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CUI BONO? Why Ukraine & US Desperately Need The Black Sea/Azov Provocation! (BIG ANALYSIS + IMPORTANT UPDATES!)
Russia blocks access from the Black to Azov Sea by placing an anchored cargo ship under the Crimean Bridge after Kiev’s provocation
Why Ukraine & US Desperately Need the Black Sea/Azov Provocation!
KIEV JUNTA BLACK SEA PROVOCATION: WHAT HAPPENED & HOW
IT’S PAINFUL DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN
PROFESSIONAL AND SURGICAL RUSSIAN ACTIONS AVERTED BIGGER CONFLICT
QUI BONO? WHY KIEV & USA DESPERATELY NEED A NEW CONFLICT WITH RUSSIA — LADA RAY ANALYSIS
FIVE BIGGEST REASONS US-UK-KIEV NEED A NEW CONFLICT WITH RUSSIA!
CONFESSIONS & PLANS: WHAT I’LL TALK ABOUT IN DECEMBER AND BEYOND – AND WHAT YOU CAN LOOK FORWARD TO!
EXTENDED TO NOVEMBER 28, 2018!
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Read sister post on FT:
- Global Catastrophe Looming? British Forces in Ukraine Preparing Major Chemical Attack Against Donbass
Three major podcasts that explain much more:
- EARTHSHIFT PODCAST4: Ukraine: New Crisis & Poroshenko’s End (ESP4) – With Important Written Addition!
- EARTHSHIFT PODCAST3: Real Democracy: Donbass Elections Put to Shame Ukraine & the West (ESP3)
- EARTHSHIFT PODCAST2: Why Macron Didn’t Let Putin & Trump Meet in Paris? (ESP2)
Don’t miss my BIG Earth Shift Report, where I talk about Trump-NATO debacle, May-Brexit fiasco, Putin-Trump Summit, and much more — from my unique signature perspective!
CLICK TO GET:
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 22
(Special Multidimensional Astrology & 4D Geopolitics Report)
Today, I thought we all would benefit from these telling video episodes from the NATO Summit in Brussels, where Trump gave his allies an ultimatum, and where his confrontation with Germany/Merkel reached a new level. All this confirms many of my predictions and things we usually talk about.
From RT: Trump-Stoltenberg tense talk at NATO summit (video below)
Trump gives a public thrashing to NATO and Germany. Look at NATO chief’s utter discomfort and how tense and unsure he is of himself. I also simply adore this telling symbol: the EMPTY plates in front of everyone, while they argue with each other about money!
Trump: ‘You want US to protect you from Russia, but you buy Russian gas, not ours.’
Stoltenberg: ‘But… we are stronger together…[against Russia].’
Sure, Germany and Europe will buy the expensive US LNG gas, not a much cheaper and higher quality, non-fracking, better for the environment, Russian gas, just to please Trump… Should’ve said it was all about money and power, NOT about democracy, and NOT about that bad meanie Russia.
Video #2 with translation is from Vesti News https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCa8M… Russia gets deterrence and a dialogue, Europe gets increased military expenses. These are the results of the first day of the NATO summit. After a public G7 conflict in Canada, Europeans didn’t expect much from meeting with the US President in Brussels. They were right. Donald Trump has arrived to accuse his allies of being unfair and to demand that the other members raise their defense spending.
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 22:
This may be the eclipse season, but at LadaRay.com
this is the EARTH SHIFT REPORT SEASON!
Stay tuned for next Earth Shift Reports on hottest topics of this millennium, and beyond!
Coming next week! New Earth Shift Report:
PUTIN – TRUMP SUMMIT & TRUMP’S NEW DEAL!
Get sister ESR! Earth Shift Report 19 (written):
Global Banking & Financial System Shift: Saturn in Capricorn 2018-2020 Predictions
HEADS UP, DEAR FUTURIST TRENDCAST FOLLOWERS!
Denny Hunt, the host of WhyIsThisTrue, and I have recorded a new interview. In the interview we discuss why some people in the West feel a mysterious connection to Russia when they seemingly have no Russian heritage. What is behind this attraction — past lives? Or is it the fact that people are awakening to the fact that Russia – The Great Balancer is the only force on the planet which can provide stability and balance? We also discuss: the forbidden history of Russia and how the history of the world was falsified; The New Chronology by Fomenko and Nosovsky, and how and why 1000 years were added to the so-called ‘medieval times.’
This interview should come up in a few days (I’ll let you know and provide the links)!
The historic building of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Moscow
DIPLOMATIC WAR: RUSSIA TO EXPEL 755 US DIPLOMATS AND STAFF
Putin has announced that the staff of the American embassy in Moscow, as well as consulates in St. Petersburg, Yekaterinburg and Vladivostok are to be reduced by 755 people. This will bring the US diplomatic and support staff in Russia to 455 people, down from 1100, which will be on par with the number of Russian diplomatic and support staff in the US. Both US diplomatic and technical staff has to leave the country by September 1.
Moscow also announced that US diplomatic missions in Russia are losing the use of storage facilities in Chertanovo area of Moscow, as well as the embassy dacha resort in Serebryany Bor near Moscow.
US embassy Chertanovo warehouses access to which has been revoked as of August 1:
Side note about color revolution in Russia, pro-West ‘opposition’ and Navalny
I should mention that Trump recently announced that the US ambassador and much of the staff in Russia would be replaced soon. It’s not clear yet what form it would take, but there is a possibility of more future Russian sanctions against new US staff, most, if not all of whom tend to be engaged in creating a color revolution and regime change in Russia. As the 2018 Presidential Election in Russia nears, the US embassy spies have tripled their efforts to destabilize Russia.
A notorious recent example was how in the middle of a local election US diplomats were caught on camera meeting with opposition leader Alexey Navalny. Similar documented meetings, including passing on of suitcases full of cash took place in the past. Some of that had been caught on camera and shown on national Russian TV.
Navalny is well-known for his unsanctioned, openly manipulative and provocative rallies in Moscow, the latest of which was a provocation during a Russian State holiday, subjecting unsuspecting holiday-goers with families and small children to danger in the center of Moscow. Navalny was also exposed for recruiting young teenagers to do his bidding, who were promised a good payday for coming out to protest (sounds familiar — Kiev Maidan anyone?). Per Russian sources, Alexey Navalny had previously been exposed in various journalistic investigations as a CIA asset on US payroll.
The true popular support of Navalny and other anti-Putin, pro-West ‘opposition’ leaders is anywhere between 1 and 2 percent, as previous elections showed. However, using the support and training US and their vassal Poland provide, they make a lot of noise on social media and in streets, attempting to reproduce the Kiev Maidan 2014 scenario. Are they really this stupid and don’t get it that Ukraine scenario is impossible in Russia, that the population will simply come out and bury them, should they try anything like that? In part, yes, they are that stupid. After all, it did work for them to dismantle the Soviet Union. They run on the old CIA playbook inertia, failing to grasp that today’s Russia, and Putin as Russia’s leader, are a completely different story.
But in part, they don’t care if they achieve their ultimate goal or not. Plan B involves simply destabilizing Russia, weakening Putin and miring Russia in internal problems, so that Russia and Putin cannot participate effectively in their role as The Great Balancer of the Planet Earth. If they can somehow make Putin so weak and compromised that he would not run for presidency next year, that would be their ultimate wet dream (obviously, NOT gonna happen).
In conclusion of this side note, I recommend you check out my essential FT article exposing Michael McFaul: “I never orchestrated color revolution in Russia” My Twitter exchange with US ex-ambassador McFaul. This wolf in sheep’s clothing, universally hated in Russia, is now engaged through his Twitter account in very skillfully igniting discord between Russia and US, and Russia and Ukraine. As I said in above-linked article, when they choose to use their talents for evil, all of us suffer.
As usual, Putin waited till last second with his ‘US diplomatic staff reduction’ move and gave as much benefit of the doubt to Trump administration as possible. And as usual, Putin’s move is surgically designed and carefully thought through.
If you recall, just as he was leaving the White House in December, Obama expelled 35 Russian diplomats, giving them and their families, including school children, hardly 48 hours to leave the country. Check out my December 2016 article: I Hate Being Right! Obama/US expel 35 Russian diplomats. Lada Ray analysis and calibrations. This was done in a notoriously cruel and inhumane fashion, so that families would be unable to settle their financial, housing and school affairs. In fact, they hardly had any time to pack.
Obama also took away two Russian diplomatic resorts, where the children of diplomats could go to summer camp and where families went for R&R. One such resort was not far from Washington DC. In 1977, The Soviet government officially purchased the compound for $1.2 mln.
Usually, such diplomatic compounds would be swapped between countries, based on mutual agreement. For instance, there was an agreement between the USSR, inherited by Russia, and USA about mutual exchange of properties in each country, to be used for diplomats and their families as private resorts or other needs. If the US allotted a piece of such real estate to Russia (USSR) in the US, a comparable piece of real estate had to be allotted to the USA in Russia.
The problem is that the resort near Washington DC wasn’t even a part of the exchange deal. It was purchased for $1.2 mln fair and square, and was fully owned by Russia. Therefore, taking away that particular resort amounts to an illegal expropriation of private property by the US government, using threats and force. This never happened even at the height of the Cold War. And you still think the USSR was bad?
I described why this was done by the USA right before the New Year – Christmas holidays, in the above referenced article: I Hate Being Right! Obama/US expel 35 Russian diplomats.
The first words ‘I hate being right’ refer to the fact that I predicted things like this would happen in my bestselling Earth Shift Report 16: US ELECTIONS & WHAT WILL HAPPEN AFTER (release Oct. 20-21, 2016).
In the report I predicted that Trump would be put in a straitjacket so he would not be able to fulfil his campaign promises. I also said that there would be no need to assassinate him, that a whole big and all-encompassing campaign would be designed around him and his people, in order to sabotage anything he tried to change, until he would be forced to cave in and make deals in order to simply survive.
The frantic activity to sabotage Russia-US relations in late December by Obama, when usually a lame duck president would be playing golf, accounts for the fact that the outgoing administration had to create as many obstacles to improving Russia-US relations as possible. As we remember, ‘improving Russia-US relations’ was one of the key promises of the Trump campaign, which no doubt helped him win presidency.
In EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR 1: WILL TRUMP SURVIVE HIS FIRST TERM (release Feb. 4, 2017) I re-affirmed what I said in Earth Shift Report 16. I also expanded on it and brought up new details and intel. Just a week into Trump being in office it was already abundantly clear that he would quickly cave in and try to make deals with those who did everything to sabotage him — in order to survive. In the webinar we talked about the probability of impeachment, and when it was likely happen.
On photo – Moscow, Russia. Foreground: the monument to the Revolutionary Guards; Background: US embassy building
4D WAR BETWEEN THE OLD AND NEW: TRUMP’S STRAITJACKET & NEW ANTI-RUSSIAN SANCTIONS
In my writings and talks, I also explained why Russia did not retaliate as soon as the Russian diplomats were expelled and Russian property was expropriated by the USA. Putin and Russia understood what was happening. They were graciously giving the Trump administration time to settle in and act accordingly. One of the promises Trump made early on was that once in office, he would immediately take steps to return Russian properties and diplomats. It never happened. Russians still waited, because during phone calls, Trump explained to ‘dear Vladimir’ that he was in a tight spot: recall the phrase I coined while predicting this outcome: ‘Trump’s straitjacket.’
July 7-8 G20 in Hamburg came, along with the much-anticipated meeting between Putin/Lavrov and Trump/ Tillerson. Discussed were Syria, Ukraine and N. Korea, as well as anti-Russian sanctions and China. The promise by Trump administration to return Russian diplomats and properties was raised more than once during negotiations, according to Russian FM Lavrov. After the meeting, Lavrov stated, with a very disappointed expression on his face, that no progress on that front was achieved and that the work would continue.
Let’s recall that the only progress that was achieved during G20 Trump-Putin meeting, as far as Russia-US cooperation goes, was on Syria. This corresponds with my EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR 1: WILL TRUMP SURVIVE HIS FIRST TERM prediction, where I said that I am reasonably skeptical (I tried to break the bad news slowly and mildly) about Trump being able to turn around relations with Russia due to his tight straitjacket, and that the only cooperation between Russia and US I can see is in Syria — and only tactical, only in small ways, nothing substantial or truly groundbreaking.
Trump’s straitjacket turned out very tight; it was constructed solidly and much faster than many of my readers thought possible. That is because they didn’t waste any time: Plan B was already in motion even before US election, when it was becoming clear that Trump could win, while Hillary was not fit for office. And what did you think, they’d wait, naively hoping their candidate would win? These forces, lurking in the dark, work on contingencies months and even years ahead, depending on the situation.
Speaking of planning… I am sure Russia was preparing the US diplomats expulsion months ahead as well, but was giving Trump/Tillerson the benefit of the doubt till last second. In the true fashion of the Great Balancer and Harmonizer, Russia wanted to see whether it was possible to resolve the issue without rocking the boat and without wrecking the US-Russia relationship even further.
However, instead of any sort of return gesture of good will, typically for the aggressively imbalanced West, Russia received new sanctions. These new sanctions, passed by the Congress by a landslide (only 3 were against), target Russia’s very economic livelihood: the Energy Sector. They also target one of the key Russian infrastructure projects to the EU: Nord Stream 2. In fact, the document published by Congress, which details sanctions against three main US enemies, Russia, Iran and N. Korea, dedicates two-thirds of its pages to Russia. It states point-blank that the goal of the US is to sabotage Nord Stream 2 at all cost.
Trump didn’t sign the new sanctions into law yet, but there is no chance of his vetoing them as the Congress adopted them practically anonymously and presidential veto can be easily overcome. This is that ‘Trump’s straitjacket’ — in action. This is that by-partisan war against Trump in full swing, of which I warned in Earth Shift Report 16 and EARTH SHIFT WEBINAR 1.
Therefore, dear readers, you can forget about Trump if you still had any illusions.
By the way, look at what happened with the repeal of Obamacare, and look at the number McCain has pulled on the Senate floor. As I advised you all in 2015-16: forget old divisions on democrats vs. republicans, left vs. right wing. This is all so 20th century!
The new No. 1 telltale litmus test of who is who is how they feel and act regarding Russia. No. 2: how they feel about US hegemony and bases all over the world. Once you have done these two tests, you can know for sure if such and such politician deserves your vote.
In this regard, I would like to ask you all, my dear American readers. Who has voted in a Congress full of rabid Russophobes? The Congress represents in a nutshell the American people. Is that what Americans really are?
VP Mike Pence has indicated that Trump will be signing the new anti-Russian sanctions because ‘of Russia’s destabilizing role in Ukraine.’ In other words, Trump completely caved in to survive his first term, as predicted. But it’s very doubtful he will, also as predicted. I’ll monitor this situation. But my general advice: forget Trump, he is finished — CONSIDER THIS MY NEW PREDICTION.
Speaking of which, the rumor is Tillerson can’t wait to leave his post as Secretary of State. It’s visible to the naked eye that he is experiencing threats and huge pressure, and cannot control his own employees. Don’t blame him, ultimately, he values his life too. But he will (most likely) stay till the end of this year. I am not too concerned about the likes of Tillerson. These types always morph and adapt to whatever comes their way, they easily betray their principles and promises, if it suits them. Tillerson, just like Trump, may have had some relatively good ideas about making up with Russia, etc., but he, along with Trump, can easily forget those ideas, and make deals with the devil in order to come out of this situation with a personal gain, or at least with as little loss as possible.
However, the point is Trump is losing allies and shedding people left and right. Very soon he’ll be left all alone and will cave in completely.
4D WARS INTENSIFY: US-RUSSIA GAS WAR, EUROPE & NORD STREAM 2
The new anti-Russian sanctions target Western and Central Europe and those EU companies that are participating in Nord Stream 2. The enthusiasm for Nord Stream 2 in Europe has been huge. Something to the tune of $5.5 euros was pledged by EU investors immediately, before the construction began. At this point the Nord Stream pledge should be bigger than that.
Germany is the biggest investor. In addition to pledged billions, it has vested interest and direct participation in the construction. Germany supplies the gas pipes for the project, those same pipes that are targeted by new sanctions.
Italy, Austria, Hungary, Finland and others also pledged billions and participation. Germany is the hardest hit, but all these countries are in shock. After all, they are so used to doing what US tells them to do. Now they find themselves in an unnatural territory. There is much hurt feeling that ‘the US has betrayed its biggest ally EU.’ It took them this long to figure it out? I was warning EU about it since 2014. There is also noise in the EU about possible return anti-US sanctions, but do the brainwashed and sold-out EU elites have the courage and will to act?
Ultimately, it all depends on whether Germany will take the lead in the rebellion against the US, as only Germany pulls enough wight. I can tell you that Merkel won’t — she is too far gone. And this is why I have predicted since 2016 that Merkel would lose her election in the autumn of 2017!
The only hope is that the newly elected chancellor will be less sold-out and a little more courageous. However, the prognosis is not very good, despite the fact that German and European companies will suffer huge losses and for some the inability to benefit from Nord Stream 2 will be a kiss of death. When I say ‘for some,’ I mean not just companies, but whole countries. Austria and Hungary are very worried because for them Nord Stream 2 and Turkish Stream are the only possibility to ensure a secure gas supply for years to come.
Speaking of US lap dogs and French poodles! The moment US Congress passed anti-Russian sanctions, France withdrew its 2 bln euro investment in Nord Stream 2.
Remember the first round of anti-Russian sanctions in 2014 and how France was forced by US to forfeit its delivery of the Navy carrier it had built for Russia? A billion+ project was literally thrown away. Russia got its money back through court, and although some sort of reduced deal was made to sell the ship to a third party, France lost both money and business reputation as a result. After that, India pulled out of lucrative deals with France.
This time, France decided not to wait and withdrew its Nord Stream 2 investment even before Trump signed the new anti-Russian sanctions.
The reason many European countries are worried is Russia’s 2016 announcement that Ukraine transit will be discontinued permanently as soon as the present transit contract expires on January 1, 2019. After that, Russia plans to let the Soviet-built pipe running through Ukraine to rot out unused. This would take the blackmail leverage away from Kiev: it won’t be able to blackmail either Moscow or EU, using its gas transiter status.
However, this announcement by Russia does a lot more. It also ensures that after January 1, 2019 USA loses all leverage over Russia and EU from the side of Ukraine. As I pointed out before, the fascist Kiev junta, and by extension, the occupied by them Ukraine, is used as a ram against Russia. But it’s also used as a blackmail tool against Europe/EU, and especially Germany. But not only Germany; many countries are feeling the pinch, including Austria, Finland, Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia, to name a few.
USA cannot afford this poison anti-Russian thorn it has created to be rendered useless. This is why Nord Stream 2 has to be sabotaged at all cost.
Many experts have said that the reason US wants to sabotage Nord Stream 2 is because USA wants to squeeze Russia out European market in order to sell their own fracking LNG gas to Europe. That’s just silly. Europeans aren’t that stupid and they know how to count their money. US fracking gas will be 3-4 times more expensive than Russia gas. It’s only Poland and the Baltics that could consider such ripoff to be a good deal. Russia doesn’t care about either Poland or Baltics, but Russia does care about lucrative business with the EU, and would like to keep EU markets, if at all possible.
The true reason for the new US sanctions is geopolitical, not economic. Even ‘Washington dreamers’ aren’t stupid enough to think EU will buy their gas at such prices and before infrastructure is even built. I spoke about this when Ukraine coup and anti-Russian sanctions began in 2014, and we are back to this yet again. What US is after is three things:
- Sabotage and keep down Russia – The Great Balancer as much as possible, preventing Russia’s normal live and steady development, if it’s not possible to annihilate Russia altogether.
- Sabotage and weaken Europe / EU as much as possible, as USA’s main technological competitor. But it goes further than that: a weaker Europe is a more subservient and less sovereign Europe. US is desperately clinging to the old 20th century model, under which weakened by WWII Europe was completely under US and did what the big boss said. US wants to keep that status quo, which is slowly slipping away, due to the Great Earth Shift.
- Keep Ukraine on life support, also completely subservient to the US, as a poison thorn in Russia’s side. This thorn can be activated at any moment to cause pain for Russia, but if need be, it can also be turned against the EU. US is desperate to keep Ukraine as that very important poison thorn. If Russian gas transit through Ukraine stops, then the role of Ukraine as anti-Russia on Russian borders strongly diminishes, until US has to abandon ‘the project Ukraine’ altogether. Trump has talked about slowly disengaging from Ukraine, but his surroundings and Congress won’t let him. The likes of McCain and Pence, and just about everyone else, will make him toe the line. The goal here is not to support Ukraine — they could care less about the people of Ukraine suffering and dying. The only use for Ukraine, from those dark entities’ perspective, is to use it as a poison pill, or as a ram against Russia and Europe. This is why they will support Ukraine till the last possibility.
Therefore, the main goal of the new anti-Russian sanctions is to slow down as much as possible the Nord Stream 2 construction, with the ultimate goal of weakening both Russia and EU.
In conclusion, please recall my 2014 prediction, which may come true, after all. As soon as the EU adopted first anti-Russian sanctions, I predicted that if Russia feels restricted by the West in any way, off to the East Russia goes. I said that Russia would quickly switch her focus to Asia and China. That’s exactly what happened: Russia and China became tighter than ever; various Asian and Middle Eastern countries beg for an increased Russian presence. (Read: Great Balancer Theory in Action! Iraq Requests Russia’s Military/Political Presence to Rebalance Region and World).
In the same set of 2014 predictions, I also said that as a result of sanctions EU may in several years time lose Russia as gas supplier and begin experiencing gas shortages. Today, July 31, 2017 Russia is preparing Plan B, in case EU caves in to US sanctions. Russian Plan B implies switching to alternative markets and alternative ways of gas delivery, which can cause serious gas shortages in certain EU countries, starting with Germany.
Let’s see if Germany and Europe in general have enough common sense and any sense of self-preservation left to act before it’s too late.
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 18: LE PEN – MACRON FACE-OFF (lots on Trump here)
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My deepest condolences to the city of St. Petersburg and all victims of the Sennaya Ploschad Station Metro Bombing!
The most important thing to understand is that this is NOT a coincidence! The immediate ‘verdict’ on the Internet and SM has been that’s it’s ISIS. But let’s look at the facts!
The facts are a stubborn thing. There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that Putin – Lukashenko St. Petersburg meeting and St. Pete Metro bombing are two links of the same chain!
And here’s the chain in question:
1. An ISIS terrorist would stick out like sore thumb in St. Petersburg. But ukro-nazis or SBU operatives from Kiev or Western Ukraine would blend right in. SBU is Ukraine intelligence, which has been trained, supervised and financed by CIA since at least 2014.
Since Putin has outplayed the Kiev junta on so many fronts, it is a lot more plausible that this is what happened. And it hits so much closer to home.
2. Multiple terror plots and subversive groups from Ukraine have been neutralized in Russia, including Crimea, Moscow and other regions, in 2016 and 2017.
One terror act unfortunately succeeded: the downing of TU-154 near Sochi, when all on board died, including 68 artists from the famed Alexandrov Red Army Choir and famous humanitarian Dr. Liza.
Certainly, there is also an escalation of Islamist terror activity in Chechnya and N. Caucasus. However, all of these events are related.
Related to the Russian terror plots are also the killings of LDPR commanders and leaders in 2016-17.
3. Russian ‘anti-corruption’ protests headed by Navalny took place just a week ago, the previous Sunday. One day prior to that, on Saturday, similar protests, with very similar slogans, took place in Belarus. Although organizers (often hidden) pretended that it was all spontaneous and unrelated to each other, there are very clear signs of coordination across borders. No doubt Russian and Belorussian protests were coordinated.
What is interesting is the incredibly high level of sophistication in the protests organization. The grounds were prepared for at least months prior. Lukashenko’s mistakes were skillfully used in Belarus. In Russia the dislike of PM Medvedev was equally skillfully used. The story of his supposed billions and Tuscany vineyards was invented and made into a documentary by Navalny, making sure it went viral on social media. Social media was in a very sophisticated way used to appeal to the young crowd and to entice young people to come out by the promise of big bucks and mischief with no repercussions.
To organize all this someone had to work for at least months, possibly longer. Most importantly, someone had to shell out quite a bit of cash, because protests and color revolutions don’t come cheap.
Participants of the Russian protests, very young people, some of whom were barely 16-17 years of age, were caught on camera (video was posted on YT) sharing how they must make sure they get arrested during the Sunday protest because those who get arrested will get $10 thousand Euros, plus legal help and possible trips to the West.
Other young delinquents were caught on camera having this dialogue:
‘Coming tomorrow to the protest?’
‘What’s it about?’
‘No idea, but it’s an opportunity to beat up cops.’
Who promised them this kind of payday for causing trouble? The usual suspects: Soros, Clinton Foundation, CIA. I would also include here UK, Poland, Germany and Brussels/EU. In what configuration – that’s a separate discussion. It’s roughly the same entities who have financed other color revolutions and mayhem globally.
The name of ex-oligarch Khodorkovsky has also surfaced in connection with the organization of these ‘protests’ (see this post’s comment section for intel from Nemo!). Khodorkovsky, of course, is a long-standing client of the CIA. I have followed Khodorkovsky for a long time, and as many of you know, he served as prototype for the character of the oligarch Konukovsky in my novel THE EARTH SHIFTER. As I see it, Khodorkovsky lately also became a client of the CIA’s secret EU leg: the German intelligence (let’s be honest, that’s what the German intelligence has turned into).
4. Recent Eurovision scandal was supposed to be a humiliation for Russia, but it backfired. Kiev banned Russian participant Yulia Samoylova’s entry into the country, thus illegally banning her from participation in the Kiev Eurovision 2017. The scandal took a humiliating turn against Kiev: in response contest organizers threatened to ban Ukrainian participant from the contest taking place on her native soil, and possibly even moving the contest to another country.
Recent killing of ex-Russian Duma Deputy Voronenkov in Kiev is a provocation also directly related to all other events described here.
5. During 2016-2017 in Russia we have seen a large number of terror groups – some related to IS and Islamist terror cells and others related to Kiev – being apprehended. These are shown on Russian news almost weekly. Many terror acts were prevented. All in all, the actions of FSB have so far proven effective.
6. In the run-up to Belarus protests multiple terror plots and various wannabe terrorists were apprehended in Minsk and on the border. One of the attempted terror plots was almost bizarre: a Jeep carrying ingredients to mak explosives tried to break through the border from Ukrainian side. The Jeep was chased by law enforcement, but it managed to get pretty deep into Belorussian territory before most people inside were apprehended. One person managed to escape. How dangerous was the one who escaped? Were the others just patsies, meant to divert attention, while the only important person went free? What kind of explosives escaped with him and what was his ultimate destination?
The border between Russia and Belarus is very transparent. Recently Lukashenko announced a visa-free regime for 80 countries, without coordinating with Russia. This silly decision was a big part of the recent spat between Russia and Belarus.
Clearly, Belarus isn’t a high-profile target, but its value is in it being an inside track into Russia. Between Russia and Belarus there is no border; therefore, it is very easy for a determined terrorist group to infiltrate through Belarus.
7. Lukashenko blinks: Belarus has become a weak link in Eurasian stability and security system when Lukashenko recently initiated a conflict with Russia regarding power and gas pricing and sought to blackmail Russia by suggesting Belarus would re-orient towards the West and Middle East, distancing itself from Russia.
My diagnosis is that it’s largely a bluff by the starved for attention Lukashenko, who wants preferential treatment and who wants to milk Russia as much as possible. There is also a significant economic component in Lukashenko’s outburst: Belarus is cash poor and debt ridden and in need of a postponement of debt repayment. All this, coupled with the worsening economic situation and approaching elections makes Lukashenko nervous. After all, the so-called ‘Belorussian miracle’ was achieved on the account of Russia sharing practically free gas and other privileges with Belarus. Recently Russia began demanding that Lukashenko pays for at least some of the gas.
At the same time, I do not see Belarus drifting towards Ukraine scenario and Kiev-style Maidan any time soon, as I explained and predicted in ESR1: IS PUTIN PART OF NWO? (WITH BONUS: LUKASHENKO’S BLUFF).
Regarding Lukashenko: his act gets old and tiring. He will paint himself into a corner soon. His days as president may be numbered. But the geo-chess master acts on his own time and when no one is expecting it. Putin’s move will come, but only when he’s ready.
More predictions on the future of Belarus and Lukashenko in my future book, THE PUTIN ENIGMA.
8. Russian Presidential Election cycle has begun. Everything that’s happening is a rehearsal and preparation in order to see if Russia can be destabilized enough to prevent Putin’s re-election. But they know it’s a very tall order. Therefore, the goal is at least to bring him into the next term as weakened as possible, with maximum number of discontented citizens. If Russia and Putin blink (which won’t happen) they also hope to begin a real color revolution and civil war in Russia, turn one half of the population against another, like in Ukraine, and destroy everything that has been re-built between 2000 and now. But as I said, this won’t happen.
This is a very old tried-and-true technique of divide and conquer, character assassination and sabotage. It was previously reserved for Russia, the arch-enemy of the West, and those countries the West wanted to subdue. But today, we are experiencing the Great Earth Shift when the old matrix is dissolving and the shoots of the new are trying to get through the concrete.
Today this technique is used just as much in the West by the same neo-liberal globalist cabal against those who do not toe the agenda. Examples are anti-globalists such as Trump in the US and French presidential candidates Marine Le Pen and François Fillon, who are being openly sabotaged. More in EARTH SHIFT REPORT 16: US ELECTIONS & WHAT WILL HAPPEN AFTER.
WHY PUTIN – LUKASHENKO MEETING IN ST. PETERSBURG COINCIDED WITH METRO BOMBING:
Putin meets with Lukashenko in St. Petersburg, 4/3/17:
By provoking multiple loud public scandals with Russia regarding gas and oil pricing, diminished oil quotas, loan repayments and open border dispute Lukashenko and his advisors were banking on the fact that Russia already has a huge problem with Ukraine. Therefore, they reasoned, Russia would not risk escalating this argument with Belarus, fearing a loss of an important partner. This calculation was naive at best, which was quickly demonstrated by the following events. Life promptly showed Lukashenko what happens when Russia withdraws support.
To be sure, both Russia and Belarus lose when they argue. The problem is Belarus and Lukashenko personally lose a lot more.
A similar scenario occurred to Turkey and Erdogan after the downing of the Russian Su-24 and Russia’s subsequent withdrawal of Erdogan’s support and all business with Turkey. Within the short several months, this weakened Turkey to such degree that Erdogan almost lost his life in the military coup and much of the Turkish economy dried up. For detailed analysis and predictions read ESR 13: ERDOGAN’S WAR.
Having gone too far in his spat with Russia, and also having made some serious mistakes internally, Lukashenko now has seen how shaky his position would be without the support of Russia. After Putin and Medvedev’s cold shoulder, after Belarus protests and a threat of being expelled from Eurasian Union, he had to quickly backtrack, humble down and sit down to talk with Putin.
The meeting place: St. Petersburg. The meeting time: Monday, April 3, 2017.
It is clear to me that a great deal of manipulation has gone into convincing Lukashenko to act as a provocateur in Russian-Belorussian relations. Also, a great deal of effort and international coordination went into organizing the aforementioned Russian and Belorussian protests. Much of YouTube, Twitter and various other SM outlets were deeply involved.
Specifically in Russia the average age of participants is highly suspect. What comes to mind when a crowd of 16-17 years-olds marches through Moscow center, stopping traffic and picking fights with cops, while chanting, ‘Putin (or Medvedev), where is our money?’ (This was an actual slogan of the Russian protests, as seen on TV. Others were even more silly and bizarre, some reminding painfully of the Kiev coup and Ukrainian Euro-Maidan.)
‘Putin (or Medvedev), where is our money?’ Greed is a determining factor. Whose money are they really after? Who really pays?
Make no mistake, no matter who sits in the White House or calls the shots in the EU, billions continue being spent on subverting the vulnerable among the young generations of Russians and Belarussians. After all, it seems to have worked in Ukraine; they hope it’ll work in Russia and Belarus.
These billions are being spent by the same parties as before, and in this regard, absolutely nothing has changed. These are same sources that subverted Ukraine, and that attempted unsuccessful color revolutions in Armenia and Kazakhstan. (See ESR9: ATTACK ON KAZAKHSTAN & Armenia).
This is pre-election year in Belarus. More importantly, this is pre-election year in Russia. The activation of destabilization attempts will continue.
The original grand plan, conceived many years ago, but implemented throughout the 90’s and 2000’s was to break apart Ukraine, Russia and Belarus. Part of the plant pertaining to Ukraine nearly succeeded due to Kiev Maidan.
But it proved much harder to break up Russia and Belarus. Yet even this could have succeeded due to Lukashenko’s mistakes. After Lukashenko’s public tantrum and threats to turn away from Russia towards the West, it was assumed that the breakup was underway. And it would have been, if not for Putin.
The attempt to break apart Russia and Belarus has a clear ultimate goal to weaken and disorient The Great Balancer. Russia, The Great Balancer, is presently rebalancing the severely lopsided world towards a better balance between physical/material/personal/self-serving energy on one hand and spiritual/collective/service-to-others energy on another. This is an attempt to stop this rebalancing, or at the very least, to slow it down.
Who benefits? Very simply: the collective West, the old neo-liberal globalist bankster, pero-dollar dominated system that made the West at large rich at the expense of others. To be sure, there are many new and healthy shoots in the West. They will eventually come through and bear fruit, but for now the old is still stronger.
Belarus is playing a very important role in the work of The Great Balancer; it is a part of the Great Balancer structure. Russia is weaker without Belarus, but Belarus cannot survive without Russia.
Has Lukashenko finally got it? After all elaborate and sophisticated preparations, after all indications that a rift between Russia and Belarus is taking place, suddenly, Lukashenko backpedals and Putin meets him in St. Petersburg. They announce that energy and border control disputes are being successfully resolved.
The terror act preceding or coinciding with this kind of meeting signifies a warning. This is a message for Putin, and by association, for Lukashenko. It is a threat issued to Russia, Belarus, and their leaders.
Make no mistake, a response will follow.
Incidentally, during the St. Pete meeting Putin said an interesting thing: Russia and Belarus are preparing a unified energy grid. This ultimately means that the two countries are getting closer, NOT further apart. This is the beginning of Putin’s response.
The game is afoot.
Putin lays flowers at the site of St Pete Metro Bombing
St Pete attack is more sophisticated than usual
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Explosive Consequences of Putin-Erdogan St.Petersburg Meeting and Earth Shifting Changes it Foretells!
Addendum to ESR13: ERDOGAN’S WAR
EXPLOSIVE CONSEQUENCES OF THE 8/9/16 PUTIN-ERDOGAN MEETING IN ST. PETERSBURG
& THE EARTH SHIFTING CHANGES IT FORETELLS!
Putin and Erdogan met in St. Petersburg on August 9, 2016. The meeting followed the failed Turkish coup and an equally failed double attack by Ukraine on Crimea, which occurred between 5 and 7 of August. Erdogan made sure he emphasized that Russia was the first country he visited after surviving the coup. This is diplomatic speak to underline the special importance of said country.
Just prior to the meeting, Erdogan threatened to boot out US military from Turkish NATO bases and instead, let the Russians use them. A turnaround especially stunning, considering Turkey’s long-standing NATO membership and the 2015 story with Turkey shooting down the Russian Su24 and killing the Russian pilot.
Throughout ESR13, you have read all about these developments, complete with my secret intel, theories and revelations. When I released ESR13 on August 8 just before the Putin-Erdogan meeting, I also explained the staggeringly important role this meeting and Turkey-Russia negotiations would play in the ongoing Earth Shift (also see TRENDS & PREDICTIONS). Changes of great magnitude are afoot, and Erdogan-Putin meeting is one of the harbingers.
In this addendum I will tell you what really happened during the Erdogan-Putin meeting.
Erdogan repeatedly called Putin ‘esteemed Vladimir’ or ‘esteemed Russian President Putin,’ which is a very Middle Eastern way of offering an olive branch and underscoring how important the counterpart is to you. Putin, as far as I could tell, echoed that just once with ‘esteemed President Erdogan.’ No first name basis here.
In the report I predicted that Russia would be cautious with Turkey after the Su24 incident. The signal on the Turkish side was very clear: ‘we very much want to make up and be in good graces again.’ On the Russian side: ‘sure, we are all for it, and here are our immediate signs of good will, but other than that, we’ll see how you behave going forward, shall we?’
Before departing to Russia for the meeting, Erdogan made an announcement that much time was lost and that Turkey was eager to get back on track with two extremely important projects: Turkish Stream and Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant.
The Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant (Turkish: Akkuyu Nükleer Enerji Santrali) is a nuclear power plant under construction at Akkuyu, in Büyükeceli, Mersin Province, Turkey. It will be the country’s first nuclear power plant. In May 2010, Russia and Turkey signed an agreement that a subsidiary of Rosatom — Akkuyu NGS Elektrik Uretim Corp. (APC: Akkuyu Project Company) — would build, own, and operate a power plant at Akkuyu comprising four 1,200 MW VVER units. Engineering and survey work started at the site in 2011. The construction of the first unit was to begin in 2016, with the four units put into service in 2022–25. In 2013, Russian nuclear construction company Atomstroyexport (ASE) and Turkish construction company Ozdogu signed the site preparation contract. The official launch ceremony took place in April 2015.
In ESR13 we discussed the mis-adventures of South Stream and Turkish Stream, along with reasons why it was so important for the US and Germany to sabotage them.
Akkuyu is a somewhat different story. Russians gave Turkey an amazing deal as part of the pre-2015 push to get Turkey on the Russian side and away from US influence. Part of the deal was that Russia would finance and build the power plant, with profits for its exploitation deferred for a number of years. The deal was an absolute windfall for Turkey, which would greatly reduce, or eliminate all-together the long-standing energy shortage basically for free. Then Turkish treacherous actions took place, including ISIS/Daesh help and the shooting down of Su24. Throughout the meeting, Erdogan kept referring to it as ‘the unfortunate event.’
Erdogan and other Turkish officials/businesspeople arriving to Russia all confirmed how eager they were to restart both Akkuyu, whose construction was supposed to begin in 2016, and Turkish Stream. Too much time has been lost, Erdogan kept repeating like a mantra.
In other words, they acted exactly as I predicted. Meanwhile, Russia also acted as I predicted: willingly, but cautiously.
Russians agreed to restart the Akkuyu project. A large part of the negotiations was behind the closed doors, to avoid various sabotage attempts from the same parties that organized Su24 downing and the Turkish coup. I am sure many details of various deals will never be announced before the deals actually materialize into reality. However, the general intel I have received is that Russians have renegotiated the earlier deals in a more beneficial way, since Turkey came back in a greatly weakened position.
Turkey is equally eager to get back on track with Turkish Stream. “We lost a lot of time” was repeated over and over in a somewhat contrite (amazing for a Muslim country) manner. Turkey underscored how much they wanted to get back to the lucrative international project Russians practically gifted to them in 2015.
However, that’s when a bucket of cold water was dumped on Turkey. Putin has re-affirmed that Russia remained committed to Turkish Stream, but only if and when Turkey obtains written legal guarantees from the EU that Europe wants Russian gas arriving via Turkish Stream and that EU cooperation is forthcoming.
Russia has also confirmed that they will restart Turkish Stream where it concerns Turkish internal gas supply only. In other words, for now the project is scaled down to the bilateral Russia-Turkey pipeline. Turkey, as I pointed out in previous ESRs, is suffering from energy shortages and high consumer energy prices. This includes electric power, as well as fuel for heating and cooking – many still use wood-burning and very polluting old-fashioned stoves, even in big centers such as Istanbul and Ankara. Therefore, it’s a necessary project, but not of the scale and scope that was initially intended. However, the same surveys and foundation used for Turkish pipe can be used later to expand it to continue to Europe, when the landscape changes. And it will change.
Additionally, it’s actually good to advertize officially the scaled down version of the project – this may, at least in part, discourage future attacks by the US. It’s a hybrid war and rule number 1 is: don’t advertize your moves to the enemy.
As I explained in ESR13 above, the sabotage of South Stream, and later of Turkish Stream, were necessary to delay the breakup of the predatory US Empire. South Stream – Turkish Stream would give a lot more sovereignty to Southern and Central Europe, leading to the weakening of the EU with subsequent breakup, and in turn, weakening US positions.
And another breaking news! As Turkey was proclaiming how eager they were to restart Turkish Stream, Bulgaria suddenly announced that they have again changed their minds and were now ready to host South Stream (read the entire story of Bulgaria’s flip-flop and South Stream sabotage in ESR13 and in ESR7: The battle for Eurasia! TURKISH CONUNDRUM). In other words, suddenly there is eager competition between countries to host Russian pipelines. Add to that Germany and Nord Stream 2. The healthy competition is very good, and it will push one of these projects through that much faster. I already told you in ESR13 which project it will be…
Here are two important questions for you to consider, which, once answered, will reveal the true meaning of this big geopolitical game. They’ll explain why ukro-nazi coup in Ukraine had to be executed, why Su24 had to be shot down and why Turkey, EU and Russia had to be kept as enemies:
1. Why is suddenly Bulgaria so brave and wants back into the Russian gas game, after having chickened out the moment Uncle Sam said ‘No’?
2. What will happen to Ukraine after all these projects go through and its old Soviet pipeline becomes obsolete?
1. Make no mistake: Bulgaria really wanted to host the very lucrative South Stream and its refusal to do so is due only to its absolute lack of any sovereignty. Bulgaria is suddenly so brave because this is election time in the US. At this time, US is distracted with the elections and the sell-out Bulgarian government thinks they could sneak in South Stream unnoticed. But just think how puppet and spineless it really is if a simple visit by John McCain had previously put a stop to South Stream. I think South Stream is still preferred, and I can see that Russians may be thinking along the same lines. But its continuation may only be possible when this puppet government is replaced with a very different, sovereignty-minded type of government. Due to the nature of Bulgaria as an extremely apathetic and inertia-ridden state, this will take a while.
2. After pipelines bypassing Ukraine are built, Ukraine will stop having as much value to the US and they’ll drop it as a hot potato, which in turn will cause the bandit regime of ukro-nazi Kiev junta and its pro-US oligarchic clan to implode. This will free up the genuine forces of liberation and Ukraine will make a swift turnaround towards its historic, political and economic ties with Russia. The problem with the territory we presently refer to as Ukraine is that it is an intrinsic part of the Russian World that was successfully infected with a virus of hatred towards everything Russian. Ukraine was targeted specifically because Russians never concealed how important Ukraine was to Russia. The US/West’s logic: If Ukraine is that important, then it is necessary to tear it away. This was why the 2014 Kiev coup was necessary from USA’s standpoint.
One of the major difficulties of dealing with Ukraine’s situation for Russia right now is the fact that the all-Russian/Soviet infrastructure was built as one system, spanning all ex-republics. Therefore, Russian gas pipeline to the EU ran through Ukraine, delivering at its height up to 70% of Russian gas to Europe. Now it’s down to 25% or so. This was a major pressure point against Russia throughout 2000s. You may remember the sudden gas stoppages as a result of Ukraine’s sabotage and stealing of European gas. The manipulation of Russia by the US and various anti-Russian interests through the Ukraine pipe reached staggering proportions, culminating in the 2014 coup.
Therefore, getting the pipe away from Ukraine is a blessing for all: Russia, EU and Ukraine, as well. Ukraine, or what’s left of it, will finally be left alone and allowed to rebuild itself (probably as several separate states and territories associated with Russia).
Therefore, one way or another, more pipelines bypassing Ukraine will be built no matter what. The only question is which countries will end up benefiting from the pipeline going through their territory. This will be determined by how quick on their feet and cooperative these countries are, plus, how smart and sovereign they are. As I said, I know which pipeline will be built first – and it’s all in the report!
In addition to all the above, Turkey continued asking for Russia to remove bans on tourism, air traffic, Turkish agricultural produce imports and Turkish construction companies working in Russia. Turkey made a killing in these areas and Russian money really supported Turkish economy, until Russia put the bans in place following the downing of the Su24.
Russians promised that they would be removing bans little by little. Read: depending on how you behave, we’ll see what we can do. For the time being the tourism ban has been removed and charter flights to Turkey may be resumed soon. However, the terrorist warning for Turkey is still in place and only the most brave dare to go there. Russians aren’t in a hurry to let construction and produce imports back in: they’ll give more time for domestic companies to strengthen and take bigger share of the market.
Unthinkable just recently: Turkey-Russia cooperation in Syria!
After the meeting with ‘esteemed Vladimir’ Erdogan announced that Turkey is inviting Russia to fight jointly against ISIS/Daesh in Syria. This is yet another move by Turkey to spite US and NATO, following earlier threats to boot US troops out of Turkish bases, and after a clash with Germany.
This is a staggering, unthinkable just recently announcement! After all, Turkey just recently helped ISIS/Al-Nusra/Muslim Brotherhood terrorists and Syria/Assad has been Erdogan/Turkey’s mortal enemy. Read all about that in ESR7: TURKISH CONUNDRUM.
We may soon hear announcements about certain Russia-Turkey joint missions. In my view, Russia will continue being cautious with involving Turkish militarily, until they are sure they can trust them. However, getting Turkey on Russia’s side in Syria and Black Sea vicinity – and on these new, more favorable to Russia conditions – is a huge, huge, HUGE win.
It’s also a HUGE humiliation and loss of face for the US. It has already, and it will continue leading to the weakening of the US and NATO.
We should expect Turkey cooperating with Russia in shutting down its border to Syrian terrorist supplies, oil, money and weapon smuggling. We can also expect better cooperation in securing Black Sea, such as not allowing certain US military ships through and cooperating in allowing faster passage for Russian ships through the straits. All these are still stop-gap measures. As I explained in the report, the issue of Black Sea and Straits has to be resolved in principle: all outsider military ships (read: US military ships, since no other outside country does that) have to be banned from entering. Only the military ships of countries bordering Black Sea should be allowed in Black Sea.
The extreme value of Black Sea, and therefore, the frantic activity around it, is due to one factor only: it is the soft and vulnerable underbelly of Russia. Therefore, surrounding Russia with unfriendly regimes has been US/UK strategy for hundreds of years. I explained how it all works in ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT.
The value and relative vulnerability of Crimea is derived directly from the same. The recent attack by Ukraine on Crimea is correlated with the rest of the events we’ve talked about. I am preparing a new Earth Shift Report, which will address the recent attacks on Crimea, why they happened and why now, who benefits, how it will impact Ukraine’s future, how US elections may be impacted, and whether Russia will sever diplomatic ties with Ukraine. We’ll also discuss the future of Crimea. Expect the new ESR: THE CRIMEA FACTOR in August 2016.
Keeping up with pretenses, the US State Dept announced that they were not bothered by Turkish cooperation with Russia at all, and that ‘US strategy in Syria didn’t change.’ However, that is not because US feels just fine about Turkish move. If it were up to them, Erdogan would be dead right this moment and pro-US Turkish generals would be in power. It’s simply because they are out of options. This is a serious defeat for the US Empire.
That said, US won’t leave Turkey alone. It will attempt more coups, terror acts, etc. Same goes for Russia. And remember, Russian elections are coming. Moreover, US elections have a direct bearing on all these events as well. How? Stay tuned for new Earth Shift Reports, in which all this will be revealed!
Why Putin chose to meet with Erdogan not in Moscow but in St. Petersburg
Perhaps very subtly, this is also a message. St. Petersburg was once founded by Peter the Great as then landlocked Russian Empire’s first serious international port in the Baltic Sea, designed for the new Western-prevalence era of 17th -20th centuries (in prior millennium, the ancient Rus peoples, with their multiple centers of influence, of course, had various ports on different continents). Peter called the St. Pete port: ‘a window to Europe.’
The new strategy of the US/West has been to shut and bolt down this window to Western Europe, creating a New Iron Curtain from Baltic to Black Sea via a cordon of unfriendly to Russia regimes. It was a partial success, with Romania, 3 ex-Soviet Baltic mini-states and Poland joining the cordon. A snag happened in the middle of the Baltic-Black Sea Iron Curtain, when Czechia, Slovakia and Hungary wisely decided to stay neutral to kind-of-friendly to Russia. It also turned out that converting Belarus into anti-Russia didn’t work no matter what. But Ukraine became the clincher. After 2004 color revolution, only a partial success was achieved. In 2014 the success was complete with a total Ukraine subversion. Turkey and Bulgaria were also supposed to be part of the Iron Curtain. Bulgaria turned reluctantly, only with a partial success, while Turkey refused to be easy.
The grand total of this entire scheme is that the Iron Curtain isn’t working as well as the Transatlantic masters want it to work. Moreover, it is so shaky it may just topple any moment at one’s slight touch. The most important factor in the unreliability of this flimsy Iron Curtain is that Russia/Putin refused to play by West’s rules and began creating their own rules, thus changing the reality around them and beginning to fulfill Russia’s true destiny as the Great Global Balancer and Stabilizer.
Therefore, we see a signal, which, it appears, few have understood: Turkish president Erdogan, who was supposed to be responsible for locking down the Black Sea end of the Iron Curtain, meets Putin in his native city of St. Petersburg, the place where Russia’s biggest Baltic Sea ports are, often called ‘Russia’s window to Europe.’ In the more modern terms: Nord Stream 2 is to be laid through the bottom of Baltic Sea; Turkish Stream – through Black Sea.
Consequently, the recipient is known and the message is: ‘The New Iron Curtain has failed.’
P.S. Why following Erdogan’s visit Putin met with Armenian president
On August 10, one day after the breakthrough meeting with Erdogan, Vladimir Putin received president of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan. As I also said in the above report, on August 8, one day before Erdogan, Putin met in Azerbaijan with Iranian and Azeri presidents.
As usual, nothing happens by accident in the global chess game. Armenia and Turkey are mortal enemies. So are Iran and Turkey. Azerbaijan and Armenia, unfortunately, are also enemies, with continuing armed conflicts. All these mutual animosities are used by outside forces to manipulate various countries against each other and to destabilize the region. By contrast, Russia’s goal as the Global Balancer, is to stabilize and harmonize the region and the whole planet.
By meeting with Armenian leader right after all others, the relative closeness of the EAEU member Armenia to Russia is underscored. A signal is sent that Russia’s deals with Turkey or Azerbaijan do not mean Russia has forgotten her ally Armenia. At the same time, by meeting neck to neck with leaders of all these rival countries, Putin sends a signal of cooperation and unification to all of them.
‘It’s much better to cooperate and get along’ is Russia’s message. Enough with the archaic ‘divide and conquer,’ used by the US Empire. A better way, based on cooperation and mutually beneficial, peaceful relations, is shown by Russia. The world is tired of wars and people aren’t blind. They can see that Russia is the only country that can unite – as opposed to divide – various countries.
Read full Earth Shift Report 13:
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Putin Authorizes Gas Supply to Freezing Genichesk, Ukraine, After Kiev Cuts Off Own Citizens – Implications and Predictions!
The city of Genichesk, pop. over 100,000, located in the long-suffering Kherson Oblast near the border with Crimea, has been living with very limited gas supply for weeks. Cooking and heat are gas-based in this region. But in the past several days gas pressure dropped precipitously in the pipes. While the weather in Ukraine was unseasonally warm in the past month, suddenly the brutal cold at -20 Celsius returned. That’s when gas all but disappeared; the citizens have been freezing for 3 days.
The Mayor of Genichesk tried in vain to contact the Ukraine gas suppliers, and when no one replied, he desperately tried to call everyone in the Kiev government, including Poroshenko and Yatsenyuk. Again no response.
The only reply came in the form of a mocking post of one of ‘Ukraine’s leaders’ on his Facebook page. The citizens of Genichesk were advised to warm themselves up by speaking Ukrainian and singing Ukrainian songs.
The mayor of Genichesk then turned to the country his own now proclaims to be Enemy #1 – Russia. He contacted the Crimean supplier, Chernomorneftegas (Черноморнефтегаз) and asked them to send some gas from Crimea. Here is interview with Chernomorneftegas CEO re. the volume of gas supply to Genichesk – 20,000 cubic meters. He says that the volume is negligent for Crimea and won’t affect Crimean citizens: Черноморнефтегаз назвал объемы поставляемого российского газа в украинский Геническ.
Chernomorneftegas CEO contacted the Head of Crimea Sergey Aksenov (Сергей Аксенов), who in turn contacted Vladimir Putin, who gave final authorization. Interview with Sergey Aksenov: Сергей Аксенов: Жители Украины не должны страдать из-за решений своего правительства – Citizens of Ukraine should not suffer because of bad decisions by their government.
Reactions of the citizens of Ukraine’s Genichesk after they received gas from Crimea in this interview: Россия начала поставки газа в украинский город Геническ, жители которого страдают от сильных морозов. Citizens reactions range from: ‘Thank you to Putin, who saved us’ to ‘I know nothing about anyone and don’t care who did what, but thank god we have gas again.’
After the scandal received a wide-spread resonance, Ukraine govt immediately flooded the media with denials that Russia stepped in to supply gas to Genichesk. Chernomorneftegas CEO replied that it’s foolish to deny the obvious: the pressure in Genichesk gas pipes increased by 2.5 times as a result of Russia’s humanitarian aid.
In December 2015 Ukraine’s gas contract with Russia ended. Ukraine failed to renew it and pre-pay for the following period. Based on that Russia announced that gas supplies to Ukraine would stop. In response, Yatsenyuk announced that Ukraine didn’t need any more of Russian gas because they found cheaper suppliers in Europe.
In fact, Yatsenyuk (who has zero approval rating) is lying. See related post where Yatsenyuk and his friend Avakov are publicly and violently accused of stealing and corruption: Ukraine Scandals: Transatlantic Boss Joe Biden and Ukraine’s Spiders in a Jar. According to Ukrainian energy expert Dmitry Marunich, Kiev is buying reverse gas from Slovakia, Hungary and Poland – the same gas these countries previously bought from Russia. This gas, because of longer transport routes, is more expensive than direct Russian gas.
In fact, Ukraine can’t ensure sufficient supplies of gas, coal and nuclear fuel to its stations. The situation with energy in Ukraine is nearing catastrophic, and it will worsen in years ahead. It is especially disastrous for the citizens of remote from Kiev’s perspective areas, like Kherson and Genichesk, as well as Odessa and Nikolaev. Kiev doesn’t care about these areas and would let own citizens die, especially because they consider them pro-Russian.
The irony is that it is here, in Kherson Oblast and not far from Genichesk that Kiev ukro-nazis and Crimean Tartar Mejlis blew up strategic power lines in December, thus leaving the entire Crimea without power for weeks. Just a few days ago Crimean citizens in a poll said NO to further power supplies from Ukraine.
Now, Crimea gets all supplies it needs only from Russia. And yet, when asked for help from the Ukraine side, Crimeans said YES.
THE IMPORTANT IMPLICATIONS
The scandal with Genichesk gas supply is only the first in what promises to become a norm in Ukraine. The country is falling apart because of inept and crazy ‘leadership’ beholden to the US and EU, who only care about sucking Ukraine dry, while breaking all life-giving ties with Russia.
Recall my original Feb. 2014 predictions: Ukraine will start turning around in 2016 and by 2018 it will turn back towards Russia. Alas, by the time the turn occurs and due to the crazies at the helm, Ukraine’s economy will be destroyed entirely. The process will be slow and painful with the economic situation worsening gradually. See PREDICTIONS on top bar and early 2014 articles on Ukraine for more.
I also said that Russia would remold the situation slowly in her favor, while letting Ukraine citizens decide their future and act on it.
This process is unavoidable, however certain forces in Kiev, Turkey, EU and US/Canada try to stop it.
Here are new Ukraine predictions for 2016-17!
We are already beginning to witness how it will unfold. City by city, oblast by oblast, local authorities will be seeking ways to survive as Kiev sabotages its own population. Unilateral and secret economic agreements with Russia by separate oblasts and towns will continue intensifying into 2016-17. This will slowly eat into the amount of power Kiev has.
Incidentally, the same process is actively unfolding in the neighboring republic of Moldavia (Moldova), where central power is just as weak, albeit not as violent, and where local authorities are far ahead of Ukraine in making private deals with Russia to benefit their citizens. I’ll have some very juicy intel for you from Moldova and surrounding areas in the upcoming ESR9: BLACK SEA GAMBIT.
A great example of what’s going on is Kherson Oblast, which is experiencing an invasion of ukro-nazis, Crimean Tartar Mejlis terrorists (the same who cut off power to Crimea), and most alarmingly, Turkish extremists and ISIL-Daesh militants. All the dregs of global society seem to have descended on Kherson Oblast in order to threaten the connecting Crimean Peninsula. These thugs terrorize, rape and burglarize the population.
Local citizens, having been left to suffer and die by Kiev authorities, are now organizing self-defence units to help those in need and to drive the roaming terrorists out of their villages and towns.
Eventually, ukro-nazis and their international terrorist cronies will be driven out of many areas of Novorossia by locals, be it Kherson, Nikolaev, Odessa, Zaporozhie, Donbass, Dnepropetrovsk or Kharkov. The result will be that they all will swarm on Kiev and western Ukraine, while others will go to Europe. It won’t be pretty.
Meanhwile, the gradual distancing of different areas of what is today Ukraine from Kiev will be happening slowly but surely, while Kiev will eventually lose its tax base and the support of much of the army and law enforcement.
Within the scope of this one article I can’t begin to tell you how many crucial Earth Shifting events, with potentially far-reaching consequences, are quietly taking place around Crimea and Black Sea, including Kherson, Odessa, Moldavia, Gagauzia, Pridnestrovie, and of course, what’s left of Ukraine; Caucasus: Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan; Balkans: Bulgaria, Serbia and Montenegro. Those parts are erroneously considered quiet backwaters and events there often are disregarded or deliberately silenced by world MSM. There are very few to no sources to find out what’s really happening around Black Sea. Meanwhile, this is precisely the part of the world which will help tip the world balance soon.
Projected release for both: throughout January 2016. As usual, reports will be posted on LadaRay.info and announced on FuturisTrendcast. Stay tuned!
Ask Lada 3
All posts in this series will appear under CATEGORY: Ask Lada
In response to my latest article Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions,
This morning after the referendum confirms your prediction Lada. I also felt that it would be a NO vote. Disappointed to see that Janos Varoufakis has resigned but perhaps this is a ploy to ameliorate the ire of the EU dictators and banksters and buoy up Tspris’s bargaining position. I am sure Janos will be working on behind the scenes! Thank you Brave Greeks! You have the EU Elites packing it and running everywhere to have meetings to see what they do next. What a joke..not even a game plan! They are so sure of themselves that they cannot see any other possibility but their agenda which is disintegrating before their very eyes and they are still hardline and remorseless. Such pride and arrogance comes before a huge fall…they have just tripped and are about to hit the ground face down.
Greferendum Domino Effect? Revolution Coming? The Future of Europe and Eurasia?
Yes, unfortunately, the resignation of Varoufakis is political maneuvering. I like the guy a lot, he has gumption. But he is too ‘radical’ – read: clear-minded and mission-driven – for EU, which they perceive as lack of compromise. He scares them.
Essentially, EU negotiators demanded that he leaves, citing the impossibility of talking with him. Varoufakis is a very influential and charismatic presence in Greece, and Alexis Tsipras’ strongest ally. After his resignation the immediate EU speculation is that Tsipras won’t survive in power that much longer. I heard a German analyst today predicting that Tsipras government won’t survive for two weeks. Well, EU bureaucrats and banksters are itching to unseat the new Greek government. I wrote at length why that is in:
- Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions
- Putin’s Gambit: Germany To Replace Ukraine as Russian Gas Transiter
However, I don’t believe these people are that easy to unseat. It’s certainly a wishful thinking of some. Greferendum showed what people really think.
That said, Greece can’t avoid talking to the EU because they are running out of cash and banks are on the verge of collapse. Since so far Greece is fully integrated into the EU system, it can’t be helped. None of the measures EU proposes will work, but Greece will have no choice but to prolong the agony, until 1-2 years from now the tight rope will finally snap and Greece will have to leave the EU. As I said in the above-linked articles, Grexit will be linked to the completion of Turkish Stream and other cooperative agreements with Russia.
This is to answer a doubtful comment to the same post by another reader:
Could Grexit happen sooner than 2017? I actually said it would be ‘by 2017,’ which means it could happen in 2016, although doubtful. Sure, there could be accelerating events, which will make the situation fluctuate, but they are not likely to influence the final outcome – and that’s mildly put.
My prediction remains the same (as usual, I don’t deviate from my predictions and they as a rule always come true, including dates and numbers). Sure, I am still only human, but I think my track record speaks for itself.
Unfortunately, some prefer to argue with me about my predictions. It happened in 2012 and 2014. Every time, I simply suggest people wait till the event or outcome predicted takes place.
So far, I don’t recall ever being wrong and those who argue with me being right. The thing is: I don’t look at what MSM says or politicians do – I capture the prevailing quantum (cosmic) energy leading to the event and determine its likelihood on quantum plane, not on 3D plane. But this it a topic for another discussion, which we may have eventually.
Many readers understand what I am talking about when I tell them things like that. However, those few who don’t want to hear about cosmic energy and quantum stuff, preferring only things they can touch and see with their own eyes, I have a solution for you. Simply look at my tangible, for all to see, predictions track record. You can go to PREDICTIONS for that, although the list is incomplete (a more complete and organized version may appear one day, time allowing, on LadaRay.info). Then you can decide who and what you should listen to and believe.
Back to Greece:
EU demands someone they can talk to – a compromise figure. The newly appointed finance minister is just that. He went to school in London, so he knows their mentality. He is also considered a quiet technocrat, as opposed to the flamboyant, politically outspoken charmer, Varoufakis, who rides his motorcycle around Athens and wears a t-shirt to EU meetings. That said, the new finance minister is also a long-time member of Syriza, so don’t expect him to deviate from the party line. He is just a compromise to satisfy EU elites, utterly scandalized by Varoufakis’ unorthodox behavior.
In previous articles/videos, which you can find in the above-referenced links, I explained that Greece will find itself under a long-term attack from US and EU due to its anti-EU revolt, its support for Russia and Turkish Stream. This is just the beginning, so hold on to your seatbelts! Greece has no choice but to maneuver its way between the Scylla and Charybdis of these difficult times, the same way as we all have no choice but to go through the developing Earth Shift.
It’s working out exactly as predicted in Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions and previous vids/articles. For now, Greece will have to compromise with EU and vice versa. This posturing will continue for a year or two, until Grexit and EU exodus by other countries… unless EU changes, which I don’t foresee as they are too tightly integrated into the US-EU political-financial-military matrix.
An illustration of how this matrix works:
Last week, Finland denied visas to Russian Duma Speaker Sergey Naryshkin and a number of the Russian Duma deputies, basically the top elected politicians in the country. They were scheduled to attend a session of the OSCE in Helsinki. The reason given for the visa denial is that these people are under sanctions due to ‘Russia’s annexation of Crimea.’ The scandal is huge and growing, with many in Russia demanding return sanctions against Finland. Finland, which prides itself in its democracy – again, when it’s convenient – acted illegally. The thing is that Naryshkin and others cannot be banned from attending international forums in any country in their official capacity as Duma speaker and deputies. The ban only applies to their private trips. By banning entire Russian delegation, EU effectively shuts the mouth of those who have a dissenting opinion, so, god forbid, Europeans wouldn’t hear it.
But there is much more to the story. Finland was a part of the Russian Empire for centuries. Finns themselves seceded from Sweden, which they felt mistreated them. They asked for protection by and admission into the Russian Empire. It was accepted and became an autonomous province of the Russian Empire until 1917 revolution. Lenin gave legal independence to Finland as a thank you for giving him asylum when he was hiding from Russian authorities. Just imagine how de-facto independent of the Russian authorities the Finns were if they could hide Lenin on their territory while he was preparing a revolution to overthrow the tsar’s regime, and no one could touch him! There is a deeper story behind that, which I’ll tell some other time.
You decide how to classify Finland after all this, if – apparently, as a sign of gratitude – it first sided with Hitler, when many Finns became fascists and joined the Nazi party. Later, Finland became one of the US/EU forposts from whose territory the clandestine undermining of the USSR and Russia was conducted. Meanwhile, Finland pretended to be a good trading partner for Russia, capitalizing on the lucrative Russian market, while essentially serving as one of the mainstays of Russophobia in the West. Finland often served as an intermediary for other Western countries in Russian trade, due to its favorable geographic position. This lasted until Russia’s return sanctions last year hit Finnish imports to Russia.
Now, under US and EU pressure, Finland denies visas to Russian people’s representatives under the pretext of the Crimean vote for independence and further reunification with Russia. Just consider the double-faced hypocrisy of this step in light of Finland’s own history!
Why did I tell this story? To serve as an illustration of some points and predictions I will make below.
National referendum as the only truly democratic voice of the people:
It all started with Crimea, and before Crimea, with Pridnestrovie. The breakway Pridnestrovie (former part of the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic within the USSR) referendum of 2006 result: 98% voted for full independence from Moldova (Moldavia) and re-integration with Russia. Moldova has never been an independent state since it acquired ‘independence’ from the USSR. Instead, it promptly fell under the Romanian dictate.
Since the beginning, the most developed part of Moldova, Pridnestrovie said no, and seceded. It had more than one referendum, the two latest of which were in 2006 (98% for reunification with Russia) and 2014 snap referendum with the same result – but the paperwork from that referendum was taken away by Moldova officials from the First Deputy PM of Russia Rogozin while he was flying through the capital of Moldova Kishinev (Chisinau)! His plane was detained, too, and he had to take a commercial flight back to Moscow. Yes, it’s that out of control!
The Gagauzia autonomy within Moldova also had a referendum in February 2014, in which 97% voted against EU, for Customs Union and closer ties with Russia. See my video about Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia, explaining much more:
|Pridnestrovie vs Moldova: Eurasian Union vs EU (LadaRayLive 2)
by Lada Ray
(More articles about Moldova, Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia available on this site – to find them, type keywords in ‘Search.’)
Because of the land-locked status of Pridnestrovie, which is now in a very difficult blockade from Ukraine and Moldova sides, with close participation by Romania, Russia was unable to honor the results of that referendum – for now! Soon, I am planning a piece about Pridnestrovie and Odessa, and the important for all of us processes that take place there.
In today’s world, a national referendum is the only fully legal and truly democratic voice of the people on important issues. Meanwhile, the West – US and EU – stubbornly and blindly ignore results of national referendums in places like Pridnestrovie, Crimea and Donbass, demonstrating their utter contempt for the same principles of law and democracy they had been touting as the only principles by which to live. Of course, this was their position when it was convenient for them. The moment the shoe is on another foot – out the window all these principles go.
Hypocrisy? Double standards? Are they simply stupid and don’t understand? Oh no, it’s so much worse! There are pathologically sociopathic liars and criminals in power in the EU and US, who feel their long-standing feeding grounds threatened by the awakening power of the people.
Despite crazy resistance of these dark forces, the referendum movement has no signs of abating. In fact it continues gaining momentum! Greferendum and potential Grexit is already sending shocks through the entire EU system.
Meanwhile in Austria: several days ago, Austrian citizens submitted a petition to exit the EU, with 260,000 signatures. This petition forced the EU exit debate in the Austrian parliament, sending new shockwaves through the already shaken system. Spain, Italy, Portugal and some other countries are watching what’s happening in Greece carefully. There may be attempts to exit by Spain, Italy, Portugal, France, Hungary, and possibly others, such as Cyprus ( – not yet). Leftist (Podemos), anti-EU government may come to power in Spain this autumn. A resurgence of popularity of leftist, anti-EU, pro-sovereignty forces is happening in Europe, including Germany itself (Die Linke), where leftist tradition has always been strong, but always suppressed by US/German/EU elites.
Incidentally, these leftist movements are traditionally pro-Russian and anti-American, which opens a completely new, deeper can of worms.
Revolution vs. Evolution. Predictions for the future of Europe and Eurasia
There are only two ways of reforming something that doesn’t work any more. Route number 1: peacefully, through wisdom, course correction and mutual understanding. But for that, you need both sides cooperating. Route number 2: if one side is refusing the see the other side’s point of view – the next step is revolution.
The classic definition of a revolution coined by Vladimir Lenin is: “Revolution is when elites won’t and the masses can’t.” In other words, when elites won’t see the opposing point of view and won’t change, while the people can’t continue living like this.
And that’s the way EU is going. I know some of my readers feel sorry about my predictions that EU will have to split up, at least parts of the EU. They shouldn’t. The EU has become a rotten to the core, subservient to the darkest elements the Anglo-American and globalist bankster elites, destructive force.
If the Union of European states is to be reborn, it has to be a mutually respectful, cooperative union, unlike today’s system, based more on predatory profit, hatred and superiority complex. But even that won’t work long-term.
You all know my position on this, and this is my prediction:
In order to be viable, it has to be a Union of all of Eurasia, not Europe. Eurasia is one continent. (Very long ago, during Vedic times, all of it was called Assia – but that is a fascinating story for a different post, or rather a book!)
Enough warring with each other! It’s time for the people of Eurasia to make peace and cooperate. This is the plan of Russia and China, realised through the New Silk Road and Russian energy deals.
At first, it has to be a free trade zone of what is now some parts of the EU, Russia (with Eurasian Union), China, and probably India and a few other Asian countries. The Middle East (parts of it are a part of Eurasian continent) and other relevant areas will have to join later.
Sure, European states should have their own union of some sort, but not exclusively, and they certainly should not punish and bully their members, like they did with Hungary, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Italy, France and Greece, for joining projects outside their union.
Ironically, it is Germany that is now showing the way by joining projects outside of the EU successfully, such as Nord Stream. But Germany, in the usual divide and conquer manner, doesn’t want others to benefit from similar lucrative projects, actively blocking other countries. Germany’s hand was in part in Ukraine coup – to tear Ukraine from Russia; it’s now trying to prevent Greece’s Turkish Stream participation. Austria and Hungary, which signed up for both South Stream and Turkish Stream, are also unhappy with Germany’s selfish attitude towards Russian gas projects. This possessively imperial behavior generates a growing clash between haves and have-nots in the EU, and soon this clash between Germany and everyone else will be impossible to hide.
Any exclusive union between European states (basically only Western Europe and parts of Central Europe) alone will be stillborn. Why? Because what is today incorrectly considered ‘Europe’ is just a small part of the continent of Europe, and Europe as a continent in reality is a small part of Eurasia. Any limitations will create artificial barriers and stifle mutually beneficial development of all of Eurasia and the entire Planet Earth.
Therefore, there will always be conflict, with some wanting to look east and others west. Western/Central/Eastern Europe will always be torn between siding with US on one hand and with Russia on another.
EU has to abandon its arrogance towards anyone who isn’t as prosperous as they are at this particular point in human development. Just mere 5-10 centuries ago, this wasn’t the case at all. At that time, EU was a poor, warring hell hole, while the Golden Age was taking place in Russia, Middle East, India and China. Europeans have to remember that the reason they are this prosperous is because for the past several centuries they colonized and robbed blind the populations of Eastern Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America, and lately, the population of Russia and Ukraine.
Things always change in our 3D world. They will change again; in fact, the change – EARTH SHIFT – is happening now.
The present day refugee flood into the EU from Africa, Asia, but especially Middle East, is payback for previous misdeeds. Regardless of all the indignation of Europeans, it’s the universal law of karma at work. This law never fails. As the refrain for my novelette CATHARSIS (Legend of the Lemurians) goes, “Karma can be a beautiful maiden …or a bitch.”
Europeans, as well as Americans, need to humble down very significantly in order to achieve an evolutionary leap to the new era of cooperative and multi-polar world. If they, or their elites elected by the European and American people, refuse to do so, there will be revolution – and it will be devastating.
There is still time to make a more or less peaceful transition, but time is running out.
Video version of this article is now available!
(LadaRayLive 16 episode)
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For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
As we know, Greece is in technical default on its 1.5 bln euro payment to the IMF/EU creditors. Experts tell us that this could snowball, with Greece going into default on all its debt, which is over $350 bln. If Greece defaults on its entire debt obligation, it will send huge shocks through the world financial system and will seriously undermine Eurozone and Germany.
This is why Greece’s negotiation position isn’t that hopeless. They have aces up their sleeve. EU can’t afford Greece’s total default, neither can it really afford Grexit. US cannot afford Greek default either, because it can signal the beginning of the end of the whole dollar-based empire.
The national referendum announced by the ruling Syriza party on the future of Greece is to take place on July 5th. Greek PM Tsipras urges people to vote ‘no’ to creditor demands, in order to improve his negotiating position.
My prediction: The Greek referendum will deliver the majority NO vote to austerity and creditor demands.
The fact that creditors didn’t give an extension to Greece so people could vote, instead squeezing the country on June 30th, is very telling. I wonder, what happened to the supposed ‘democracy’ the West is so proud of? How democratic is it to sabotage the Greek national referendum – a true voice of the people?
First, it’s clear double standards: Greece, a member of the EU, is treated as an unloved, unwanted child by the EU and IMF. IMF, of course, represents the interests of the US and EU, where US rules supreme.
At the same time, IMF’s Christine Lagarde tells us that Ukraine, not a member of the EU, will continue receiving IMF loan tranches, even if it defaults on sovereign debt it owes Russia. This is in direct violation of the IMF laws.
So, the West is now in violation of both self-professed cornerstones of its society: democracy and law.
Do you know how empires die? That’s how – they implode on themselves, confused and in denial. We are observing a slow disintegration of the Western (US-EU) empire. This is the time when only the blind and the unscrupulous don’t see that the king is naked.
Second, and most importantly, the difference in position on Ukraine and Greece by the IMF and EU is clearly geopolitical in nature and has absolutely nothing to do with economy. The common denominator in both is the country’s relationship with Russia.
The present Kiev junta in Ukraine is supported because it’s at loggerheads with Russia, yelling and screaming on every corner that Russia attacked them. No one believes that, but this narrative is diligently parroted by the Western MSM, nevertheless.
This has to be expected, if whistleblower journalists from countries such as Ukraine and Germany come out with revelations that they are given the text of what to say in their reports – a text written at the US embassy – and told not to deviate from it. A well-known Kiev journalist Oles’ Buzina was recently killed after the publicly revealed that his publication was forced to print false information based on the US embassy in Kiev script. German whistleblower journalists who have revealed that the entire journalism profession in Germany is sold-out to the US, doing only USA’s bidding, are forced to go into hiding because of threats.
Greece is shunned and squeezed because it dares to have good relations with Russia, speak up against anti-Russian sanctions and participate in Turkish Stream project.
I talked about the geopolitics and economics of Turkish Stream in my previous episode: Macedonia Coup Attempt – War Against Russia & China (LadaRayLive 12).
GREEK DEFAULT AND GREXIT PREDICTIONS
You know my prediction about Greece: it will exit the EU by 2017. In my original prediction, which you can find in Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey-Greek Election-EU Breakup (LadaRayLive 6) and my FT articles, I said that the reason it will take some time is because the relationship with the EU is so complex that it will take some time to untangle.
We already see that the energy is moving in the direction of Grexit. But it won’t happen yet. Greece and EU will be delaying it for now. The most important mark for Grexit will be the completion of Turkish Stream. Grexit will happen close to that date – this is the date to watch!
Of course, due to the importance of Turkish Stream for so many reasons, it will be sabotaged by the US, EU and Germany. It will be a difficult going, as I said in the previous episode. But it will be done.
From this perspective, it’s more beneficial for Greece and all other parties involved, including Russia, if Greece agrees to certain conditions by creditors and stays low for now. Direct confrontation with the EU will only make them sabotage Turkish Stream more forcefully.
For now, Greek debt will have to be a compromise, where EU will give some and Greece will, too. There is indication that that’s what Greek PM Tsipras is doing.
To conclude: will eventual Grexit cause a domino effect all over the EU? Yes, it would. However, it won’t be fast. I see it as a slow and gradual process, taking years and lots of negotiations.
For the next few years, the make-or-break moments of reckoning to watch are: completion of Nord Stream-2, Turkish Stream, discontinuing of gas transit to EU via Ukraine, and a change of power in Ukraine, accompanied with gradual weakening of the US. The timeline for all this is 2016-2019, with most events taking place between 2017-2019. US weakening will continue after 2019.
Watch video version of this article:
(LadaRayLive 16 episode)
P.S. I’ll be taking a few days off this weekend to meditate and relax (I’ll be checking in for emails and comments). Have a great weekend, all! See you next week!
Read ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS
Find all EARTH SHIFT REPORTS
Read THE EARTH SHIFTER
Read GOLD TRAIN
#TurkishStream #Grexit #GreekReferendum #GreekDefault #austerity #doublestandard #geopolitics #Russia #Ukraine #Eurasia #Eurozone #dollarcollapse #USempirecollapse #LadaRayPredictions #EarthShift
Video version of this article is now available!
(LadaRayLive 15 episode)
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On video’s image: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2015 (SPIEF 2015) in St. Petersburg, Russia, June 19, 2015
For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
A Latvian politician and member of Europarliament has told me that he recalls how several years ago any session of the EU-Russia Europarliament Commission would be packed because of the overwhelming interest in doing business with Russia. Everyone understood: that’s where the opportunity was. At the same time, sessions of the US-EU Commission would barely have a few people attending. Those days several years ago now seem to the EU like another lifetime. Events in Ukraine and anti-Russian sanctions changed perceptions and put a visible wedge between Russia and EU – a setback used by the US to continue pushing EU to accept the increase in its military presence, its LNG shale gas and its secret Transatlantic Trade Agreement.
I know what US apologists both sides of the Atlantic will say: it’s the EU people who demand our increased military presence, shale gas and Transatlantic Trade Agreement. I suppose the EU people also demand that NSA wiretap their presidents and business elites, along with every citizen. I suppose the EU people also demand to be robbed blind.
Seemingly, US can celebrate a victory. Seemingly, they have achieved their goals. However, per my 2014 predictions, this victory will be short-lived, followed by a huge reversal.
The top event of last week was the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, yet what happened there went almost unnoticed in the manipulated Western media, busy covering up the new French NSA spying scandal with a fresh dollop of Russia-bashing. According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, the moment the news that NSA spied on three French presidents broke up, French papers filled with anti-Russian propaganda, blaming Russia for not observing the Minsk peace agreements. Similar thing happened in Germany, where the public is still reeling from last year’s massive NSA spying scandal. Obviously, the news filled with bad Russia and bad Putin, their convenient boogeyman, are meant to distract from the real news.
It should now be clear beyond the shadow of a doubt who controls ALL of the world’s media, except some news outlets in Russia, China and a few other countries. The fact that French and German media immediately jumped to protect their real Transatlantic employer once the scandal against such employer broke out – speaks volumes. The prime directive of the Western MSM is to divert the sheeple’s attention and pull the wool over their eyes every time their puppeteer is in trouble.
What happened in St. Pete was sensational, and therefore, it should have been the stuff of front pages. Instead, it was shyly relegated to the back pages, or avoided altogether.
But at the same time as US and Brussels continued selling their naive populace the stale story of Russia’s isolation – and Russian aggression – a virtual fight over who would become a bigger and better partner for Russian gas transit was taking place in St. Petersburg.
See recent posts:
In light of what’s happening in Greece, what’s especially interesting is this: Greek PM Tsipras neglected his scheduled meeting with EU leaders, in which he was supposed to negotiate his country’s crucial pre-default debt restructuring. Instead, he chose to come to St. Pete, where he signed a $2 bln joint venture for building the Greek leg of Turkish Stream to southeastern Europe.
Nord Stream-2: Analysis and Prediction
Less noticed and very under-the-wraps was another mega-deal: potentially even bigger than Turkish Stream. During the St. Petersburg Forum Germany and Russia agreed to build Nord Stream-2, to deliver gas across the bottom of the Baltic Sea directly to Germany, for further distribution throughout the EU. Nord Stream-1 consisted of two branches and cost 8.5 bln euro. Nord Stream-2 will add two more branches, for a total of four, and will cost 9.9 bln euro.
Nord Stream – Rusian gas goes directly to Germany via Baltic Sea
The new pipeline will go on top of the existing Nord Stream. This means that, due to the same footprint, Nord Stream-2 won’t need to go through a very grueling and lengthy approval process with Euro Commission and deal with objections by all countries bordering the Baltic Sea. With German discipline and profit motivation, expect Nord Stream-2 to be built in record time.
Therefore, while Germany is making all kinds of public anti-Russian noises, it’s quietly making serious strides to fortify and expand business with Russia. However, make no mistake! Russian gas transit to the EU is as much in the realm of politics and geopolitics, as in the realm of business. I will illustrate that below.
Nord Stream-2 capacity will rival the current Ukraine pipeline capacity. Russia already announced that the aging Ukraine pipeline will be eventually phased out due to the political instability and inflexible position of the Ukraine government. In short, Russia won’t be held hostage to the whims of Kiev. Nord Stream-2 agreement means Germany is making a decisive move to take away gas transit business from Ukraine.
This led some to speculate that Germany facilitated the 2014 coup in Kiev on purpose: to create an impossible situation for the Russian gas transit through Ukraine, thus making Russian gas transit business its own. I won’t categorically agree or disagree with this opinion, and here is why. There is some logic to it. Germany and other strong EU economies were always worried about the insecure Ukraine gas route. Taking steps to ensure one’s country’s energy security are natural and expected. Still, at least in part, Germany is not initiating but rather responding to various threats, acting to secure gas supply route and quantities for itself and its close allies in northern and central Europe. Germany, of all countries, is able to use its considerable European pull to secure a fast construction of the new pipeline – and it’s doing it.
Is Germany making big anti-Russian noises to appease and fool the US, while behind the scenes making deals with Russia? Here is what I see: I do think Germany is continuing clumsy attempts to sit on two chairs, playing both Russia and US, in the hopes of wiggling its way out of unfavorable agreements with the US, while keeping the door to Russian business semi-open with one foot. It’s some fancy acrobatics, to be sure, and it does look desperate. Germany and German allies – in other words, the strongest northern and central EU economies – see the writing on the wall and they don’t want to be caught in the upcoming Ukraine/US fallout. They are also rushing to secure Russian gas agreements while they still can.
Turkish Stream Prediction
It’ll be somewhat harder for Turkey, Greece and Italy to push the Turkish Stream construction through. Their pull isn’t as hefty as Germany’s and the pressure on them will be significant both from the US and EU.
But my confident prediction is this: unlike the botched South Stream project, which relied on the weak key transiter, Bulgaria, the Turkish Stream project will be accomplished successfully. The reason is that Turkey is much stronger than Bulgaria as a key transiter. Greece (key transiter 2) will be fine as well, as long as it remains steadfast. This will be a tall order, but Greeks are fighters and they can do it.
The Myth of the United EU and NATO: Geopolitical and Economic Rivalries Explosion
What many are missing is that Germany and Greece are acting here as direct rivals. Germany wants to keep all of Russian gas under its control, in order to then distribute it to all of the EU, thus keeping its control over Eurozone. Meantime, for Greece their participation in the Turkish Stream and association with Russia is a terrific negotiation ploy and additional leverage in their fight for independence against the EU, IMF and German dictate. To top it off, Russian partnership is a lifesaver for the fledgling Greek economy.
As such, Germany sees Greek revolt as a challenge to their EU power and hegemony. From this it’s easily understood that Germany and Brussels would try to undermine and sabotage Greece and other countries who are participating in Turkish Stream.
US will also try to sabotage it for both geopolitical reasons and for their own economic reasons. US wants to sell its shale gas to the EU. Its dream is to push Russia out as the primary gas supplier to the EU, taking Russia’s place and, therefore, binding the EU to itself not just militarily and economically, but also energy-wise.
Consequently, the fight between Greece and EU/Germany we are presently observing is much more than a fight for Greece’s debt restructuring. It’s also beyond the projected Grexit. It’s about distribution of Russian gas and future control of European energy security.
When Bulgaria’s puppet government foolishly refused to allow South Stream through its territory, loosing potential billions in future profits, Turkish Stream was born. It will go through the bottom of the Black Sea, using Russian waters, a small stretch of international waters and Turkish waters. Then, it will go through the northwestern-most part of Turkish territory, with branch-outs to supply large parts of Turkey with Russian gas. Why is it important that it only goes through the northwestern part of Turkey? This is the quietest and most prosperous part of Turkey. The east and south are restive and volatile, with Kurdish and Syria-related unrest.
But Turkey isn’t a member of the EU. Turkish Stream will get to the border with Greece at which point Greece will take over the pipeline for further distribution to other EU countries.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Erdogan sign the Turkish Stream deal
As we see, Greece/Turkey and Germany are now in direct competition for the exceedingly lucrative Russian gas venture. Therefore, the fight between them is also the fight for future control and profits.
Putin’s Gambit: the all-around win for Russia
We spoke on many prior occasions about how Putin works. Sometimes, it appears he doesn’t respond directly to various threats and adversarial actions by the US, Kiev junta and EU, instead, he takes his time and acts asymmetrically, when he is ready. And every time Russia acts, it’s an unexpected and pretty crushing move. This is why they call Putin the Grand Chess Master.
Nord Stream-2 partner is the No. 1 German energy giant E.On, as well as Shell (Dutch-British) and other German companies, such as OMV and Wintershall. It is understood that such companies wouldn’t commit to Nord Stream-2 without securing a serious backing of the German government. It is also a given that Nord Stream-2 will be pushed through by Germany in record time. In fact, it will be built faster than Turkish Stream.
This puts fire under Turkey. The thing is that after the Turkish Stream deal was signed by Erdogan, he imagined himself in the driver seat. He began looking for more preferences, playing on the Crimean Tartar controversy and delaying the approval for the engineering survey of the pipeline route. Immediately after the Nord Stream-2 deal was signed, the Italian engineering survey vessel, which was sitting in the Bulgarian port of Burgas waiting for Turkey’s permission to enter the Black Sea for six months, was finally allowed to start work. Erdogan also changed his tack on a number of other issues.
Recall what I once said before: Erdogan and Turkey are attempting to play their own game in the Middle East and southeastern Europe, not always successfully and not always nicely. However, on balance Turkey is still a strong and convenient ally for the Turkish Stream and various other projects, for a variety of reasons – from geopolitical, to psychological and economic. For one, Erdogan is pissed at the US, EU and NATO, and two, he wants gasification of his country, whose archaic coal-based system is in desperate need of replacement with clean modern energy.
Therefore, Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream are in direct competition. This is excellent, as it will finally balance the situation with Russian gas supply to the EU, which has become precariously imbalanced after Ukraine, and sometimes Belarus, began playing blackmail games. The result was that Ukraine endangered EU’s energy security and Russia’s energy livelihood. And that’s just not done.
There is an ‘opinion’ of ‘the couch potato experts’ that Russia won’t have enough gas to fill both pipelines.
However, having reserve capacity on hand is actually the point! Two pipelines will be filled with gas as needed, reserve capacity used as necessary. The constant competition between the two will not allow either party to attempt what Ukraine has done for years: blackmail Russia either economically or geopolitically, while keeping EU gas customers hostage.
The realisation of the plan of the competing pipelines will put an end to the American Dream of cutting Russian gas from Europe. Will US try to stop the construction? Undoubtedly. My prediction: because of well-chosen allies, and unlike with South Stream, they will fail.
The deadline for the complete turn off of the Ukraine gas transit system is 2019. Until then, EU and Germany will have to continue paying for Ukrainian gas in order to ensure Ukraine doesn’t turn off the vent.
Alexander Medvedev, Gasprom Deputy Chairman said: “After the current gas transit agreement with Ukraine expires, there will be no new contract, nor extension of the existing contract, under any circumstances. Due to the economic, political, investment and technological risks, there will be no more Ukraine gas transit, not even if sun and moon switch places in the sky.”
China: Deeper reason for the stampede to secure Russian gas
In addition to the Turkish Stream and Nord Stream rivalry, for the EU and Germany there is another, more important consideration.
Germany must act now, before Russian gas gets redirected to China and Asia via the Power of Siberia pipeline. Let’s recall my 2014 predictions: once it happens, it will be too late and EU will begin experiencing gas shortages. Shortages can be avoided if Europe acts now to secure multi-year gas commitments.
Therefore, Russia is building a fully balanced and diversified Eurasian gas supply system, and Chinese counterweight plays a big part in it.
Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream will eventually take all gas transit business away from Ukraine. It means that regardless of how the power in Ukraine changes in the following 2-3 years (and it will), Ukraine will only be able to buy gas for itself – at market prices. It won’t be able to profit from the exclusive gas transiter status.
Poor, naive Ukrainians; while they were yelling and screaming on Kiev maidan that Russia was bad, shrewd Europeans nodded politely and did what they had to do to provide for their energy security. This eventually will render Ukraine unnecessary for either US or EU, and, as I predicted, it will simply be abandoned. Too bad the cost will be so great for the people… I wonder, will Ukrainians ever learn?
This effectively means that US will lose interest in Ukraine and drop it like a hot potato. Recall my timeline for the mega-changes in Ukraine: 2016-18.
US LNG Shale Gas
But what about the US and its LNG shale gas, you ask? Judging by the St. Petersburg deals, Europeans aren’t holding their breath for it.
Let’s be clear: US shale gas is yet another bubble. This, awfully harmful to the environment bubble, will burst, just like so many before it.
Where is China?
What went completely unnoticed in the media was the presence of China at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. Too bad, because this is actually the country everyone should have been watching in the first place. Chinese press wrote after the event that China and Russia fortified their future-oriented, long-term strategic partnership. Russia is the key partner in China’s New Silk Road project, which will unite in one economic space China, Russia/Eurasian Union, most of Asia and EU.
For more listen to my interview: Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road ~ The Plane Truth
I spoke many times about the need to reunify all of Eurasia. This is one continent. The artificial division on Europe and Asia has to come to an end. Through trade and energy, this is what Russia and China are working on.
While Germany, Turkey and Greece trip all over themselves to be first to sign gas transit agreements with Russia, China is continuing its patient long-term expansion. Unlike the expansions of the US and EU, it targets to cooperatively unite, not divide. Patience is one thing Chinese have lots of. Pragmatic wisdom and vision is another.
Europeans could learn a lot from both Russians and Chinese.
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Pope Francis: Catholic Church’s Pope, an ancient title he holds ex officio as Bishop of Rome, in which capacity he is Sovereign ad vitam of the Vatican City State. Born: December 17, 1936 (age 78), Flores, Buenos Aires, Argentina. Full name: Pope Francis. Nationality: Argentine. Parents: Mario Jose Bergoglio, Regina Maria Sivori.
During his visit to Italy two days ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin visited Pope Francis at the Vatican. It has to be noted that, while the Pope is obviously not fooled about what’s happening in the world – undoubtedly, his Argentine roots play a role in his clear vision – Italy as a state also is trying to find a way to quietly mend relations with Russia outside of the EU. It’s interesting that Putin’s visit took place directly after the G7 bash in Germany, during which Merkel and Obama sang a lot of anti-Russian songs in-between of sips of banana-flavored beer (not kidding) and vowed more anti-Russian sanctions.
It is also happening against the backdrop of the US trying to sneak its mid-range nuclear missiles into the EU, targeting Russia, and many other ugly things that signal the fresh push for World War IV (WWIV because, in all truth, we should really consider the Cold War as WWIII). But more about that in another piece.
Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s third meeting with Putin in the past year is a signal that Italy is attempting to distance itself from Germany and the US. Italy is obviously trying to wiggle its way out the crippling anti-Russian, and return Russian, sanctions. Italians have told me that Italian agriculture is hard hit by the quid pro quo sanctions.
At the same time, Italy is trying to revive its lucrative energy cooperation with Russia, which the US and its vassals in the EU are actively sabotaging. Italian energy companies have been working on deals with Russia since Berlusconi. The most important component of these deals was the direct supply of the Russian gas to Italy via the southern route, which was supposed to be accomplished via South Stream. The northern route – Nord Stream – was successfully and very quickly pushed through by Germany, utilizing the German clout in international affairs.
Italian clout isn’t nearly as substantial. Moreover (I wrote about that in the past), Berlusconi’s reputation with women notwithstanding, he was undoubtedly pushed out of his post because of his close relationship with Putin and ‘excessive’ friendliness towards Russia.
The Italian energy companies, first of all Eni, took a blow after US managed to sabotage South Stream and the project was closed. The new Turkish Stream project is needed like fresh air by many countries, but it is already running into significant difficulties due to sabotage from the same source. See my video: Macedonia Coup Attempt – War Against Russia & China (LRL12). The new twist in this saga is coming up in one of my future vids. Stay tuned!
Pope Francis is another thing all together. Catholic church and the Vatican continue to hold a very substantial sway over worldly affairs, even if this soft power is invisible to most.
Francis’ interest in meeting with President Putin isn’t so much economics, although this issue concerns anyone who lives in Italy; while the Vatican is a separate state, it is, after all, geographically a part of Rome. Additionally, much of the Pope’s flock resides in Italy and surely, his people are well-aware of those farmers and shippers who are going bankrupt because of sanctions; they know of losses Italian energy and industrial companies are suffering.
Still the Pope’s main interest at this point is geopolitics and the diplomacy of peace. And that’s where it gets interesting.
During Putin and Pope’s behind-the-closed-doors visit, which lasted 50 minutes – longer than prescribed – Pope Francis gave Putin the “Angel of Peace” medal. This medal is said to have the ability to create peace and protection, as well as the solidarity among peoples. The choice of words is very interesting: a symbol – ‘talisman,’ ‘wish’ – of protection and peace is being given to Putin by the head of the Catholic church. ‘Solidarity’ is the word feared terribly in the US, but used broadly in socialist and left-leaning societies, including South America and Pope’s native Argentina. Pope Francis has also mentioned that the Bible addresses not just spiritual matters, but also geopolitics as one of the important aspects of human co-habitation. The above language of symbols and hints, typical for the Vatican, thus reflects an important message.
The US pressured (and by pressure I mean blackmailed, coerced and attacked in the media) Francis to take a tough line on Putin and condemn Russia. Meanwhile, the head of the so-called Greek-Catholic church of Ukraine archbishop Shevchuk criticised the Pope for meeting with Putin and urged him to shorten or cancel the meeting.
The Greek-Catholic church of Ukraine is something that was created in the 18-19th centuries, during a forceful Catholic conversion of the western Ukraine population – at the time under Catholic Poland and Austria-Hungary. It is in fact Catholicism disguised with a thin layer of Greek flavor (the words ‘Russian Orthodox’ were banished).
Since the 2014 Kiev maidan coup, Ukraine’s Greek-Catholics took a very violent posture against Russian Orthodox churches and priests, traditional for most of Ukraine. Many Orthodox churches in Donbass were destroyed by bombings or burned down and looted. Many priests and church-goers continue being threatened and humiliated. A large number of Orthodox churches all over Ukraine were forcibly taken away from the rightful owners and converted into Greek-Catholic ones.
Someone asked me last year, when all this was going on, whether Pope Francis was becoming a hidden ally of Russia. My reply was that the only thing Francis could do as far as Ukraine was to offer an olive branch and try to distance himself from what was happening in Ukraine. This is what he did.
The extreme violence and rage of the primarily Greek-Catholic element from western Ukraine isn’t something he can control. But after the violence finally calms down and the right people come to power in what is now Ukraine (recall my timeline: 2016 -2018), all the churches wrongly taken away from the Russian Orthodox church will be returned to the rightful owners. Let’s consider this one of my little predictions. Putin and Francis spoke behind the closed doors and the topics of their conversation were not disclosed. But knowing Putin, I am sure that he got a promise from the Pope that he would use his power to return the churches.
The Vatican continues being a powerful and deep-reaching conglomeration of various interests, from spiritual to financial and geopolitical. This is one of those entities that can subtly influence world opinion and serve as part of the diplomatic solution, when used for good. There are one billion Catholics in the world today. The power of the Catholic church stretches through Europe and Latin America, as well as many countries of Asia and Africa. Catholic influence in the US is not as significant and it is doubtful that Pope Francis would be able to talk any sense into the US ‘leadership.’ On the contrary, US has the audacity to admonish the Pope and read him lectures on how he should conduct his affairs. What else is new?
But it is out there for all to see that this Pope is different. Pope Francis clearly disagrees with the West and the US and he clearly prefers Putin. In fact, there is a talk of an unlikely alliance. Call it a soft-power diplomatic-spiritual alliance. Francis likes the fact that Putin has positioned himself as defender of Christians, who are under attack in Syria, Libya and elsewhere in the Middle East. Francis also took a pro-Assad and pro-Syrian government position against the US.
Pope Francis and all heads of the Catholic Church – as leaders of most other main religions – prefer Putin to Obama, or other Western leaders. The reason lies in Putin’s straightforward conservative values combined with his active stance in promoting religious tolerance, equality, friendship and cooperation between various religions. I hear the same from prominent leaders of Jewish and Muslim religions. Since most people on the planet are religious, this is something that endears Putin to many.
Pope Francis is undoubtedly anti-US hegemony, anti-Western imperialism and militarism. He has to be as diplomatic and possible, but the fact remains: this is certainly his Argentine roots talking. Based on the above, Putin and Francis hit it off pretty well.
But it goes deeper than that. I believe that it’s well beyond Pope Francis and his personal preferences, although it helps to have the right man at the helm.
The Vatican elites aren’t blind. They see where the wind is blowing – and it’s away from the US and West, towards the East. Call it abandoning the sinking ship of the West OR steering the Vatican ship into more promising waters…
The Vatican is re-orienting towards the East, Russia and China.
And the Vatican isn’t the only one. Israel is doing the same, and not just Israel.
But what about Putin? Oh, he plays his master chess as usual. I wrote in 2014 that Putin, with his out-of-this-world tireless productivity, circled the world and managed to glue together a network of various allies all over the globe. Sure, the US has the biggest and scariest army in the world; it also controls the world media and financial system. It can intimidate, bribe, blackmail or attack anyone. That’s why countries are afraid to speak up. But the future is behind the alliance that is forming quietly, and often secretly, behind the scenes.
Putin continues looking for new allies, quietly weaving together the new world, where the US won’t be hegemon. And now the Vatican is slowly but surely shifting towards this alliance.
Italy is the friendliest towards Russia out of all significant Western economies. The Vatican, located in the middle of Italy, is positioning itself for the future. The Pope’s friendly position towards Putin and Russia also reflects the opinion of the majority of Catholics in Italy, Spain, Greece, Argentina, Brazil, Venezuela and all of Latin America, as well as Asia and Africa. And it’s not what Washington has hoped for.
An interesting confirmation of what I said from an unlikely source, CNN!
I really don’t read or watch CNN. But as I was looking for the Pope and Putin’s image online, this popped up: ‘Why only Putin could turn up late for meeting with the Pope’ – Link to article. Moscow (CNN):
“There aren’t many world leaders prepared to keep the Pope hanging around for a meeting. Russia’s President is perhaps the only one.
Pope Francis discovered this on Wednesday as he waited, patiently, for more than an hour at the Vatican for his guest to finally arrive. There aren’t many world leaders either who could annex one part of a neighboring country while backing a bloody rebellion in another part, and still avoid strong criticism from, arguably, the world’s most influential religious figure. Vladimir Putin appears to fall into that narrow category too.
The issue of Ukraine was raised, we’re told, during their brief, closed-door meeting. According to a Vatican statement, “The Holy Father affirmed that it is necessary to make a sincere and great effort to forge peace,” in the war-ravaged country. Pope Francis and Putin also agreed to “restore a climate of dialogue.”
But the exchange was not the condemnation called for by many, including members of the Greek Catholic congregation, who number millions in Ukraine, and who have expressed frustration at the Pope’s failure to criticize Russia’s role in the Ukraine conflict. Nor are the words likely to satisfy the U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See, Kenneth Hackett, who urged the Vatican, ahead of the Putin meeting, to “say more about concerns on territorial integrity” in Ukraine.
To be fair, the Vatican is not following the same diplomatic agenda as Western governments regarding Russia.
Hale goes on to suggest that Francis may play a diplomatic role in resolving the conflict in Ukraine too. But if Wednesday’s meeting was anything to go on, in which the Pontiff and the President exchanged gifts, I wouldn’t get your hopes up.
No, that meeting was more about Putin than the Pope. Just a day after being publicly scolded by the world’s industrial powers, the G7 — including a particularly strong rebuke from U.S. President Barack Obama — Putin was shoulder to shoulder with the spiritual leader of 1 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.
Russia may not be quite so isolated after all.”
New related article: Ask Lada: Pope Francis, Satanic Cults, Religions and Consciousness (Ep1)
To form a complete picture, also read it in concert with: Putin and Erdogan Troll EU at Baku’s First European Games
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What is really behind the recent attempted color revolution in Macedonia? How is it connected to Kosovo, Bulgaria, Greece and Turkish Stream? What does Russia has to do with all this? How is the largest foreign US military base Camp Bondsteel connected to the Macedonia’s Skopje events? (More about Camp Bondsteel in the upcoming LadaRayLive 14 episode!)
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Added 4/8/15: Greece – Russia Breakthrough: What did #Tsipras and #Putin discuss in Moscow – latest updates!
As I predicted in this post and in my earlier article and video (see links below), during today’s meeting in Moscow, Putin and Tsipras signed documents related to the extention of the Turkish Stream through Greece, making Greece into a major Russian gas distribution hub for Europe, including the Balcans, Hungary, Austria and Italy. Russia also offered Greece a credit. To bypass Russian agri sanctions against EU, Putin proposed joint Greek-Russian agricultural ventures. 50% of Greek imports to Russia were agriculture and food. Greece suffers tremendous losses from Russian EU agri ban, and the new joint venture plan is to reverse that . Putin’s video announcement in Russian.
Generally, Russia will continue the strategy of working with separate EU countries that want to do business with Russia, thus bypassing the unfriendly regimes and giving preferential treatement to the friendly ones.
In his statement, Putin also called on EU to terminate any sanctions against Russia, and Russia would then terminate any return sanctions against EU. Putin said that Russia is for working and having cordial relations with the entire “United Europe.”
4/7/15. Original article:
The Greek Dilemma: Between Russia and EU. PREDICTIONS by Lada Ray
Today’s Greek Dilemma: Between Russia and the EU. Or, between Moscow and the Hard Place.
Once the Greek government announced that PM Alexis Tsipras would be visiting Moscow on April 8 to talk to Putin, the howling among EU politicians and MSM became deafening.
The truth is, EU policies make countries that are in financial trouble seek help elsewhere. On one hand, EU talks about unity and EU values, on another creates an impossible situation for countries like Greece. By April 9, Greece has to come up with nearly €450 mln to repay IMF, and the money is scarce.
Right now, the new Greek government wants to play on differences between EU and Russia, which run deep due to Ukraine crisis. Another place where Greece can seek financing is China. But that will only happen after all the negotiations with Russia are complete and depending on their result. In the end, Russia may even broker a Greece-China deal, or the deal may be split between Russia and China. Basically, Russia is ready to consider Greek request, as announced by Russian FM Lavrov.
In a way, Greece is playing Russia and EU against each other. But the long-term consequences run much deeper. They range from Greece declaring bankruptcy and exiting the EU… to getting closer to Russia and China, with the end result of exiting the EU.
Should I say, I told you so? I have described this scenario in my article Predictions: The beginning of the EU End? When Will Greece Exit EU? Who Is Next?.
For more also see this LadaRayLive video: LRL6. Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey-Greek Election-EU Breakup.
In the above pieces, I made a prediction that Greece would leave the EU around 2017. I feel that until then, Greece will try to work with EU in an effort to prevent default and further destruction of its economy, but these attempts won’t bring the desired result. All the relations, financial ties and debt relative to the EU will take some time to unwind. That’s why it will take until 2017 for Greece to disentangle from this mess (more on this topic in my above video and article).
The timing is also related to the timeline of the Turkish Stream, projected to be completed in 2017.
German taxpayer would bear most of the responsibility for bailing out Greece. From this perspective, Germany is right to be stingy. But Greece also has a trump card, which wouldn’t have been used if Germany weren’t squeezing Greece so hard. It is the thorny and long-buried issue of reparations the Nazi Germany never paid for the destruction during WWII. Will Greece get reparations? Not likely. But this toughness will help them bargain for a new bailout, or another payment postponement. This is a good bargaining chip to be sure that can be dangled every time Greece wants something from Germany.
The left-wing Syriza party currently in power is taking this tough bargaining position following its election promises to end austerity and re-negotiate country’s debt. It is clear that Syriza means business.
Relations between Greece and Russia
I said in my above-referenced pieces that Greece potentially can benefit tremendously from the Turkish Stream built by Russia through Turkey to the border with Greece. Russia proposes that Greece participate in the project by extending the pipeline through its territory to allow Russian gas to reach the target countries, such as Austria, Serbia and Hungary. This alone is tremendous incentive for Greece to take a pro-Russian position in the EU.
You’ll recall that the original South Stream from Russia to the EU was supposed to go through Bulgaria. However, after pressure from Brussels and a visit from McCain, Bulgaria suddenly disallowed South Stream through its territory, in direct opposition to the country’s interests. Who needs $750 mln a year in transit fees, new jobs, heavy gas discounts, business tourism and other perks. But Uncle McCain said no, and Bulgaria replied, ‘how high do you want me to jump?’ As a result, Russia cancelled South Stream.
None of what happened with Bulgaria is possible with the current leftist Greek government. McCain is certainly not invited. Many countries are interested in Russian gas going through Greece and this project is very much supported by Austria, Serbia and Hungary, among others.
Apart from that, the ruling Syriza party, being left-wing, is naturally and historically sympathetic to Russia.
Finally, Greece in general is traditionally, since centuries past, is staunchly pro-Russian. Greece, together with Cyprus, is even considered a ‘Russian Trojan Horse’ in the EU.
Greece is Orthodox, like Russia, not Catholic or Protestant. Similarity in religion creates affinity.
In addition, Greeks are eternally grateful to Russians for liberating them from the Turkish Osmanic Empire’s domination – and this is one of those cases when the country actually remembers the good. It’s interesting that at this point Greece, Turkey and Russia are working closely together, illustrating that nothing is eternal and things do change.
Therefore, old friendship and affinity run pretty deep. In this regard, nothing has to be built or created anew. The foundation is there, and all that has to be done is one small step towards each other. How far it will go is a different story because there is certain benefit for Russia if Greece stays in the EU – as I said, someone has to conduct pro-Russian policy within excessively russophobic EU. But there are also huge benefits to Greece turning closer to Russia.
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Gazprom CEO Alexey Miller has warned 2 days ago that Kiev failed to pre-pay for Russian gas. He has said that Gazprom will have no choice but to cut off gas to Ukraine, since pre-payment has failed to be delivered on time. According to the agreement reached in the fall 2014 between Ukraine, Russia and EU, where EU acted as intermediary and guarantor for Ukraine, Kiev must pre-pay for any gas deliveries. The discount gas price was also negotiated. Previously, Kiev regularly failed to pay for gas delivered in advance.
Miller also warned that Russian gas shut-off for Ukraine would mean the danger of gas supply disruptions for the EU – video report in Russian. The reason for that is Ukraine’s siphoning of gas designated for EU that goes through the Gazprom pipeline located on their territory. The tactic of stealing EU’s gas has been implemented by Kiev for years.
In the video below, Vladimir Putin confirms the above, saying that “Gazprom has been fully committed and continues being committed to fulfilling all of its contractual obligations. Ukraine’s pre-payment is only enough for no more than 3-4 days. After that, Gazprom will cease gas deliveries to Ukraine.”
As of 2014, Ukraine owed Russia $5.5bln in unpaid gas debt. Overall, Ukraine owes Russia over $33-36 bln, considering both corporate and state debt. Incidentally, Gazprom was the very last creditor able to collect $3bln (out of $5.5bln) from Ukraine.
The country is bankrupt. Any money that is still there, gets stolen by oligarchs, corrupt politicians and military. Ukraine economy has been destroyed as a result of the February, 2014 coup; as a consequence of severing all ties with Russia – until recently, the largest buyer of Ukraine goods; and due to the devastating civil war with Donbass.
The true state of the Ukraine economy has been concealed through Western loans to keep the coma patient just barely alive. Another way to keep delaying the admission of insolvency is to conduct a war. This is why the war with Donbass is necessary for Kiev.
Several EU countries have been doing the illegal ‘reverse supply’ of the Russian gas to Ukraine, also to keep the patient just barely breathing. In reality, it’s not a reverse supply at all: part of EU gas simply stays in Ukraine, being siphoned off, while Ukraine still illegally collects Gazprom transit fees for this volume.
IMF, US and EU won’t keep supporting Ukraine forever. It’s too big, too corrupt and too broke. Ukraine is needed for the West, and especially for the US, as a convenient tool in order to weaken Russia by maintaining an area of permanent instability on Russia’s borders, and if they are lucky, by dragging Russia into the direct confrontation with Ukraine. There are economic and propaganda reasons as well, such as sabotaging Russian economy, painting Russia as a villain and aggressor, as well as making Russia strain her resources trying to help Donbass, and later Ukraine.
Certainly, US would love to see EU weaken as a result of Ukraine conflict as well. Putting a wedge between Russia and EU (it especially concerns Western Europe/Germany/France), and Russia and Ukraine, is also high on the US list.
The territory known today as Ukraine will be abandoned and thrown out as a used-up lemon as soon as US/West see that it’s too expensive and too unproductive to keep afloat this Titanic. This will happen as soon as they decide that their plans in regards to Russia have failed. Until this realization settles in, unfortunately, they will keep tormenting the poor Ukraine.
The ukro-nazi Kiev regime is both inept and extremely corrupt. The population of Ukraine has been duped by Western/Polish/Soros sponsored and trained MSM. But no one can be duped unwillingly. Part of Ukraine populace wanted to be duped into believing the fairytale that once they sign an association agreement with EU they would start making salaries and pensions on par with European and that everything somehow would become champagne and roses in their corrupt country. In reality, Europeans themselves would have told these naive and lazy Ukrainians that only hard work and taking responsibility for their future could turn things around for them. Doing nothing and hoping for a rich uncle to come and save them would hardly help.
These ukro-sheeple allowed the nazi regime to take over the country, and they allowed the destruction of the economic link with their biggest trade partner and closest neighbor, Russia.
But the most important thing to understand about contemporary Ukraine is this: while the minority was rabidly anti-Russian, and while some believed the Western fairytale, the majority was simply apathetic and indifferent. The reason for this is that many of those who in the West are customarily called ‘Ukrainians,’ in fact do not consider themselves as such, and do not believe in their country. The majority of Ukraine citizens never asked to be separate from Russia and didn’t want the 1991 divorce. They awoke one day to find out in surprise they were foreigners in Russia, the country they considered their motherland. For 23+ years, they lived in the country they didn’t believe in.
According to the official data, 7-8 million Ukrainians choose to live and work in Russia. Out of these, at least 5-6 have been employed in Russia for a long time, the rest are refugees from the present Ukraine crisis and draft dodgers. There are 1.1 million of Ukrainian draft dodgers presently in Russia.
The above doesn’t take into account those former Ukrainians who managed to become Russian citizens. There are lots of these too. This also doesn’t take into account the 2.5 million Crimeans. Crimean population increased from 2.2 million to 2.5 million during the past 8-10 months, as Ukrainians run to Crimea in order to become Russian citizens.
More about apathy. When people in Donbass, Kharkov and Odessa, and even in Kiev, saw ukro-nazis parading in Western Ukraine, they thought, “Let them, as long as they stay in Western Ukraine and don’t bother us.” But ukro-nazis didn’t stop at Western Ukraine.
When they saw ukro-nazis burning tires and throwing Molotov cocktails during 2014 Kiev maidan, they thought, “So what; as long as they stay away from our towns.” Then ukro-nazis came to their towns and villages and started shelling them and burning people alive.
The people of Donbass and Ukraine now have no choice but to notice what they tried hard to ignore: for 23 years they had lived in the artificial conglomerate of oblasts with varying interests and allegiances, loosely and reluctantly tied together by economic infrastructure, and forced to live within one state they never wanted. The long-festering infestation has been finally brought to the surface and exposed to all. It has become impossible to ignore; the situation has gone too far and it has to be dealt with. Where the artificial state called Ukraine used to be, eventually, the new country (or most likely, 2-3 new countries) will have to be rebuilt from ruins.
Ukraine’s future now depends on the inner life force of its people. The higher the life force, the better the prospects for the people’s future and the sooner any country is able to get out of a crisis. Russia’s life force is so strong that, despite all the problems, it has taken Russia less than one decade (1992-2000) to get out of one of the most devastating crises in her long and turbulent history. Ukraine isn’t Russia, as we can clearly see. Read more in-depth analysis in: FREE Earth Shift Report 2: Ukraine, Russia and Falsified History.
However sad and cruel it may sound, Ukraine needs this cleansing through fire and ice, through war and devastation. If all this doesn’t awaken the people of Ukraine, nothing will. As a necessary side effect, the Ukraine crisis already woke up Russian people, as well as the people in Asia and Latin America; it’s even starting to wake up Europeans.
This Kiev government is in fact a demolition crew, there to complete the destruction of Ukraine’s economy.
If US/West can’t have Ukraine, they will make sure the future generations get a wreck of a country, and that Russia has to spend as many resources as possible to resurrect Ukraine economy later. The problem with this way of thinking and operating is that karma is a bitch. As the Russian saying I mentioned previously goes (it’s worth repeating), “don’t dig a grave for someone else – you’ll fall in it yourself.” It may not happen right away, but it will happen.
Read more in PREDICTIONS!
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Some very good thoughts from Paul Plane, the host of The Plane Truth show on the Time Monk Radio, followed by my thoughts and predictions. I will be happy to expand on these brief predictions in the future Earth Shift Reports, should my readers be interested.
We all have our own perspective. Paul’s is different from mine, but it’s well-thought-out. Paul is generally very knowledgeable and he poses interesting questions.
Incidentally, next week Paul, his team, and I will have a very interesting new interview on The Plane Truth Radio. The topic we are planning is the BRICS, and any other topics that may come up – wherever our spontaneous discussion takes us. Please stay tuned!
This is the continuation of our discussion from: Ex Ukraine PM: West expected Yanukovich to die like Gadaffi and the comment section of Maidan 2 Storms Poroshenko’s Administration in Kiev.
Kiev junta methods
I can see what Paul means by negative Ukrainians. Many had been brainwashed very thoroughly. But the majority is simply scared to speak up because of severe oppression and intimidation.
Here are two videos, first one from Kharkov. It’s the trial of the Kharkov activist Oleg Novikov: link. People gather in the court room when the judge announces that it will be a closed trial and no press or spectators are allowed. People start quietly leaving – no objections, no protests. The clincher is that Novikov, the leader of the civil organization ‘Ishod’ – ‘Exit,’ is a one-legged cripple, and father of two small children. They are afraid of a cripple, because he speaks up against junta. How weak and rotten can such regime be?
Second video is the interview with a woman who describes how a deputy of the Nikolaev regional council was arrested because he said that those who are now waving Bandera nazi flags will start waving Russian flags the moment the power changes. For that he was arrested by SBU (CIA/FBI equivalent) and thrown into jail: link.
Predictions and how they will play out
My view has not changed since the beginning of 2014. Remember what I said: ‘Russia will gradually and slowly change the status quo in her favor using all quiet and peaceful means.’ No military interventions or jerky reaction; only the well-thought-out chess moves. I also said it would take till 2016-18 to accomplish the real turnaround. (See PREDICTIONS, early articles on Ukraine, and our first interview with The Plane Truth.)
This is exactly how it is playing out, as you can see. The key words are: slow and tedious change. Ukraine people are slowly changing their minds (it’s not my fault people are so slow, but as one Russian statesman said, ‘sorry, I don’t have any other people for you.’)
The every-day details of how the change could materialize tend to fluctuate as humans try to influence events, thus tipping the balance temporarily this way or that. But in the grand scheme of things these ‘minor’ fluctuations will not influence the end result.
My predictions are based not on the superficial events, but on the prevailing energy I see manifest in the future, and here the energy is quite clear. There are instances when the future energy isn’t as clear, but it is very clear in this case. Therefore, the end result is just a matter of physical manifestation, which is always slow and delayed in 3D compared to the fast energy of thought, especially clairvoyant thought (something I usually call ‘prediction’).
Additionally, it’s worth keeping in mind that the 3D manifestation is also not as clear-cut as thought, often very confusing for the immediate witnesses because of many distracting events. Therefore, to most humans, what had happened often only becomes evident years later. For anyone who wants to be an intelligent witness and observer of the Earth Shift, it is important to learn to discern between mere distractions and truly important events.
As to how it will happen – it’ll be very hard and tedious (hence confusing and distracting events), as I also had said. That is because the cancer has been allowed to spread too far. There is no way of removing it painlessly, but pain is what will make many people in Ukraine wake up. But it doesn’t mean that they should shrivel up and wait to be freed by the third party, as many of them hope. They will need to fight in order to achieve a turnaround.
The resistance from Kiev/US is and will continue to be brutal of course. This has to be expected.
Ukraine economy will be completely destroyed. It actually is already destroyed (this I also predicted), but they so far manage to cover it up with the help of the US and EU. It’s interesting that Russia has managed to temporarily shift the burden of propping up the dead weight called Ukraine onto the EU. This was one of those subtle, yet brilliant Russian moves I talked about.
EU will never admit to it, but Russia is educating the EU about Ukraine. The fact that EU has to pay for Ukraine’s gas and other expenses will cause the EU to tire of Ukraine very soon (this is already happening). Eventually, US/EU will stop supporting Ukraine as it’s too cumbersome. At that point Ukraine will stop being interesting to the West. Rather, it will always be interesting, but it will be completely impossible for them to support it. Then, the Russian lesson for the EU will be complete. Basically, it sounds like this: ‘You have no idea what you are getting into with Ukraine. Why don’t you try it… Got it now?’ These things I also said early on in 2014.
The reason the West won’t be able to restructure the Ukraine economy, while Russia can, is because of the cultural, psychological, and profound metaphysical differences. West has completely miscalculated Ukraine on all levels, just like it always miscalculates Russia.
What do I mean? This is an involved conversation – perhaps I’ll cover that in one of the Earth Shift Reports. Paul is correct in thinking that much thought is being given by the Russian thinkers and decision-makers on how to rebuild Ukraine when the time comes.
These are the most important points to understand:
1. Ukraine will never be treated like Chechnya. The situations are very different. Massive investments have been infused into rebuilding Chechnya and it now looks pretty darn good.
However, Russia will NOT pay for Ukraine as dead weight. Ukraine will be helped, supported, directed to a better path. But Russia will not lavish Ukraine with investments and money infusions until Ukrainians show they care about their country and are ready to work properly. Till then, Russia will be very slow with investment.
2. Russia will be ready to share investments into the NEW Ukraine with China and Europe, as long as Europe acts with sovereignty and sense.
3. Russia will not rush with ultimate Ukraine conflict resolution until Russia is absolutely sure that Ukrainians and Europeans have learned their lessons I spoke about earlier. This has to sink in. This is one of the main reasons for slow changes.
4. Ukraine economy is destroyed. Practically new economy may have to be built from scratch. More about it in future ES Reports.
5. Finally, Russia doesn’t want to ‘annex’ Ukraine as part of RF. Russia wants a good, friendly, solvent neighbor and partner in Eurasian Union, who has solid economy and can feed itself.
6. That said, more Russians than anyone in the West can imagine have roots in Ukraine, yours truly included. Therefore, millions of Russians care deeply what is happening in Ukraine and they will work tirelessly to make it right, whether the Russian government will do anything or not. This is one of the main things the US has miscalculated. The same thing happened with Napoleon and Hitler. And aggressor will always miscalculate, because they will never understand that people can be completely selfless; that incredibly busy and very accomplished people may drop everything and do massive amounts of pro-bono work in order to see justice and balance restored in what the US believes is some godforsaken Ukraine. Some speak the truth, others shoot documentaries exposing the truth, yet others volunteer, send humanitarian aid, or engage their high-profile political contacts all over the world. These people will never rest until Ukraine if free from ukro-nazis. And this is why, my friends, US and West will NEVER be able to subdue Russians. They have no idea what kind of spirit the usually peaceful, non-confrontational people can possess.
Borders of Ukraine, Zakarpatie and Galichina issues
Remember what I said a year ago? Russia would prefer to keep Ukraine intact, and of course, peaceful – for both geopolitical and economic reasons. It is the West’s preference to break it up and create chaos, not Russia’s.
I agree about Galichina, which is a part of western Ukraine. My personal view is that the border of new Ukraine, or possibly Novorossia (as the name may be changed after all), should be redrawn to exclude Galichina. One problem is that a part of western Ukraine, called Zakarpatie (Transcarpathia) is actually populated with Russins, in other words, Russians who preserved Orthodox religion despite terrible 18th – beginning of 20th century genocide by Austria-Hungary, and who want to be with Russia. If the border is redrawn, they will be cut off. There is another area, called Chernovtsi, which may have a similar problem in regards to Romania. Even the Galichina proper isn’t all anti-Russian. All this can be resolved when the time comes. A lot has to be weighed.
How brainwashed is Ukraine?
That said, my highly connected sources in Ukraine report that presently Galichina is less anti-Russian than Kiev and central Ukraine. This is probably because all the crazy Galichina nazis had moved to Kiev in the past few years. Also, while the population gets terribly brainwashed every day by ukro-MSM (they say things you won’t believe), the real anti-Russian layer isn’t that deep. The majority are simply deceived by ukro-propaganda constantly yelling about Russian invasion, or are just opportunists.
In that sense, it is truly sad how little Ukrainian population is capable of thinking and how much it runs on lowly emotions. It should be clear to anyone with half a brain that if Russian army indeed invaded Ukraine, it would be in Kiev within 2 days and in Lvov within one week or less. Since this isn’t happening, it should be clear that there is no Russian army present. Even OSCE and Kiev finally had to admit it. Yet, the thought implanted in people’s brains through zombifying propaganda will stay there like a thorn, constantly reinforced by new infusions of hate, until the thorn is removed. By many accounts, the Kiev junta is worse than Nazi Germany, and their propaganda is even more shameless.
The old vs. the new: Global Geopolitical Game
To understand truly what is going on, don’t focus exclusively on Ukraine or Donbass. Some events in Ukraine constitute those distractions I was talking about (unfortunately, very bloody and tragic kinds of distractions).
Presently, we are observing a global multilevel game, or struggle, however you look at it. Russia is helping Donbass. But Russia’s main focus is to play the high stakes game with US, Germany/EU, China and other players, thus slowly shifting the global geopolitical balance. All these players, by virtue of various interests and nuances, will slowly shift the balance of power that will influence the situation in Ukraine and everywhere in the world.
There is a lot more going on than meets the eye, including in areas very far from Ukraine. The recent events in Turkey, Greece, India, China, Iran, Armenia, Cuba, Latin America all fold into the same game, the most violent part of which is being played out in Ukraine.
Ukraine’s future is decided in Moscow and Washington DC, with the help of Berlin, Paris, Beijing and a few of other capitals. It is not necessarily decided in Donbass, Odessa or Kharkov (although their actions are important) – even less so in Kiev.
Once US backs off, EU and Ukraine will change their attitude immediately. What most people are missing here, and what I had talked about so many times, is that EU and Ukraine dare act this way ONLY BECAUSE OF the US BACKING AND ENCOURAGEMENT; the US blackmailing of certain EU countries and politicians also has to be taken into account. THE MOMENT the US IS UNABLE TO DO SO ANYMORE – THIS WILL END.
Specific types of people float to the top in any society when the US turns on its confrontational provocations, directed at pitting countries and people against each other. Such is the nature of the US interference. When they are forced by events outside of their control to turn off this attitude and become a little nicer, confrontation usually stops or lessens. Examples abound. For instance, look at the recent Hong Kong events and China’s Muslim provinces. Look at Georgia, or Chechnya. Consider ISIS and AlQaeda.
Last year I was hoping Germany/Merkel would find courage to stand up to the US and change gears towards Ukraine and Russia, as that would have discouraged the Kiev junta, helping end the war. But Merkel fell under the US completely. If she acted differently, it would have been an easy way out for the EU. Since it didn’t happen, the EU has to be changed through Greece – the hard way. See: New LadaRayLive Episode! LRL6. Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey – Greek Election – EU Breakup.
Are there puppet masters hiding in the shadows? Yes, but they are not so hidden any more. Lately, they all had to expose themselves, which denotes their growing weakness. I call them Anglo-American elites. From my long-term observation, I think this is a more accurate label than most. Some call them NWO, cabal, etc. It doesn’t matter – whatever name suits you.
The important thing is that they do pull Obama, Merkel, Poroshenko’s, and EU politicians’ strings. The puppet masters must weaken sufficiently for the change to occur.
This is directly connected to the nearing end of the petrodollar era.
Incidentally, There will be no US and/or dollar collapse this year (2015), as many are predicting.
The change will start being manifest in 3D physical reality between 2016-18. It will be gradual process, so don’t expect a huge explosion. This kind of seminal change cannot be completed in one day.
More in upcoming Earth Shift Reports.
New LadaRayLive Episode! LRL6. Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey – Greek Election – EU Breakup
Watch the new LadaRayLive Episode No.6 on YouTube!
Lada’s geopolitical and geoeconomic analysis and predictions.
In the short couple of days after #Syriza won the Greek elections, #Greece has already challenged the EU more than once. Will there be #Grexit? Who is next to rebel (Spain already is)? Will this lead to the EU breakup, and when?
We talk about the EU game changer: how Russia’s discontinuing the South Stream project and announcing the new alliance with Turkey, together with the new Turkish Stream pipeline, influences the future of Eurozone.
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This is additional info and clarification of my original article: Bombshell! Russia to Stop Transit of Gas to EU Through Ukraine! For the complete picture make sure you read both!
I see a lot of confusion surrounding this issue. Therefore, I will clarify a few things here:
1. The statement by the Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller was made. This is not fiction. It is another question whether his statement was misinterpreted – intentionally or not – taken out of context, or intentionally exaggerated by the EU and Ukraine, who are customarily trying to shift the blame to Russia for all their sins, as I wrote in my above-referenced piece.
2. Materials have been published, among other things, on the Pravda.ru site. I went back to Pravda.ru, and so far I’ve been unable to find the two pieces I relied upon in my article.
3. Some small counties, Bulgaria and Croatia, to name a couple (both entirely under the US and Brussels thumb), plus the EU Commission (also headed by a Croatian national, as far as I can see) panicked and started yelling “Russians are coming” – or rather… “Russians are leaving.” Well, since ‘Russians are coming’ is bad and ‘Russians are leaving’ is also bad – what are the Russians to do, I wonder?
4. Ukraine, for its turn, also jumped on the bandwagon of blaming Russia to conceal its usual stealing of Russian gas. The immediate impact was exaggerated by Ukraine on purpose escalating the panic. For years, this is all Ukraine does. The moment any of their many self-made disasters backfires – it is immediately blamed on Russia, while Western MSM and politicians gladly give them the platforms to do so. Same happened in 2008 with Saakashvili of Georgia.
5. Re-read my article, those who didn’t do it carefully the first time – and notice my careful wording. The announcement by Alexei Miller is meant as a geopolitical and economic warning. In the article, I say specifically that at this time EU has no alternative to Russian gas.
Also notice my predictions (see article link above, and more below), in which I say there is still some time to go. Frankly, I hardly remember any time when my predictions didn’t come true, down to the exact timing of the events. It appears it may be right on the dot this time as well. More PREDICTIONS.
6. The materials related to Miller’s announcement were first published by Pravda.ru in Russian exactly how I phrased it in the beginning of my original article. I omitted the links to the source, as the two small pieces were in Russian, and perhaps, I shouldn’t have.
It appears the Daily Mail article was taken from Pravda.ru, plus, from some hysterical statements by EU, Croatia, Bulgaria and Ukraine. At this time, I cannot find the link to the original Pravda.ru articles – it appears the pieces have been relegated to archives. The event was also confirmed by some Russian analysts.
It is not true that RT didn’t run the story, as some suggested. Here is a very carefully worded RT story.
Therefore, it appears Russians, as usual, try not to rock the boat too much. Perhaps the warning was judged to be sufficient at this point. See more on that below.
7. I don’t have the complete information on all the details of how exactly Russia/Gazprom have acted in this case, and why. No one does – everything is pure speculation. Of all people, only Putin has the complete picture and full information, based on which the decisions are made.
What I see and foresee: the situation is VERY MUCH IN A FLUX right now, and for the foreseeable future; decisions are being made in live mode, in response to challenges as they come up.
I want to stress again: we are living through a massively revolutionary EARTH SHIFT on all levels. Putin, Russia, Gazprom have a lot of very serious maneuvering to do every day.
However, here is what is set in stone:
Gazprom/Russia will soon transition out of Ukraine completely. All of Ukraine’s annual transit 63 bln cubic meters of Russian gas to the EU will go exclusively through Turkey. The new Turkish Stream pipeline is being built as we speak.
My predictions regarding EU starting to experience gas shortages will come to pass sooner, rather than later… unless EU snaps out of its fearful submissiveness to the US, multiplied by EU’s own ulterior motives towards Russia. I am also warning that the way EU acts, when it does finally see the light, it may be too late.
What is happening around the world, including violence, confusion, crisis, disasters – will only escalate. I will eventually have full predictions for this decade and beyond as a separate EARTH SHIFT REPORT on LadaRay.info. Stay tuned!
IF humans are still interested in keeping the world as we know it intact, then they should pay close attention and support what Russia does. Keeping your perspective and wits is also a very important thing. I will continue to inform and guide on this blog, YT channel and LadaRay.info.
8. Incidentally, when breaking the news, Russians fully realised this would create a storm in the EU/West, and the howling would start anew. Again, this is just a warning, a heads up, so to speak: ‘Hey, EU we have plenty of leverage over you too, not just the US. If you disregard our interests to this degree, here is what can happen.’ Of course there is no intention of freezing the poor children in Bulgaria.
Notice the big paragraph in my article (can’t miss it – it’s huge) about all the most recent abuses by EU/West/Ukraine against Russia and Donbass? I put all that in there on purpose in order to remind people what Russia has to deal with daily, and therefore, how well justified any action by Russia would be.
9. Any announcement by Gazprom always has huge consequences. It is possible that Alexei Miller’s wording was partially misinterpreted because of wishful thinking. Let’s face it – many people all over the globe are sick and tired of the blatant piracy by Ukraine and blatant lies of the EU. Ukraine and EU – being guilty of massive lies and transgressions they perpetrate daily against Russia – also secretly, in their heart (if there is one available) know Russia can pull the plug at any moment. Many people all over the world are hoping Russia would do so to end this vicious cycle of predatory Western all-permissiveness and ukro-nazi crimes.
Notice, Miller’s statement was left intentionally ambiguous.
ADDED: Found some links! The following posts from Pravda.ru contain additional info: Мечты сбываются, или Ультиматум “Газпрома.” Also: “Газпром”: “Турецкий поток” – единственный маршрут для поставки российского газа в Европу and “Газпром” станет крупнейшим игроком в Турции. Keep in mind, this site, despite its name, is NOT a pro-Kremlin/pro-Putin publication. Actually, often quite the opposite. That said, information in the above posts is accurate.
10. All the above added to the confusion. To wrap this up, here is what I wrote as my original reply to the reader questions. My notes below reflect my original reaction to the Gazprom news by Daily Mail, before I saw additional materials on Pravda.ru. As usual, my original instinct was correct, and as usual, the original reaction contained the concentrated seed of truth. This is the verbatim exchange from a recent post:
This is a bombshell that was dropped by Russia earlier today (Good job, Christa!).
It has been officially confirmed! The head of Gazprom Alexei Miller announced that Russia would discontinue the Ukrainian route for Russian gas transit to the EU. I expected this announcement ever since I broke the news of the Turkey/Russia deal on 12/2/14, but I did expect it in a year or two: read here and here. Looks like the time is getting compressed and the pressure for change is intensifying.
I understand at this time the flow of gas through Ukraine has been restricted to 2/5th of the usual volume. However, it appears it will soon be stopped completely.
Russia to switch fully to the Turkish Stream to move the quantities necessary to satisfy all of European demand. Ukraine up till now was responsible for about 50% of the Russian gas transit to the EU, with Nord Stream, Belarus and Turkey accounting for the rest.
Ukraine, as always during the heating season, has been stealing Russian gas. This is in addition to massive debt Ukraine has with Russia. Russia is by far Ukraine’s largest creditor; gas debt alone constitutes nearly $5.5 bln. Total Ukraine’s debt to Russia, including corporate is well over $30 bln, according to Vladimir Putin.
This is a much bolder move than anyone expected. EU is in shock. According to Gazrpom’s head Alexei Miller, EU didn’t want South Stream Russia tried to build as partners together with the EU. Therefore, Russia will now deliver gas to Turkey, and then to the border between Turkey and Greece. From thereon, it will be EU’s responsibility to build pipelines through its territory.
Gazprom is to become a big player in Turkey, and Turkey in return will enjoy massive gas price discounts and large profits from the resale of gas to the EU and other buyers.
Read related articles from 12/2/14: German Vice Chancellor: No Ukraine in NATO; Russia, Let’s Make Up! and from 12/5/14: Declaration of Cold War: What Chain of Events is US Provoking With New Hostile Move? In these I discuss in detail the Putin/Erdogan agreement on building the alternative pipeline to Turkey!
I see several interesting things at play here:
1. My predictions:
First of all, let’s recall that I said from the beginning of 2014 and many times throughout 2014 that when Russia feels even slightly inconvenienced by the West, off to the East they go. My prediction came true spectacularly within only two or three months, when in May 2014 Russia signed a number of mega-deals with China on gas supply, the Power of Siberia gas pipeline construction, high-speed railroad construction, and much more. Then, Putin also signed massive gas supply deal with Turkey to bypass the unfriendly EU, plus, a massive nuclear energy deal. Turkey is, of course, also a part of the East (Middle East).
Second prediction I made was that Europe would start experiencing gas shortages due to Russia’s re-orientation to the East. I said it would happen a few years from now. It appears my predictions’ time table is accelerating!
See the PREDICTIONS page on top navigation bar, as well as my 2014 articles under RUSSIA category for much more on that. Some of the articles are: What Brought Down Russian Satellite? Angela Merkel’s Biggest Fear? Plus Ukraine Election Prediction; Ukraine Part 7: Russia’s Geopolitics, USA’s Bluff and EU’s Big Mistake; Interview with predictions: The Road to Moscow Goes Through Kiev.
2. It seems Miller and Gazprom are very confident that EU has no alternative to the Russian gas at this time. For the longest time EU and Ukraine had been able to blackmail Russia every year, taking advantage of the fact that the EU was Russia’s largest customer and Ukraine – the largest transit artery.
Russia was customarily accused of various transgressions, the blame was yearly shifted to Russia for any gas flow disruptions due to Ukraine’s stealing of Russian gas; the expense for Ukraine’s theft was also placed on Russia’s shoulders alone, while EU denied any responsibility, always siding with Ukraine. It appears Russia/Gazprom feel that enough is enough and that it’s time to cut the Gordian Knot. The fact that Russia now has strategic agreements with Turkey and China helps Russia’s leverage.
3. This is where the economy and geopolitics mix. Russia warned a long time ago that should EU’s behavior not change, there would eventually be more return sanctions. It appears Russia wasn’t kidding!
Recent events, in which Ukraine and certain EU countries acted strangely, to say the least, apparently were the last drop, reinforcing Russia’s intentions. The events I am referring to were: Ukraine PM Yatsenyuk giving multiple interviews and speeches in Germany accusing Russia of attacking the Nazi Germany and Ukraine, while Merkel stood by him, failing to react to the outright lie. The recent Volnovakha, Donbass tragedy in which 10 people died and scores were wounded when a bus with Donetsk pensioners was hit by a bomb or a mine on the Ukraine side. This incident was immediately blamed on the Donbass self-defence. Ukraine tried to get EU to recognize LNR and DNR as terrorist organizations, while designating Russia as the state aiding terrorism, followed by a new round of sanctions. While the resolution failed, another resolution to adopt a new round of anti-Russian sanctions may pass (I don’t have the latest on that). Meanwhile, per reports, US, France and Poland, among others, have agreed to supply advanced arms to Ukraine. In addition, two ships, one from Australia and one from Canada docked in the Odessa port in the past week to two. Each was full of winter uniforms for the Ukraine army. Poroshenko went to Paris to participate in the Unity March together with Merkel and Hollande, as I wrote here, to express solidarity with the victims of the French terrorist acts, while hundreds and thousands were dying at home unnoticed by anyone. Poroshenko’s trip strangely coincided with Yatsenyuk trying to promote Russia as aggressor in Germany and the Volnovakha bus tragedy. Right after returning from France Poroshenko announced three new waves of mobilization to recruit over 200,000 soldiers – we now know that when they re-start the war with Donbass, they’ll be able to kill more efficiently thanks to all those Australian and Canadian uniforms keeping them nice and warm. In the meantime, the bombings of Donbass have intensified by 10-20 times. For the past week or so the number of dead and wounded from Ukraine’s shelling is greater than for the past 3-4 months combined – exact numbers are not known yet, but the preliminary number is 52 dead during the past few days. As a result of Poroshenko’s visit to Paris and the killing of 10 civilians in Volnovakha, the Astana, Kazakhstan peace conference planned for today, January 15, was cancelled. To wrap up the vicious cycle of events, the man who was instrumental in organizing the Astana peace conference was The French president, Hollande. Please refer back to my article: Urgent! Secret Link Between French False Flag Attacks and Ukraine, in which I also said that Hollande was wavering from the party line, trying to play peacemaker, and terror acts in France were meant to remind him to toe the line. Finally, S&P and other Western agencies are set to lower Russia’s rating to junk status: China/Russia to Launch Own Credit Rating Agency to Rival the Big Three.
4. US has been trying to squeeze Russia out of the EU gas market in order to sell to the EU its own, more expensive, shale gas. The shale industry in the US is in difficult circumstances and many fields have been conserved because of low prices and insufficient international demand for the US shale gas. The banks that financed fracking companies are afraid of not getting their money back; many are on the verge of bankruptcy. Obtaining the lucrative EU market is the best thing for the US. Of course the expensive US shale gas will undermine the EU economy, making EU products less competitive, which will help the US economy and keep EU on a short leash for the US purposes. However, building LNG terminals is expensive, they take a lot of valuable space near ports, and it takes time. Such infrastructure isn’t available for the time being. It appears that despite tough talk, EU is ‘stuck’ with cheaper and readily available Russian gas.
5. World Grand-Master Putin at work! Russia’s leverage has increased exponentially from signing strategic mega-deals with China last May and Turkey last December. It appears Putin has decided this was the right time to play one of Russia’s aces; or if you will, to play Russia’s Turkish Gambit!
6. Last fall, when Russia, Ukraine and EU negotiated, EU promised to vouch for Ukraine’s payment for the ongoing supply of Russian gas. In reality, Ukraine never re-paid $3.1 bln in past arrears due before New Year’s. EU also didn’t vouch for Ukraine’s payments past New Year’s. Therefore, any gas Ukraine receives now is unpaid for, which in itself triggers gas supply stoppage.
7. The Ukraine pipeline infrastructure is Soviet built and was never really maintained by Ukraine. It’s either time to fix it, or to abandon it. Perhaps this is the right time to abandon what cannot be fixed – and I am speaking broadly. Ukraine and EU’s behavior have gone far beyond any permissible or even conceivable. The way Ukraine and EU behave towards Russia can be expressed by the following Russian sayings: ‘to spit into a well from which you drink’ and ‘to saw off the branch you are sitting on.’ It appears that with those who don’t understand good will, reason or logic the only way is the way of an ultimatum.
This is all for now. Till any new info appears…
I am trying to complete my Earth Shift Report. Talk soon.
ADDED 1/17/15. Read new article: Confusion Clarification: Is Russia Stopping EU Gas Transit Through Ukraine?
EARTH SHIFT REPORT update:
1. Grand Experiment Novorossia and the Birth of the New Revolutionary Monetary System.
2. Ruble Wars as the Beginning of the Death of the Dollar.
These two reports are being written as we speak and I will be posting them as they get completed.
The reports will be posted on my new site LadaRay.info. Stay tuned!
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Interesting body language during Ukraine peace talks in Minsk (2014). President of Belarus Lukashenko (center left) inviting Putin to proceed, while subconsciously blocking Petro Poroshenko of Ukraine and Katherine Ashton of EU.
See more about the telling body language in Lada Ray Predictions Coming True; Mind Control in Ukraine; Putin, Gorbachev, Poroshenko.
This post is part of
EARTH SHIFT REPORT 1 double feature+
From the beginning of the Ukraine crisis, Belarus has been playing a role of a moderator between Ukraine and EU on one side and Russia and Donbass/Novorossia on the other. This culminated in the Minsk accords and ceasefire in E. Ukraine, which admittedly, aren’t being observed very well. But many still believe it’s better than nothing. It is definitely some kind of a start on the way to peace desperately needed by the poor citizens who live under constant threat of bombings. The most important thing Minsk can do is provide a neutral, friendly to both sides, platform in case there is a sudden need in a meeting between warring parties in Ukraine. Play Switzerland, so to speak.
Make no mistake, for little Belarus, this is their star hour. Since 1994, when Lukashenko first became Belarusian president, he’s been labeled the ‘last dictator of Europe’ and tyrant. Belarus has been on and off under sanctions; the beginnings of the newly independent post-Soviet republic were very humble. All this happened because, unlike most, Belarus refused to forget the Soviet past and refused to give up their economy to please the West.
I wrote previously that in the early ’90s, Ukraine was touted by the West as the MOST developed of the USSR’s three Slavic republics (Russia, Ukraine, Belarus) – even more so than Russia. Starting in 1990-91, with its educated population, spectacular agricultural soils and developed tech industry (built by Russia during Soviet times) Ukraine was trumpeted as ‘most likely to succeed’ among all post-Soviet republics.
Western ‘experts,’ with some Russian neo-liberals and oligarchs jumping on the bandwagon, predicted that Russia would turn into a no-man’s land, and slowly disintegrate all by herself. Just goes to show how inept and little-minded Western and neo-liberal Russian ‘experts’ are. Needless to say, none of these ‘predictions’ came true.
For real predictions that actually do come true, read my PREDICTIONS.
At the same time as Ukraine was given prime time, Belarus was either neglected and laughed at in the West, or maligned.
As an aside: it is now crystal clear WHY the West praised Ukraine in the early ’90s, while putting Russia down. The plan was to put as big of a wedge as possible between the two closest people – Russians and Ukrainians, and to make Russians feel inadequate and incapable of resistance in the midst of the wholesale demolition of the Russian economy. Something similar, but accompanied with a civil war, is happening now in Ukraine. Note, the Kiev coup and violent overturn of Yanukovich took place after Yanukovich refused to sign the EU association agreement that would rob Ukraine blind.
The above strategy towards Russia worked for a time, while Yeltsin was in power. But the moment Putin came to power, the tide changed dramatically. I observed Putin since the moment he appeared on world stage in 2000. Unlike American ‘analysts’ and talking heads, I knew from the very first moment that a massive change was about to begin. Putin was very smart to lay low for a while, until he gathered enough allies and strength to start acting, while US elites for 2-3 years labored under a misapprehension that he would be just as easy as Yeltsin.
I wrote about Putin in my mystical thriller THE EARTH SHIFTER (character’s name is President Dobrov). I will discuss Putin in detail in the upcoming THE PUTIN ENIGMA Report, which you will find soon at LadaRay.info. Also, a great piece to read is: FREE Earth Shift Report 1: Is Putin Part of NWO?
While the West was concentrating on Russia, Ukraine and other strategic locations, Belarus remained in the shadows. Lukashenko, when he came to power, became that tough leader who managed to keep the country together and provide stability. This allowed Belarusians to slowly build on Soviet platform, developing what we now understand was a rich and profitable inheritance. While Russia was being looted by oligarchs and their Western backers, while Ukraine was also looted by oligarchs, falling at the same time deeper and deeper into its self-inflicted delusion and mass psychosis, Belarus kept its head down and worked very hard. Belarusians are very hard-working, friendly and rather low-key people.
During the Russian Empire days Belarus was one of the poorest territories of Russia. They survived on potatoes alone and were to the 19th century Russia what Ireland was to Western Europe: a tucked away on the western-most outskirts and poor like church rats territory no one was interested in. Perhaps that memory of extreme poverty and obscurity is what made Belarusians both cunning and hard-working. Without any oil, gas, or any other natural resources to speak of, Belarus managed to pull out in much better shape than once much richer neighboring Ukraine, Latvia and Lithuania (latter two – EU members).
Most post-Soviet republics squandered their formidable Soviet inheritance, resulting in decimation of industry, mass exodus of population, and other catastrophes. Ukraine is the best example of that – I write about it here: FREE Earth Shift Report 2: Ukraine, Russia and Falsified History.
Next to Belarus, another example of being able to preserve their heritage despite all odds is the unrecognized Pridnestrovie (Transnistria). More about it here: Moldova Explosion Coming 2: Coalition “Moldova’s Choice-Customs Union” and LRL2: Explosion Coming! Moldova/Transnistria – Eurasian Union vs EU.
Despite sanctions and constant fighting with the West, Lukashenko did several pretty brilliant things for his country and people:
1. Unlike most post-Soviet republics, he preserved the Soviet industrial and agricultural inheritance – and built on it.
2. Kept the country stable.
3. Managed to stay friends with Russia.
4. As a result of a special relationship with Russia, Belarus managed to receive the world’s lowest price on Russian gas and very favorable Russian loans.
5. Let’s not forget: Belarus, together with Kazakhstan and Russia is one of the three founding members of Eurasian Union.
Right to left: Putin of Russia, Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan and Lukashenko of Belarus – founding members of Eurasian Union
All the above factors, but especially the cheap, cheap gas paved the way to the so-called ‘Belarusian miracle.’ Belarus pays something to the tune of $165 for its gas, which is about the same as heavily subsidized internal Russian price. Compare that to $350-400+ EU pays. The new price for gas for Ukraine is about $385, however, they don’t pay that either. Such gas price makes Belarusian economy extremely competitive internationally. Obviously, without Russian almost free gas and Russian subsidies Belarusian miracle they are so proud of would have never happened.
The above is an illustration of how Russia robbed herself to subsidize other republics, and some other poor countries, during Soviet times. Some readers asked me how Russia could have disengaged in the ’90s from Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia and other republics, which allowed the US/West to infiltrate them resulting in color revolutions and anti-Russian pro-NATO states on Russian borders. Of course, it was a bad geopolitical decision to disengage. Yet, it can be understood: Russia always paid disproportioned price for supporting others, at her own expense. This made the core Russian population resentful.
Presently, Russia is attempting to balance own interests with the necessity to support allies.
What is Belarusian miracle?
Belarus preserved all of the industrial factories Russia built on its territory during Soviet times. And then, Belarus expanded and modernized them. Today Belarus exports its machinery to over 100 countries; its busses, tractors and heavy trucks are world-known. Belarus is also well-known in the garment industry. They make clothes for export and Belarussian cheap labor (compared to Europe) is often used by Italian designers. They produce much higher quality stuff than China. Traditional Belarusian agriculture also developed well and became quite efficient. Today, Russians go to Belarus to learn agricultural management.
Roads in Belarus – the transit country between Russia and EU – are BETTER than in the EU. The country is incredibly clean everywhere. This is how I remember growing up in the Soviet Union: everything, everywhere was very clean. This heritage Belarus also preserved.
As I mentioned before, there are no oligarchs in Belarus; there are rich people, but fewer than in neighboring countries. At the same time, average citizens feel more protected by the state. Pensioners get decent state pensions and subsidies, feeling secure. Inflation is high, but so far it’s manageable. Utilities and communal (housing/yard maintenance, water, gas, heat) payments are a fraction of what people pay in Russia (where they are not high either), and especially in the EU. All education, including college, is free. Students get paid stipendium for good grades. This is another Soviet heritage that Belarus preserved. Compare that to recent announcement by Ukraine that school pupils after 9th grade will have to pay to attend 10th and 11th grades if they want to complete secondary education.
In the summer of 2014 I visited Belarus. Everything I describe is from personal experiences. Of course there are problems – which country doesn’t have them. But overall, there are undeniable achievements.
Sly fox Lukashenko and international relations
Throughout the years, there were certain disputes and gas price disagreements between Russia and Belarus, as well as attempts by Belarus to capitalize on Ukraine and EU’s pressure on Russia. There were attempts to blackmail Russia due to gas transit. 20% of Russian gas to the EU goes through Belarus. Belarus often plays on Russia-West differences in order to get what they want (like a child of the divorced parents, who would play mom and dad). These games are relatively successful. It’s a balancing act for everyone involved, to be sure.
A reader once asked me about the president of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko. My opinion of him hasn’t changed: he is an old sly fox. Lukashenko isn’t stupid; nor is Belarus likely to turn into Ukraine.
Read my article about US lifting sanctions against Cuba: Weakness or Cunning? Why US decided to End 50-Year Standoff with Cuba Now. I said that small and in-between countries can benefit during this era of mega-clashes among the giants, if they are smart. One could make a case for it being manipulative, just like the aforementioned spoiled kid playing divorced parents against each other.
Lukashenko is doing just that. He is using a conflict between Russia and EU/US to cozy up to the West.
Presently, A huge problem with Belarus for Russia is that taking advantage of Russia’s sanctions against the EU agriculture imports, Belarus has become a massive smuggling center. They would bring in tuna or oysters, usually imported from France or Italy, and slap their own labels to re-export that to Russia, trying to pass it as their own product. Considering Belarus doesn’t have a sea…
Other things they re-appropriate and re-export this way are fruits and veggies they never grew, fancy French cheeses they never made, and even things like jeans. While Russia is trying to crack down on Belarusian smuggling, Russia still needs Belarus. So, I don’t see this conflict going very far. Basically, it’s akin to an argument in the family – eventually the family will gather for dinner again, as if nothing happened.
Why does Lukashenko need Western love?
1. Lukashenko desperately needs loans. Belarusian miracle doesn’t come cheap. Belarus is due to pay out $4bln in interest soon.
2. Elections are coming up. Lukashenko always cozies up to the West in such periods to try to prevent a color revolution they always plan around such dates to attempt unseating him. After the elections everything returns back to normal.
3. Lukashenko, being the sly fox that he is, uses any conflict between Russia and the West to get as much preferential treatment from both as possible, while it lasts. There is also the issue of pride and self-importance. Belarus has been customarily passed over for attention. The result is a burning desire to play a bigger role on world stage. Can’t blame them.
4. Belarus is trying to position itself as a moderator and go-in-between transit country between EU and Russia. AND THEY WANT TO CHARGE THROUGH THE NOSE FOR THAT. What else is new? Hence investment in the best roads possible.
5. Opening a joint Ukraine-Belarus TV channel is done for the same purpose: ‘See, how good we are as a moderator and peacemaker.’ It’s a good will demo of sorts. It must be understood that this neutral moderator position of Belarus is equally good for both Ukraine/EU and Russia/Donbass. There must be neutral grounds to discuss matters of war and peace.
My assessment is that the cunning Lukashenko, in his own way, is contributing to pulling back together what in Russia is called ‘the three brotherly nations – Russians, Ukrainians and Belarusians.’
Based on the opening of the joint Belarus-Ukraine TV channel and other signs some read as worrying, a reader has asked me if I saw Belarus as turning into another Ukraine.
No, I absolutely do not. While Lukashenko is alive, he won’t let that happen. Belarusian citizens looking at the mess across the border, are very happy they have Lukashenko.
Of course, there are other objective reasons, as described above:
1. Belarusian economy is in an incomparably better shape than Ukrainian. In big part, maidan and Kiev coup took place because of the disastrous, pre-bankruptcy state of Ukraine’s economy and its wholesale looting by local oligarchs and foreign interests.
2. Unlike Ukraine, Belarus doesn’t have oligarchs, therefore, no one internally to finance and sustain a color revolution. Of course, external pressure remains. US and EU still do everything to unseat Lukashenko every time there are elections. Rioters get bussed in from Poland and Lithuania to incite violence. But Belarus KGB (yes, it’s still called KGB – talk about preserving Soviet heritage!) is on top of it.
Incidentally, there is censorship in Belarus.
3. Lukashenko is real leader and he won’t do what Yanukovich did in February. Incidentally, Lukashenko has many times announced how he feels about Yanukovich and his inadequate actions during the Kiev coup. He said publicly that Yanukovich was supposed to stay and fight, that he needed to be more decisive in countering the coup, and that he should have died fighting, like a captain of a ship. As we know, Yanukovich escaped from Ukraine barely alive. By making such statements, Lukashenko isn’t simply expressing his views on Ukraine conflict – in fact, he is letting Belarusians and the West know what he will do should such situation arise in his country. This is basically an announcement that if anyone attempts this scenario in Minsk, they won’t get very far.
After the above assessment of Ukraine deposed leader’s actions, after being buddy-buddy with Poroshenko and Yatsenyuk, Lukashenko still manages to stay friends with Yanukovich and his family, which is a testament to how cunning and shrewd of a diplomat he is.
Many dislike the fact that Belarus isn’t helping Donbass, or that Lukashenko hugs and shakes hands with the Kiev junta leaders. I would say it’s a useful stance even if it seems a bit unsavory. Diplomacy and maneuvering may often seem this way to an outsider. But without reaching a compromise, peace and conflict resolution is rarely possible in our highly polarized world.
In short – no, Belarus has no chance of following Ukraine, although attempts to unseat Lukashenko will continue. Lukashenko, for his part, will continue maneuvering between Russia and the West, Russia and Ukraine.
Belarus is well-positioned in the EAU. That said, of course Belarus will exploit its transit country status and its status of the only country located between Russia and the EU that is capable and willing to be a bona fide go-in-between. Same goes for Ukraine. Belarus will milk for all it’s worth the Ukraine conflict to raise its international status as the country-moderator.
What is EU up to?
The above notwithstanding, I received news that EU is trying to slowly correct the anti-Russian sanctions disaster by going broader. Will that have an effect remains to be seen. There are indications that EU is courting Belarus and Kazakhstan trying to distance them from Russia. If that kind of behavior continues, this won’t bridge any gaps. All it will do is create even more distrust.
EU now attempts to reach out (read: seduce, entice) these other Eurasian Union members. The idea is to get an in with Russia/ or influence Russia through them. It’s a very convoluted and complex game. German VC recently spoke about that proposal. French president Hollande recently paid a surprise visit to Kazakhstan for secret talks with Nazarbayev. On the way back from Kazakhstan, Hollande made a surprise stop in Moscow and met with Putin. Hollande admitted that it was in fact Kazakh President Nazarbayev who encouraged him to stop in Moscow for a chat with the Russian President. The new Belarus – EU warming up also plays into this scenario.
All in all, I can absolutely say that both Lukashenko of Belarus and Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan are solid leaders, and right where they are supposed to be. Their role is to serve as vitally important links and help the Russian leader Putin in the re-formatting of the world system. More about that in future Earth Shift Reports.
Putin and Hollande in France, May 2014
Understandably, EU is trying to find ways of a round-about compromise with Russia. If this is sincere, Russia would welcome that. In my opinion, Russia has to be very careful not to fall into a new trap, if it turns out EU’s real intention is to distance Kazakhstan and Belarus from Russia. Of course this is also happening at the same time as US and UK are escalating the conflict, which isn’t encouraging (I’ll have more about that soon).
In the final analysis, the courting of Kazakhstan and Belarus won’t go very far. EU has to be careful not to burn even more bridges than they already have. I’d be cautiously optimistic about the EU move. It’s high time constructive and reasonable forces prevailed in the EU.
I wanted to end on an optimistic note, but I simply have to add this. Unfortunately, I have come to a conclusion that for as long as Merkel is in power, there will be no meaningful movement towards cooperation and dialogue. After giving Merkel a lot of benefit of the doubt, I have become convinced that she is a secret russophobe. She has been that all her life, but being a politician, she has been hiding it very well. I wrote about my assessment of how she grew up in some of my previous articles.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel
In addition, Merkel has been compromised by NSA surveillance. There is no doubt in my mind that NSA has very damaging dirt on her, therefore pulling her strings as necessary. For these two reasons a meaningful dialogue with the EU will be very difficult for Russia, until the change of guard in Germany.
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Related new post: Putin’s Full Speech at 2015 UNGA: Do You Realize What Kind of Monster You’ve Created? This post includes my translation of Belarus President Alexandr Lukashenko’s new speech at the UN General Assembly 2015.