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Moldavia Explodes! Anti-EU, Anti-Government Revolt, Parliament Stormed
The events in Moldavia (aka, Moldova, aka, ex- Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic) are developing swiftly and resolutely. I have been following the events in Moldavia very closely since 2014 when I first felt it was on the brink of a major change, in part expedited by the Ukraine 2014 coup, and in part by anti-Russian sanctions.
Just like Ukraine, Moldavia has been starkly divided and torn between pro-EU (better defined as pro-Romania) and pro-Russian camps. Some are simply for closer ties with Russia and define themselves as pro-Moldavian sovereignty.
Moldavia’s situation, allegiances and events are confusing at best. It seems there is a lot of flip-flopping and morphing. The impression is that both the government and people are confused and unsure what to do with themselves and their country. The info sipping through into the general world from Moldova is sketchy and inadequate. In such circumstances it’s a great idea to follow what’s happening via someone who knows those parts first hand (I grew up there), follows closely, understands the language, background and intricacies involved; in short, someone you trust.
Background:
I had explained the realities of Moldavia and the breakaway Pridnestrovie, as well as the autonomous Gagauzia, in my video report: Pridnestrovie vs Moldova: Eurasian Union vs EU (LadaRayLive 2)
…and in my article Analysis and Predictions: Battleground Moldova – November 30, 2014 Elections. These predictions are, incidentally, materializing exactly as I said they would. Note, the political landscape in Moldova is very fluid and some of the parties mentioned in that original article have changed their names, such as Patria of Renato Usatiy (Usatii) became Nasha Partia (Our Party). The Customs Union Party also changed its name and morphed into something else, remaining a pro-Russian force and still siding with the left. But the general prediction and direction of the events and energy remain true, developing in line with my predictions. Socialists won the majority in the 2014 elections, but were manipulated out of power, and they continue being the leading force in these protests.
How $1 billion was stolen from Moldavian people
In the summer of 2015 it was discovered that $1 billion disappeared from Moldavian banks. By disappeared I mean: evaporated, vanished into thin air. This money was, per reports, simply stolen and laundered offshore. For a small and poor country like Moldova this amount constitutes 1/4 to 1/3 of its annual budget.
As a consequence, Moldavia’s banking sector collapsed, liquidity dried up and the country plunged into a catastrophic crisis. Economy took a nose dive as a result of that, plus, Russian sanctions.
The government tried to cover up the disappearance of the money, but the scandal grew. Secret criminal connections between the highest government officials and biggest oligarchs, such as Plokhotnyuk, were revealed, causing uproar. One of the people who blew the whistle was the mayor of Beltsi and head of Nasha Partia, Renato Usatiy. I talk about him in the above-linked article, and we’ll continue talking about this rising star of the Moldavian politics, and sort of Che Guevara cum 007, in the upcoming ESR: BLACK SEA GAMBIT. This report is worth reading for many reasons, not the least of them being the international revelations of clandestine dealings and secrets worthy of a thriller! Don’t miss!
By October 2015 mass protests in Kishinev began and they haven’t stopped since. The remarkable thing about these protests is that pro-Romania and pro-Russian forces, both the ultra right and left, are united in their protest against this corrupt, oligarchic pro-EU government.
The leadership in protests was taken by the Party of Socialists with Igor Dodon, who won last elections, but was blocked from forming the government (read all about it in Analysis and Predictions: Battleground Moldova – November 30, 2014 Elections) and Nasha Partia with Renato Usatiy. These leftist parties head the coalition for Moldavian sovereignty, against EU and Romania annexation and for closer ties with Russia. The movement for Customs Union and close ties with Russia is growing daily, as predicted in the linked article and video.
Protests continued through the cold winter despite authorities’ repeated attempts to arrest various leaders, despite sabotage and open propping up of the regime by Romania and USA. As a result of persistent protests, the resignation of Moldova’s PM was achieved. One of the Moldavian oligarchs responsible for the disappearance of $1 bln and former PM Vlad Filat was designated by the regime as scapegoat and sent to jail.
But protesters refused to calm down, continuing to demand resignation of president Timofti, the end of oligarchy and full investigation. The ultimate demand is the new parliamentary elections. Moldovan president refuses to resign and refuses to schedule new elections. In this he’s supported by Romania, which continues its slow, crawling annexation of Moldavia. He’s also supported by EU and USA.
Should new elections be scheduled now, by all estimates and polls, the pro-Russian and pro-Moldavia-sovereignty opposition coalition will win. This would put an end to almost 25 years of Romania dragging Moldavia into its fold, kicking and screaming. Then the country is bound to make a turn away from EU and towards Russia. This will also begin the process of de-oligarchization of the country.
Is it any surprise that the present government, financed by oligarchs, is holding on to power for dear life. This may be their last chance to remain in power. While at it, they are trying to push through the EU association agreement, before it’s too late. This is despite widespread protests and the majority being against it.
And here is our old ‘friend,’ again rearing her ugly head! A day prior Victoria Nuland popped up in Bucharest, Romania, where she met with Romanian and Moldavian presidents/ top brass and where she approved the new PM of Moldavia, whose name is Pavel Filip. This painfully reminds us of how Nuland was caught on tape approving and moving around, like pieces on a chess board, Ukraine PMs, presidents, heads of Rada, and such.
The news of Nuland approving Moldavian PM angered protesters further. The protest slogan became: “US approves the crooked Moldavian government, but Moldavian people don’t.” The protesters say that Filip is the front for the oligarchs that have been robbing the country blind. As economic situation in Moldova worsens, an average citizen feels the pinch. This again reminds me of a similar situation in Ukraine, as described in ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS.
Last night Kishinev (aka, Chisinau, Moldovan capital) government publicly lied to citizens that the approval procedure for the new PM would be delayed by a few days. This was done to mislead and lull protesters into complacency. As protesters looked the other way, under the cover of the night, Moldovan elites gathered in secret and hastily approved the new PM and government without any deliberations. The whole approval process lasted 6 minutes!
Today, after the news reached opposition, a renewed wave of mass protests began. Angry crowds attacked parliament building and for a brief time occupied the ground floor, but were talked by protest leaders into vacating it. The leaders maintain they should stick with peaceful protest, demanding new elections.
Video of protesters storming Moldova parliament:
Video of mass protests in Chisinau (Kishinev), Moldova (“Первый канал”. В Молдове по призыву “Нашей Партии”, ПСРМ и DA десятки тысяч людей вышли на улицы):
At least tens of thousands are on streets, despite low temps – minus 12 C. Note: in this video people chant in Russian: ‘vibori’ – elections and ‘svoboda’ – freedom, and in Modavian: ‘viktorie’ – victory. In Moldova people often speak in a mix of Russian and Moldavian, easily transitioning back and forth between the two. This way of speaking and thinking is very natural for locals as they try to make sure everyone understands them.
Meanwhile, the government has expelled Russian language and culture from schools, government and from MSM, which feels very unnatural to people. As a result, Moldavians exist in a warped reality. At school they are told that Russia is the enemy and invader. But at home people most often watch Russian channels and listen to Russian news.
About 1 million Moldavians work in Russia since their own economy is shut, sending money back home. Meanwhile, Russian language, history and relations with Russia are being suppressed, just like in neighboring Ukraine. Russian speakers prefer to leave Moldova and move to Russia or Pridnestrovie permanently, and not only Russian speakers. Moldavians often make the same choice. Watch my LadaRayLive 2 video linked above for all the details!
Angry crowds also surrounded ex-president of Moldova, Gimpu, who was instrumental in trying to drag the country into EU and towards Romania’s annexation. As he was exiting the parliament, the crowd beat him up.
Video of ex-prez Gimpu being attacked:
Incidentally, Russian media reports that the accredited Russian journalists, arriving to cover the protests, are being denied entry into the country and deported on the spot. Moldavian authorities tell them they have been ‘blacklisted.’ Russian journalists are scratching their heads as to why. I know for a fact that Ukraine junta regime closely cooperates and shares their info on who should be blacklisted with Kishinev regime. I’ll have some very revealing intel in that regard in Black Sea Gambit!
I am following the events in Moldavia very closely. My original prediction (see more in the Battleground Moldova link above) was that an uneasy and delicate equilibrium would last until 2016 or 2017, when both pro-EU and anti-EU forces will be close to equal. In the same piece I said that thereafter the country would begin shifting more and more towards Russia.
My prediction remains unchanged, but the scandal with the missing $1 bln may have accelerated the timeline. I am all for positive change, but I still believe that it will take Moldavia until at least some time in 2017 to unravel the country’s many problems. Some sort of compromise needs to be reached between opposing views that would be workable for the majority. Only then a decent new balance may be achieved. But it will be hard for a while. Unfortunately, like with Ukraine, Moldova’s economy will be ruined before the population finally sees the light. Due to the fact that Moldavians are largely peaceful people, unlike western Ukraine’s ukro-nazis, I hope bloodshed may be avoided. Read my above article for more predictions.
The country will have to change lots of things, including constitution, history books (Moldavian history has been re-written; in it Russia is the aggressor and instead of real Moldavian, the falsified ‘Romanian history’ is being taught) and alphabet (traditional Cyrillics was replaced with Latin and Moldavian language is now called ‘Romanian’), among many others. Election laws, federalization/autonomy laws, and many others will also have to change. This will take some time.
One thing remains clear: Moldavia is turning away from the failing Romania annexation/EU-association model. Moldavia can and should live in peace and cooperation with both Europe and Russia, as well as all other neighbors. But it is now forced artificially into a situation when it has to break all relations with Russia – its primary trade partner, cultural, language, currency and jobs donor. Moldavians are forced to accept becoming a poor backdoor of Romania and EU, whether they want it or not.
And this won’t happen. The tide is changing – be ready!
The explosion and the tectonic shift in the pre-Balkans: Moldavia, Pridnestrovie, Gagauzia, along with Romania, will be one of the topics of my upcoming Earth Shift Report: BLACK SEA GAMBIT. In it I’ll also cover the strategically all-important Odessa and northern Black Sea, as well as Caucasus and the changes brewing in the Balkans. Important changes in Poland will also be in the report. These are all areas that are boiling over with unseen by most of the world, but very significant change, which eventually will tip the scale of power in Eurasia. These are the areas usually overlooked, whether intentionally or not, by global MSM. Reliable info from these parts is normally hard to come by.
Just a small sampler of lies, followed by the real truth, about Romania, Moldavia and Russia. The whole picture, as usual, will be revealed in the upcoming Earth Shift Report!
Romanian trolls had polluted the entire internet with claims of the ‘great Romania.’ One such claim: they insist that Moldavia belongs to them. They even have the audacity to say that Odessa and Odessa Oblast (Bessarabia) belong to them as well. I’ll talk about Odessa, as well as the entire Russia/Moldova/Romania spread, in the upcoming BLACK SEA GAMBIT.
But just a few quickies to wet your appetite! In fact, Romania didn’t exist before 19th century. There were a few divergent, very feudal, very backwards, and warring between each other territories: mainly Transylvania (yes, Vlad the Impaler’s domain) and Walachia. Dobruja (definitely a Slavic, non-Romanian word) now belongs to Romania as well, but it really should be a part of Bulgaria. Romania also claims Bukovina in Western Ukraine (also definitely a Slavic word and populated almost exclusively by Slavs). I could go on, but I think the picture is clear.
All the above Eastern European/Balkans territories as far as Hungary were under Ottoman Turks for centuries and didn’t exist as normally functioning states. At least there was a Moldavian dukedom with capital in Kishinev as early as 1690s, even if it wasn’t fully independent. One thing I can tell you for sure, Moldavia was certainly in better shape and fully independent of the wrecks that were Transylvania, Walachia, etc.
By contrast, Rumania (Romania) was only formed in 1878.
Don’t even get me started on the etymology of the word Ru-mania or Ro-mania. Same goes for the Romanian language.
Below is the map I used in ESR7: TURKISH CONUNDRUM, to illustrate the decline of the Ottoman Empire. It shows by year when various areas of Eastern Europe were liberated from Ottomans, between 1699 and 1923 (click for bigger map):
But that’s not all!
It was Russia that liberated all of pre-Balkans and Balkans, including what is today Romania, from the Ottomans. Further, if it wasn’t for Russia, there would be no Romania! Russia insisted on creating Romania at the time, over the objections of the British Empire and Austria-Hungary. Russia wanted to create a state that would unite the pre-Balkans Orthodox people and the kind of state that would keep under control the piracy, smuggling and lawlessness predominant in those parts, so the neighboring people could exist in peace, including Russia’s own Slavic population across the border – in South Russia (aka, Odessa), Novorossia and Malorossia. In retrospect, this is a rare case when, perhaps, Russia should have listened to the Brits.
Conclusion: Romania is one of those countries who repay for any help and any good with the blackest ingratitude. What do you expect from the country that joined Hitler when he was winning, lured by the promise of Odessa as the big prize, but promptly betrayed him and switched to the opposite side when he began losing? Not only Russians, but all Europeans, would be wise to remember this!
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Stay tuned for both ESR8: BLACK SEA GAMBIT and ESR9: CRIMEAN AGENDA – read descriptions here!
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Due to an avalanche of noteworthy events happening in those parts as we speak, I am putting the completion of the reports on hold – just for a short while. I don’t want to release the reports prematurely; my intent is to capture as many important news and developments as possible. I want to be flexible as to the sequence and time of release for the final content’s maximum benefit. I may decide to release Black Sea Gambit first, followed by Crimean Agenda – whichever will make more sense at the time of release. The preliminary release time for the first of these two reports: by the end of January. In February (or, depending on how things develop, in March) the second one will be out.
Related to ESR8 and ESR9, and as part of this new trilogy of reports, also expect ESR2 reloaded: UKRAINE: TRUTH, LIES & FUTURE. I’ll try to time it close to the second anniversary of the 2014 Kiev ukro-nazi coup on February 22.
Usually my ESRs weave a tale that reads like a series, from report to report. It’s best to read them sequentially. But they can also be read by related categories. Once covered in an ESR, I won’t return to these topics again. My goal is to move to the new topics. EARTH SHIFT is a huge, all-encompassing global event and there are still so many new topics to write about!
After this first series of 9 reports is complete, I will move on to the long-awaited THE PUTIN ENIGMA. Also, in 2016 I want to concentrate on predictions for Russia, USA and China, as well as on completing the full written version of my Earth Shift Theory.
Go to all EARTH SHIFT REPORTS!
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Analysis and Predictions: Battleground Moldova – November 30, 2014 Elections
Dear readers, as you know, I have started a new and very promising PROJECT EARTH SHIFT and a new series of videos on Lada Ray Channel on YouTube. I just published two first videos and articles: 1. Universal Scale of Consciousness (life-diminishing calibrations) and 2. Universal Scale of Consciousness (life-affirming/ life-creating calibrations). Please make sure you watch my videos and read my articles as they will help you tremendously in understanding how the world in which we live works!
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Now, to the trending topic: Battleground Moldova – November 30, 2014 Elections
Latest updates from Moldova and Pridnestrovie will be posted here as they come up. Eventually, I may create a separate EARTH SHIFT REPORT about Moldova and Pridnestrovie on LadaRay.info (Remember this site! All future EARTH SHIFT REPORTS will appear there, and all present ones will be transferred to it eventually!). My original article, Battleground Moldova, together with analysis and predictions, appears below updates!
12/8/14 update
Link: Igor Dodon, leader of Socialists – majority election winner – says: the first motion by Socialists in the new parliament will be to annul the harmful EU association agreement. Also, Socialists, Communists and CU Block are disputing election results in court due to the fact that 1/3 of Moldavian voters residing as guest workers in Russia were denied their constitutional right to vote. Dodon and others predicts social unrest in the country unless re-voting happens.
In the above video at 4:00 local village people talk about how their children who work in Russia send them money. $1.5 bln sent home by Moldavians in Russia allow many in local villages to survive. “For us, Russia is like air.” “We don’t want NATO here. Let them have it in the US. We want to live in Moldova, our country, not in the US.”
At 4:38 – footage of the April, 2009 Kiev-style maidan in capital Kishinev, Moldova, in which then government of Vladimir Voronin (Moldavian version of Yanukovich) was overturned and pro-EU forces came to power. Later, the investigation revealed that violence and pogroms you are seeing on video footage above were executed by 200 militants that arrived from Romania. These 200 thugs turned out to be officers of Romanian special forces. Another 100 thugs arrived to Kishinev from Vinnitsa, central Ukraine, by personal order of then PM Yulia Tymoshenko (Ukraine Orange revolution leader together with CIA asset Viktor Yushenko).
In today’s Ukraine, the agrarian Vinnitsa region in central Ukraine, boasts huge numbers of angry, under-educated and unemployed young men due to the county’s catastrophically ruined economy. Vinnitsa is one of the biggest viper’s nests and sources of violent ukro-nazis for the battalions that ship to Donbass in order to kill innocent civilians. During the bloody burning of people alive on Odessa’s Kulikovo Polie on May 2, 2014, 2,000 ukro-nazi thugs from Vinnitsa descended on the peaceful city of Odessa. They threatened local citizens and usurped the city. At midnight they conducted Hitler-style midnight torch marches, while screaming nazi slogans. Moldova 2009, just like Ukraine 2014, are both typical color revolutions, BOTH masterminded by CIA/US/EU and executed by especially trained international terrorists ready to kill and torture.
Link: Shelin (CU Party leader) talks about falsifications, carousel voting, inability of Moldavians in Russia to vote, 6000 written citizen protests that were thrown out by Kishinev government, etc. Customs Union block disputes election results saying citizens have been duped. Customs Union Block failed to pass the 9% barrier (this is the first time my prediction didn’t come true, due to the denial of voting rights to 1/3 of the voters – read below. Election results are being disputed in court and may not stand. My prediction about CU Block getting into parliament may still materialize if elections are annulled.)
On the other hand, pro-Customs Union Socialists received majority. However, not enough to form a government. Socialists were planning on forming a coalition with the Patria party of Renato Usaty, however, Patria party was banned from elections — illegal move by ruling pro-EU coalition consisting of 3 neo-liberal parties, designed to block Socialists from the possibility of forming a government.
And their scheme succeeded as said 3 pro-EU parties, each of which trailed individually, together received just a few percentage points more than pro-CU forces. They will again form a government, leaving the majority party of Socialists in opposition together with Communists (just like before).
Overall, as I say below in predictions, the situation between pro-EU and pro-CU forces is near equal, creating that uneasy equilibrium I talk about, which will persist. Read more in predictions below for a full picture.
12/1/14 update
#moldovaelections First election results in! Pro-Russia and pro-Customs Union #Moldova socialists with leader #Dodon are in the lead. Communists, who used to be the No. 1 party in Moldova (read more about that below) are second. Three pro-EU neo-liberal parties that form present coalition government are trailing behind!
11/30/14 update
Blatant disregard for citizens’ rights, and next to Ukraine, the most anti-democratic elections in recent history!
Fresh info from Moscow: Moldova opened only one polling station for entire Moscow, where most of the 750,000 Moldavian guest workers in Russia reside. Video link – look what is happening at that polling station! 6 thousand people standing in line in the cold; Moscow authorities had to blockade and divert traffic on Kuznetsky Most – one of the central Moscow streets. 1000 policemen had to be brought in to maintain order – but people behaved very orderly, no scandals or disorderly behavior. Everyone in line is angry at Moldovan government for preventing them from voting. Only 5 polling stations were opened for the entire Russia. Meanwhile, in the EU, where less than 300,000 Moldavian workers reside, 125 polling stations were opened.
According to this, earlier update from Moscow, 15,000 people gathered during the day by the Moldavian embassy on Kuznetsky Most in Moscow, trying to vote. The gathering turned into a real protest with people chanting ‘Rossiya’ (Russia) and demanding the right to vote. According to report, Moldova’s government allocated only 3,000 ballots to this (main) voting station!!! Video link.
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Trending: #moldovaelections
Great and timely question by one of my readers about Moldova:
Moldova is the poorest and one of the smallest countries of Europe. Moldova is also a new geopolitical battleground. The November 30, 2014 Moldovan parliamentary elections promise to be the beginning of a shift. The pro-EU coalition government is doing everything to remain in power, dragging Moldova kicking and screaming into the EU, and into the absorption by Romania. The means used to hang on to power at all cost are openly anti-democratic and illegal. Meanwhile, according to various polls, the majority of Moldavians are pro-Customs Union with Russia.
To many Moldavians this is the issue of livelihood and even life and death, in addition to any cultural preferences, traditions, and the Russian language many speak at home. In this regard, Moldavia is very much like Ukraine. It is literally a suicide for Moldova to cozy up to the EU when almost all of its trade is with Russia and other countries of the Customs Union and when 750,000 of its citizens are guest workers in Russia. These guest workers, who may be deported back to Moldova should it make further overtures towards the EU, add a huge chunk to Moldova’s GDP by sending their earnings home to support their families.
The most prosperous and industrialized part of then Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic, Pridnestrovie (or Transnistria), has seceded in 1992 because the people wanted to keep speaking Russian. Another area of Moldova, the Gagauzia autonomy, recently had a referendum in which over 95% of the population also promised to secede and join Customs Union independently if Moldova keeps moving towards EU and away from Russia. The Russian-speaking north may also secede should the pro-EU momentum not be reversed.
Knowing they are on shaky ground, current pro-EU government uses openly anti-democratic methods to stifle the voice of the people. The party Patria (Motherland) of Renato Usaty has just been banned from participating in the November 30 elections. The new coalition Moldova’s Choice – Customs Union isn’t allowed on TV and kept away from TV debates. In the info vacuum many citizens may not know what voting choices they have.
The most egregious anti-democratic action of the Moldova’s government is the denial of the right to vote to the vast majority of Moldavians living and working in Russia. There are 750,000 Moldavians in Moscow and other cities. The government in Kishinev only agreed to open 5 polling stations with capacity of 4,000 voters each. This happened despite protests, polls and insistence by citizens and the Customs Union block, who demanded 200 polling station to satisfy the need. Obviously the authorities know they will definitely lose if all Moldovans working in Russia, who remain mass supporters of the shaky Moldavian economy and huge contributors to its GDP, are allowed to vote.
According to Renato Usaty, leader of the banned Patria party, Moldova government is sending only 15,000 voting ballots to Russia, which means 735,000 voters are denied the right to vote. In the EU Moldova is opening 95 voting stations (with 300-350,000 Moldavians living there) vs. only 5 voting stations in Russia where 750,000 Moldavians reside. Further, according to Usaty, polls show that 3 pro-EU parties presently forming government coalition only get 35% of support: video link. This effectively means that the ruling coalition will not be able to hang on to power unless the democratic vote is manipulated.
Predictions:
Moldova’s tide is turning. People of Moldova don’t want the violent Ukraine/ Donbass war scenario, but they also start seing that the path towards the EU is a suicide. Only the oligarchs and the ruling political class will benefit – the country at large will lose.
As a result of these elections the new force, which is in favor of the Customs Union with Russia, will enter the parliament to serve as a counterweight to pro-EU coalition. I predict this new political force, including Socialists and those who side with them, such as Customs Union party of Topolnitsky and Gagauz Party of the Regions with Formuzal, will have a surprisingly good showing and will gain between 15% and 20% of votes. For most, it will be especially surprising considering the info blockade and blocking of the voters abroad.
Communist Party, which is communist in name only, is the largest and oldest party in Moldova. Many vote for it specifically because they mistakenly think it’s pro-Russian. Same confusion happened with Yanukovich and Party of the Regions in Ukraine, until they showed their true colors.
Communists, through their head Vladimir Voronin, have recently re-affirmed on public TV their pro-EU position. As I discussed in my earlier article and video (see links below), it appears Voronin has been threatened/ blackmailed by the West to toe the line. It appears the CIA presented Voronin with an undeniable proof of his son’s guilt in crimes committed in the US. Voronin Jr. resides in the USA. His daddy was told to support the EU integration of Moldova if he doesn’t want his son in jail.
It also appears that Voronin’s substantial personal wealth allegedly stored in the EU and/or US-dependent offshores, was also threatened unless the Communist party expresses a pro-EU position. As I said, these are communists in name only.
Voronin used to be the president of Moldova until mid-2000, when he was overturned in a very similar to Ukraine, albeit less violent, color revolution. He was replaced with the present pro-EU, pro-Romania (which in Moldavian terms means they are anti-Moldavian sovereignty) coalition of Western-educated neo-liberals. To this day, about 40% of voters still vote for communists. Each of the three pro-EU parties in power has between 10 and 20 percent of votes, but together they are able to have a slight majority, thus putting the direct majority communists in opposition.
Communists still hold a lot of sway and can influence the vote. From this it is clear how important it was for the West to threaten and compromise Voronin. Voronin proved to be as weak and flimsy a leader as Yanukovich. He put his personal interests above the interests of his country. The result – as expected.
As an afterthought, Voronin hopes to return one day as president of the country. It is very possible that by siding with pro-EU forces he is also positioning himself as a lesser evil. If pro-Russian forces can’t get the majority in the next several years, people may opt to vote for a lesser evil, Voronin – at least this is his thinking. In fact, Voronin isn’t a lesser evil. In order to return to presidency he is ready to sell out his country.
Still, once in the parliament, the Customs Union Block together with other forces, such as Dodon and his Socialists, and certain Communists who’ll vote pro-Customs Union, will be able to serve as a good counterweight to the pro-EU coalition in power. The biggest obstacle the above-described pro-Customs Union forces have is that they are unable to agree on a coalition due to rivalry and mutual disagreements. Seemingly, socialists, communists and the Customs Union Block would make a natural alliance. But as it stands now, they blame each other for mistakes and inconsistencies, sometimes rightly. Taking advantage of these rivalries, pro-EU parties are able to push their agenda through almost without a hitch. Truly, united we stand, divided we fall. Food for thought for the pro-Customs Union forces of Moldova!
Incidentally, banning Patria with Renato Usaty from running seems to be directed against Dodon and pro-Customs Union socialists, who were planning on forming a parliamentary coalition together with Usaty.
All the above notwithstanding, there is a possibility of a loose coalition between anti-EU forces once election results become clear. After the elections it will be extremely important for the Customs Union Block to continue expanding their momentum and influence – this, in fact, is paramount for the success of the Pro-EAU movement in later elections.
My advice: It would have been much better if Voronin stepped down as the leader of communists, since he is a compromised figure, thus stifling the development of his party and diluting voter trust. However, his lust for power won’t allow him to do the right thing, and no one in his party is likely to challenge his authority.
Prediction: for the next couple of years, the compromised Voronin and communists will serve as a dead weight and a brake on the promising development of the pro-Customs Union/ pro-EAU forces in Moldova. Unless and until there is an internal revolution (literally) within the Communist party (which is unlikely so far), the best strategy for other pro-EAU forces is to take away as many votes from the communists as possible. Those who traditionally vote communist (and that’s about 40% of voters in the country!) need to be convinced that the future is with the Customs Union Block and with Socialists instead. These forces should also leave their differences behind and unite.
Incidentally, the analysis and conclusions presented in this article is something you won’t hear in Moldova, nor from Western MSM, nor from Russian analysts. This article constitutes my original analysis and predictions based on my own info and observations.
The above dynamics will establish an uneasy equilibrium in the country for a period. This equilibrium will last until more people start leaning and voting anti-EU. At that point the struggle between opposing forces will intensify and the game will change, likely becoming more violent. However, considering Moldavians are terrified of the violent Ukrainian scenario next door, there is a good probability the overt violence may be prevented. So far it’s been peaceful, at least physically. The political and social fights will continue being intense, dirty and gloves off.
Moldova will be in an undecided state for a couple of years, until the scale is tipped irreversibly towards Eurasian Union. Incidentally, these two neighbors – Moldova and Ukraine – will look at each other and compare each other’s notes in regards to their decision to join the Customs Union, or rather Eurasian Union. The decision to join EAU will happen for both anywhere between 2016 and 2018, as I said in PREDICTIONS. For Moldova it will be around 2017 or 2018.
Joining EAU is unavoidable. But it will only happen when USA is weakened sufficiently so it cannot dictate any more.
Incidentally, joining EAU is the only way for the breakaway People’s Republic of Pridnestrovie (Transnistria) and Moldova to again become friends.
Some borders (including with Romania) may be revised as a result of all these processes. This will start happening towards the end of this decade and into the next. However, this may not be that big of an issue. It is likely that Romania, along with some other Eastern/Central European countries, in the next decade may become a member of Eurasian Union as well – at least an associate member.
Read/watch my related articles and videos:
Moldova Explosion Coming 2: Coalition “Moldova’s Choice-Customs Union”
FREE Earth Shift Report 2: Ukraine, Russia and Falsified History (there is some about Moldova here as well)
ORIGINAL – very comprehensive and interesting post and video! LadaRayLive: Explosion Coming! Moldova/Transnistria – Eurasian Union vs EU
Futurist Trendcast 
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