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URGENT! Israel Responsible for Downing of Russian Il-20 Jet in Syria? Lada Ray’s Major Analysis & Predictions!
I wasn’t planning this post, but it became a must, due to the major breaking news! This is a big report, which I wrote as a direct response to the developing situation in Syria and Israel! This is my early analysis/predictions/overview, plus urgent alert, all rolled into one!
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MY SUMMARY
As of this writing, the situation is still developing, and there will be more info coming out soon, which I may not know at this point. I’ll summarize for you in short everything I know, and give you my initial opinion and predictions.
In short, and based on the first data, Israel warned Russian airforce of its impending attack on what they call ‘Iranian’ forces in Syria just ONE minute before the strike, in direct violation of the intelligence sharing agreement. At least hours of warning are customarily given. That was the time when Israel knew very well that Russian jets were returning from sorties to land on their base. Moreover, Israeli command knew exactly that the Russian Il-20, with 15 people on board, was landing at that very moment.
Video – ENG subs:
Four Israeli jets delivered a guided bomb attack against Syrian facilities in Latakia province. What’s important is that Israeli jets, in case of such attacks, come in from the Mediterranean and fall short of entering Syrian territory. In this specific case, after the bombing, the Israeli jet(s) deliberately hid behind the Russian Il-20, which was coming into the landing, with 15 Russian military people on board. You can see on the video thumbnail above what and how it happened!
When Syrian S-200 guided anti-aircraft missile was fired, it hit the Russian Il-20, the aircraft 10 times bigger than the Israeli F-16, giving out a much larger reflective surface signature. Shoigu and Russian MoD conclude that Israeli pilots knew exactly what would happen and deliberately set up the Russian jet.
Map of Israeli attack 9/17/18:
Russian Il-20 jet is the image in the lower center-right
This tragedy constitutes one of the biggest, of not the biggest, Russian army’s one time loss throughout the entire Syrian campaign.
MY ANALYSIS
Here’s the clincher! This provocation comes directly after three major Earth Shifting events!
1 Russia – China Mass drills, Vostok-2018, where the might of the Russian army and the coordination with the Chinese army were demonstrated. These drills completely rattled the US and Dark State. See my previous FT posts.
2 The Eastern Forum in Vladivostok, where major strides were made for the cooperation in Asia, and a major step was made to ditch the dollar! Participants: Russia, China, Japan, S. Korea and Mongolia. Huge problem for the US/West/Dark State, whose power is slipping away! See my previous FT posts.
3 Putin and Erdogan met yesterday to develop a strategy for Idlib and N. Syria. The compromise was reached, and it did NOT include the US!
All these factors, when put together, tell us one thing: US Dark State – globalist neocon/neolib tandem is set to send a warning to Russia and retaliate against all the moves I described above.
You’ll recall that Turkey’s downing of the Russian Su in Syria a few years back happened also after major Russian victories and in order to put a rift between the budding alliance between Russia and Turkey (Read ESR5, ESR7 and ESR13).
This provocation is in the same vein. It is a set up, designed to rattle and broadside Russia in Syria, to derail the fragile agreements between Russia and Israel, and to see if Russia would act rashly in response. If Russia acts rashly, those dark forces who are behind this provocation will attempt to start a big invasion of Syria and a new world war.
So far Putin and Russia managed to keep the situation in Syria under control. But we all know who itches to bomb and to legitimize their presence in Syria: USA, UK and France, plus Israel, for its own purposes. These are the countries who are itching to start a full-scale invasion of Syria.
Russia managed to have a decent rapport with Israel, despite differences, until now. This was necessary and continues being necessary to keep the fragile balance in the region, which otherwise would plunge into a full-scale war. It is clear what forces want that war, and therefore, these are the forces who are behind this Israeli provocation. I want to emphasize that such Dark State forces exist in the US and Israel, but there are also forces that want better relations with Russia in Israel. How much US and American Zionist lobby leaned on Israel — we’ll know soon, or never.
The important thing is that what happened is against Israeli interests in the region, as I wrote many times on Patreon and above linked ESRs. Israel needs Russia on its good side, this is a fact of life, and this provocation basically annuls everything the previous agreements affirmed.
Therefore, it is beneficial to those forces who want to accomplish three things: 1. Plunge the region and the world into hot World War III; 2. Destroy any cooperation agreements achieved previously, in order to invade Syria; 3. Weaken Russia and Russia’s control of Syria. I want to remind everyone that ONLY RUSSIA (plus Iran) is in Syria legitimately, by the invitation of the Syrian government. Everyone else are classified as aggressors and invaders.
Russia will have to respond, as already stated by Shoigu.
Let’s recall that after the downing of the Russian SU and killing of the Russian pilot, Turkey paid a heavy price, including ban on Turkish flights over Syria. Russia also brought into Syria S-400s, which it refrained from doing before that, by Turkish request. S-400s Russia installed are capable of covering any Turkish jets on takeoff at their own bases, rendering any Turkish airforce activity near Syria obsolete.
But Turkey also paid a heavy political and economic price. After the downing, Russia downgraded relations with Turkey, canceled all civilian flights to Turkey and stopped tourism. Turkish citizens were deported from Russia, Turkish exports banned. This sent Turkish economy into a tailspin.
It was my prediction (came true) that the attempted military coup and attempted Erdogan’s assassination (see ESR13) were the result of the weakened position of Erdogan after Russia’s multi-step retaliation. It was only Putin’s stellar master-chess moves that saved Erdogan, and then restored Turkey-Russia relations – all in ESR13.
And remember, only one person died that time! It is 15 this time. The stakes are much higher!
There are some initial proposals how to respond to this new provocation from Israel. They range from bombing Israeli airports to severing diplomatic relations.
PREDICTIONS
I can tell you that Putin and Shoigu will NOT act rashly, but they’ll think it through very well, as always.
I do think Russia and Israel are interested in decent working relations to keep a modicum of stability in the region. But there are forces in Israel and beyond, who want war. Therefore, like in the case of Turkey, Putin will act in such a way that the intentions of the dark forces will be neutralized and better yet, turned around!
Oh, don’t get me wrong, there will be hell to pay. Israel will have to pay a price politically and economically, and no question, militarily! What will it be? We’ll find out soon, after Russians do their strategizing to see what benefits Russia most and what doesn’t!
I also have to point out that Israel announced that there will be no response to what happened, because of Jewish holidays. The real reason: they have no idea what to say and how to react. They are frantically searching for the right way to respond and they are buying time. It has come to my attention that Russian MSM tried to get comments from Israeli experts and political figures, and they are all hiding out, unwilling to go on record. This speaks volumes as to the chaos happening now in Israel.
There will be hell to pay one way or another. Heads will definitely roll. The ‘mistake’ which was in fact a provocation, will cause chock waves.
At this point, I can tell you one thing that WILL happen for sure, as one of Russia’s first steps. This is purely my prediction; nothing like that has been announced yet.
Russia didn’t supply S-300s and especially S-400s, to Syrian army at the persistent requests of Israel, who maintained that this would disrupt the fragile balance of power in the region and put Israeli jets in danger on their own territory. This is why Syrian army is still using the older S-200s, with a much smaller range.
Russia also agreed to keep Iran at bay — I explained everything in great deatail in ESR20 and in my recent articles on Patreon. In exchange for Russian cooperation, Israel agreed to curb its appetites regarding Syria and exchange intel. This incident may sever all previous agreements. One of the things that may happen is that Russia will stop curbing Iran’s ambitions for developing bases next to Israel! And that will be a HUGE problem; I’d say, this may end up in disaster for Israel.
There is practically no doubt that after what happened, Russia will supply S-300s and possibly also S-400s to Syrian army in central/southern Syria, in order to cover the skies over Syria down to Israeli bases. This effectively will shut down Syrian airspace for Israeli jets, like it previously did for Turkish jets. The Lebanese airspace may be included in the no-fly zone.
Forgot to mention one thing! US/UK also are itching to retailate against the fact that Russia completely exposed their plan to create another false flag chemical attack in Idlib. Not to mention, Russia exposing the Skripal hoax AND the latest Russian data on the MH-17 downing by Ukraine. All this helped trigger this retaliation! See my previous FT posts on all these events!
In conclusion, I also will predict that this time Russia will be forced to be much tougher on the proposed US/UK missile strike against Syria, with possible participation of Germany and France. US/UK are trying to drag more countries into this, because they need to be all tied by blood. The situation is again extremely dangerous, as I wrote recently on Patreon!
Will the strike happen to help UK Govt and May to distract the public from the failed Brexit and to help Trump/neocons win midterm elections?
My view at this point, their underpinning, which through false flags and provocations they’ve been trying to build for months, is falling apart at the seems. Russia is very expertly destroying all of their false flag constructs: Skripals, Idlib chemical attack, MH-17 downing. All these lies are being exposed one by one.
They may still do it, because they have been building the case for it for months and can’t backtrack.
This is why this new Israeli provocation was desprately needed! I again have to refer to the infamous downing of the Russian SU-24 by Turkey – a very strong resonance indeed!
Will they succeed? If they still go ahead with the missile attack against Syria, despite all of their false flag constructs falling apart, who knows what may happen. By then Syrian army may be well-equipped with S-400s. And it’s anyone’s guess what those SYRIAN missiles might hit in response… A US or UK aircraft… A US carrier… An Israeli airport… Who knows?
A very good time to supply those S-400s, I think.
We don’t want and don’t need war, and I am sure Putin and his team will find the right way out of this situation. But if all the initial data checks out, the response, and a strong one, is needed!
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Relevant:
Putin Makes Surprise Visit to Syria in the Company of Su-30 Jets to Declare Victory and the End of Op
Russian President Vladimir Putin paid surprise visit to Khmeimim Airbase in Syria’s Latakia province on Monday, December 11. As he prepared to land, he was met by an escort of Su-30SM fighter jets.
During this unannounced visit Putin met with Syrian president Assad and made an important announcement regarding partial withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria following the defeat of ISIS. Putin added that if terrorists reappeared in Syria, Russian troops would be back.
Russia’s Enormous Victory & End of ISIS
Russian Syria op is one of the most successful military ops of all time. As a result of Russian BKC (Russian joint military-space forces) involvement along with Syrian ground troops, ISIS has been squeezed out of all cities in Syria, leaving only some straggling groups in the country, with which Syrian army is still dealing on the ground. Syrian government today controls most of the country’s territory. When Russia got involved in Syria 2 years ago, Assad and Syrian army controlled 14% of the country’s territory, rebels were located as close as 8 kilometers from Assad’s palace, Syrian army was on its last legs with deserters leaving in droves. It was expected that any day Assad would lose power and Syria would be torn to pieces by warring factions and foreign powers.
The task the Russian Army had in Syria seemed insurmountable and extremely complex. Not only it was of a military nature, but it was diplomatic, moderating and peacemaking as well.
During the past 2 years of Syrian involvement, in military operations Russia hasn’t lost a single jet, except the Turkish provocation with the downing of the Russian Su. One single flying regiment took part in operations; overall Russian troops in Syria numbered no more than 4-5 thousand. This relatively small number of troops managed to make 30,000 flights and destroy most of the ISIS top commanders, and most of the Islamic State terrorists’ infrastructure, including arms depots, training camps, factories, oil transports and money laundering rings. Estimated combined ISIS losses are 32,000 troops. Russian instructors re-trained and turned around the demoralized Syrian army in such a way that it began winning. The most important Syrian army operations were developed and executed under the command of Russian higher officers. The result of such operations was the liberation of all major Syrian cities, securing of oil fields and the majority of the country’s territory.
The political, diplomatic and peacemaking results have been equally impressive. Only Russia managed to sit down at one table the seemingly irreconcilable enemies, including Iran, Turkey, Syrian government and opposition/ rebels/ various factions. Political process is taking place and elections are coming, which was unimaginable just recently. Syria today is day and night compared to what it was just two years ago.
All this is especially impressive if you compare it to the staggering fiasco of the US/EU/NATO’s involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as Syria. Incidentally, it has been brought to my attention that following Russia’s astounding victory in Syria, US and France are trying to steal this victory, declaring it theirs and ignoring the reality. This is also nothing new — remember WWI and WWII and the re-writing of history!
For more on Russian Army read Poll: Russians Trust Most Russian Army, Putin and FSB, and distrust…
Of course, this is far from being the end. The new strategy for securing the rest of the country, maintaining peace and squeezing US out of Syria has to be implemented, political changes have to take place. But the active military phase is over.
After the surprise Syria stop-over, where he thanked the troops, met with Assad and declared the end of Syria op, Putin in the same day visited Egypt and Turkey.
This whole 1-day, 3-country Middle East turbo-tour is the continuation of Putin’s restructuring and rebalancing of the Middle East, as discussed in my recent interview A New Tsar Arrived. But the timing is also such that this Middle East tour serves as Putin and Russia’s response to Trump’s decision to consider Jerusalem the capital of Israel and to move the US embassy from Tel-Aviv to Jerusalem.
Why did Trump make such announcement right before Holidays? It has already met with much condemnation around the world and generated a new wave of violence and anti-US hatred. There are calls for the 3rd Intifada (Palestinian resistance war against Israel). This announcement is also likely to create new waves of terror attacks in US, Israel and other countries. Just yesterday we had terror attack attempt at the Bus Terminal in Manhattan, and more are expected during Christmas/New Year. Politicians and lay people alike have dubbed Trump’s decision ‘irresponsible and short-sighted.’
The reason Trump saw fit to make such an announcement is very simple and in line with my original predictions from the Trump ESR16 and ESW1: WILL TRUMP SURVIVE HIS FIRST TERM. Trump is in a ‘straitjacket’ and in a fight for survival, being criticized and threatened by various forces. This is by no means a justification of his actions, but merely a reminder that I predicted this since 2016, before the US election outcome was even known.
Trump is trying to avoid impeachment with all his might. In this survival mode he, in a typical American fashion, doesn’t care how his words or actions will impact the world. He is simply thinking about himself. If he were a private citizen, that might be at least understandable, if not forgivable. But it doesn’t work at all if one calls himself a US president.
The Israeli/ Jewish lobby in the US is one of the most powerful. Therefore, for Trump it is crucial to have it in his corner. It is as crucial as having Pentagon and US army in his corner, or at least neutral so they wouldn’t support his impeachment. To appease Pentagon/US army Trump does constant saber-rattling against N. Korea, threatening to begin a nuclear war. If it’s not N. Korea, it is Iran, Syria, or whatever enemy is next in line.
And to appease the Jewish/Israel lobby Trump recognizes Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. All very logical actions from his standpoint — and the hell with the rest of the world. This yet again demonstrates how unfit the USA, this ‘exceptional nation’ and ‘sole super-power,’ is for the role of the global leader.
This is where Russia the Great Balancer comes in. Putin’s announcement of Russian troops withdrawal from Syria stands in stark contrast to Trump/USA’s bullying position.
By contrast with Trump, Putin announced during meetings with Egypt’s el-Sisi and Turkey’s Erdogan that only the joint negotiations between Israel and Palestine should decide the status of Jerusalem. This measured and reasonable position yet again shows who the true world leader really is; who brings peace to the Middle East, and who provokes wars.
Putin is confirming what I often talk about: Russia is the unifying, balancing and pacifying force in the Middle East and globally. This role of Russia the Great Balancer will continue intensifying during the ongoing EARTH SHIFT.
We talk about this at length in recent URGENT NEW INTERVIEW! A New Tsar Arrived: How Putin is Squeezing US out of NEW Middle East.
I discussed in detail the situation in the Middle East, Syria, Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and more in these Earth Shift Reports: ESR5, ESR7 & ESR13.
Watch ESW6: THE PUTIN ENIGMA
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Another recent interview: The Putin Enigma and The Coming Western Perestroika
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