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New Silk Road: From Europe to China by Russian high speed railroad in 2 days
Thanks to FT contributor Masaki/AKAIDA @akaider for the link!
From TASS: Cargo shipments from Europe to China by Russian high speed railroad to take two days
Business & Economy December 20, 20:13
Russian Railways is working on the concept of a cargo train, which will be capable to carry from 300 to 600 tonnes of cargos at a speed up to 300 km per hour.
Russian Railways
Cargo transit shipments from Europe to China by Russian high-speed railway will take two days instead of 60 days by sea, President of Russian Railways Oleg Belozerov said speaking at a meeting of the United Russia faction.
“We plan to reach China via Kazakhstan and to carry special high profit cargos to Europe via Russia, because a ship sails now 60 days, which is a long time. It sails round India and only than arrives to Europe. With a high speed (railway) transport we will be able to deliver goods in two days, and to earn extra money for our country,” he said.
Russian Railways’ main task for 2017 is the launch of the project and the start of the construction of the Moscow-Kazan high speed railway.
The Moscow-Kazan High Speed Railway’s total length will stand at around 770 kilometers. Trains may go at a speed of 350-400 kilometers per hour, and the time en route between the two cities could be 3-3.5 hours against the current 14 hours. According to Belozerov the railroad may be commissioned before 2022-2023.
The total cost of the Moscow-Kazan high-speed railway line is estimated at 1.068 trillion rubles ($16.8 bln). The Moscow-Kazan section may later be extended to China, connecting the two countries across Kazakhstan. According to the Russian Railways, the length of Moscow-Beijing railroad will be 7769 km, travel time – 32.8 hours (four times faster compared to current 130.4 hours). The average annual passenger traffic is estimated at 195 mln people.
China intends to provide 400 bln rubles ($6.5 bln) for the project of Moscow-Kazan high speed railway as a credit for 20 years and more than 100 bln rubles ($1.6 bln) as a contribution to the charter capital of the special project company.
The German Initiative Consortium (includes Siemens, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Bahn and other companies) is ready to allocate 2.7 bln euros to finance the construction of the high-speed railway line and to attract up to 800 mln euros for the project.
Also from TASS: Russian Railways offers cooperation on high speed railways to Japanese companies
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Eastern Shift! Vladivostok and Other Russian Far East Ports to Become International Free Trade Hubs
First ever East Russia International Economic Forum (Vostochny Economichesky Forum), aka, Eastern Economic Forum, is taking place in Vladivostok, Russia. Vladivostok is Russia’s port and international hub in the Far East, located very close to Japan.
During Soviet days Vladivostok was a closed city, where foreigners were not allowed. After the breakup of the USSR it became a hub for trade with Japan, sometimes illegal.
However, as Russia continues its historic pivot to the East (as I predicted since the beginning of 2014) more and more interest in free and legal country-to-country trade is developing. What a turn around from the Soviet days!
During the East Russia Economic Forum Putin announced that Vladivostok would become first Free Trade Port in the Far East, a development eagerly awaited by Japanese, Korean and Chinese business and investors. Putin also announced that following Vladivostok, other Russian Far Eastern ports will become Free Trade zones. He didn’t specify which ones, but I believe we are talking primarily Khabarovsk and Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, but also probably Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Komsomolsk-na-Amure and a few others.
Why is this announcement being made now:
This proposal had been on the table for the Japanese investors for some years. Russians promoted it as a way to make peace with old Japanese claims for Kuril Islands and Sakhalin (the latter has been withdrawn, as far as I know). However, Japanese, due to the internal politics and American pressure were unwilling to move the issue along. The elegant solution of the free trade zones, while Russia keeps the political, administrative and military control over its strategically important islands is a very wise solution of the old dispute.
The free trade ports issue stalled until China and Russia were literally pushed towards a very close alliance after the blatant intervention of the US and West in Ukraine and after the anti-Russian sanctions. The multi-faceted Russia-China alliance is making new leaps forward, the latest being Putin’s trip to Beijing for the Chinese parade (I’ll have a separate post about that).
As the trade between Russia and China is making these giant leaps, Korean and Japanese investors have to scramble to catch on while they can. The alternative is losing the lucrative Russian market, which is now opening up. But this rare opportunity will only last until the market is taken.
Japanese interest in the East Russia Forum is overwhelming, same as Chinese, S. Korean, Singaporean, etc. The organizers said that they planned for 1000 participants, while they got over 5000 participation requests. The interest from Europeans is just as huge.
The systematic Russian pivot to the East is continuing. It is helped by the short-sighted and silly policies of the West (recall my many predictions!).
Japan, usually identified as part of the West, is seeing the writing on the wall and is trying to shift towards the East as well. Japanese businessmen declared during the forum their desire to keep politics and business separate.
Read related:
Pro-US and Anti-Russian Japan: Eyewitness Overview and Predictions
Video: Vladimir Putin proposes to create free trade zones in Vladivostok and other Far East ports.
Владимир Путин предложил распространить режим свободного порта на гавани Дальнего Востока
Video: Putin guarantees complete support for investors in the Far East:
Putin: Rosneft will invest 1.3 trln rubles in the Far East projects:
Putin: The Far East is welcoming to anyone who is ready to cooperate:
Full video speech by Vladimir Putin at First Eastern Economic Forum (Rus)
Synchronicity in action:
As I was getting ready to publish this post, I received three tweets from my Japanese friend Akaida. Here they are:
@LadaTweets Japanese companies consider participation in Silk Road Economic Belt http://tass.ru/en/economy/818948 … #russia #china #eurasia #BRICS
@LadaTweets Even Japan going #BRICS? Sanctions could lead to Russia-Japan currency swaps https://www.rt.com/business/314193-japan-russia-swap-sanctions … hmm! 🙂
@LadaTweets Japan dumps the DOLLAR! Russia-Japan join Teams https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ULU24pSHvNo …
These are all positive signs, at least on the economic front. I spoke in my article Pro-US and Anti-Russian Japan: Eyewitness Overview and Predictions about Japanese business interests diverging from Japanese politics. Dependence on the US and habitual political confrontationism with the neighbors will continue putting the brake on Japan’s integration into the new model of development. I think US will keep its influence over Japan for another 5 or more years.
But cracks are showing, and they are showing on the business side. Japan, still being 2nd largest Asian economy and 3rd-4th largest global economy, plus possessing advanced technologies, is a very valuable business partner. Meanwhile, the ongoing weakening and collapse of the West is causing Japan to reconsider its tight economic alliance with the West. Japanese business has no choice but diversify in order to survive.
Japanese business is eager to set politics aside and set up alliances with the growing world and Asian powers, where the future development is, but old Japanese political allegiances are holding this process back.
This is my summary analysis of the most important features of the slow, ongoing shift of Japan’s position on global arena.
- It has to be remembered that while Japan has no global political power, serving basically the US Trojan Horse in the region, it is an economic powerhouse, which at one point was the engine of the global economy. Also, Japan’s regional political and military ambitions are on the rise. All this together means that when Japan switches allegiances, it will be a huge blow to the US empire.
- We should expect Japanese switch in conjunction with the EU switch, of which I briefly wrote in the above-linked article. This will be a slow and tedious process, to be sure.
- Because Japan has built walls of confrontation and animosity against so many countries in Asia, it is difficult for them to reintegrate. Many in Asia distrust Japan utterly, based on history and present policies.
- My prediction is that Japan will be able to re-integrate into Asia economically through the unifying factor of Russia. Generally, Russia will serve as the bridge and peacemaker for re-creating understanding and cooperation not only in Asia, but also in all of Eurasia, including Europe. The Middle East will take longer, but that will also happen eventually (not for a while, the wounds are too deep). Eventually, Russia’s role will be to re-establish the principles of cooperation and friendship on our entire planet.
- Fro the time being, we should have no illusions about Japan politically and militarily. The confrontational approach will persist for as long as Japan’s best buddy is USA. The new Japanese military doctrine for the first time since WWII allows Japanese troops to be deployed oversees. This, understandably, makes everyone in Asia jittery, as people still remember the destructiveness of the Japanese militarism in the past.
- There is a clear bifurcation (and rift?) forming between Japanese economic interests and its political direction. This will have to be resolved eventually. I give it 5-7 years. As USA empire weakens, Japan will gradually shift away from the West and closer to the East and Russia. Eventually, economic interests will prevail over politics. Japanese business must now scramble to catch up to China. Incidentally this applies to S. Korea and Singapore as well. If they don’t, in the shifting global economic landscape Japanese companies will start losing out to competitors, weakening the country’s economy.
- On some level, Japanese government understands this gloomy scenario. This is why they quietly allow their business to disregard politics. Make no mistake, there is clearly a secret understanding between Japanese big business and the ruling elites (some might say they are one and the same). This is why publicly there is support of the US-Japan alliance, and behind the scenes, economic integration with Russia and the BRICS.
- Incidentally, the same is happening with S. Korea, Singapore and other countries. In the next post I will have a telling story about the pressure applied by the US on S. Korea to prevent it escaping US clutches. Same kind of situation is applicable to Europe as well. Everyone sees the writing on the wall. But for the time being, US is still strong enough keep its ‘allies’ in its clutches.
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Who is Stealing IMF Loans to Ukraine?
Latest news re oligarch and criminal Kolomoysky, who is now in the US. http://news.rin.ru/eng/news///126850/
Apparently, Kolomoysky appropriated 1.8 billion dollars from the IMF transfer, which was to hold the Ukrainian economy afloat, and that money were traced to his account in Cyprus. The original article in German: http://deutsche-wirtschafts-nachrichten.de/2015/08/28/ukrainischer-oligarch-bereichert-sich-an-iwf-krediten/
Lada says:
Incidentally, the last I’ve heard Kolomoysky is back at his estate in Switzerland.
Ukraine oligarch, country’s raider No. 1 and former governor of Dnepropetrovsk, Kolomoysky holds 3 citizenships: Ukrainian, Israeli and Cyprus. When asked how he could hold 3 citizenships if it was illegal, he replied: “By law, two citizenships are illegal in Ukraine, but not three.”
It’s not surprising Kolomoysky would be implicated in the disappearance of the IMF loans. But there is much more to the story.
Kolomoysky controls the largest, and at this point almost the only, Ukrainian bank left standing: Privat Bank. This bank has the widest network of branches throughout Ukraine, and it is likely the bank through which the IMF loan clearing has been conducted.
However, this is just one of many ways to steal in Ukraine. The rest of the IMF loans and other foreign aid should be easily traced to Poroshenko, Yatsenyuk, Yarosh, Saakashvili, Nalivaichenko, Avakov and other Ukraine criminals’ offshore accounts.
Of all these, the ousted president of Georgia Saakashvili, who is wanted in his own country on charges of embezzlement and exceeding authority, has found himself a cozy spot as a new governor of Odessa. He also received Ukrainian citizenship, bypassing all imaginable laws.
By some accounts, 90% of the so-called aid from the West is stolen upon entry by Ukraine politicians, oligarchs, nazi militants and the army. For example, when Humvees and armored vehicles from US or UK arrive into Odessa port as part of the Western supplies sent to Ukraine army, one can see them displayed right at the dock with price tags. Anyone can kick the tires, so to speak, and make a purchase on the spot.
Similarly, Ukraine military has been selling tanks and military equipment to Donetsk and Lugansk Republics, pocketing the cash. Last year I wrote how Ukraine military sold to Syrian Assad government heavy weaponry sent to them by the US. Here is the post: Breaking! Kiev Junta Sells US Weapons to Syria.
In other words, Ukraine resembles a feast in the midst of a plague, with everyone scrambling to steal whatever they can, before this Titanic called Ukraine sinks to the bottom.
As to the IMF loan embezzlement, the reason only Kolomoysky is being called out is because he continues being at odds with Poroshenko. Moreover, Saakashvili has been sent by the US and Poroshenko to Odessa in part to break up the old corruption and smuggling rings that were controlled by Kolomoysky. Kolomoysky and his people are obviously fighting this tooth and claw. Now, Kolomoysky also finds himself at odds with the direct agent of the US Saakashvili.
The fact that this news implicates Kolomoysky alone is a sign that the US and EU are behind it. It is a targeted info dump, as we discussed in previous articles. Kolomoysky is being reminded who is the boss. But unlike some other info dumps, it’s not a hoax. It is very likely the real truth.
The fact that only rebellious and hard to keep in line Kolomoysky is implicated, points at the US as the source. The others are still useful to their puppet master. They will be allowed to keep their stolen booty for as long as they behave and keep to the White House party line.
After Poroshenko ousted the former Dnepropetrovsk governor, the wild card called Kolomoysky became a danger to the stability of the Kiev regime. His threats were that he would tear Dnepropetrovsk, Odessa, Kherson, Zaporozhie and other areas of the south-east he controlled, from the rest of Ukraine. He promised to create his own independent state – a sort of alternative Novorossia.
He also threatened to sick on Kiev the ukro-nazi battalions he financed at the time. Obviously, Poroshenko and his Washington bosses couldn’t allow to lose control over the most prized parts of Ukraine’s territory after all the work they had done to create anti-Russia on Russian borders.
While the fight between oligarchic and racketeering/militant factions in Ukraine is ongoing, all this puppet show is being closely managed from across the ocean. Rebellious Kolomoysky was called on the carpet of the US embassy in Kiev and lo and behold, after just one little chat with the US ambassador Geoffrey R. Pyatt, he suddenly called off all his threats, apologized to Poroshenko on national television and announced his resignation as governor.
After that, he and his family suddenly left for New York. The interesting twist is that until that moment, Kolomoysky for years was repeatedly denied American visa. Suddenly, it materialized out of thin air.
The reason the US visa was so suddenly and quickly given to Kolomoysky was the need to buy his cooperation and silence. I describe in detail how it all happened, including the deal and conversation between Pyatt and Kolomoysky in ESR 3: OLIGARCH WARS (See the link below).
Why isn’t Kolomoysky being threatened or removed directly? Kolomoysky holds some serious cards, one of them being the fact that he can crash the entire Ukraine’s financial system through Privat Bank. Kolomoysky is far from finished and it will be interesting to observe his future moves. His at-odds activity will invariably weaken the Kiev junta regime and the US influence in Ukraine. Therefore, it is ultimately positive. This is the fight between spiders in a jar. They will continue stinging and weakening each other, thus preparing the grounds for change in 2016-18, as predicted. See PREDICTIONS for more.
In addition to the above, I am noting another interesting thing.
The fact such info is appearing in the German press sends a positive signal. This targeted info drop is also likely meant for Putin. I am reading it as a signal to Russia from the EU regarding Ukraine. It is also a likely signal to the US.
This info drop, as usual, is multi-prong. Its appearance means that Germany, and by extension all of the EU, is preparing its public opinion for the complete withdrawal of their support for the Kiev junta. It will take a bit longer for that to happen as EU is experiencing tremendous pressure from the US. This pressure is both direct and through US Trojan Horses, the main one being Poland.
Poland itself is beginning to get scared of the monster they so diligently helped create in Ukraine. Suddenly, Poland started recalling who killed thousands of their citizens in Western Ukraine during WWII; that the majority of those who executed and sent Poles, Russians, Ukrainians and Jews to concentration camps in western Ukraine were in fact western Ukraine nazis, not Germans. Now Poles are concerned the descendants of these ukro-nazis will again create havoc on Polish territory. But I wouldn’t be too hopeful that Polish government suddenly regains its reason. Poland is still dreaming of rebuilding its failed medieval empire called Rech Pospolita. They still are a faithful servant of the US, intent on creating a ‘sanitary barrier’ from the Baltic to the Black Sea between Russia and the rest of Europe. Considering that the most important New Silk Road land branch goes through Russia, this means also cutting off China from Europe, therefore, keeping Eurasia divided. Not a wise position to take, which in the future will bring Poland a lot of trouble and lost profit.
Read related:
Learn to Tell a Hoax from Targeted Info Dump (Navigating MSM and Alternative Media)
Forbes Loses Credibility After Publishing Hoax About Fake Russian Losses in Ukraine
The complete picture is here!
Kolomoysky vs. Poroshenko; how Ukraine oligarchs operate, with testimonials out of the horse’s mouth and real videos of Kolomoysky and his right hand Korban; comparisons between Russian and Ukraine oligarchs and Putin’s role; where ukro-nazis fit into all this; who is really pulling the strings.
Read this and more in
Earth Shift Reports 3: OLIGARCH WARS
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#Kolomoysky #Poroshenko #Yatsenyuk #Saakashvili #ukraineoligarchs #ukronazi #kievjunta #Putin #Russia #newsilkroad
Color Revolutions: Who and Why Takes Advantage of Border Disputes and Historic Resentments?
Ask Lada 4. Color Revolutions: Who and why takes advantage of border disputes and historic resentments?
All posts in this series will appear under CATEGORY: Ask Lada
In response to my latest article Greferendum Domino Effect? Revolution Coming? The Future of Europe and Eurasia?
Lada, Thanks for the info on the Finnish-Soviet war. I really knew/know nothing about it. Just part of the radicalization and lead-up to WWII, obviously instigated by the usual suspects. But what historical grievances might have been involved were outside my ken. Maybe it is just nationalism. No matter how nice and decent the Russian Empire or USSR were, some groups wanted their own country. And now Finland is just a colony.
The reason I brought up the borders of the USSR was not to be anti-Russian. I know that Russia subsidized the other regions. But intentionally mixing cultures and leaving things up to Moscow had all kinds of side effects, which we are seeing today. It seems to me that the borders needed to be straightened out before letting the USSR go away. Besides the Ukrainian mess, many other regions could have been straightened out under Soviet rule and they weren’t. A big Armenian area is next door in Georgia. Georgia had Abkhazia and half of Ossetia. Ethnic Russians were stranded all over the place and are now discriminated against. This is a big deal. I read a comment from someone in the Crimea who said he basically had a bad view of Russia for the last 23 years. They betrayed all the Russians before, and didn’t care about them at all for 23 years. Now they might lose their base, and they talk about the Russian World and a Russian Spring. He thought that this was a big cause of all the Nazis inside the Ukraine who come from the historically Russian part of the Ukraine. Anger and a feeling of betrayal. Obviously, I have no idea, never having even visited that part of the world.
So we need to look at the recent past to not make the same mistakes. Many intelligent and well-meaning people downplay or even try to ignore or suppress nationalism, but it is a real motivation for many people. For better or for worse. In my view, it isn’t so simple as “a bad guy from far away came here and gave them cookies to kill their cousins”. With the collapse of Communism and the spirit of internationalism in it, people needed something to believe in. The corrupt oligarchs could offer nothing, and the fallback position was an ugly kind of nationalism, not just in the Ukraine, but also in countries such as Georgia. We all need positive visions and models. This is true of so many things, whether in our personal lives or with big things, such as the EU.
Ask Lada 4
Opening thoughts
This comment brings up many important issues and questions. I tried to respond as fully as possible, leaving some of the things implied. You can glean deeper into the issues by revisiting ESR 3: OLIGARCH WARS.
Some of these issues, such as mixing different nationalities in one large umbrella culture, are a norm for large unions. Look at the EU, or USA, for that matter. We were mixed in one country, therefore, we will resent that country forever, does sound awfully immature and silly, don’t you think? Humans are a very social species, they are supposed to interact with each other closely – and yes, mix.
That said, the USSR was absolutely meticulous in providing the platform for unheard-of self-expression to small cultures, which would have been suppressed, and probably disappear entirely, as part of any other country. USSR went as far as creating alphabets and writing systems where they didn’t exist, subsidising art and literature in national languages and having mandatory national language study in republics, whether students wanted it or not. For example, USSR created alphabet and writing systems for many small tribes of Siberia… and for Mongolia.
Yes, there was no writing system in Mongolia before 1920s. The land of the great conqueror Genghis Khan, who created a huge empire, subduing Russia, China and Persia – and no writing system? No monuments of any conquests built, just scattered illiterate nomadic tribes? No books commemorating and glorifying such conquests? No legends? Hard to believe, right? This is why there is a serious doubt such empire ever existed and the Mongol-Tatar yoke ever happened in Russia. History, as I said many times previously, was re-written.
As much as I am an internationalist, even I feel the USSR might have gone a little too far… Celebrating diversity and multi-culti was the USSR’s ‘cult’ of sorts. You thought US or EU invented political correctness? Absolutely not! It was the USSR all the way – the West just stole the idea. As a linguist and international relations analyst (a couple of many hats I wear) I can attest to this first hand.
When USSR fell apart, all this support of local cultures backfired on Russia, due to the violent and disgruntled super-nationalistic minorities within such cultures, and due to the well-known international forces that had one goal in mind: destruction of the Russian World to free up space for the global takeover.
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That said, we do have a global resurgence of nationalism, religious extremism, militarism and fascism. This is the sign of this PERIOD 8, as I call it. Therefore, there is nothing extraordinary in the fact that tensions flare up in the former Soviet republics. It’s part of the period we live in.
Meanwhile, it has to be understood that these tensions will always emerge where the weakest links reside. By seeing where tensions flare up, we know where the weakest links are. They are historically known, these weak links. Caucasus, Balkans, Middle East – no surprises. Ukraine and Moldova should have been expected too.
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Paul, I don’t think I ever said it was some bad people who gave out cookies on maidan that caused the Ukraine coup. The ‘bad, cookie-wielding people from across the big pond’ simply used the situation skillfully to their advantage. Said another way: there is an old CIA/MI6 playbook: How to create color revolutions. It is the opinion of some very good analysts that this playbook hasn’t changed (it was only perfected) since the beginning of the 20th century. Why change what works wonders?
That’s how all these color revolutions we have observed, were created. Be it France to unseat De Gaulle, or Hungary in 1956, or Georgia, or Egypt, or Serbia, or Ukraine… It’s the same exact playbook. That’s why it was so easy to predict from the start that there would be cookies on Kiev maidan (or lavash, as in Armenia) and mysterious snipers, and innocent victims promoted all over Western MSM.
What this playbook targets is this: it capitalizes on the deep-seated resentments and anger of the volatile and immature part of the population. Extreme nationalism is part of the resentment and dissatisfaction due to the collapsing standard of living. This is why there was no nationalism in the USSR – the majority lived reasonably free (yes, free – in a sense of personal freedom to be yourself and live according to your tradition), was reasonably satisfied and well-occupied. There will be more about that in my upcoming video: Brezhnev’s Passport: Who Really Ruled the USSR.
The movements to change things and the local power grabs began only after Gorbachev destroyed the structure that worked. Gorby’s intention may have been to reform and rebuild on the new level, however, in his naiveté he had no idea who and what he was dealing with internationally. You can’t try to negotiate in good faith, you can’t try to build cooperative relations with those countries that have one exclusive goal: to destroy your country. This is why most Russians consider Gorbachev a traitor and criminal. However, I think this is too simplified of a view. He genuinely thought he was building a new, cooperative world with the West – the world without confrontation. But along the way, he and his wife fell for the trappings of Western materialism, aka, very subtle bribes.
The urge to build a world without confrontation is one of the quantum predetermined, genetically embedded characteristics of the Russian people. It stems from the fact that Russia serves as The Great Planetary Balancer (see PREDICTIONS). This is why Gorby behaved that way, this is why Stalin didn’t believe Hitler would attack the USSR, this is why Putin is doing everything to prevent the big war.
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Nationalistic element is always present in the background of any society. But color revolutions are only possible when there is a lot of dissatisfaction with individual’s life due to high unemployment, lack of certain freedoms, enclosed society with lack of prospects and poverty. Dissatisfaction with one’s lot in life and lowly anger and jealousy towards someone who is doing better is then channeled in a specific way.
The more ignorant and brainwashed the population – the easier it is to do so.
Students, and generally young people, are always those who serve as main cannon fodder for carrying out color revolutions.
There is a number of reasons for that: young people often feel their parents didn’t do a good job and want change at any cost, however poorly thought out; students congregate in colleges and can be brainwashed easier together, after which they can be manipulated in a certain way; certain arrogance, lack of wisdom and ignorance of youth that makes them think they know everything; preponderance of fire (physically aggressive) energy that doesn’t find satisfactory outlet in productive activities – and gets directed towards destruction; higher unemployment and much extra time among youths; low wages and need for money, making it especially easy to buy young people.
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‘The big Armenian area is next to Georgia’. Nope, the Armenian-populated area called Nagorny Karabakh is between Armenia and Azerbaijan. There is an ongoing conflict between the two, both considering Nagorny Karabakh their own for different reasons. Meanwhile, Karabakh is in the position of Donbass and Pridnestrovie. The conflict continues flaring up periodically, kept in check by the UN-mandated Russian peacekeepers stationed there. Nagorny Karabakh leans towards Armenia.
The real resolution of this issue will only be possible when both Armenia and Azerbaijan become parts of the new Eurasian Union. This is why various forces in Azerbaijan and out will do everything to prevent this from happening.
My prediction: it will eventually happen anyway.
South Ossetia and Abkhazia were former autonomies within the Georgian Soviet Socialist Republic, attached to Georgia by Stalin. They seceded de-facto as soon as the USSR fell apart. You have probably read my extensive article about the 2008 Georgia/S. Ossetia war, where I talk about all that.
Presently, both S. Ossetia and Abkhazia are slowly integrating into the Russian Federation, first unofficially. Populations of both unrecognized republics wanted to do it right away, feeling rightly that only Russia can provide them with protection, but are forced to live in a limbo for a while, due to resistance from Georgia and the West.
It’s not the first time small cultures want Russia to protect them. Armenia was once in this situation; Georgia once begged for Russian protection against Persia and Osmanic Empire, and acceptance into the Russian Empire – and look how diligently now they try to force their neighbors in S. Ossetia and Abkhazia into oppression; Ukraine once begged to be accepted into the Russian Empire, same with Finland, as discussed in previous article. How interesting that when the shoe is on another foot, those who were oppressed and begged for help in the past, now happily become the oppressors and bullies!
A very similar to S. Ossetia/Abkhazia situation exists with Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia (Moldova), but it’s complicated by the fact that the latter have no borders with Russia. Of course, the worst of conflict exists between Donbass and Ukraine.
Prediction: All these territories and former republics will need to learn to balance their own nationalistic interests with living and functioning cooperatively within a large union. As a matter of fact, we are in the period when everyone on the planet is learning to balance personal needs with those of the global society. Humans are now learning to balance their national needs and preferences with the needs and demands of the entire continent, union, or federation to which they belong.
A balance of rights and obligations is key. In all this Russia is playing the crucial role as the The Great Planetary Balancer.
Going deeper: balancing personal with the needs of all.
Does Russia owe or is Russia owed?
Paul, my personal view on all these ‘betrayal resentments’ is probably known to you. I will reiterate.
We all have personal history of some sort. You probably heard me say that I had relatives on both sides of the Russian Revolution and Civil War – Reds and Whites – some of whom lost fortunes fighting against the Bolsheviks, and others did well in the USSR. I write about such set up in GOLD TRAIN (Accidental Spy Russia Adventure), partly based on my family history.
In 1991, I would be one of those who got stranded in Ukraine, just like my sister and her family, if I didn’t know to emigrate before it happened. My sister had a hard time in Nikolaev, a typical Russian city tragically stuck in Ukraine’s backyard. Nikolaev, same as Odessa, Donbass and Crimea, was and continues being neglected and humiliated by Ukraine authorities and ‘real Ukrainians,’ aka, ukro-nazis.
There is so much more to my personal story, such as: how at least one member of my extended family was touched by Stalin’s repressions and how many members of my family were lost to the Great War.
Point is: we can make personal dramas out of everything and anything in life, brewing in our own misery and resentments, thinking someone OWES us the world, while we owe nothing back, and forgetting how much that country – Russia/USSR – gave us. One of the best educations; amazing culture and art, including books, movies, theater, sport, dance, songs; tons of freedom to develop and grow; completely safe, crime-free, natural environment; peaceful and nice, non-stressful atmosphere, where it was easy to breathe.
The rest is up to us: we have the inner power to make a life for ourselves we desire. And yes, sometimes it’s hard.
My sister and her family moved to Moscow the first chance they got in the ’90s. At first, they were considered illegal aliens, having only Ukrainian passports, while ethnically being Russian. Was it unfair and humiliating? You bet. But they had no resentments – they just kept their heads down and worked out all the bureaucracy issues, obtaining work permits, passports, establishing families in Moscow. My nieces can’t think of a better place to be. Same goes for many other people I knew in the USA, who first emigrated, but later returned to Russia, and who now live happily in Moscow or elsewhere in Russia. The list includes some very close relatives and friends.
To that I could add that those people I know from various countries who bought some nice vacation properties in Odessa, are now having a problem getting into Ukraine to visit their property, as transportation between Russia and Ukraine is shut. Moreover, real estate in Odessa fell precipitously after the 2014 ukro-nazi coup and the May 2 burning on Kulikovo Polie. They can’t sell their properties either.
I chose to live in the West at the time because of my career and family situation. As far as I am concerned, Russia has been doing soooo much for the world, without getting nearly enough in return. I personally feel I owe Russia everything, while Russia owes me nothing. This is why I write and speak up about the truth concerning Russia, asking for absolutely nothing in return from Russia. Someone has to explain all this to the people in the West.
I know you read my Earth Shift Report: OLIGARCH WARS, where I built an extensive case around psychological resentments and abandonment issues on the part of Ukrainians and other former republics after the collapse of the USSR. While this resentment exists, it’s incredibly childish and un-evolved. Humans are a very funny species. We can create resentments out of thin air and brew in such self-righteous resentments and anger for generations. Humans love blaming someone else for their problems, don’t they? It’s so much easier than taking responsibility for own actions.
This myopic tunnel vision, where some un-evolved souls see only their small point of view and are unable to expand their horizons, is one of the tragedies of mankind in general. This is how wars start and countries fall.
It’s easy enough to know if there is a legitimate concern and truth behind any such resentments and color revolutions, or is this an induced from abroad whim of a small, aggressive minority. Use my Quantum Calibrations of Consciousness System, as described in my videos. The scale is based in part on Dr. David Hawkins ‘Power vs Force’ Scale of Consciousness, but going much further. See videos here:
Here is an example of how this can be done. Just last week we saw how the attempted ‘electric maidan’ color revolution in Armenia failed because people understood what mess Ukrainians made out of their maidan, and refused to be someone’s guinea pigs.
As John Kennedy, US president many Americans tend to respect, said: “Think not what your country can do for you, but what you can do for your country.”
Another American whom I personally respect, called Mohammad Ali, once said that we have to pay the rent for living on our planet. We take a lot from our Mother Earth, and we owe her back. Same with Mother Russia.
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To answer your question: no, it was impossible to straighten out all conflicts and rectify borders on the post-Soviet space. It’s naive to think that centuries-old inter-tribal historic conflicts with unclear and fluid borders for generations, could just be assigned in a straight line on moment’s notice. This is how UK and other colonial powers did it in Africa and America. India and Pakistan were also divided this way, clashes between them ongoing till recently, as a parting gift from the disintegrating British Empire. Stalin, Lenin and Khrushchev did some of that experimentation too, resulting in big problems later. The Middle East has seen some crazy redrawing of borders, resulting now in terrible inter-cultural conflicts.
In Yeltsin’s defence, not only he had the volatile situation in Russia to deal with, but he also naively thought that the USSR would be re-build on different principles soon. Therefore, he didn’t worry about borders too much. It didn’t occur to him that local feudal/nationalistic/oligarchic interests would take over almost immediately, aided by foreign powers who craved the Russian World’s resources and destruction. Again, in his defence: he was born and lived his whole life in the USSR, where all these things were alien.
While USSR was strong and stable, any inter-tribal conflicts were kept very successfully in check by virtue of mutual trade and unifying Russian culture. If there were national security considerations, borders could be redrawn (right or wrong). This especially concerns Caucasus, Moldova and Ukraine. Once the USSR was gone, these old conflicts flared up again.
Border settlement and rectification would be absurd and couldn’t happen in principle on moment’s notice when the country was already disintegrating. It often takes centuries to settle border disputes, and they still keep brewing unless a lasting compromise can be found, such as a large umbrella union. Unions serve as containment factors for border disputes.
France and Germany settled some of their border disputes only after EU was formed. That’s actually why some glorify EU as a means of bringing lasting peace to the European continent for the first time in millennia. There is some truth to that; EU did that – but only before it succumbed to the dark agenda of the NWO and Transatlantists. Let’s recall that both world wars have started in Europe and it’s understandable that EU citizens want to avoid a repeat of the same at any cost.
Also look at Japan, China, Korea, Vietnam, India and Pakistan and their long-brewing border disputes.
Prediction: the ongoing border disputes between India, China, Pakistan, Vietnam, etc., will be put to rest as all these countries join SCO, Eurasian Union and the New Silk Road project. The BRICS already helped smooth out the long-brewing border dispute between India and China. Russia in all this, just like in the past, has been acting as that glue that helps keep peace and deflects conflicts. This is part of Russia’s global role as The Great Planetary Balancer.
Prediction: In addition to all the above, and most importantly, most former Soviet republics (including Ukraine and the Baltics) either never were successful independent states, or never were independent states within bloated borders they had as Soviet republics. In OLIGARCH WARS (and my various articles) I described how borders were given to republics based on political expediency at the time. Unfortunately, later, these republics refused to release territories they were assigned for the purposes of the USSR, now considering them their own.
Due to the fact that it was Yeltsin in power at the time, there was no one to address these complex issues. The existing legal system was torn out with its roots in the ’90s. The new legal structure, both in Russia and Eurasia is only now being re-built. There is still a lot to do. The mess created by the split wouldn’t have been possible to clean up quickly by the wisest person alive at the time.
It’s only possible now and it is being done – by Putin and his team. It will be a very slow and careful process so not to create a new mess. It has to be done right, based on principles of equity and taking into account interests of many newly emerged little countries, but without giving away any of the Russian interests and power.
The issue of borders among former Soviet republics will be settled by mid-2020. It will only be possible, yet again, as part of Eurasian Union and other Eurasian organizations. The alternative is perma-conflict. There is no other way.
By mid-2020, the world will look very different, some countries will be called differently, and borders will be different, too.
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Greferendum Domino Effect? Revolution Coming? The Future of Europe and Eurasia?
Ask Lada 3
All posts in this series will appear under CATEGORY: Ask Lada
In response to my latest article Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions,
Noeline says:
This morning after the referendum confirms your prediction Lada. I also felt that it would be a NO vote. Disappointed to see that Janos Varoufakis has resigned but perhaps this is a ploy to ameliorate the ire of the EU dictators and banksters and buoy up Tspris’s bargaining position. I am sure Janos will be working on behind the scenes! Thank you Brave Greeks! You have the EU Elites packing it and running everywhere to have meetings to see what they do next. What a joke..not even a game plan! They are so sure of themselves that they cannot see any other possibility but their agenda which is disintegrating before their very eyes and they are still hardline and remorseless. Such pride and arrogance comes before a huge fall…they have just tripped and are about to hit the ground face down.
Ask Lada 3
Greferendum Domino Effect? Revolution Coming? The Future of Europe and Eurasia?
Yes, unfortunately, the resignation of Varoufakis is political maneuvering. I like the guy a lot, he has gumption. But he is too ‘radical’ – read: clear-minded and mission-driven – for EU, which they perceive as lack of compromise. He scares them.
Essentially, EU negotiators demanded that he leaves, citing the impossibility of talking with him. Varoufakis is a very influential and charismatic presence in Greece, and Alexis Tsipras’ strongest ally. After his resignation the immediate EU speculation is that Tsipras won’t survive in power that much longer. I heard a German analyst today predicting that Tsipras government won’t survive for two weeks. Well, EU bureaucrats and banksters are itching to unseat the new Greek government. I wrote at length why that is in:
- Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions
- Putin’s Gambit: Germany To Replace Ukraine as Russian Gas Transiter
However, I don’t believe these people are that easy to unseat. It’s certainly a wishful thinking of some. Greferendum showed what people really think.
That said, Greece can’t avoid talking to the EU because they are running out of cash and banks are on the verge of collapse. Since so far Greece is fully integrated into the EU system, it can’t be helped. None of the measures EU proposes will work, but Greece will have no choice but to prolong the agony, until 1-2 years from now the tight rope will finally snap and Greece will have to leave the EU. As I said in the above-linked articles, Grexit will be linked to the completion of Turkish Stream and other cooperative agreements with Russia.
~~~~~
This is to answer a doubtful comment to the same post by another reader:
Could Grexit happen sooner than 2017? I actually said it would be ‘by 2017,’ which means it could happen in 2016, although doubtful. Sure, there could be accelerating events, which will make the situation fluctuate, but they are not likely to influence the final outcome – and that’s mildly put.
My prediction remains the same (as usual, I don’t deviate from my predictions and they as a rule always come true, including dates and numbers). Sure, I am still only human, but I think my track record speaks for itself.
Unfortunately, some prefer to argue with me about my predictions. It happened in 2012 and 2014. Every time, I simply suggest people wait till the event or outcome predicted takes place.
So far, I don’t recall ever being wrong and those who argue with me being right. The thing is: I don’t look at what MSM says or politicians do – I capture the prevailing quantum (cosmic) energy leading to the event and determine its likelihood on quantum plane, not on 3D plane. But this it a topic for another discussion, which we may have eventually.
Many readers understand what I am talking about when I tell them things like that. However, those few who don’t want to hear about cosmic energy and quantum stuff, preferring only things they can touch and see with their own eyes, I have a solution for you. Simply look at my tangible, for all to see, predictions track record. You can go to PREDICTIONS for that, although the list is incomplete (a more complete and organized version may appear one day, time allowing, on LadaRay.info). Then you can decide who and what you should listen to and believe.
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Back to Greece:
EU demands someone they can talk to – a compromise figure. The newly appointed finance minister is just that. He went to school in London, so he knows their mentality. He is also considered a quiet technocrat, as opposed to the flamboyant, politically outspoken charmer, Varoufakis, who rides his motorcycle around Athens and wears a t-shirt to EU meetings. That said, the new finance minister is also a long-time member of Syriza, so don’t expect him to deviate from the party line. He is just a compromise to satisfy EU elites, utterly scandalized by Varoufakis’ unorthodox behavior.
In previous articles/videos, which you can find in the above-referenced links, I explained that Greece will find itself under a long-term attack from US and EU due to its anti-EU revolt, its support for Russia and Turkish Stream. This is just the beginning, so hold on to your seatbelts! Greece has no choice but to maneuver its way between the Scylla and Charybdis of these difficult times, the same way as we all have no choice but to go through the developing Earth Shift.
It’s working out exactly as predicted in Greferendum, Greek Default and Grexit. Lada Ray Predictions and previous vids/articles. For now, Greece will have to compromise with EU and vice versa. This posturing will continue for a year or two, until Grexit and EU exodus by other countries… unless EU changes, which I don’t foresee as they are too tightly integrated into the US-EU political-financial-military matrix.
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An illustration of how this matrix works:
Last week, Finland denied visas to Russian Duma Speaker Sergey Naryshkin and a number of the Russian Duma deputies, basically the top elected politicians in the country. They were scheduled to attend a session of the OSCE in Helsinki. The reason given for the visa denial is that these people are under sanctions due to ‘Russia’s annexation of Crimea.’ The scandal is huge and growing, with many in Russia demanding return sanctions against Finland. Finland, which prides itself in its democracy – again, when it’s convenient – acted illegally. The thing is that Naryshkin and others cannot be banned from attending international forums in any country in their official capacity as Duma speaker and deputies. The ban only applies to their private trips. By banning entire Russian delegation, EU effectively shuts the mouth of those who have a dissenting opinion, so, god forbid, Europeans wouldn’t hear it.
But there is much more to the story. Finland was a part of the Russian Empire for centuries. Finns themselves seceded from Sweden, which they felt mistreated them. They asked for protection by and admission into the Russian Empire. It was accepted and became an autonomous province of the Russian Empire until 1917 revolution. Lenin gave legal independence to Finland as a thank you for giving him asylum when he was hiding from Russian authorities. Just imagine how de-facto independent of the Russian authorities the Finns were if they could hide Lenin on their territory while he was preparing a revolution to overthrow the tsar’s regime, and no one could touch him! There is a deeper story behind that, which I’ll tell some other time.
You decide how to classify Finland after all this, if – apparently, as a sign of gratitude – it first sided with Hitler, when many Finns became fascists and joined the Nazi party. Later, Finland became one of the US/EU forposts from whose territory the clandestine undermining of the USSR and Russia was conducted. Meanwhile, Finland pretended to be a good trading partner for Russia, capitalizing on the lucrative Russian market, while essentially serving as one of the mainstays of Russophobia in the West. Finland often served as an intermediary for other Western countries in Russian trade, due to its favorable geographic position. This lasted until Russia’s return sanctions last year hit Finnish imports to Russia.
Now, under US and EU pressure, Finland denies visas to Russian people’s representatives under the pretext of the Crimean vote for independence and further reunification with Russia. Just consider the double-faced hypocrisy of this step in light of Finland’s own history!
Why did I tell this story? To serve as an illustration of some points and predictions I will make below.
~~~~~
National referendum as the only truly democratic voice of the people:
It all started with Crimea, and before Crimea, with Pridnestrovie. The breakway Pridnestrovie (former part of the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic within the USSR) referendum of 2006 result: 98% voted for full independence from Moldova (Moldavia) and re-integration with Russia. Moldova has never been an independent state since it acquired ‘independence’ from the USSR. Instead, it promptly fell under the Romanian dictate.
Since the beginning, the most developed part of Moldova, Pridnestrovie said no, and seceded. It had more than one referendum, the two latest of which were in 2006 (98% for reunification with Russia) and 2014 snap referendum with the same result – but the paperwork from that referendum was taken away by Moldova officials from the First Deputy PM of Russia Rogozin while he was flying through the capital of Moldova Kishinev (Chisinau)! His plane was detained, too, and he had to take a commercial flight back to Moscow. Yes, it’s that out of control!
The Gagauzia autonomy within Moldova also had a referendum in February 2014, in which 97% voted against EU, for Customs Union and closer ties with Russia. See my video about Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia, explaining much more:
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Pridnestrovie vs Moldova: Eurasian Union vs EU (LadaRayLive 2)
by Lada Ray
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(More articles about Moldova, Pridnestrovie and Gagauzia available on this site – to find them, type keywords in ‘Search.’)
Because of the land-locked status of Pridnestrovie, which is now in a very difficult blockade from Ukraine and Moldova sides, with close participation by Romania, Russia was unable to honor the results of that referendum – for now! Soon, I am planning a piece about Pridnestrovie and Odessa, and the important for all of us processes that take place there.
In today’s world, a national referendum is the only fully legal and truly democratic voice of the people on important issues. Meanwhile, the West – US and EU – stubbornly and blindly ignore results of national referendums in places like Pridnestrovie, Crimea and Donbass, demonstrating their utter contempt for the same principles of law and democracy they had been touting as the only principles by which to live. Of course, this was their position when it was convenient for them. The moment the shoe is on another foot – out the window all these principles go.
Hypocrisy? Double standards? Are they simply stupid and don’t understand? Oh no, it’s so much worse! There are pathologically sociopathic liars and criminals in power in the EU and US, who feel their long-standing feeding grounds threatened by the awakening power of the people.
Despite crazy resistance of these dark forces, the referendum movement has no signs of abating. In fact it continues gaining momentum! Greferendum and potential Grexit is already sending shocks through the entire EU system.
~~~~~
Meanwhile in Austria: several days ago, Austrian citizens submitted a petition to exit the EU, with 260,000 signatures. This petition forced the EU exit debate in the Austrian parliament, sending new shockwaves through the already shaken system. Spain, Italy, Portugal and some other countries are watching what’s happening in Greece carefully. There may be attempts to exit by Spain, Italy, Portugal, France, Hungary, and possibly others, such as Cyprus ( – not yet). Leftist (Podemos), anti-EU government may come to power in Spain this autumn. A resurgence of popularity of leftist, anti-EU, pro-sovereignty forces is happening in Europe, including Germany itself (Die Linke), where leftist tradition has always been strong, but always suppressed by US/German/EU elites.
Incidentally, these leftist movements are traditionally pro-Russian and anti-American, which opens a completely new, deeper can of worms.
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Revolution vs. Evolution. Predictions for the future of Europe and Eurasia
There are only two ways of reforming something that doesn’t work any more. Route number 1: peacefully, through wisdom, course correction and mutual understanding. But for that, you need both sides cooperating. Route number 2: if one side is refusing the see the other side’s point of view – the next step is revolution.
The classic definition of a revolution coined by Vladimir Lenin is: “Revolution is when elites won’t and the masses can’t.” In other words, when elites won’t see the opposing point of view and won’t change, while the people can’t continue living like this.
And that’s the way EU is going. I know some of my readers feel sorry about my predictions that EU will have to split up, at least parts of the EU. They shouldn’t. The EU has become a rotten to the core, subservient to the darkest elements the Anglo-American and globalist bankster elites, destructive force.
If the Union of European states is to be reborn, it has to be a mutually respectful, cooperative union, unlike today’s system, based more on predatory profit, hatred and superiority complex. But even that won’t work long-term.
You all know my position on this, and this is my prediction:
In order to be viable, it has to be a Union of all of Eurasia, not Europe. Eurasia is one continent. (Very long ago, during Vedic times, all of it was called Assia – but that is a fascinating story for a different post, or rather a book!)
Enough warring with each other! It’s time for the people of Eurasia to make peace and cooperate. This is the plan of Russia and China, realised through the New Silk Road and Russian energy deals.
At first, it has to be a free trade zone of what is now some parts of the EU, Russia (with Eurasian Union), China, and probably India and a few other Asian countries. The Middle East (parts of it are a part of Eurasian continent) and other relevant areas will have to join later.
Sure, European states should have their own union of some sort, but not exclusively, and they certainly should not punish and bully their members, like they did with Hungary, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Italy, France and Greece, for joining projects outside their union.
Ironically, it is Germany that is now showing the way by joining projects outside of the EU successfully, such as Nord Stream. But Germany, in the usual divide and conquer manner, doesn’t want others to benefit from similar lucrative projects, actively blocking other countries. Germany’s hand was in part in Ukraine coup – to tear Ukraine from Russia; it’s now trying to prevent Greece’s Turkish Stream participation. Austria and Hungary, which signed up for both South Stream and Turkish Stream, are also unhappy with Germany’s selfish attitude towards Russian gas projects. This possessively imperial behavior generates a growing clash between haves and have-nots in the EU, and soon this clash between Germany and everyone else will be impossible to hide.
Any exclusive union between European states (basically only Western Europe and parts of Central Europe) alone will be stillborn. Why? Because what is today incorrectly considered ‘Europe’ is just a small part of the continent of Europe, and Europe as a continent in reality is a small part of Eurasia. Any limitations will create artificial barriers and stifle mutually beneficial development of all of Eurasia and the entire Planet Earth.
Therefore, there will always be conflict, with some wanting to look east and others west. Western/Central/Eastern Europe will always be torn between siding with US on one hand and with Russia on another.
EU has to abandon its arrogance towards anyone who isn’t as prosperous as they are at this particular point in human development. Just mere 5-10 centuries ago, this wasn’t the case at all. At that time, EU was a poor, warring hell hole, while the Golden Age was taking place in Russia, Middle East, India and China. Europeans have to remember that the reason they are this prosperous is because for the past several centuries they colonized and robbed blind the populations of Eastern Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America, and lately, the population of Russia and Ukraine.
Things always change in our 3D world. They will change again; in fact, the change – EARTH SHIFT – is happening now.
The present day refugee flood into the EU from Africa, Asia, but especially Middle East, is payback for previous misdeeds. Regardless of all the indignation of Europeans, it’s the universal law of karma at work. This law never fails. As the refrain for my novelette CATHARSIS (Legend of the Lemurians) goes, “Karma can be a beautiful maiden …or a bitch.”
Europeans, as well as Americans, need to humble down very significantly in order to achieve an evolutionary leap to the new era of cooperative and multi-polar world. If they, or their elites elected by the European and American people, refuse to do so, there will be revolution – and it will be devastating.
There is still time to make a more or less peaceful transition, but time is running out.
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Putin’s Gambit: Germany To Replace Ukraine as Russian Gas Transiter
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Watch/listen:
Putin’s Gambit:
Germany To Replace Ukraine as Russian Gas Transiter
(LadaRayLive 15 episode)
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On video’s image: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2015 (SPIEF 2015) in St. Petersburg, Russia, June 19, 2015
For those who prefer to read, below is the written version
(the video above contains additional relevant maps and pics)
A Latvian politician and member of Europarliament has told me that he recalls how several years ago any session of the EU-Russia Europarliament Commission would be packed because of the overwhelming interest in doing business with Russia. Everyone understood: that’s where the opportunity was. At the same time, sessions of the US-EU Commission would barely have a few people attending. Those days several years ago now seem to the EU like another lifetime. Events in Ukraine and anti-Russian sanctions changed perceptions and put a visible wedge between Russia and EU – a setback used by the US to continue pushing EU to accept the increase in its military presence, its LNG shale gas and its secret Transatlantic Trade Agreement.
I know what US apologists both sides of the Atlantic will say: it’s the EU people who demand our increased military presence, shale gas and Transatlantic Trade Agreement. I suppose the EU people also demand that NSA wiretap their presidents and business elites, along with every citizen. I suppose the EU people also demand to be robbed blind.
Seemingly, US can celebrate a victory. Seemingly, they have achieved their goals. However, per my 2014 predictions, this victory will be short-lived, followed by a huge reversal.
The top event of last week was the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, yet what happened there went almost unnoticed in the manipulated Western media, busy covering up the new French NSA spying scandal with a fresh dollop of Russia-bashing. According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, the moment the news that NSA spied on three French presidents broke up, French papers filled with anti-Russian propaganda, blaming Russia for not observing the Minsk peace agreements. Similar thing happened in Germany, where the public is still reeling from last year’s massive NSA spying scandal. Obviously, the news filled with bad Russia and bad Putin, their convenient boogeyman, are meant to distract from the real news.
It should now be clear beyond the shadow of a doubt who controls ALL of the world’s media, except some news outlets in Russia, China and a few other countries. The fact that French and German media immediately jumped to protect their real Transatlantic employer once the scandal against such employer broke out – speaks volumes. The prime directive of the Western MSM is to divert the sheeple’s attention and pull the wool over their eyes every time their puppeteer is in trouble.
What happened in St. Pete was sensational, and therefore, it should have been the stuff of front pages. Instead, it was shyly relegated to the back pages, or avoided altogether.
But at the same time as US and Brussels continued selling their naive populace the stale story of Russia’s isolation – and Russian aggression – a virtual fight over who would become a bigger and better partner for Russian gas transit was taking place in St. Petersburg.
See recent posts:
Putin addresses St. Petersburg Economic Forum 2015: ‘Russia is open for the world’ (FULL SPEECH)
In light of what’s happening in Greece, what’s especially interesting is this: Greek PM Tsipras neglected his scheduled meeting with EU leaders, in which he was supposed to negotiate his country’s crucial pre-default debt restructuring. Instead, he chose to come to St. Pete, where he signed a $2 bln joint venture for building the Greek leg of Turkish Stream to southeastern Europe.
Nord Stream-2: Analysis and Prediction
Less noticed and very under-the-wraps was another mega-deal: potentially even bigger than Turkish Stream. During the St. Petersburg Forum Germany and Russia agreed to build Nord Stream-2, to deliver gas across the bottom of the Baltic Sea directly to Germany, for further distribution throughout the EU. Nord Stream-1 consisted of two branches and cost 8.5 bln euro. Nord Stream-2 will add two more branches, for a total of four, and will cost 9.9 bln euro.
Nord Stream – Rusian gas goes directly to Germany via Baltic Sea
The new pipeline will go on top of the existing Nord Stream. This means that, due to the same footprint, Nord Stream-2 won’t need to go through a very grueling and lengthy approval process with Euro Commission and deal with objections by all countries bordering the Baltic Sea. With German discipline and profit motivation, expect Nord Stream-2 to be built in record time.
Therefore, while Germany is making all kinds of public anti-Russian noises, it’s quietly making serious strides to fortify and expand business with Russia. However, make no mistake! Russian gas transit to the EU is as much in the realm of politics and geopolitics, as in the realm of business. I will illustrate that below.
Nord Stream-2 capacity will rival the current Ukraine pipeline capacity. Russia already announced that the aging Ukraine pipeline will be eventually phased out due to the political instability and inflexible position of the Ukraine government. In short, Russia won’t be held hostage to the whims of Kiev. Nord Stream-2 agreement means Germany is making a decisive move to take away gas transit business from Ukraine.
This led some to speculate that Germany facilitated the 2014 coup in Kiev on purpose: to create an impossible situation for the Russian gas transit through Ukraine, thus making Russian gas transit business its own. I won’t categorically agree or disagree with this opinion, and here is why. There is some logic to it. Germany and other strong EU economies were always worried about the insecure Ukraine gas route. Taking steps to ensure one’s country’s energy security are natural and expected. Still, at least in part, Germany is not initiating but rather responding to various threats, acting to secure gas supply route and quantities for itself and its close allies in northern and central Europe. Germany, of all countries, is able to use its considerable European pull to secure a fast construction of the new pipeline – and it’s doing it.
Is Germany making big anti-Russian noises to appease and fool the US, while behind the scenes making deals with Russia? Here is what I see: I do think Germany is continuing clumsy attempts to sit on two chairs, playing both Russia and US, in the hopes of wiggling its way out of unfavorable agreements with the US, while keeping the door to Russian business semi-open with one foot. It’s some fancy acrobatics, to be sure, and it does look desperate. Germany and German allies – in other words, the strongest northern and central EU economies – see the writing on the wall and they don’t want to be caught in the upcoming Ukraine/US fallout. They are also rushing to secure Russian gas agreements while they still can.
Turkish Stream Prediction
It’ll be somewhat harder for Turkey, Greece and Italy to push the Turkish Stream construction through. Their pull isn’t as hefty as Germany’s and the pressure on them will be significant both from the US and EU.
But my confident prediction is this: unlike the botched South Stream project, which relied on the weak key transiter, Bulgaria, the Turkish Stream project will be accomplished successfully. The reason is that Turkey is much stronger than Bulgaria as a key transiter. Greece (key transiter 2) will be fine as well, as long as it remains steadfast. This will be a tall order, but Greeks are fighters and they can do it.
The Myth of the United EU and NATO: Geopolitical and Economic Rivalries Explosion
What many are missing is that Germany and Greece are acting here as direct rivals. Germany wants to keep all of Russian gas under its control, in order to then distribute it to all of the EU, thus keeping its control over Eurozone. Meantime, for Greece their participation in the Turkish Stream and association with Russia is a terrific negotiation ploy and additional leverage in their fight for independence against the EU, IMF and German dictate. To top it off, Russian partnership is a lifesaver for the fledgling Greek economy.
As such, Germany sees Greek revolt as a challenge to their EU power and hegemony. From this it’s easily understood that Germany and Brussels would try to undermine and sabotage Greece and other countries who are participating in Turkish Stream.
US will also try to sabotage it for both geopolitical reasons and for their own economic reasons. US wants to sell its shale gas to the EU. Its dream is to push Russia out as the primary gas supplier to the EU, taking Russia’s place and, therefore, binding the EU to itself not just militarily and economically, but also energy-wise.
Consequently, the fight between Greece and EU/Germany we are presently observing is much more than a fight for Greece’s debt restructuring. It’s also beyond the projected Grexit. It’s about distribution of Russian gas and future control of European energy security.
When Bulgaria’s puppet government foolishly refused to allow South Stream through its territory, loosing potential billions in future profits, Turkish Stream was born. It will go through the bottom of the Black Sea, using Russian waters, a small stretch of international waters and Turkish waters. Then, it will go through the northwestern-most part of Turkish territory, with branch-outs to supply large parts of Turkey with Russian gas. Why is it important that it only goes through the northwestern part of Turkey? This is the quietest and most prosperous part of Turkey. The east and south are restive and volatile, with Kurdish and Syria-related unrest.
But Turkey isn’t a member of the EU. Turkish Stream will get to the border with Greece at which point Greece will take over the pipeline for further distribution to other EU countries.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Erdogan sign the Turkish Stream deal
As we see, Greece/Turkey and Germany are now in direct competition for the exceedingly lucrative Russian gas venture. Therefore, the fight between them is also the fight for future control and profits.
Putin’s Gambit: the all-around win for Russia
We spoke on many prior occasions about how Putin works. Sometimes, it appears he doesn’t respond directly to various threats and adversarial actions by the US, Kiev junta and EU, instead, he takes his time and acts asymmetrically, when he is ready. And every time Russia acts, it’s an unexpected and pretty crushing move. This is why they call Putin the Grand Chess Master.
Nord Stream-2 partner is the No. 1 German energy giant E.On, as well as Shell (Dutch-British) and other German companies, such as OMV and Wintershall. It is understood that such companies wouldn’t commit to Nord Stream-2 without securing a serious backing of the German government. It is also a given that Nord Stream-2 will be pushed through by Germany in record time. In fact, it will be built faster than Turkish Stream.
This puts fire under Turkey. The thing is that after the Turkish Stream deal was signed by Erdogan, he imagined himself in the driver seat. He began looking for more preferences, playing on the Crimean Tartar controversy and delaying the approval for the engineering survey of the pipeline route. Immediately after the Nord Stream-2 deal was signed, the Italian engineering survey vessel, which was sitting in the Bulgarian port of Burgas waiting for Turkey’s permission to enter the Black Sea for six months, was finally allowed to start work. Erdogan also changed his tack on a number of other issues.
Recall what I once said before: Erdogan and Turkey are attempting to play their own game in the Middle East and southeastern Europe, not always successfully and not always nicely. However, on balance Turkey is still a strong and convenient ally for the Turkish Stream and various other projects, for a variety of reasons – from geopolitical, to psychological and economic. For one, Erdogan is pissed at the US, EU and NATO, and two, he wants gasification of his country, whose archaic coal-based system is in desperate need of replacement with clean modern energy.
Therefore, Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream are in direct competition. This is excellent, as it will finally balance the situation with Russian gas supply to the EU, which has become precariously imbalanced after Ukraine, and sometimes Belarus, began playing blackmail games. The result was that Ukraine endangered EU’s energy security and Russia’s energy livelihood. And that’s just not done.
There is an ‘opinion’ of ‘the couch potato experts’ that Russia won’t have enough gas to fill both pipelines.
However, having reserve capacity on hand is actually the point! Two pipelines will be filled with gas as needed, reserve capacity used as necessary. The constant competition between the two will not allow either party to attempt what Ukraine has done for years: blackmail Russia either economically or geopolitically, while keeping EU gas customers hostage.
The realisation of the plan of the competing pipelines will put an end to the American Dream of cutting Russian gas from Europe. Will US try to stop the construction? Undoubtedly. My prediction: because of well-chosen allies, and unlike with South Stream, they will fail.
The deadline for the complete turn off of the Ukraine gas transit system is 2019. Until then, EU and Germany will have to continue paying for Ukrainian gas in order to ensure Ukraine doesn’t turn off the vent.
Alexander Medvedev, Gasprom Deputy Chairman said: “After the current gas transit agreement with Ukraine expires, there will be no new contract, nor extension of the existing contract, under any circumstances. Due to the economic, political, investment and technological risks, there will be no more Ukraine gas transit, not even if sun and moon switch places in the sky.”
China: Deeper reason for the stampede to secure Russian gas
In addition to the Turkish Stream and Nord Stream rivalry, for the EU and Germany there is another, more important consideration.
Germany must act now, before Russian gas gets redirected to China and Asia via the Power of Siberia pipeline. Let’s recall my 2014 predictions: once it happens, it will be too late and EU will begin experiencing gas shortages. Shortages can be avoided if Europe acts now to secure multi-year gas commitments.
Therefore, Russia is building a fully balanced and diversified Eurasian gas supply system, and Chinese counterweight plays a big part in it.
Ukraine Prediction
Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream will eventually take all gas transit business away from Ukraine. It means that regardless of how the power in Ukraine changes in the following 2-3 years (and it will), Ukraine will only be able to buy gas for itself – at market prices. It won’t be able to profit from the exclusive gas transiter status.
Poor, naive Ukrainians; while they were yelling and screaming on Kiev maidan that Russia was bad, shrewd Europeans nodded politely and did what they had to do to provide for their energy security. This eventually will render Ukraine unnecessary for either US or EU, and, as I predicted, it will simply be abandoned. Too bad the cost will be so great for the people… I wonder, will Ukrainians ever learn?
This effectively means that US will lose interest in Ukraine and drop it like a hot potato. Recall my timeline for the mega-changes in Ukraine: 2016-18.
US LNG Shale Gas
But what about the US and its LNG shale gas, you ask? Judging by the St. Petersburg deals, Europeans aren’t holding their breath for it.
Let’s be clear: US shale gas is yet another bubble. This, awfully harmful to the environment bubble, will burst, just like so many before it.
Where is China?
What went completely unnoticed in the media was the presence of China at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum. Too bad, because this is actually the country everyone should have been watching in the first place. Chinese press wrote after the event that China and Russia fortified their future-oriented, long-term strategic partnership. Russia is the key partner in China’s New Silk Road project, which will unite in one economic space China, Russia/Eurasian Union, most of Asia and EU.
For more listen to my interview: Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road ~ The Plane Truth
And read: Russia Pivots to Asia: Putin goes to Mongolia and Opens Power of Siberia Pipeline to China
I spoke many times about the need to reunify all of Eurasia. This is one continent. The artificial division on Europe and Asia has to come to an end. Through trade and energy, this is what Russia and China are working on.
While Germany, Turkey and Greece trip all over themselves to be first to sign gas transit agreements with Russia, China is continuing its patient long-term expansion. Unlike the expansions of the US and EU, it targets to cooperatively unite, not divide. Patience is one thing Chinese have lots of. Pragmatic wisdom and vision is another.
Europeans could learn a lot from both Russians and Chinese.
Listen to video/audio version of this article on YouTube:
Putin’s Gambit: Germany Will Replace Ukraine as Russian Gas Transiter (LadaRayLive 15)
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Related LadaRayLive episodes:
NEW! Camp Bondsteel: How US Controls Gas and Oil Flow to Europe (LRL14)
Macedonia Coup Attempt – War Against Russia & China (LRL12)
Secret Connection: Russian Gas to Turkey-Greek Election-EU Breakup (LRL6)
FT articles:
Greek Default and Grexit? Analysis and Predictions
The Greek Dilemma: Between Russia and EU. PREDICTIONS by Lada Ray
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Watch Exclusive Video ESR4: Alien Technology & New Russian Weapons
Read ESR3: OLIGARCH WARS
Find all EARTH SHIFT REPORTS
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Read THE EARTH SHIFTER
Read GOLD TRAIN
Follow:
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#NordStream #TurkishStream #Grexit #SPIEF2015 #Gasprom #GreekDefault #Russia #Ukraine #shalegas #fracking #PowerofSiberia #China #naturalgas #energysecurity
PUTIN’S DISAPPEARANCE AND THE NEW SILK ROAD – My Latest Interview with The Plane Truth
My new extensive and multi-faceted interview with Time Monk Radio’s The Plane Truth, Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road, is here!
In it I unveil the real reasons for Putin’s disappearance in March, we talk about all things Eurasia, discuss China’s ambitious project of the New Silk Road in cooperation with Russia and other countries, and much more…
We discuss topics related to the 1000 year EARTH SHIFT and how the rebalancing will happen. Some of the stuff discussed is esoteric, futuristic and pretty far out. The rest is geopolitics, history and economics, which we often discuss on my blog and YT channel. Some of the ideas presented in this interview are cutting-edge, which I had never before voiced out in public.
Have a listen, and if you like what you hear, please click on LIKE on Youtube, so this show would get a higher ranking.
Thank you!
Please comment – your opinion is important!
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US Makes Threatening Moves Towards China While Russia-China Relations Rise
During a meeting with his Chinese counterpart, Russian FM Sergey Lavrov pointed out that US does everything to ‘contain’ (I would say ‘sabotage’ – LR) Russia’s good relations with all other countries.
Meanwhile, China is calling on US to stop its saber-rattling and threatening rhetoric, and to start supporting peace. US new strategy in Asia is to supply the newest and most sophisticated weapons to its allies in the region to counter China’s rise.
China warns US against escalating tensions and urges US to take a cooperative and peaceful approach to bi-lateral relations, considering that China holds sway over trillion+ in US debt and is an important trade partner.
US has been trying to pressure China to take a less friendly to Russia position on the world stage. The Chinese response basically is that Russia is China’s most important strategic partner, sharing borders, cultural, geopolitical and economic interests in Eurasia, and their relations are none of the USA’s business. USA can think whatever it wants, but the truth is, Russia-China relations will only grow and strengthen.
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GREAT NEWS!
My new extensive interview with Time Monk Radio’s The Plane Truth, which resonates with the above material, is here!
In it I unveil the real reasons for Putin’s disappearance in March, we talk about all things Eurasia, discuss China’s ambitious project of the New Silk Road, in cooperation with Russia and other countries, and much more…
Click to listen: Putin’s Disappearance and the New Silk Road
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NEW EARTH SHIFT REPORTS COMING!
The long-awaited new Earth Shift Reports (ESR) are coming! ESRs are much deeper than regular articles, and they also are larger in scope; each often takes several months to develop the concept, gather all the material, complete research and write. ESRs will contain Lada’s most interesting, far-reaching and juiciest revelations, intel and predictions.
Earth Shift Reports will be available for a donation. Details on how to donate and download will be posted on FT and LadaRay.info. For more info go to EARTH SHIFT REPORT page.
At this time, we will release 3 ESRs that are interconnected and compliment each other. They should be coming out once a week or so, during the following 3 weeks. More ESRs will be released in the months to come.
Preview:
ESR 3. UKRAINE:
NEW KHAZARIAN KHAGANATE?
(where hoaxes are dispelled, and truths revealed)
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ESR 4. UKRAINE:
OLIGARCH WARS
Who is really pulling the strings?
The difference between Russian, Ukrainian and Western oligarchs.
Poroshenko vs Kolomoysky – who won, who lost?
Who are Ukraine’s most powerful oligarchs?
The difference between Kiev junta and German fascists.
“Benya” Kolomoysky: rare videos out of the horse’s mouth.
What next? Lada’s predictions.
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ESR 5. GAME OF RUBLES
Intel:
The real truth behind Putin’s disappearance in March 2015.
Why Russia isn’t that concerned about the ruble.
What is Russia really up to?
Russia’s new shadow power revealed.
Lada’s Predictions: Russia as the Great Balancer
and much more…
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Futurist Trendcast 