As promised, my new interview with TimeMonkRadio‘s THE PLANE TRUTH is here. We recorded it urgently due to major and very important Syria, Middle East, Iran, Turkey and Russia developments!
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Less than a week ago we released my new and very important interview with The Plane Truth: Lada Ray TimeMonkRadio Interview: The Putin Enigma and The Coming Western Perestroika.
You can also click here and listen to it directly on YouTube!
At the same time, as the interview recorded and was being released, all last week I was observing a truly monumental Earth Shift happening in the Middle East, under Putin’s and Russia’s tutelage and with Russia’s invaluable help. And I bet many in the West have missed it entirely.
The news are so huge that we decided to record a full follow-up show on it! This follow-up show is shorter than usual and runs at just over an hour. We jam-packed it with rare internal Russian intel, breaking news and things you are guaranteed to never hear in the West, complete with my geopolitical analysis and predictions. We talk about Putin-Asad secret meeting in Sochi and the announcement of a major shift in Syria ops; The Russia-Turkey-Iran Sochi summit, already dubbed the new ‘Yalta Conference,’ where the map and the future of the Middle East are being decided; Putin’s calls to Trump, Netanyahu, Saudi, Qatar and Egypt leaders; the unheard of in its boldness follow-up conference of the various warring Syrian factions, also held in Sochi; the fact that EU and US were completely bypassed, and much more! Just wait till you hear all the juicy details!
I even managed to pack into this interview the somewhat related news of the Czech and Slovakian (not to be confused with Slovenia — a separate Slavic state located in the northern Balkans) rebellion against EU anti-Russian sanctions and what will come out of it. This piece about some Eastern Europeans, such as Czechia/Slovakia, apparently having learned their lessons resonates with my recent important article: Secret Order to Destroy Slavs and Re-Write their Genetic Code! 3 Ingredients of Color Revolution (New Theory)!
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Libya 2.0? West demands Syria no-fly zone. Retaliation? Russian Kalibr Missiles strike US Intel Center
West demands Syria no-fly zone, but only for Russians & Syrians
Yes, we have heard and seen this before. Remember what that fake no-fly zone did to Libya? Remember Qaddafi?
They tried to unseat Syria’s Bashar Al Assad in all ways possible: from accusations of chemical weapons, threats to bomb, arming ISIL and other terrorist groups, to insistence that ‘Assad must go.’ Nothing worked. Now they want once again to try to pull the same number they once did in Libya. Is anyone dumb enough to fall for it yet again?
A typical MO of a dying empire: they are so decadent, so stuck in the their imaginary ‘America is exceptional’ little world that they are unable to assess the reality on the ground. They don’t understand that the ship has sailed.
Listen to what Germany’s PM Frank-Walter Steinmeier and US Secretary of State John Kerry say at the UN: ‘We need no-fly zone.’ Yes, echoes a US general, we agree to a no-fly zone: Russian and Syrian airforces must be grounded, but only them; our jets must continue flying.
Incidentally, listen carefully to how Kerry phrases his statement. He insists on temporarily grounding of all aircraft over Syria. Of course, we all know what happened in Libya after ‘all’ aircraft was supposedly grounded: US and allies came in and began bombing Qaddafi’s forces, followed by the ISIL takeover of the country with subsequent horrid death by Qaddafi himself.
Therefore, certainly no one will fall for this again. However, in the run up to my new ESR11: THE IMPORTANCE OF 2016 RUSSIAN ELECTIONS (to be released tomorrow 9/24), I want to emphasize one point! Among other crucial things, in ESR11 I discuss the Syria developments and US/West bombing of the Syrian army. In this regard I provide my take on the shifting situation within the US elites. In the FREE Part 1 of the report you’ll see me talk about a rift within US elites, as well as attempts by Kerry to play his own game. Check it out!
BREAKING NEWS! Retaliation for Syrian army’s bombing? Did Russia strike joint US/Israel/West/Turkey Intelligence Center in Aleppo?
Text in Russian:
Согласно сообщению информационного агентства Fars News, “российские военные корабли выпустили три ракеты “Калибр” по иностранному офицерскому координационному оперативному центру в районе Дар Эзза (Dar Ezza), убив 30 израильских и западных офицеров”. Военные США вместе с союзниками создали полевой “Оперативный центр” (Field Operations Room) в районе Алеппо, укомплектованный личным составом разведывательных служб. В нем действовали сотрудники разведок США, Британии, Израиля, Турции, Саудовской Аравии и Катара. Профессор экономики Оттавского университета, основатель и директор Центра изучения глобализации (Канада) Мишель Хосудовский пояснил, что Российская сторона нанесла удар по разведывательному объекту США непосредственно после воздушных ударов ВВС США по вооруженным силам Сирии в районе Дейр-эз-Зор в поддержку террористов ИГИЛ. Оперативный центр находился в западной части провинции Алеппо в районе горы Саман, где имеется много древних пещер. Регион расположен в глубине горной цепи. Центр в регионе Алеппо использовался для координирования действий на земле с разведывательными действиями беспилотников и для нанесения ударов с воздуха. Согласно сообщению агентства Fars, личный состав разведывательных служб участвовал также в планировании и осуществлении нападения ВВС США на сирийских вооруженных сил (Syrian SAA forces), которое было проведено непосредственно после заключения женевского соглашения о перемирии.
My English summary translation:
According to Fars News agency, Russian military ships launched three Kalibr cruise missiles; the strike hit the Dar Ezza joint intelligence coordination center for the US coalition, killing 30 Israeli and Western officers. The center, aka, Field Operations Room near Aleppo is staffed with officers from US, Turkey, UK, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Qatar. Canadian researcher Michel Chossudovsky says that the center was hit after US coalition forces bombed the Syrian army. The intelligence center in question provided intelligence and played a leading role in making the bombing happen.
Incidentally, in tomorrow’s ESR11, I will explain why the US attack on Syrian army was no accident and why it happened right before Russian Elections of September 18!
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EARTH SHIFT REPORT 11
RELEASE: SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2016!
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P.S. Russian FM Lavrov is now speaking at the UN. This is his live speech:
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VIDEO – Iran parades Russian S-300 missile defence systems on Army Day:
You may recall my two past articles: the 2015 piece, Mystery Revealed: What frightened the USS Donald Cook so much in the Black Sea? and from early 2014, Striking Geopolitical Similarities: Georgian War – Beijing2008 and Ukraine – Sochi2014.
In the latter, I explained the long-cherished US plan to attack Iran and how Russia since mid-2000s was quietly protecting Iran by all means possible. The reason Russia had to continuously run interference was due to the fact that US invasion of Iran was set in stone after Iraq and Afghanistan, and it was clear that Iran would not be unable to withstand a massive simultaneous attack by US from sea and air. In the former, I expanded on how Russians arranged the protection of Iran via the elimination of US base and military hardware in Georgia, and how certain apt demos of Russian electronic warfare capabilities for the US Navy and airforce cooled off Pentagon and Washington hotheads.
Russia couldn’t watch over Iran forever. Iran, a sovereign country, needed to be given the means of protecting itself. Only Russian technology can effectively shield anyone against a US airstrike. Therefore, in mid-2000s the deal for the supply of Russian S-300 missile defence systems was signed.
After the S-300 agreement materialized, the West immediately expanded anti-Iran sanctions to include such defence weapons, which at the time prevented Russia from fulfilling the contract. It was understandable: US needed Iran defenceless against their attack. At the time Medvedev was Russian president and he tried to work with the West, therefore agreeing to the S-300 deal freeze. Medvedev’s decision was met with criticism in both Russia and Iran. That said, I can tell you with confidence that if US did attack Iran Russia would have supplied the S-300 and anything else necessary. But at the time, other, quiet and even more convincing means were found for preventing the US aggression. Read above-linked articles where I describe what happened during Georgian mini-war 2008 and how Russian electronic jamming devices sent clear warnings to US Navy that an attack on Iran could be their last.
To get the full picture of the advanced electronic warfare (4D warfare, in my terminology) and newest secret Russian technology, watch: EARTH SHIFT VIDEO REPORT 4: ALIEN TECHNOLOGY & NEW RUSSIAN WEAPONS.
It has to be noted that S-300 is the older, shorter range model that covers 200-300 km radius. S-400 is the newer, longer range system; the latest model is S-500, and yet more advanced systems are in the works.
S-400 at Moscow Victory Day Parade May 9, 2010
After US/NATO began flexing their muscles in the Baltics and Poland, and after the Kiev ukro-nazi coup, Russia finally placed S-400 systems in Kaliningrad, the Russian enclave sandwiched between today’s Poland and Lithuania on the Baltic shore. Since 2015, after Turkey shot down Russian jet, Russia now uses S-400 in Syria to protect its military.
S-400 arriving to Syria
There is no weapon in existence that can counter Russian S-class missile defence systems. Speaking of their effectiveness and impact: US and NATO complain that the Kaliningrad S-400s cover large parts of Central, Northern and Eastern Europe, thus severely limiting the ability of NATO/US airforce to fly there. Similarly US/NATO and Turkey complain that S-400s in Syria cover half of Turkey and parts of the Middle East, including NATO military bases.
Syria: S-400 installed on Khmeimim airbase – coverage of the Middle East
This means that anyone flying over Syria needs Russian permission. It also means that any US/NATO, Saudi or Turkish jets can be shot down on takeoff on their territory (more about that in ESR5: Syria Game Changer and ESR7: Turkish Conundrum).
Needless to say, S-400 in Syria and Kaliningrad act as convincing ambassadors of peace and the most effective reminder to all parties not to try anything funny.
S-400 Triumf being purchased by India
You may recall the 2014 joke that Putin played master chess, while Obama played marbles. I said back then that after Crimea and Donbass fiascos, when turning Ukraine into a long-term anti-Russia failed, US began employing smarter people… but not smart enough. Seemingly a win for Obama Administration, the 2015 Iran deal culminating in lifting of Iran sanctions in exchange for Iran abandoning its uranium enrichment program is, in fact, yet another hidden fail.
Here is why.
Last year, Washington paraded as one of its successes the fact that an agreement with Iran was reached, which capped Iran’s ability to enrich uranium sufficiently in order to produce nuclear weapons. In exchange, old Iran sanctions and oil embargo were lifted and Iran regained its ability to freely sell its oil on world markets.
Russia, US and EU were united in their eager desire to sign such agreement with Iran, but for very different reasons. USA: 1. to show a rare success of Obama’s international policies before the end of his term, 2. to dump more oil on the market that would lower world oil price and, therefore, hurt Russian economy. EU: 1. wanted cheap Iranian oil, 2. wanted to make sure Iran couldn’t build a nuclear weapon, 3. not a bad idea to hurt Russian economy.
Many scratched their heads as to what was in it for Russia. After all, Iranian oil flooding the market would lower oil prices and Russian oil exports would suffer. Oil prices did plunge dramatically, thus indeed hurting Russian economy.
But in reality, the oil price plunge was little related to Iran. I wrote about that in detail in Earth Shift Reports ESR5: Syria Game Changer and ESR7: Turkish Conundrum. What did impact the price of oil were several factors: natural boom/bust cycle and related lower demand by China, Saudis/OPEC playing quota games to get rid of competitors, US mass manipulation of oil futures, and ISIS dumping cheap oil through Turkey.
The embargo has been lifted; however, Iran is still not making an impact on oil prices one way or the other. I’ll tell you why below.
The geopolitical games being played are very complex and the intended result isn’t always obvious. Sometimes it becomes obvious to an average person years later, and sometimes, never.
Behind the scenes, Russia and Iran made a deal, according to which Iran would sell most of its excess oil to Russia. In exchange Russia would supply to Iran the coveted S-300 missile systems, which Iran has been requesting for years.
Why would Russia need more oil, you ask? Isn’t there already more than enough?
This deal ensures Iranian oil is taken off the market, thus eliminating its impact on the global price of oil. Because of this deal it is clear that Iranian oil simply could not impact the price of oil. Therefore, ONLY targeted manipulation of oil futures by the US, including Soros/ various hedge funds, and of course, the super-secret USA’s market crash team, all working together, could plunge the price of oil by that much. The target of this manipulation is very well known: it’s Russia, Russia and RUSSIA.
It was a stated goal of Obama and his administration to weaken and destroy Russia through turning Ukraine into anti-Russia and anti-Russian sanctions. They imagined that such catastrophic events would be followed by all-Russia discontent, culminating in national uprising and color revolution -all designed to remove Putin. This, in turn, would lead to Russia’s break up into small, easy to divide and conquer, pieces. This was the original Stratfor plan (read ESR8).
The fact that US, through Kerry or Kissinger, is suddenly again starting to want to talk cooperation with Russia is only because of:
1. Russian success in Syria and the most effective peacemakers I’ve described: S-400 in Kaliningrad and Syria.
2. Putin and Lavrov’s effective diplomacy and the fact that former US allies in the Middle East prefer to talk to Putin rather that Obama.
3. How embarrassing for the US, Obama and his cronies: despite continuing attempts to vilify Putin he is still the world’s most popular leader, while people in the US and EU would prefer Putin as their president.
If this is not the ultimate fiasco and indictment for ‘we are change’ Obama, Kerry, Nuland, Pentagon, Soros, Stratfor/George Friedman, McCain, and their cronies, I don’t know what is! Incidentally, let’s not forget to include on the list Bill and Hillary Clinton, together with their hidden handlers.
(Don’t forget to read about Stratfor/Friedman’s plan for the destruction of Russia and Ukraine in Earth Shift Report 8: Black Sea Gambit!)
But what happens next to the Iranian oil? It goes through Russia to China. As I said, the deal is complex. China buys Iranian oil through Russia, Russia supplies S-300 to Iran. The deal also includes Russia’s very profitable nuclear cooperation with Iran due to Iran’s uranium enrichment cap agreed upon in 2015, which makes Russia a necessary partner. In other words, Iran needs Russia to get enough fuel for its nuclear stations and medical needs, to recycle fuel, and more. In turn, China pays Russia for oil via investments and national currency swaps. Such a neat Eurasian triangle based on mutual interests, I’d say.
Russia supplied S-300 to Iran as soon as the West lifted anti-Iran sanctions. But wait! After the old sanctions were lifted Iran immediately slapped new anti-US sanctions on two thousand American products, including Caca-Cola, American movies, etc. US, in turn, slapped some fresh sanctions on Iran!
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FlyDubai Boeing-737 FZ981 crashed in Rostov-on-Don killing all 62 on board (RT SPECIAL COVERAGE):
Flydubai flight FZ981 has crashed in the southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don (Rostov Oblast) killing all 62 passengers and crew on board. The flight was en route from Dubai and crashed during its second landing approach amid poor weather conditions.
‘Every detail is important’ – interview with head of the search group. Over 800 Russian investigators, experts and search workers are now at the scene. Rostov Airport remains closed, planes have been re-routed.
Out of 62 people onboard, there were 55 passengers: 44 Russian citizens and 11 foreign nationals; and 7 crew members: one Russian citizen, 6 foreign nationals. Most of Russians on board were from Rostov Oblast. None of the people on board survived the crash.
First of all, I want to offer my deepest condolences to the families of all victims.
#Flydubai is a budget airline owned and operated by the United Arab Emirates state. They fly from Dubai to over 60 countries. It appears the pilot was a Greek national and the crew was international.
The plane attempted two landings, crashing on second attempt. According to the very first account of events, visibility was poor due to bad weather, which, based on some initial speculation, allegedly may have caused the plane to crash. However, a large number of questions remains.
The investigation has only just begun and as usual, Russian authorities will be very careful to admit that foul play is involved. If you recall, Russians admitted that Sinai, Egypt catastrophe, with 224 dead, was a terrorist act only after UK announced they were grounding flights to Egypt due to terrorist threat. In fact, the very first accusation floating around the net, was against the pilot and crew. They were accused of lack of professionalism; the Russian aviation in general was immediately accused of poor pilot preparation. Moreover, the company was accused of poor plane maintenance and Russian authorities in sloppiness. All that was rebuffed by everyone from global aviation authorities to Russian authorities and various international testing agencies. It turned out that the Sinai Airbus pilot was one of the most experienced and top-rated in the business, the whole crew was exceptionally experienced and that the plane just passed full maintenance and testing in Ireland.
Clearly, Russians knew it was a terrorist act early on. The reason for the slow admission was so not to play into the hands of terrorists. One of the main goals of the Sinai terrorist act was to put a wedge between Russia and Egypt, whose close relations were on the upswing. Another goal was to take revenge on Russia for destroying ISIS infrastructure in Syria, financed and built by Qatar, Turkey and Saudis. Third, to instill dread in Russians vacationing abroad. The actual organizers of the Sinai attack have been named (in whispers) in Russia: Qatar and Qatar foreign minister in person. I explain how and why in ESR5 and ESR7.
I suspect that in the case of Rostov-on-Don Flydubai catastrophe Russians will be just as careful to publicly announce the results of investigation. We’ll see how it goes and I do not intend to get ahead of the investigation. I am for allowing professionals to handle it at their pace. Besides, very little is really known to date on how it happened and what went wrong.
Barring any real details, for now I’ll be very cautious with any definitive conclusions. But I want to share the red flags this catastrophe has risen for me. I will leave the technical stuff to specialists. Instead, let’s talk about what is my specialty: geopolitics, Ukraine, Middle East, and attempts to stop Earth Shift and Russia’s rebalancing of the world away from the West.
Let’s call this my preliminary investigation. Let’s consider it my pointing out of the suspicious alarm bells and red flags. The investigators, at a minimum, should take them into account.
For now, I hear that they are considering poor visibility and weather conditions, and/or pilot and crew error as possible reasons.
Incidentally, when the plane is this close to the ground, its speed is the slowest, which increases the possibility of survival for victims. Experts are bemused by the fact that there were no survivors.
But that’s not all. Check out this!
First, look at this CCTV footage of the plane’s crash. Notice the strange angle of descent that appears far too steep: something like 50-60 degrees. What pilot, if he is in control of his machine, would ever descent so steeply so close to the ground, risking hitting it, especially if the weather is bad and visibility poor?
Second, look at the timing of this tragedy!
On March 15th Russia just announced partial troops withdrawal from Syria (a connection with the Middle East, where UAE is also located). In connection with that, a follow up vengeance, using sloppy security at UAE airport, comes to mind.
On March 18, just a few hours prior to this catastrophe, Russia was celebrating the 2nd anniversary of reunification with Crimea (see #Sevastopol #Krim #Rossia: 2nd Anniversary of Crimea’s Reunification with Russia).
Now look at the location of the Flydubai Boeing 737 catastrophe: Rostov-on-Don, the capital of Rostov Oblast. To the west, Rostov Oblast borders ‘Ukraine,’ as it is marked on this map:
And now check out what is actually located on the other side of the so-called ‘Ukraine’ border: Donetsk/DNR and Lugansk/LNR. Yes, Rostov oblast borders not Ukraine, but DNR and LNR. It was here, to Rostov Oblast where 2.5 million refugees from Donbass escaped Kiev bombings; many of them still reside there. Russian humanitarian convoys and other help for the republics went and continues going through Rostov Oblast. When EU delegations and humanitarian help arrives to DLNR, it also goes through Rostov Oblast. Here is another interesting little bit: ex-prez of Ukraine Yanukovich escaped from ukro-nazis to Rostov, where he presently resides.
In short, Rostov serves as a hub and a central for help to DNR/LNR. Ukro-nazis and junta followers of various colorings and creeds have been sending all kinds of threats to Rostov Oblast and its people since 2014.
This map I found on the net shows Novocherkassk, located just next to the Rostov Oblast capital Rostov-on-Don. The body of water in the lower left corner is Azov Sea. Notice distance to Donetsk and Lugansk. Also, notice Mariupol (Donetsk Oblast) just next to the border with Rostov Oblast on the Azov Sea shore, which is now in the hands of Kiev junta and ukro-nazi battalions.
In addition to the above, Rostov Oblast on the Azov Sea is very close to Crimea, which is located just to the south-west, between Azov and Black Seas. The mega-bridge to Crimea through the Kerch Strait (Kerchensky Most) is being built just south of Rostov, in the neighboring Krasnodar Krai.
How’s all that for interesting coincidences!
Another interesting coincidence: Ukraine/Poroshenko and Turkey/Erdogan/Davutoglu are becoming very close, pushed together by their desperation and hatred of Russia and Putin. A recent investigation revealed that after Russia eliminated ISIS oil smuggling infrastructure, which made Erdogan’s family billions and allowed him to manipulate the Middle East, he is actively looking for ways to inflict damage on Russia, and is ready to accept any offers from Ukraine. Ukraine already gave plenty of advances to Turkey. I have first-hand, undeniable intel and proof of Erdogan/Poroshenko collusion and I will present it in upcoming ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT. Additionally, there is direct proof of Kiev/Turkey/ISIS/Crimean Tatar Mejlis collusion, attempts and intentions to inflict damage by all means possible on Russia and Crimea. This video proof will be presented in upcoming ESR9: CRIMEAN AGENDA.
Now, to the fact that Flydubai is from UAE, located in the Middle East. It is a very well known fact that Middle East airports and companies have inferior security and hiring practices. Sinai, Egypt catastrophe demonstrated that it was too easy to install a terror device due to lax security and sloppy hiring practices at the airport.
After the Egypt tragedy, Russian airports, companies and aviation crews became super-vigilant and new, most advanced security measures were adopted. I can say absolutely confidently that no bomb or suicide bomber could have penetrated on a RUSSIAN plane.
But a UAE (Middle Eastern) plane, especially if it’s a Boeing, is a different story.
Why Boeing: just look how many catastrophes happen to Boeings lately. One interesting theory I have is that the manufacturer of these planes, Boeing, may have installed malware or backdoor software, which allows to override pilot’s commands at an opportune moment. Another possibility I see is that US controlled GPS satellite feeds may get manipulated or turned off to disorient the plane.
Alternatively, plane’s internal wiring may have been tampered with by UAE airport employees. Or just plain old bomb, as seems to be the case in Sinai tragedy….
You may ask, why they waited for literally the last second to crash the plane? Why not do it en route? Wouldn’t that be more easy and secure? I think the explanation may be on the surface. Rostov Oblast played a big role in accepting Ukraine refugees, humanitarian help, as Yanukovich residence, and in certain cases, as a transfer point to Crimea and DNR by Azov Sea. And what did Russia just celebrate? The 2nd anniversary of reunification with Crimea. Plus, Russia just announced the withdrawal of troops from Syria after the mission has been accomplished.
If this indeed were a terrorist act, the point would have been to punish Russia by making sure the plane actually crashed on Russian soil; moreover, the idea would apparently be to punish specifically the people of Rostov Oblast by crashing it in plain view of all, close to the airport.
The above ‘coincidences’ potentially implicate the following entities: Kiev junta/Ukraine, Turkey, Crimean Tatar Mejlis and their friends at ISIS-Daesh, plus their Western sponsors. For what it’s worth, Ukrainians I used to know were not devious enough to execute these kinds of terror acts. Sure, they may have changed – for this lost generation all bets are off. But my money is still on Turkey, Mejlis and ISIS.
Was it just a tragic error and confluence of unfortunate events, or was it a chilling terrorist message? Let’s hope investigation will answer that soon.
Press Conference (Rus) with МЧС, Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FichawFBsNs
Flowers brought to Rostov-on-Don terminal: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ps7eceBTDks and to the representative office of Rostov Oblast in Moscow.
What do Russians think – comments on YT:
Are We About to Witness Another US Failure in the Middle East? ISIS Theatens to Blow Up Syria’s Strategic Dam
Are we about to witness yet another US failure in the Middle East?
ISIS holes up at Tabqa Dam to avoid airstrikes and to blackmail US if they attempt to take Raqqa!
Part of ISIS – Daesh has holed up at Tabqa, Syria’s strategically most important dam, where they use high value hostages to shield themselves from bombings. The dam, if breached, will flood and devastate large parts of eastern Syria, creating massive humanitarian disaster for this long-suffering country.
Remember my prediction in ESR5: SYRIA GAME CHANGER? US would do everything to avoid colliding with Russia in Syria. This prediction is now playing out.
Russia primarily covers Syria’s long Mediterranean coast, up to the Turkish border. It is along the coast where the capital Damascus, Assad government, most of the population and Russian base are located. Slowly but surely, the territory controlled by Assad is expanding, thanks to Russian air support and efforts of Syrian army.
Important Syria update for the readers of Earth Shift Reports!
The newest stats from Russian analysts are:
Assad army numbers: 200-250 thousand troops, including various local self-defence and international volunteer units.
All armed opposition, including ISIS, Al Nusra, Al Qaeda, Muslim Brotherhood, etc., numbers 150,000. This number also includes what US insists is ‘moderate armed opposition.’ However, by all accounts, real bandits and militants change coloring depending on who pays more at any given moment, or to save their lives: today they are Al Nusra, and tomorrow – ‘moderate opposition.’ In reality, political opposition in Syria doesn’t have serious military muscle, while the majority of those who have aren’t moderate.
There is a small quantity of ‘moderate’ bands that decided to cooperate and are now sending intel to Russians and Syrian army as to the locations of ISIS/Al Nusra and others. Such turncoats, per Russian military, are one of the best sources of ground intel for their operations.
The above numbers don’t take into account the significant factor of the Kurds. The Kurds in all this have been a neutral force, concentrating on defending their own land, but not interfering in the general Assad vs. opposition fight. However, the Kurds have reached the autonomy agreement with Assad and now are gearing towards siding with him – as I predicted in SYRIA GAME CHANGER! This is a very hopeful development. However, Turkey/Erdogan are trying to sabotage it by insisting on excluding the Kurds from the Assad – opposition negotiations process.
For an in-depth look into all the above, read ESRs: SYRIA GAME CHANGER and TURKISH CONUNDRUM – links to both at the bottom of this article!
USA in Syria
When US realized they had to get in before the victory over ISIS was claimed without their participation, they concentrated on plans to capture Raqqa, the so-called capital of ISIS, located inland, in the eastern part of Syria, where Russian aviation and Syrian army haven’t reached yet.
It has to be noted that, according to Syrian government sources, Syrian army is now only 40 km away from Raqqa and is planning to take it soon. However, it is common knowledge that Syrian army is tired and is moving slower than Russians would like them to. At least they are moving, taking over town after town, under the Russian Airforce’s cover.
In the situation when Russians said they definitely would NOT put any troops on the ground, US announced that it would increase support for local resistance in order to capture Raqqa. The resistance they are talking about are non-ISIS militants and Syrian opposition. Per reports, they also began helping the Kurds, who really are the only well-organized force in the area, able to resist ISIS.
Most interestingly, US announced they would be sending American ground troops as well.
There is talk of 100,000 coalition troops, consisting of 10,000 American; the rest is supposedly from SA, Qatar and other USA’s Middle Eastern allies, although there is much doubt as to how they will fill the quota (I described the whole spread and doubts surrounding this issue in SYRIA GAME CHANGER). The whole thing resembles more of a PR noise than the real thing. This reminds me of how an animal or a bird, when threatened, puffs up fur or feathers to seem bigger.
The latest announcement from the US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter: US is sending one of its divisions with substantial Iraq experience. It appears the division he’s referring to had previously sustained heavy losses in Iraq. Is that what Carter means by experience?
So, the ‘Nobel Peace Prize Laureate’ Barack Obama is sending American troops to yet another country, but only after Russian Airforce and Syrian army did most of the work.
The irony isn’t lost on anyone. The whole thing reminds me – a painful similarity noted by many analysts – of 1944, when USA hastily opened the second front, but only after it became clear that Russians could easily roll through all of Europe, claiming single-handed WWII victory.
In this case, US is too late to the strategically important Mediterranean coast, where 70-80% of the population resides, where Assad government is located and where the ports and bases are. The coast is covered by S-400 and Russian Airforce.
On the other hand, Raqqa, located deep inside the country, controls Syrian oil fields. While Russian bombings destroyed a large number of ISIS oil fields, pipelines, oil depots and oil convoys to Turkey, there are some oil fields that still remain around Raqqa. US, together with Qatar and Saudis, will try to prevent the area from reverting to Assad government; they want to attempt establishing their control over these fields.
Additional reason for targeting Raqqa is to save face – after all, Raqqa is the supposed ‘capital’ of ISIL, even if it’s just in their warped imagination. This, again reminds me of WWII and 1945: couldn’t take Berlin back then – let’s at least take Raqqa, before Russians and Syrian army get there.
With this cowboy logic US may cause yet another disaster in the Middle East — as if Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, the creation of Al Qaeda and the very ISIS itself weren’t enough! The list can be expanded well beyond the Middle East – look at the disaster US interference created in Ukraine within just two short years! Everyone knows what US had done to Vietnam in the ’60s.
The list can be expanded far beyond these vivid examples, and I’m sure you all know dozens of other US-created disasters. The trail of direct and collateral damage follows USA wherever they show up.
ISIS has holed up at the dam not just to avoid bombings. This is a very smart, if morbid, blackmail. They threaten to blow up the dam and kill hostages, if Raqqa is taken. The result will be further devastation of Syria.
Let’s see if US has enough wisdom and military know-how to avoid yet another regional disaster of their making!
Judging by their past failures, don’t hold your breath… Unless they give up and ask Russians for help, but don’t hold your breath for that either as this again will mean losing face.
However, this situation does give Russia some negotiations advantage, and not only in Syria; in Ukraine and Caucasus as well.
Read about Syria, US, Russia, Turkey, Qatar, Saudis, Israel — all the games & players:
The upcoming ESRs:
will expand further on the convoluted and volatile situation in the interconnected regions of the Black Sea/ Balkans/ Eastern Europe/ Caucasus and the Middle East.
Stay tuned for the ESR release announcements!
Video with Tabqa Dam and Raqqa stats and geography:
Go to all EARTH SHIFT REPORTS!
NEW EARTH SHIFT REPORT IS OUT!
Earth Shift Report 7
THE BATTLE FOR EURASIA!
Erdogan, Davutoglu & New Ottoman Empire
Read in this report:
Maps of the Ottoman Empire at its peak, Present day Turkey, decline of Ottoman Empire by country and year.
Is Erdogan trying to resurrect Ottoman Empire?
Has he lost his mind or is confrontation with Russia a well-thought out strategy?
Is Ahmet Davutoglu Erdogan’s Gray Cardinal, or is he the real puppet master?
Can Turkey Block Black Sea straits?
Who is wagging whom: US Erdogan or Erdogan US?
What will Russia do?
The region is boiling over and may blow up at any moment. Everything that is happening in this region, however unconnected it may appear, is invisibly orchestrated from one and the same center. In this report we’ll connect all the dots and form the full picture!
Who controls whom? What does the body language tell us? Can you tell by these images? Photo album of Erdogan with Davutoglu, Obama, Putin and Assad. They tell quite a story! With Lada’s body, eye and hand language interpretations.
Full list of topics discussed in this report:
The Great Earth Shift, tectonic change and human society
New Turkish provocation – Russian destroyer fires warning shots against Turkish boat
The money trail: Who organized the flood of refugees to Europe?
ISIL oil = Turkey’s bounty
About the ‘free’ market hoax and how oil prices are formed
Qatar: Terrorist State Extraordinaire of the Middle East
Al Jazeera Network – at the service of ISIL and Turkey
Who ordered the Russian passenger plane catastrophe over Sinai, Egypt
The invisible link between Qatar and Turkey
How Russia spoiled Turkey, Qatar and USA’s game
It’s 1944 all over again. What are US/Germany/UK/France doing in Syria
What is Turkey’s army doing in Iraq?
World’s largest ethnos without a state: the wild card of the Kurds
Who gave order to shoot down Russian Su-24 jet?
Is Erdogan mad or is this a part of a well-though-out plan?
Devolution of Erdogan and Turkey
Bulgaria in the dark: from Ottoman Empire to NATO and EU
Russia – Turkey relations
Ahmet Davutoglu – Erdogan’s Gray Cardinal or the Hitler of Turkey?
Neo-Ottoman Pan-Turkism and Resurrection of the Ottoman Khalifate
How Turkey infiltrated post-Soviet space
The real reason Russia agreed to enter WWI
How Russia was swindled of Constantinople and Bosphorus and Dardanelles Straits
Erdogan and Turkey – stepping on Saakashvili and Georgia’s rake?
The volatile issue of the Black Sea Straits – Can Turkey close Bosphorus and Dardanelles?
Will Russia press for the transfer of the Black Sea Straits?
The 1992 Black Sea Straits incident
Deja Vu: Who benefits from the destruction of Turkish – Russian relations?
P.S. 12/15/15: What does Kerry want in Moscow? Lavrov and Putin: Turkey, ISIL, Syria, Iraq, NATO rift, ground troops negotiations on likely talks agenda
Stay tuned for next ESR: BLACK SEA GAMBIT – it’ll take over where TURKISH CONUNDRUM left off! A preliminary list of explosive events surrounding Black Sea inside this report!
Copyright December 15, 2015 Lada Ray
The Battle for Eurasia!
Read this report in conjunction with:
Go to ALL EARTH SHIFT REPORTS
This just in!
I very rarely post videos with direct weapons usage on my blog. But this is one exception. I thought this impressive video was worth posting as it demonstrates clearly how the conflict in Syria is developing. It also shows that Russia is serious about both dealing with ISIL – Daesh and with showing who is in control of the situation.
In ESR5: SYRIA GAME CHANGER we’d discussed the surprise Russian cruise missile strikes from Caspian Sea. This is something new and it sends another signal. What is this signal, and what’s really going on around Syria and Turkey?
I have received many requests from readers to address what is happening and how to interpret that UK, Germany, US and others have sent troops and/or suddenly decided to bomb Syria. There are reports of the US bombing Syrian government troops (deaths reported) under the pretext of bombing Islamist ISIL/Daesh. On another note, Turkey began illegal ground invasion of Iraq, citing the ‘protection of Kurds’ and infuriating the Iraqi government.
All these aren’t isolated accidents. One of our readers suggested it reminded him of the 19th century Crimean War, where Turkey, UK, France and other Western powers ganged up on Russia.
To me it’s much more like the 1941-1945 Great War (Western: World War II). What do I mean? All to be explained in the upcoming ESR7!
The connections between all of the above, plus the downing of the Russian jet in Syria and Russian civilian plane’s bombing in Sinai Egypt, are clear. Together with what’s happening in Ukraine, Crimea, Moldova, Armenia, Turkey, Central Asia and the Balkans, these are all parts of the huge battle for the control of Eurasia. The biggest battles are fought in several historically volatile energy knots: Middle East, Balkans, and Caspian – Black Sea basins. All of these areas are in fact next to each other and are historically inter-connected.
I see them all as one large planetary tension center. Together they constitute the most vulnerable point, or what is called the ‘soft underbelly of Russia.’ In addition, these areas target the destabilization of China and India.
This is why the world’s biggest geopolitical and military shocks will continue in these parts, and this is why peace that we all hope for will be difficult to achieve in these parts for a while. In fact the crisis will deepen – it’ll get worse before it gets better.
As we have observed, the crisis has spilled into the most well-to-do and quiet areas of Europe in the form of the refugee crisis. But someone is orchestrating this crisis. If you think it’s Erdogan and Turkey – that’s only on the surface.
All this and more to be discussed in:
Earth Shift Report 7
THE BATTLE FOR EURASIA!
Erdogan, Davutoglu & Ottoman Empire
Coming Sunday, December 13!
This new report should be treated as the continuation and logical progression of ESR5: SYRIA GAME CHANGER. It’ll pick up where the former left off.
It is also a logical development of ESR6: UKRAINE – NEW KHAZARIAN KHAGANATE?
THE BATTLE FOR EURASIA may become a new series of reports. We’ll see how my readers like this one. If you do enjoy it, please write testimonials on FT after you’ve read it, and perhaps in future ESRs I’ll be able to reveal the clandestine developments and convoluted games played in other important areas of Eurasia!
I plan to release ESR7 by the end of this week (early next week the very latest), so you all have plenty of time to read and digest it well before the holidays.
Let’s hope that nothing extremely terrible happens during this holiday season and we can at least relax and have a nice Christmas/New Year’s celebration with our families!