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Why is Crimea Overwhelmingly Pro RE-Unification With Russia?

Wow, even I did not expect this kind of overwhelming result! Obviously, the stupidity, violence and corruption of Kiev and their Western handlers was not lost on the Crimean people. Looks like I didn’t give them enough credit! See my original prediction.

The Crimean Autonomous Republic voted overwhelmingly – 96.77% for re-joining Russia. The all-time record voter turn-out was 83.1%, 2 or 3 times as many as in previous Ukrainian presidential elections.

Why is Crimea so overwhemingly pro re-unification with Russia?

1. Crimeans are sick and tired of living in the artificial, dysfunctional state that is Ukraine. Read more about Ukraine’s four distinct parts (five, if you count Crimea), their divisions and my original prediction about what it means for Ukraine’s future.

2. Most people in Crimea are Russians. According to recent polls, 97% are Russian-speakers (even those who are formally of Ukrainian ethnicity). Most residents of Sevastopol, as a separate subject of Crimea, are retired or active officers and servicemen of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, as well as their families. They want to be protected against forced ukrainization and against the threat to their lives by Ukrainian nazis. Read the rest of this entry

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Prediction: Crimea Independence Vote

Tomorrow, March 16, 2014, the Crimean Autonomous Republic is voting for independence from Ukraine in a republic-wide referendum.

As I have said before, my prediction is: 75%, plus/minus 5%, will vote for independence from Ukraine and for re-joining Russia as a subject of the Russian Federation. The result could be as high as 80%.

In the run-up to the referendum, the Crimean government has done something very smart: they have afforded the Tatar language the status of the third official language, along with Russian and Ukrainian – something that Ukraine had repeatedly refused to do, therefore securing the Tatar minority’s pro-Russian vote. Compare that with how Kiev unelected authorities are acting: they have banned Russian TV channels and Russian language as the second state language, promising the continuous forceful ukrainization of the Russian population. As a reminder: up to 70% in Ukraine consider themselves Russian regardless of their ethnicity, and nearly 90% speak Russian on a daily basis. Meanwhile, in Crimea 97% of the population is Russian-speaking. Read the rest of this entry

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