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Urgent ESR14: Prez Karimov’s Death and Uzbekistan Crossroads
This surprise ESR14 is based on the breaking news of Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov’s sudden death and its consequences!
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URGENT EARTH SHIFT REPORT 14
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PREZ KARIMOV’S DEATH & UZBEKISTAN CROSSROADS
(SILK ROAD-ISLAMISM-MAIDAN-EURASIAN UNION)
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Written report with Lada Ray’s SPECTACULAR UZBEKISTAN PICTURE GUIDE!
Report Stats: Lada Ray’s hot intel, secrets & subterfuge, analytics and predictions about late Uzbek president Islam Karimov; about Putin, Russia and Eurasian Union; Uzbekistan (its economy, people, history, maps, problems, bazaars, monuments and Silk Road); plus US and Islamist hand in Central Asia! For desert: Lada Ray’s SPECTACULAR UZBEKISTAN PICTURE GUIDE!
On September 2, 2016 the government of Uzbekistan officially announced that Islam Karimov, continuous Uzbek president of 25 years, who had been in this post since 1991, suddenly passed on after a massive stroke. There were rumors that he, in fact, had died earlier but the real date was concealed.
The significance of what happened is three-fold.
1. Uzbekistan is a pivotal crossroads of Eurasia. In medieval times, its famous cities of Samarkand and Bukhara served as key connector points on the ancient Silk Road to Russia and Europe.
Today, this former Soviet Republic has a different significance. Still the richest and most influential state in Central Asia (except Kazakhstan), it serves as a key connector between republics which are in line for ascension into Eurasian Union. Therefore, it is a lucrative strategic location to stage a color revolution in order to prevent the re-unification of Eurasia.
2. It is a tough test for the legacy left by Karimov and for the sturdiness of structures he was able to build after this Soviet republic literally fell in his lap during the breakup of the USSR.
Will his power and state security structures be able to deal with the aftermath of his death? There will definitely be attempts to create Islamic State (IS) and/or nationalistic Maidan in Uzbekistan. Some called Karimov ‘a dictator.’ Others consider him a Western sell-out. Whatever one may think of him, it is undeniable that he managed to preserve the republic he received 25 years ago intact, and didn’t allow it to descend into the chaos of Muslim fundamentalism.
Uzbekistan has been primed for the Kiev-style Maidan since 1991, where many failed color revolution attempts took place. This activity in the past 2 years has intensified dramatically, coinciding with Ukraine 2014 coup and subsequent moves by Russia and Putin to expand Eurasian Union. I’d warned of the upcoming attempts at color revolutions in Central Asia and Caucasus in ESR9: ATTACK ON KAZAKHSTAN – WHO DESTABILIZES EURASIAN UNION.
Like its neighbors, Uzbekistan began its progress towards EAEU, while distancing itself from the former ally USA. And that’s when Karimov suddenly passed on.
3. Was his death natural, or was it a foul play? At 78, Islam Karimov was the oldest of the post-Soviet space leaders. What has happened exposes a massive weak link in the power structures of Russia and post-Soviet / Eurasian states.
This glaring weakness has been known for years; however, to this date a fool-proof solution hasn’t been found yet. I am talking about the fact that unlike in the West (say USA), where the country’s leader is mostly, or entirely, a figurehead, with real puppet masters hiding in the safety of the behind-the-scenes obscurity, there is no shadow government in Russia and former republics. The real, and usually very strong leader is on top, for all to see. Consequently, such leader becomes a lightning rod for attacks.
FULL LIST OF TOPICS
Intro: Uzbek President Islam Karimov’s death, its significance and consequences
Did Uzbekistan exist as an independent state at any time in history?
Why Lenin formed 15 Soviet Republics
Uzbekistan’s color revolutions (2005 Andijan massacre)
1991-2016 Relations with US and Russia
Issues of security and stability during Karimov’s reign
Why post-Soviet space leaders suddenly wanted to improve relations with Russia
From Silk Road to New Eurasia: Uzbekistan as crucial geopolitical crossroads
Structure of Uzbekistan’s economy: Uzbek cotton
Central Asian food and colorful bazaars (with pics)
Who is really Islam Karimov? Psychological portrait of a leader (plus of his republic and of the post-Soviet space)
1991 Soviet referendum and Karimov’s role
Karimov and Putin
Karimov’s rift with the US and sanctions
Did Karimov die of natural causes?
Islam Karimov funeral and Russian PM Dmitry Medvedev signals
Lada Ray Predictions
Uncertainty and fears of color revolution and Islamist takeover – what to expect?
How Karimov’s death may effect the situation in Uzbekistan and Central Asia
Who will be next Uzbek president?
How Karimov’s death may effect the situation with Eurasian Union and relations with Russia?
Is the New Silk Road Project viable? Will Uzbek events affect it?
The problem with nationalism and Islamism
How Russians were expelled from Uzbekistan in 1990s
Why Russian language lost its 2nd state language status and what to expect in the future
Why today Uzbeks want to be brothers with Russia again
Is the reversal back towards USSR possible? Where to now?
Why is it so hard to build a nationalistic state in many former Soviet republics
Tamerlane: the problem with the absence of national heroes (parallels with Ukraine and Bandera)
Karimov’s daughter Gulnara, her business and presidential ambitions
Fifth Column and Probability of Uzbek Maidan
Probability of Islamic State
How Russia left Central Asia and how China moved in
The games of Central Asian elites – can they be trusted?
PREDICTIONS: My views on the issue of Chinese ‘takeover’ of Central Asia, Russia’s role, Silk Road & Eurasian Union
For desert: Lada Ray’s SPECTACULAR UZBEKISTAN PICTURE GUIDE!
COPYRIGHT September 5, 2016 LADA RAY, AUTHOR. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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If you recall, I have reserved ESR10 and ESR11 for some very special reports!
As promised, EARTH SHIFT REPORT 10: THE CRIMEA FACTOR is coming soon!
Pro-US and Anti-Russian Japan: Eyewitness Overview and Predictions (Striking parallels between Japan and Poland)
Lada says
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS RE. JAPAN
Politically, I do not foresee any improvement between Russia and Japan at this time. Economically, there is a little bit of positive, mutually interested development.
The propaganda has very deeply penetrated Japanese society. The future of bilateral relations is murky and uncertain – that’s why Patricia is seeing a confusing picture: it is undecided and confusing; it’s one step forward, two steps sideways. Distrust by average Japanese towards Russia will continue, heated up by the US-supported MSM and political propaganda.
I have to say, average Russians also don’t feel so hot towards Japan. These are very old suspicions. Pity – there is so much both Russia and Japan could accomplish together and learn from each other! Attempts are being made by Russia, but all this goes nowhere. Russia and Japan still don’t have a signed peace treaty after WWII. Imagine that!
The way Japanese MSM and politicians present it, Russia is the biggest enemy, while it was actually their ‘official protector’ the US that dropped A-bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki and still has bases on Japanese territory. In favor of creating the image of the arch-villain out of Russia they even forget their other eternal arch-enemy No. 1.5 – China. It would be hilarious if it wasn’t so sad!
I am not advocating Japan becoming an enemy of the US – just the opposite. For Japan it’s crucial to make up with all neighbors, including Chinese, Vietnamese and Russians, while maintaining good relations with everyone else. The thing is, historically speaking Japan is considered the biggest bully and aggressor in Asia, where just about every country distrusts and has a grudge against them. This is why Japan doesn’t feel like an Eastern nation, preferring to side with the West. No one really accepts them in the East, and their own policies and uncompromising, arrogant attitudes towards neighbors only reinforce that alienation.
From this perspective, Japan is a perfect vibrational match to the USA. No wonder they are such good friends, despite all the latest frictions. Some of the friction is for show, while certain agreement on issues still exists. The rest is Japanese politicians playing off the populist nationalistic sentiment of their countrymen. Either way, Japanese politicians are hardly doing any favors for the long-term development of their country.
US will continue keeping Japan under tight control for at least another 5-7 years, or more (depends on economic interests and how soon Europe swings to Russian side). Russian – Japanese business will be developing a little, as it has, because it’s mutually beneficial. But nationalism will persist and authorities will continue playing anti-Russian and anti-Chinese cards to keep their power.
PM Abe is really inconsequential. It doesn’t matter who will come after him as they will act like twins. This is the time for ANY PM who is nationalistic; yells about returning the Kuril Islands (um… excuse me, ‘northern territories’) – which, by the way, will never happen; escalates military spending, while behind the scenes takes orders from bosses across the ocean, etc.
Kuril Islands and Sakhalin were Russian territories before the 20th century, and they became part of Japan after Russia lost Russo-Japanese war in 1904. As a result of WWII, Russia got the Kuril Islands and Sakhalin back as part of Japanese reparations after Japan lost on the side of Hitler.
It is important to understand one crucial thing about Japanese politicians. It is imperative for them to scream about Kuril Islands and Russia as aggressor in order to divert attention from the true problems inside the country. And these are: 1. the de-facto occupation by the US, complete with US naval bases; 2. Fukushima consequences; 3. economic situation and debt problem; 4. unresolved historic issues, including Hiroshima; 5. social dissatisfaction of a very closed-up society.
Of course Japanese MSM, like MSM almost everywhere in the world, is under the US thumb.
Former Japanese PM Hatoyama is known for his recent surprise visit to Crimea, which he accomplished despite the heat such visit drew in Japan. He is a surprisingly decent and brave guy for a Japanese politician, but he has no chance right now. Maybe in a few years. Being thought of as associated with Russia in any way (even though there is really no association) only hurts his chances of being heard. Pity, but this is the reality.
Still, what Hatoyama has done wasn’t only brave, but also was necessary to shutter the so-called “unified Western front” in relation to Crimea. Actually, his very courageous feat caused a European shift. Since then, a French parliamentary delegation has visited Crimea, and I believe a German Bundestag delegation is next.
Striking parallels between Japan and Poland you would never imagine existed!
In some ways, Japan as far as its political composition and views go, reminds me of Poland. But I think even in Poland there are more people who see the world situation with clearer eyes. This is because more Poles speak Russian and still remember the old days when Russia/USSR did absolutely everything to extend the hand of friendship to Poland, forgetting the old grudges.
You all know my view on this: perhaps the USSR and Russia have overdone the forgiveness thing. Not only the USSR liberated Poland in 1945 at the cost of hundreds of thousands of lives, but Stalin also made sure Poland received a huge chunk of German territory after WWII, as part of German reparations. USSR also saw to it that Polish economy did well, investing resources and money USSR should have kept for its own after-the-war reconstruction and development.
Meanwhile before the war, Poland under its virtual dictator Pilsudski had been a pretty vicious aggressor. Using Hitler’s aggression as a distraction, Poland tried to bite off pieces of Czechoslovakia, Austria, and any country they could get their hands on. This was Polish attitude historically, including attempts to invade Russia to replace Russian tsars with usurpers. Not to mention that since 18-19th century Poland was consistently engaged in molding Malorussia, aka, Malorossia (known today as Ukraine) into anti-Russia.
The USSR, preferring to sweep the truth under the rug, caused Poland to feel they didn’t have to pay the price for past misdeeds, encouraging in turn more arrogance, playing victim, and bolder aggression, which we are observing today.
As we know, Japan did pay a dear price in the form of territories, lives and humiliation, for the WWII and pre-war aggression, as did Germany. In that, Japan and Poland are very different.
Poland and Japan are also very different in terms of culture.
Finally, Japan is a much more economically developed country, with infinitely larger economy, which once was the engine of global growth, and substantially higher standard of living than Poland. (But both countries are very similar in a sense of embracing the Western lifestyle and capitalist economic principles based on US ‘advice’ – Japan after WWII and Poland after the breakup of the USSR – and paying for their capitalist development by raking in insurmountable level of debt, which is now coming back to haunt them.)
Yet, both Poland and Japan, being so different in just about every sense, are:
- Thoroughly and willingly under the US thumb;
- Have a lot of historic distrust relative to ALL neighbors;
- This causes them to rely on alliance with the US against closest neighbors, US being the only country their selective memory forgives for any wrongdoing;
- Both countries have substantial territorial disputes with more than one neighbor;
- MSM/politicians in both are engaged in pretty vicious anti-Russian propaganda, while being supported by the US, and in fact, serving as US Trojan Horses in their respective regions;
- Additional very strong countries in their vicinity, which they regard with jealousy and extreme distrust: Germany for Poland and China for Japan;
- Both countries secretly dream about restoring their failed empires.
I can tell you with absolute confidence – this is a way to nowhere.
Economy will eventually cause both countries to reconsider and back off. But before that happens, both Japan and Poland – so easily manipulated due to their ulterior motives, such as nationalism and imperial ambitions – will cause a lot of trouble for Russia, Eurasia and for themselves.
My QUANTUM CALIBRATIONS will give you an additional layer of clarity!
Japan as a whole country presently calibrates at: 150 – anger; Chi: 180 – pride
Tokyo as a whole city calibrates at: 180 – pride; Chi 189 – pride.
Fukushima situation in reality calibrates at: 110 – fear; Chi 85 – grief — in other words, real disaster; although it’s better than a couple of years ago.
Real state of Japanese economy calibrates at: 95 – grief. See, THIS is the truth – this is what they are really trying to hide by yelling about Russia as enemy No. 1! Japanese economy isn’t doing so hot.
Real state of Japanese-Russian relations: 150 – anger
State of China-Japan relations: 85 – grief
Real state of Japanese-US relations: 198 – yearning/striving. Isn’t that interesting! What are they striving and yearning for? To be accepted by the US as equals? Or they are desperately trying to keep the front, while the deep-seated cracks start appearing?
You can find out all about my Quantum Calibrations, including case studies, videos, my complete Calibration scale, descriptions and readings on LadaRay.info.
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Futurist Trendcast 
The handicap of knowing only one language–I feel for the Japanese, but they don’t know what they are missing. They all learn “English,” but it is taught in such a way as to both traumatize them and leave them incapable of communicating with foreigners. With such an inward focus, they are helpless against government propaganda. Information trickles in slowly, such that, for example, none of the knowledge from the last 20 years about treating type 2 diabetes with a low-carb approach has reached them, and a large portion of the population is ripe for the harvest by the medical mafia.
Learning a new language is like getting the keys to a new, snazzy, most amazing car. And when you can talk to people in their own language, they really open up. Lada, I could volunteer to help translate small articles or portions of articles in Russian into English, perhaps once a week.
I also have a question, since my crystal ball (Sears & Roebuck) gives me all kinds of future scenarios, how do you see the relationship between Japan and Russia evolving? Japan has attempted to straddle East and West (obviously difficult if they can’t even speak another language!), and they fancy themselves “western.” From my perspective, though, they are thoroughly eastern. The pro-Russian element in Japan has been presented as “right wing,” but that turns out to have been propaganda. Former prime minister Hatoyama is by no means right wing. The right wing is very unpopular with the middle class majority over its role in WWII, so calling pro-Russian sentiment “right wing” was a way of discrediting it. The right wing, that I associate with as a priestess, is unanimous in hating Russia. But again, they are an unpopular minority, becoming more and more unpopular now as Abe tries to resurrect an active military at the behest of the ever more desperate America. I’ll be surprised if the silent majority here does not oust Abe rather soon. Still, the average Japanese sees Russia as the number one enemy and Putin as a schemer, because that is what is being presented to them in their own language, which they must rely on for their news. They reject any attempt on my part to enlighten them as “Russian propaganda,” which they hear is rampant.
This is a brief on-the-ground report from the rural sidelines, but I can send you interesting bits as they arrive here.