URGENT! Israel Responsible for Downing of Russian Il-20 Jet in Syria? Lada Ray’s Major Analysis & Predictions!

I wasn’t planning this post, but it became a must, due to the major breaking news! This is a big report, which I wrote as a direct response to the developing situation in Syria and Israel! This is my early analysis/predictions/overview, plus urgent alert, all rolled into one!

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MY SUMMARY

As of this writing, the situation is still developing, and there will be more info coming out soon, which I may not know at this point. I’ll summarize for you in short everything I know, and give you my initial opinion and predictions.

In short, and based on the first data, Israel warned Russian airforce of its impending attack on what they call ‘Iranian’ forces in Syria just ONE minute before the strike, in direct violation of the intelligence sharing agreement. At least hours of warning are customarily given. That was the time when Israel knew very well that Russian jets were returning from sorties to land on their base. Moreover, Israeli command knew exactly that the Russian Il-20, with 15 people on board, was landing at that very moment.

Video – ENG subs:

Four Israeli jets delivered a guided bomb attack against Syrian facilities in Latakia province. What’s important is that Israeli jets, in case of such attacks, come in from the Mediterranean and fall short of entering Syrian territory. In this specific case, after the bombing, the Israeli jet(s) deliberately hid behind the Russian Il-20, which was coming into the landing, with 15 Russian military people on board. You can see on the video thumbnail above what and how it happened!

When Syrian S-200 guided anti-aircraft missile was fired, it hit the Russian Il-20, the aircraft 10 times bigger than the Israeli F-16, giving out a much larger reflective surface signature. Shoigu and Russian MoD conclude that Israeli pilots knew exactly what would happen and deliberately set up the Russian jet.

Map of Israeli attack 9/17/18:

Russian Il-20 jet is the image in the lower center-right

This tragedy constitutes one of the biggest, of not the biggest, Russian army’s one time loss throughout the entire Syrian campaign.

MY ANALYSIS

Here’s the clincher! This provocation comes directly after three major Earth Shifting events!

1  Russia – China Mass drills, Vostok-2018, where the might of the Russian army and the coordination with the Chinese army were demonstrated. These drills completely rattled the US and Dark State. See my previous FT posts. 

2  The Eastern Forum in Vladivostok, where major strides were made for the cooperation in Asia, and a major step was made to ditch the dollar! Participants: Russia, China, Japan, S. Korea and Mongolia. Huge problem for the US/West/Dark State, whose power is slipping away! See my previous FT posts. 

3  Putin and Erdogan met yesterday to develop a strategy for Idlib and N. Syria. The compromise was reached, and it did NOT include the US!

All these factors, when put together, tell us one thing: US Dark State – globalist neocon/neolib tandem is set to send a warning to Russia and retaliate against all the moves I described above.

You’ll recall that Turkey’s downing of the Russian Su in Syria a few years back happened also after major Russian victories and in order to put a rift between the budding alliance between Russia and Turkey (Read ESR5, ESR7 and ESR13).

This provocation is in the same vein. It is a set up, designed to rattle and broadside Russia in Syria, to derail the fragile agreements between Russia and Israel, and to see if Russia would act rashly in response. If Russia acts rashly, those dark forces who are behind this provocation will attempt to start a big invasion of Syria and a new world war.

So far Putin and Russia managed to keep the situation in Syria under control. But we all know who itches to bomb and to legitimize their presence in Syria: USA, UK and France, plus Israel, for its own purposes. These are the countries who are itching to start a full-scale invasion of Syria.

Russia managed to have a decent rapport with Israel, despite differences, until now. This was necessary and continues being necessary to keep the fragile balance in the region, which otherwise would plunge into a full-scale war. It is clear what forces want that war, and therefore, these are the forces who are behind this Israeli provocation. I want to emphasize that such Dark State forces exist in the US and Israel, but there are also forces that want better relations with Russia in Israel. How much US and American Zionist lobby leaned on Israel — we’ll  know soon, or never.

The important thing is that what happened is against Israeli interests in the region, as I wrote many times on Patreon and above linked ESRs. Israel needs Russia on its good side, this is a fact of life, and this provocation basically annuls everything the previous agreements affirmed.

Therefore, it is beneficial to those forces who want to accomplish three things: 1. Plunge the region and the world into hot World War III; 2. Destroy any cooperation agreements achieved previously, in order to invade Syria; 3. Weaken Russia and Russia’s control of Syria. I want to remind everyone that ONLY RUSSIA (plus Iran) is in Syria legitimately, by the invitation of the Syrian government. Everyone else are classified as aggressors and invaders.

Russia will have to respond, as already stated by Shoigu.

Let’s recall that after the downing of the Russian SU and killing of the Russian pilot, Turkey paid a heavy price, including ban on Turkish flights over Syria. Russia also brought into Syria S-400s, which it refrained from doing before that, by Turkish request. S-400s Russia installed are capable of covering any Turkish jets on takeoff at their own bases, rendering any Turkish airforce activity near Syria obsolete.

But Turkey also paid a heavy political and economic price. After the downing, Russia downgraded relations with Turkey, canceled all civilian flights to Turkey and stopped tourism. Turkish citizens were deported from Russia, Turkish exports banned. This sent Turkish economy into a tailspin.

It was my prediction (came true) that the attempted military coup and attempted Erdogan’s assassination (see ESR13) were the result of the weakened position of Erdogan after Russia’s multi-step retaliation. It was only Putin’s stellar master-chess moves that saved Erdogan, and then restored Turkey-Russia relations – all in ESR13.

And remember, only one person died that time! It is 15 this time. The stakes are much higher!

There are some initial proposals how to respond to this new provocation from Israel. They range from bombing Israeli airports to severing diplomatic relations.

PREDICTIONS

I can tell you that Putin and Shoigu will NOT act rashly, but they’ll think it through very well, as always.

I do think Russia and Israel are interested in decent working relations to keep a modicum of stability in the region. But there are forces in Israel and beyond, who want war. Therefore, like in the case of Turkey, Putin will act in such a way that the intentions of the dark forces will be neutralized and better yet, turned around!

Oh, don’t get me wrong, there will be hell to pay. Israel will have to pay a price politically and economically, and no question, militarily! What will it be? We’ll find out soon, after Russians do their strategizing to see what benefits Russia most and what doesn’t!

I also have to point out that Israel announced that there will be no response to what happened, because of Jewish holidays. The real reason: they have no idea what to say and how to react. They are frantically searching for the right way to respond and they are buying time. It has come to my attention that Russian MSM tried to get comments from Israeli experts and political figures, and they are all hiding out, unwilling to go on record. This speaks volumes as to the chaos happening now in Israel.

There will be hell to pay one way or another. Heads will definitely roll. The ‘mistake’ which was in fact a provocation, will cause chock waves.

At this point, I can tell you one thing that WILL happen for sure, as one of Russia’s first steps. This is purely my prediction; nothing like that has been announced yet.

Russia didn’t supply S-300s and especially S-400s, to Syrian army at the persistent requests of Israel, who maintained that this would disrupt the fragile balance of power in the region and put Israeli jets in danger on their own territory. This is why Syrian army is still using the older S-200s, with a much smaller range.

Russia also agreed to keep Iran at bay — I explained everything in great deatail in ESR20 and in my recent articles on Patreon. In exchange for Russian cooperation, Israel agreed to curb its appetites regarding Syria and exchange intel. This incident may sever all previous agreements. One of the things that may happen is that Russia will stop curbing Iran’s ambitions for developing bases next to Israel! And that will be a HUGE problem;  I’d say, this may end up in disaster for Israel.

There is practically no doubt that after what happened, Russia will supply S-300s and possibly also S-400s to Syrian army in central/southern Syria, in order to cover the skies over Syria down to Israeli bases. This effectively will shut down Syrian airspace for Israeli jets, like it previously did for Turkish jets. The Lebanese airspace may be included in the no-fly zone.

Forgot to mention one thing! US/UK also are itching to retailate against the fact that Russia completely exposed their plan to create another false flag chemical attack in Idlib. Not to mention, Russia exposing the Skripal hoax AND the latest Russian data on the MH-17 downing by Ukraine. All this helped trigger this retaliation! See my previous FT posts on all these events!

In conclusion, I also will predict that this time Russia will be forced to be much tougher on the proposed US/UK missile strike against Syria, with possible participation of Germany and France. US/UK are trying to drag more countries into this, because they need to be all tied by blood. The situation is again extremely dangerous, as I wrote recently on Patreon!

Will the strike happen to help UK Govt and May to distract the public from the failed Brexit and to help Trump/neocons win midterm elections?

My view at this point, their underpinning, which through false flags and provocations they’ve been trying to build for months, is falling apart at the seems. Russia is very expertly destroying all of their false flag constructs: Skripals, Idlib chemical attack, MH-17 downing. All these lies are being exposed one by one.

They may still do it, because they have been building the case for it for months and can’t backtrack.

This is why this new Israeli provocation was desprately needed! I again have to refer to the infamous downing of the Russian SU-24 by Turkey – a very strong resonance indeed!

Will they succeed? If they still go ahead with the missile attack against Syria, despite all of their false flag constructs falling apart, who knows what may happen. By then Syrian army may be well-equipped with S-400s. And it’s anyone’s guess what those SYRIAN missiles might hit in response… A US or UK aircraft… A US carrier… An Israeli airport… Who knows?

A very good time to supply those S-400s, I think.

We don’t want and don’t need war, and I am sure Putin and his team will find the right way out of this situation. But if all the initial data checks out, the response, and a strong one, is needed!

 

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