years and lots of negotiations.
For the next few years, the make-or-break moments of reckoning to watch are: completion of Nord Stream-2, Turkish Stream, discontinuing of gas transit to EU via Ukraine, and a change of power in Ukraine, accompanied with gradual weakening of the US. The timeline for all this is 2016-2019, with most events taking place between 2017-2019. US weakening will continue after 2019.
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P.S. I’ll be taking a few days off this weekend to meditate and relax (I’ll be checking in for emails and comments). Have a great weekend, all! See you next week!
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On video’s image: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2015 (SPIEF 2015) in St. Petersburg, Russia, June 19, 2015
For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
A Latvian politician and member of Europarliament has told me that he recalls how several years ago any session of the EU-Russia Europarliament Commission would be packed because of the overwhelming interest in doing business with Russia. Everyone understood: that’s where the opportunity was. At the same time, sessions of the US-EU Commission would barely have a few people attending. Those days several years ago now seem to the EU like another lifetime. Events in Ukraine and anti-Russian sanctions changed perceptions and put a visible wedge between Russia and EU – a setback used by the US to continue pushing EU to accept the increase in its military presence, its LNG shale gas and its secret Transatlantic Trade Agreement.
I know what US apologists both sides of the Atlantic will say: it’s the EU people who demand our increased military presence, shale gas and Transatlantic Trade Agreement. I suppose the EU people also demand that NSA wiretap their presidents and business elites, along with every citizen. I suppose the EU people also demand to be robbed blind.
Seemingly, US can celebrate a victory. Seemingly, they have achieved their goals. However, per my 2014 predictions, this victory will be short-lived, followed by a huge reversal.
The top event of last week was the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, yet what happened there went almost unnoticed in the manipulated Western media, busy covering up the new French NSA spying scandal with a fresh dollop of Russia-bashing. According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, the moment the news that NSA spied on three French presidents broke up, French papers filled with anti-Russian propaganda, blaming Russia for not observing the Minsk peace agreements. Similar thing happened in Germany, where the public is still reeling from last year’s massive NSA spying scandal. Obviously, the news filled with bad Russia and bad Putin, their convenient boogeyman, are meant to distract from the real news.
It should now be clear beyond the shadow of a doubt who controls ALL of the world’s media, except some news outlets in Russia, China and a few other countries. The fact that French and German media immediately jumped to protect their real Transatlantic employer once the scandal against such employer broke out – speaks volumes. The prime directive of the Western MSM is to divert the sheeple’s attention and pull the wool over their eyes every time their puppeteer is in trouble.
What happened in St. Pete was sensational, and therefore, it should have been the stuff of front pages. Instead, it was shyly relegated to the back pages, or avoided altogether.
But at the same time as US and Brussels continued selling their naive populace the stale story of Russia’s isolation – and Russian aggression – a virtual fight over who would become a bigger and better partner for Russian gas transit was taking place in St. Petersburg.
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In light of what’s happening in Greece, what’s especially interesting is this: Greek PM Tsipras neglected his scheduled meeting with EU leaders, in which he was supposed to negotiate his country’s crucial pre-default debt restructuring. Instead, he chose to come to St. Pete, where he signed a $2 bln joint venture for building the Greek leg of Turkish Stream to southeastern Europe.
Nord Stream-2: Analysis and Prediction
Less noticed and very under-the-wraps was another mega-deal: potentially even bigger than Turkish Stream. During the St. Petersburg Forum Germany and Russia agreed to build Nord Stream-2, to deliver gas across the bottom of the Baltic Sea directly to Germany, for further distribution throughout the EU. Nord Stream-1 consisted of two branches and cost 8.5 bln euro. Nord Stream-2 will add two more branches, for a total of four, and will cost 9.9 bln euro.
Nord Stream – Rusian gas goes directly to Germany via Baltic Sea
The new pipeline will go on top of the existing Nord Stream. This means that, due to the same footprint, Nord Stream-2 won’t need to go through a very grueling and lengthy approval process with Euro Commission and deal with objections by all countries bordering the Baltic Sea. With German discipline and profit motivation, expect Nord Stream-2 to be built in record time.
Therefore, while Germany is making all kinds of public anti-Russian noises, it’s quietly making serious strides to fortify and expand business with Russia. However, make no mistake! Russian gas transit to the EU is as much in the realm of politics and geopolitics, as in the realm of business. I will illustrate that below.
Nord Stream-2 capacity will rival the current Ukraine pipeline capacity. Russia already announced that the aging Ukraine pipeline will be eventually phased out due to the political instability and inflexible position of the Ukraine government. In short, Russia won’t be held hostage to the whims of Kiev. Nord Stream-2 agreement means Germany is making a decisive move to take away gas transit business from Ukraine.
This led some to speculate that Germany facilitated the 2014 coup in Kiev on purpose: to create an impossible situation for the Russian gas transit through Ukraine, thus making Russian gas transit business its own. I won’t categorically agree or disagree with this opinion, and here is why. There is some logic to it. Germany and other strong EU economies were always worried about the insecure Ukraine gas route. Taking steps to ensure one’s country’s energy security are natural and expected. Still, at least in part, Germany is not initiating but rather responding to various threats, acting to secure gas supply route and quantities for itself and its close allies in northern and central Europe. Germany, of all countries, is able to use its considerable European pull to secure a fast construction of the new pipeline – and it’s doing it.
Is Germany making big anti-Russian noises to appease and fool the US, while behind the scenes making deals with Russia? Here is what I see: I do think Germany is continuing clumsy attempts to sit on two chairs, playing both Russia and US, in the hopes of wiggling its way out of unfavorable agreements with the US, while keeping the door to Russian business semi-open with one foot. It’s some fancy acrobatics, to be sure, and it does look desperate. Germany and German allies – in other words, the strongest northern and central EU economies – see the writing on the wall and they don’t want to be caught in the upcoming Ukraine/US fallout. They are also rushing to secure Russian gas agreements while they still can.
Turkish Stream Prediction
It’ll be somewhat harder for Turkey, Greece and Italy to push the Turkish Stream construction through. Their pull isn’t as hefty as Germany’s and the pressure on them will be significant both from the US and EU.
But my confident prediction is this: unlike the botched South Stream project, which relied on the weak key transiter, Bulgaria, the Turkish Stream project will be accomplished successfully. The reason is that Turkey is much stronger than Bulgaria as a key transiter. Greece (key transiter 2) will be fine as well, as long as it remains steadfast. This will be a tall order, but Greeks are fighters and they can do it.
The Myth of the United EU and NATO: Geopolitical and Economic Rivalries Explosion
What many are missing is that Germany and Greece are acting here as direct rivals. Germany wants to keep all of Russian gas under its control, in order to then distribute it to all of the EU, thus keeping its control over Eurozone. Meantime, for Greece their participation in the Turkish Stream and association with Russia is a terrific negotiation ploy and additional leverage in their fight for independence against the EU, IMF and German dictate. To top it off, Russian partnership is a lifesaver for the fledgling Greek economy.
As such, Germany sees Greek revolt as a challenge to their EU power and hegemony. From this it’s easily understood that Germany and Brussels would try to undermine and sabotage Greece and other countries who are participating in Turkish Stream.
US will also try to sabotage it for both geopolitical reasons and for their own economic reasons. US wants to sell its shale gas to the EU. Its dream is to push Russia out as the primary gas supplier to the EU, taking Russia’s place and, therefore, binding the EU to itself not just militarily and economically, but also energy-wise.
Consequently, the fight between Greece and EU/Germany we are presently observing is much more than a fight for Greece’s debt restructuring. It’s also beyond the projected Grexit. It’s about distribution of Russian gas and future control of European energy security.
When Bulgaria’s puppet government foolishly refused to allow South Stream through its territory, loosing potential billions in future profits, Turkish Stream was born. It will go through the bottom of the Black Sea, using Russian waters, a small stretch of international waters and Turkish waters. Then, it will go through the northwestern-most part of Turkish territory, with branch-outs to supply large parts of Turkey with Russian gas. Why is it important that it only goes through the northwestern part of Turkey? This is the quietest and most prosperous part of Turkey. The east and south are restive and volatile, with Kurdish and Syria-related unrest.
But Turkey isn’t a member of the EU. Turkish Stream will get to the border with Greece at which point Greece will take over the pipeline for further distribution to other EU countries.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Erdogan sign the Turkish Stream deal
As we see, Greece/Turkey and Germany are now in direct competition for the exceedingly lucrative Russian gas venture. Therefore, the fight between them is also the fight for future control and profits.
Putin’s Gambit: the all-around win for Russia
We spoke on many prior occasions about how Putin works. Sometimes, it appears he doesn’t respond directly to various threats and adversarial actions by the US, Kiev junta and EU, instead, he takes his time and acts asymmetrically, when he is ready. And every time Russia acts, it’s an unexpected and pretty crushing move. This is why they call Putin the Grand Chess Master.
Nord Stream-2 partner is the No. 1 German energy giant E.On, as well as Shell (Dutch-British) and other German companies, such as OMV and Wintershall. It is understood that such companies wouldn’t commit to Nord Stream-2 without securing a serious backing of the German government. It is also a given that Nord Stream-2 will be pushed through by Germany in record time. In fact, it will be built faster than Turkish Stream.
This puts fire under Turkey. The thing is that after the Turkish Stream deal was signed by Erdogan, he imagined himself in the driver seat. He began looking for more preferences, playing on the Crimean Tartar controversy and delaying the approval for the engineering survey of the pipeline route. Immediately after the Nord Stream-2 deal was signed, the Italian engineering survey vessel, which was sitting in the Bulgarian port of Burgas waiting for Turkey’s permission to enter the Black Sea for six months, was finally allowed to start work. Erdogan also changed his tack on a number of other issues.
Recall what I once said before: Erdogan and Turkey are attempting to play their own game in the Middle East and southeastern Europe, not always successfully and not always nicely. However, on balance Turkey is still a strong and convenient ally for the Turkish Stream and various other projects, for a variety of reasons – from geopolitical, to psychological and economic. For one, Erdogan is pissed at the US, EU and NATO, and two, he wants gasification of his country, whose archaic coal-based system is in desperate need of replacement with clean modern energy.
Therefore, Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream are in direct competition. This is excellent, as it will finally balance the situation with Russian gas supply to the EU, which has become precariously imbalanced after Ukraine, and sometimes Belarus, began playing blackmail games. The result was that Ukraine endangered EU’s energy security and Russia’s energy livelihood. And that’s just not done.
There is an ‘opinion’ of ‘the couch potato experts’ that Russia won’t have enough gas to fill both pipelines.
However, having reserve capacity on hand is actually the point! Two pipelines will be filled with gas as needed, reserve capacity used as necessary. The constant competition between the two will not allow either party to attempt what Ukraine has done for years: blackmail Russia either economically or geopolitically, while keeping EU gas customers hostage.
The realisation of the plan of the competing pipelines will put an end to the American Dream of cutting Russian gas from Europe. Will US try to stop the construction? Undoubtedly. My prediction: because of well-chosen allies, and unlike with South Stream, they will fail.
The deadline for the complete turn off of the Ukraine gas transit system is 2019. Until then, EU and Germany will have to continue paying for Ukrainian gas in order to ensure Ukraine doesn’t turn off the vent.
Alexander Medvedev, Gasprom Deputy Chairman said: “After the current gas transit agreement with Ukraine expires, there will be no new contract, nor extension of the existing contract, under any circumstances. Due to the economic, political, investment and technological risks, there will be no more Ukraine gas transit, not even if sun and moon switch places in the sky.”
China: Deeper reason for the stampede to secure Russian gas
In addition to the Turkish Stream and Nord Stream rivalry, for the EU and Germany there is another, more important consideration.
Germany must act now, before Russian gas gets redirected to China and Asia via the Power of Siberia pipeline. Let’s recall my 2014 predictions: once it happens, it will be too late and EU will begin experiencing gas shortages. Shortages can be avoided if Europe acts now to secure multi-year gas commitments.
Therefore, Russia is building a fully balanced and diversified Eurasian gas supply system, and Chinese counterweight plays a big part in it.
Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream will eventually take all gas transit business away from Ukraine. It means that regardless of how the power in Ukraine changes in the following 2-3 years (and it will), Ukraine will only be able to buy gas for itself – at market prices. It won’t be able to profit from the exclusive gas transiter status.
Poor, naive Ukrainians; while they were yelling and screaming on Kiev maidan that Russia was bad, shrewd Europeans nodded politely and did what they had to do to provide for their energy security. This eventually will render Ukraine unnecessary for either US or EU, and, as I predicted, it will simply be abandoned. Too bad the cost will be so great for the people… I wonder, will Ukrainians ever learn?
This effectively means that US will lose interest in Ukraine and drop it like a hot potato. Recall my timeline for the mega-changes in Ukraine: 2016-18.
US LNG Shale Gas
But what about the US and its LNG shale gas, you ask? Judging by the St. Petersburg deals, Europeans aren’t holding their breath for it.
Let’s be clear: US shale gas is yet another bubble. This, awfully harmful to the environment bubble, will burst, just like so many before it.
Where is China?
What went completely unnoticed in the media was the presence of China at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. Too bad, because this is actually the country everyone should have been watching in the first place. Chinese press wrote after the event that China and Russia fortified their future-oriented, long-term strategic partnership. Russia is the key partner in China’s New Silk Road project, which will unite in one economic space China, Russia/Eurasian Union, most of Asia and EU.
For more listen to my interview: Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road ~ The Plane Truth
I spoke many times about the need to reunify all of Eurasia. This is one continent. The artificial division on Europe and Asia has to come to an end. Through trade and energy, this is what Russia and China are working on.
While Germany, Turkey and Greece trip all over themselves to be first to sign gas transit agreements with Russia, China is continuing its patient long-term expansion. Unlike the expansions of the US and EU, it targets to cooperatively unite, not divide. Patience is one thing Chinese have lots of. Pragmatic wisdom and vision is another.
Europeans could learn a lot from both Russians and Chinese.
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