DNR and LNR military officials have been warning of the possibility of Kiev renewing its offensive on the republics as soon as the weather turns warm enough. Poroshenko can’t afford not to restart Donbass war amid worsening of the economic and social situation and in order to distract Ukrainians’ from political crisis, per analysts’ opinion.
DNR and LNR are warning that Kiev amassed 90,000 troops on the border and that attack is coming soon.
I agree that Poroshenko and some others in Kiev are itching to re-start a war. But as I had told you all before, I don’t believe Poroshenko has the guts to authorize an offensive. First, he gets huge pressure from EU to stay within Minsk 2 framework; EU won’t like it if he broke peace agreement that blatantly. EU/Merkel/Hollande , in turn, get pressure from Russia to pressure Poroshenko. They also get plenty of pressure from their own voters, business and farmers to lift anti-Russian sanctions.
In turn, Obama administration/Democrats get pressure from Merkel and Hollande, and from Russia. But besides that they have lots of internal pressure due to the upcoming elections. One wrong move and any hope for Hillary is gone. And US stooges in Kiev – Poroshenko and Co. – are bound to make lots of wrong moves.
I think that Poroshenko, as well as his US/EU handlers, are pretty clear that if they attempt another all-out attack on DNR/LNR, this time the republics will make sure they’ll liberate the entire Donbass, and perhaps, neighboring oblasts as well. As DNR’s Zakharchenko said, “This time we’ll counter-attack till we are in Kiev.” These are not empty threats. Previous attacks by Kiev resulted in Debaltsevo and Ilovaisk cauldrons, with tens of thousands of Ukraine soldiers dead or missing. Losses ratio was 1 (DNR/LNR) to 10 or more (Ukraine).
If Kiev can’t attacks directly, what can Ukraine do? Instead, they are attempting to provoke DNR and LNR. To accomplish that they continuously shell peaceful citizens and villages near frontline. The idea is to anger the republics so much that they lose their cool and begin retaliating, thus breaking Minsk 2 agreement. After that Kiev, US and EU get to blame DNR/LNR and, of course, Russia in violating cease-fire. If that should happen, Kiev and US will immediately demand new sanctions against Russia and attempt to vilify Russia and Putin yet again.
This is why DNR/LNR can’t respond to obvious provocations. The especial cruelty of the situation is in the fact that innocent people and animals suffer under shellings, with no recourse. All villagers normally keep a lot of animals, who are also forced to suffer under bombings. Those who left to escape the horrors of war were forced to leave their animals behind!
When will these poor people and innocent animals get justice? Why is the so-called ‘civilized’ world blind and deaf? Where are US/UK/Canada/Australia and EU when obvious violations of human rights are perpetuated by Kiev, Poroshenko, nationalists and ukro-nazis in power? How do they justify their continued political, financial and ideological support of war criminals in Kiev and Ukraine army, while the international tribunal is what they truly deserve?
This is the latest from Donbass, near frontlines…
Citizens of Zaitsevo village, located near frontline, are among many on DNR/LNR side who complain that as soon as OSCE monitoring mission moves to Ukraine side, Kiev army renews the shelling. In other words, Kiev military is quiet, seemingly observing the cease-fire while OSCE mission is on DNR or LNR side. Then, monitors call Ukrainian command to advise that they are leaving DNR/LNR controlled territory to inspect the other side. As soon as their cars leave, Ukraine army and ukro-nazis begin shelling residential areas, schools, churches and hospitals with renewed vigor.
Villagers all around DNR and LNR have been complaining about this devious scheme since the beginning of the truce. It appears, finally OSCE is beginning to pay attention. Head of OSCE mission in Donbass Alexander Hug announced that they would install a 360 view camera in Zaitsevo.
On video below a local DNR commander says that he has had a camera installed for a while, and this camera has registered violations by Kiev. But OSCE doesn’t seem to accept local video proof.
A sign of changes to come! OSCE finally starts noticing cease-fire violations, something they seemed not to see before. In fact, locals call them blind and deaf; anger against OSCE indifference and lack of accurate assessment in Donbass has been widespread. OSCE monitors have been playing games and some even accuse them of spying on Kiev’s behalf. Locals can’t explain in any other way the fact that Ukraine side aims so accurately as soon as OSCE cars leave an area. They in fact may not be spies – just EU stooges – but their curious blindness to obvious facts and certain unsavory avoidance of direct answers makes people suspect the worst.
The fact that they are starting to talk (finally) about installing a camera to register Ukraine army violations is a signal of what I talked about in previous article: EU is beginning to dump Kiev junta. The ‘flushing down’ of this fascist version of Ukraine has begun! (More in: Yatsenyuk Announces Resignation. Ukraine On the Brink? France Recognizes Novorossia?)
Videos below show how terrible this violent spring is in Donbass. It’s especially striking when you see destroyed houses and schools next to the blossoming trees. Videos are in English and Russian.
Zaitsevo local: They’ll begin shelling as soon as you leave. This man says that very few people are still left in the village. He miraculously still has water, but no gas and no electricity:
Shelling begins as soon as OSCE has left. April 12, 2016:
Old lady to OSCE’s Hug: We are preparing for Paskha (Russian Easter) but don’t know if we’ll survive till then:
OSCE plan to install a camera in Zaitsevo:
Related latest articles:
- Crimean Tourism Infrastructure Flourishes Despite Geopolitical Threats
- Yatsenyuk Announces Resignation. Ukraine On the Brink? France Recognizes Novorossia?
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