We are continuing the Ukraine topic.
Yes, the UN venue has been weakened. The new Russia’s UN envoy is, well… new. We’ll see how he performs – he may surprise us. For the time being Russia will have to make better use of other venues, others picking up the slack. Such as: Lavrov personally will have to engage more to navigate the global situation in manual regime. Incidentally, he has been doing it a lot lately. Just look at his appearance at the Munich Security Conference, as one example.
That said, the Ukraine Shift will be aided by the fact that the West is slowly disengaging from Ukraine, due to the US and EU domestic problems, and due to three years of hard diplomatic work by Putin, Lavrov, Churkin, and others.
Paradoxically, the worst case scenario: ukro-nazis seizing power in Kiev, would be the best and more expedient outcome. Should that occur, it would quickly demonstrate to the whole world how rotten the Kiev regime really is and what the Euro-Maidan was really about. The West would be forced to change its stance to save face and to somehow rectify the bad situation next to the EU borders. This would accelerate the awakening SHIFT timeline and free faster all those poor people still stuck under Kiev regime.
It would also likely make Ukraine citizens rise against the regime sooner.
But that’s exactly why this scenario won’t happen: the West won’t allow it because having a slowly and painfully festering thorn of anti-Russian Ukraine is a lot more valuable to both US and EU. That weakens Russia and the whole Russian World for as long as the wound cannot start healing. This also diverts much energy and resources to deal with the difficult situation next door.
No matter what Trump says, the idea of controlling Russia through Ukraine’s wound is much too attractive to just let it go. Therefore, I am rather skeptical about Trump moving much in the right direction voluntarily.
But – AND THAT’S IMPORTANT – what will ultimately force the West as a whole to loosen its grip on Ukraine are the actions of Russia, as well as people like you and me, Nemo: those who speak the truth and enlighten others as to the real state of affairs.
Another reason that Maidan 3.0 or any variation thereof, including the ousting of Poroshenko without elections, won’t happen is because the West already recognized the 2014 illegal coup, legitimizing illegal elections held by the junta, which installed Poroshenko. Another coup and another installed ‘president’ will completely delegitimize the entire Euro-Maidan and the whole junta structure they’ve built.
As a side note: Some are pushing for early Rada and presidential elections – and this could allow for a different outcome. Early elections for the West may be another way to re-structure and re-legitimize the junta under a different guise, with different faces, such as Yulia Timoshenko. That’s where Russia may come in and prevent this scenario, because all it will do is prolong the agony of Ukraine. Neither Russia nor DLPR benefit at all from changing the face of the junta.
This is precisely why Poroshenko is still being kept in power. Very badly, with huge problems, this slippery SOB still manages to maintain a very delicate equilibrium between all those home-grown crazies. Anyone else, such as Avakov, would not manage.
This is the only thing all Great Powers agree on: no one wants even deeper destabilization of Ukraine; no one wants a full fledged fascist state on their borders with raging civil war all over the country.
That’s why Poroshenko is still convenient for the time being even for Russia – sort of like the best of the worst and a known quantity.
Besides, Poroshenko makes for such a convenient scapegoat. Everyone’s just waiting for the mousetrap to close. Then Poroshenko and his cronies can be tried for their crimes. The trick will be not letting them escape.
You don’t want another face, such as Timoshenko or Avakov, or anyone else. After all, that other person could claim she/he had nothing to do with the war crimes, or that they were following orders. Meanwhile Poroshenko would have time to conveniently escape, having received asylum in London, US or Canada.
This has to be played cool and lots of negotiations will take place between Putin / Lavrov /Shoigu (whose special brand of diplomacy in Syria has proven very effective) and their Western counterparts.
Also, Russia is awaiting the European elections and subsequent Shift this year and next. But that’s a big and separate topic.
PREDICTION: There is no turning back after 2018. That will be a pivotal year, along with 2019.
The takeover of nuclear stations. Frankly, I don’t think ukro-nazi battalions have the guts, nor smarts, to accomplish that. Remember what I said in previous article Energy catastrophe and shut-down of Ukraine? They are mostly imbecile delinquents with an IQ below 100. They can only do what they are doing because the West has financed, armed and encouraged them.
That’s assuming they actually are acting of their own will, which they are not, as I also pointed out in the article. These ‘Ukraine patriots’ don’t make a move without being paid. Whoever pays, orders the music, as we say.
Avakov is not his own man either. He is Kolomoysky’s agent. Kolomoysky has all his billions in the West, which he salvaged by robbing and practically bankrupting Ukraine’s banking system. Everyone is well aware that he stole from the state, and – oh crime of crimes! – he also stole $10 billion of IMF loan money allocated to Ukraine. However, it wasn’t just his bounty: this money was divided between him, Poroshenko, Yatsenyuk, Groysman, Avakov and a few others.
Although everyone appears to know this both in Ukraine and abroad, no one’s going after Kolomoysky’s money. Why? Because he made a trade with UK/US: his money for his country. Whatever Kolomoysky does is all done to preserve his money. Basically, like Berezovsky in his day, Kolomoysky is a typical agent of the West.
Yulia Timoshenko is trying to sell herself to the highest bidder; she’s now pursuing Trump to convince him to install her instead of Poroshenko. Nalivaichenko is CIA asset; oligarch Pinchuk was the largest private foreign donor to Hillary campaign, and now he is kissing up to Trump; Klichko is Merkel’s protegé, and so on.
I did discuss many of these personas and who controls them in ESR2 and ESR3.
Therefore, combined with Russia’s international efforts, and the fact that EU is mortified to have another Chernobyl, a new nuclear catastrophe in Ukraine will be avoided. Russia also still retains some deep-cover assets in Ukraine, who can prevent the nuclear worst case scenario to save lives. Besides, if ukro-nazis did dare take over nuclear stations, that would be the end of them, as enough people would finally rise against them. This is why Western masters won’t allow it to happen.
I am a lot more concerned that this wound will continue festering another 2 years as the West does everything to sabotage the Ukraine crisis resolution. I feel very sorry for the people of Novorossia (DLPR, Odessa, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporozhie, Nikolaev, Kherson, not to mention the occupied parts of Donbass), who have to continue suffering.
But here is a bit of very good news: Russia recognized DPR/LPR passports. This is a great first step towards a major shift in all of Ukraine.
The next step must become introducing visa regime for Ukraine. This will squeeze out millions of Western and Central Ukraine guest workers, who will go back to Kiev and put pressure on the regime. Once this is done, the situation in Ukraine will begin changing quickly. This could happen later this year.
The problem is, as always, the pressure on Russia by the West. Overall, it’ll be moving towards resolution, albeit gradually.
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Also from Lada Ray:
I confess, I’m tired of hearing that American billionaire Donald Trump is ‘Kremlin agent.’ This is the kind of story likely to be concocted by those who are desperate, knowing that power is slipping out of their hands. This accurately describes the situation with Clinton, Soros, and the whole neo-liberal NWO camp.
But wait! Putin and Kremlin’s outreach is far and wide. Not only Trump, CEO of ExxonMobil Rex Tillerson and Trump’s top advisors, but the rabidly Russophobic and pretty crazy Nadezhda Savchenko also turns out to be Putin’s super-spy within the Kiev ukro-nazi junta!
Recall what I predicted in
In the aforementioned May 26, 2016 report I wrote:
Savchenko’s “card will be played by Timoshenko… I’m sure others will also try to play her card. She’ll be wined, dined and courted. They’ll try to groom and mold her into something. But I think… she’ll definitely get herself in trouble within 6-7 months, or better yet, she’ll get the whole Kiev junta in trouble.
In short, a pawn such as Savchenko is very useful as a tool and bargaining chip. She doubles as an unpredictable Trojan Horse.
She’s about to fulfill her purpose. I intend to kick back and watch how Poroshenko and Kiev will manage to keep this loose cannon under control. This should be quite a show.”
We are right on schedule, people! Hardly 6 months have passed since I wrote that, and…
This began a week ago:
Nadezhda Savchenko, in defiance of Kiev, traveled to Minsk (seat of Minsk 2), where she met with leaders of DLPR Zakharchenko and Plotnitsky. During the meeting she discussed the POW / prisoner exchange. The All-for-all prisoner exchange is stipulated in the Minsk 2 peace agreement, brokered by Putin, Merkel and Hollande, but Poroshenko and the Kiev junta are refusing to abide by it.
Savchenko has tried to get it going again, achieving an understanding with Zakharchenko and Plotnitsky. In her interview she stated that when she talked to the DLPR leaders, she saw them as human beings with whom it is necessary to negotiate, not as separatists and enemies.
This has generated a storm of a scandal in Ukraine. The woman for whom the whole Ukraine and much of the EU cried just a short 7 months ago, demanding her liberation from the ‘brutal Kremlin regime,’ whom the junta elevated to the near-godly status, electing her in absentia into the Rada and Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, this same Nadezhda Savchenko was immediately branded as traitor and Putin’s agent.
Yulia Timoshenko has announced that Savchenko is expelled from her party Batkivshchina. Rada deputies are preparing to oust her from the Ukrainian delegation to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe and from the Rada committee on national security.
Is it any surprise that Savchenko is being targeted for actually doing something sensible and positive? In the land of the blind one-eyed man is king. In the crazy, warped reality of the Kiev ukro-nazi junta, even Savchenko is the height of sense and sensibility!
In a nutshell, per Lada Ray Report: Real Reason Putin Pardoned Savchenko, the ‘sly Putin’s plan’ of sending back to Ukraine the Savchenko Trojan Horse has worked! Get your popcorn or semechki and watch what happens next. The Kiev junta implosion coming! See Predictions.
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Yury Grabovsky (right) at trial, Alexander Alexandrov behind him
(I could, but I deliberately won’t publish a photo of the murderer Nadezhda Savchenko. Don’t want to sally my blog with such filth.)
Below is a video of the young wives of the Russian officers Erofeev and Alexandrov saying how hard it was for them to live through their husbands’ capture and sadistic trial, in which they were denied any semblance of normal defense and were constantly intimidated. But, the women say, they always knew their loved ones wouldn’t be abandoned by the country. As we see from the Grabovsky story, there was a very legitimate reason to fear for the men’s lives, should they remain in Ukraine.
Putin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that the mother and sister of the two slain Russian journalists, who are dead because of Savchenko, asked to release her for humanitarian reasons in order to exchange her for Erofeev and Alexandrov. Peskov said that the request from the two women came in March 2016.
Here is Peskov’s announcement (Russian).
Video of Vladimir Putin meeting with two women, relatives of slain Russian journalists (Marianna Voloshina and Ekaterina Kornelyuk). Putin thanks them for their humanitarian position and hopes that this gesture of good will will help peace in Donbass.
Путин встреча с Марианной Волошиной и Екатериной Корнелюк 25 мая 2016 года.
How Russians feel about Savchenko and her pardon
There are many voices saying Russia should have made Savchenko serve the entire term and that pardoning her and sending her back is like announcing an open season for kidnapping or killing Russians in Ukraine and DNR/LNR. Such people think that this would only encourage more crimes by ukro-nazis. There is some logic to that. Others say Savchenko should have been exchanged for as many people as possible, perhaps, for all political prisoners Kiev has in prisons, and then some.
Presently, there are many unhappy people, who do not accept that Savchenko was let go that easily; people are indignant at how she behaved in court and the fact that she made an open mockery of the court, her sentence and crime.
This mockery was parroted and multiplied in Ukraine, EU and Anglo-American countries. Russians are absolutely outraged at how the West behaves in this matter, as well as others (which we will discuss in the following articles).
Many Russians are now convinced USA and NATO want to start nuclear World War III – and US and EU have no one to blame for it but themselves!
THE REAL REASON SAVCHENKO WAS RELEASED
I’ll give you my view of why Savchenko was pardoned and released.
Savchenko = bargaining chip
Firstly, I believe that she was from the start perceived by Russian leadership as a bargaining chip. She was taken prisoner, tried and convicted, while the hysteria in Ukraine and West around her intensified. While unpleasant, I believe that Russians wanted this hysteria to take place, for one purpose: to hype up her value as a bargaining chip.
There were constant screams from Ukraine and West: ‘free Nadezhda Savchenko.’ Savchenko kept announcing her fake ‘dry hunger strikes,’ which no one believed. After a dry hunger strike a person can’t even stand on one’s feet, while she was jumping up and down during trial and screaming out obscenities. Yulia Timoshenko tried to capitalize on Savchenko’s fame by nominating her to Ukraine Rada from her party. While remaining in Russian jail, Savchenko, bypassing any imaginable laws, suddenly became a Rada deputy. I believe Savchenko was also ‘elected’ in absentia to Europarliament (illegally, of course).
It appears the Rada isn’t a zoo enough – Savchenko will definitely enhance its ‘Lord of the Flies’ look. Europarliament is right behind the Ukraine Rada in that.
All the above hype made Savchenko – nothing in real life – a very valuable bargaining chip.
Poroshenko vs Timoshenko
One of the things many overlook is that Poroshenko is mortally afraid of Savchenko returning to Kiev in her present capacity as a perceived victor. With her loud and black mouth, plus no brains to speak of, she may become someone who may damage Poroshenko’s reputation and wreak havoc in the Rada. She may cause havoc in Europarliament, as well.
Poroshenko is afraid that she will be used to rival him. Yulia Timoshenko will do everything to wind her up and set her loose on her rival. Timoshenko is licking her lips at the presidential post, dreaming about unseating Poroshenko. One possibility: she can announce her candidacy together with Savchenko. Considering how stupid and deranged Savchenko is, it’ll be nice to see these spiders in a jar devouring each other.
Basically, they all do what US ambassador, Nuland and Biden say. I described how it all works in ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS. Incidentally, US ambassador Payet, who orchestrated Kiev maidan and 2014 coup together with Nuland, is out, replaced with another colonial ruler. But it’s still the same drill. That said, it’s getting really hard for the US to keep all these spiders in Ukrainian jar under control. Soon, it will prove impossible.
If Savchenko remained in Russian jail
Another thing to keep in mind about Savchenko is that for the duration of her being in a Russian jail she would be creating anti-Russian propaganda ops all around her persona by constantly going on fake hunger strikes and yelling and screaming for Western audiences how she is being mistreated.
Then, there is the issue of her security. It is almost certain that she would have been killed in Russian jail within 1-2 years.
By whom? Either by Ukraine operatives or by CIA, probably working together. Why? Because to them she is a lot more valuable dead than alive. Her dying in Russian jail would be yet another GOLDEN opportunity to vilify Russia and get a new round of sanctions going.
Hermitage Capital, Magnitsky Act and anti-Russian conspiracy
This is not a supposition, but an almost 100% assurance. Do you recall the death in a Russian jail of Sergei Magnitsky? Supposedly, Magnitsky died of a heart attack as a result of not being given proper medical care. However, it is well-known in Russia that a member of medical personnel was bribed (it was an infiltration, actually) not to provide medical care when prisoner needed it, resulting in his death. Magnitsky is presented in the West as a lawyer to Hermitage Capital. This is false: Magnitsky was an accountant, not a lawyer. Here’s why it’s important.
Hermitage Capital was a US/UK investment company that was accused by Russian authorities in money laundering and tax avoidance. Magnitsky was the accountant who was in charge of the cooking of the books.
In reality, Hermitage Capital was the front for subversive conspiracy focused on regime change in Russia. It was curated by MI6 and CIA. The goal was to unseat Putin and sabotage Russian industry, leading to the country’s complete disintegration. The supposed investment company Hermitage worked with a very influential pro-West Russian opposition leader, whom it supplied with money, secret intel and instructions.
In THE EARTH SHIFTER and in ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS I described the high-profile case involving oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky and his cronies. Khodorkovsky was nailed on charges of money laundering, while the real charge should have been treason. The Hermitage Capital story is another one in the same vein, the difference being that pro-West political oppositioner was used as a pointman, instead of oligarchs.
In OLIGARCH WARS I also mention another oligarch Boris Berezovsky and the failed plot to blame Putin for his sudden death in London. In the Hermitage Capital conspiracy Berezovsky is important. This story is even more convoluted than Khodorkovsky’s. I have the full material on the recently revealed scandal, who blew the whistle and who was implicated. I may have an Earth Shift Report on that soon (stay tuned!).
Long story short, Magnitsky was very dangerous to CIA alive in jail, where he could eventually start talking, but he was very valuable dead. He conveniently and suddenly dies and now we have the Magnitsky Act.
Wikipedia tells us what it is: The Magnitsky Act, formally known as the Russia and Moldova Jackson-Vanik Repeal and Sergei Magnitsky Rule of Law Accountability Act of 2012, is a bipartisan bill passed by the U.S. Congress and President Obama in November–December 2012, intending to punish Russian officials responsible for the death of Russian lawyer Sergei Magnitsky in a Moscow prison in 2009.
So, If, by some miracle, Ukraine or CIA didn’t get Savchenko in Russian jail, chances are those who suffered from ukro-nazis, battalion Aidar or as a result of Savchenko’s personal actions, would. Frankly, if I were the president of Russia, I wouldn’t want this kind of high maintenance prisoner on my territory. Try her, give her guilty verdict and maximum sentence and then unleash this furious Trojan Horse on Ukraine to undermine it from within – a much better plan.
If she remained, I’d have fully expected Savchenko to die in Russian prison of some mysterious cause, thus triggering US Congress and Europarliament passing ‘the Savchenko Act.’
When she dies in Kiev, it’ll be their problem. In either event, keeping this hysterical and not very bright ukro-nazi alive and happy will be a very big job. Good luck to them – they’ll need it.
You can watch this video by RT: Villain or hero? The many faces of Nadezhda Savchenko. I think the answer to this question is abundantly clear.
In this specific case, she has been exchanged for two Russians, who’d be in grave danger otherwise. This is already a good outcome.
But there is much more going on behind the scenes, and it’ll never be admitted or advertised…
I have been noticing for a period of time that Western investments into Russia have begun accelerating. Recall that I predicted in 2014 that the West would huff and puff for about 2 years after Crimea: sanctions, anti-Russian hysteria, etc. I said in 2014 that it would be just like the 2008 Georgia/S. Ossetia conflict. After 2 years of hysteria, they would begin remembering that they can’t really do much without Russia, such as various peace negotiations as well as business deals and trade relations.
Although Europe seems to be ready to abandon sanctions, US is really standing in the way, stubbornly attempting to prolong sanctions for as long as possible. Obama’s ego is permanently wounded due to his usually looking like a loser compared to Putin. This wounded little ego is one of the reasons.
Considering Obama’s childish pouting and silly resentment of Russia and Putin, an additional push was needed. I am sure that Savchenko’s pardon was used as a bargaining chip in relaxing anti-Russian sanctions. They will keep those sanctions on for a while, probably till the end of year. This has to do, as I said, with Obama’s wounded ego (what do you expect from such little, tiny man). Obama wants to leave office with sanctions intact. Try to save face, count at least this as his ‘victory’…
But what’s impossible to hide is that suddenly more and more European businesses are investing in Crimea and the flow of new Western investments into Russia is substantially up. This, despite sanctions! There is a definite coincidence between Savchenko’s release and sudden blindness of the EU when their businesses break anti-Russian sanctions. This is not to say that it’s all going to be champagne and roses, but I am certain a deal was struck that sanctions would remain in place in name only.
My opinion: this, at least in part, explains frequent recent mystery visits to Russia by Kerry and Nuland (and Kissinger earlier in the year).
Incidentally, this also likely concerns the Nord Stream-2 construction. I would expect an acceleration of this mega-project between Germany and Russia. After Nord Stream-2 is completed, Ukraine will lose its position as the most important transiter of Russian gas to EU. This will make Ukraine un-interesting to the US as a means of blackmailing and inflicting pain on both Russia and EU. As a result, US will release its grip on Ukraine.
As to the concern that Savchenko may return to direct Ukraine artillery strikes on Donetsk and Lugansk.
That would be really stupid of her, and here’s why. First, her face is now too well-known. Should she be captured again, this time she won’t get out alive – there are too many in Donbass who have a score to settle.
Secondly: she is too famous and ‘valuable’ now. Her card will be played by Timoshenko, who won’t let her go to Donbass, if she can help it. I’m sure others will also try to play her card. She’ll be wined, dined and courted. They’ll try to groom and mold her into something. But I think she is so dim and so stupid that she’ll definitely get herself in trouble within 6-7 months, or better yet, she’ll get the whole Kiev junta in trouble.
In short, a pawn such as Savchenko is very useful as a tool and bargaining chip. She doubles as an unpredictable Trojan Horse.
She’s about to fulfill her purpose. I intend to kick back and watch how Poroshenko and Kiev will manage to keep this loose cannon under control. US will have to work overtime, too. This should be quite a show.
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